Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

**Killa Cam** · 01-09-13, 05:26 PM

thanks sando!!

**Killa Cam** · 01-09-13, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by kilrathi

thx sando for the picks... what are do u think of lakers +13.5?
i know they suck right now but i dont think they will lose that high again?

and even tho i know that u are in nba mode right now, are there some tennis tips available soon?

bol dude

It looks like a trap to me...anybody else feel the same way? I generally stay away from the lakers because of their high unpredictability.

**davopnz** · 01-09-13, 05:29 PM

any thoughts on gsw? only thing putting me off is suspicious line movement

**Bostongambler** · 01-09-13, 05:31 PM

gl Sal Bando

**sando** · 01-09-13, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by dsaewra

I think parlaying the moneyline gives you roughly the same payout.

5Dimes currently:

1/9/2013 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 704 Toronto Raptors* -190 vs Philadelphia 76ers
1/9/2013 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 708 Boston Celtics* -485 vs Phoenix Suns
1/9/2013 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 716 Chicago Bulls* -230 vs Milwaukee Bucks

Risking $1.50 To Win $2.46

Actually yeah that does look better, no need to give up the extra 3 points for the Celtic's. The +0.5 on the Raptors is obviously wasted, I just wanted to throw my favorite three picks together for a little bit of extra action. Good find.

Originally posted by davopnz

any thoughts on gsw? only thing putting me off is suspicious line movement

Tough game to pick. Wasted half an hour coming up with reasons why both teams can win. Have absolutely no lean in either direction.

Originally posted by Killa Cam

It looks like a trap to me...anybody else feel the same way? I generally stay away from the lakers because of their high unpredictability.

I deleted my pick on the Lakers +13.5, was the last one to go. I'd say you summed it up perfectly.

Originally posted by kilrathi

thx sando for the picks... what are do u think of lakers +13.5?
i know they suck right now but i dont think they will lose that high again?

and even tho i know that u are in nba mode right now, are there some tennis tips available soon?

bol dude

See above. Working on the Tennis now.

Originally posted by thewhiteguy

Hey Sando that totals teaser is a 5 pointer not 7 right?

It is 7 points however a 5 point teaser in sides is the equivalent of a 7 point teaser in totals.

**thewhiteguy** · 01-09-13, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by sando

Thanks boys.

Got some leans on a bunch of totals but not sure if I'm going to lock anything in, might just post my leans for now and see how they hold up.

Houston/NO Over 200.5
Denver/Orlando Over 204.5
LA/SA Over 214.5
Philly/Toronto Over 189
Utah/Charlotte Under 198
Clippers/Dallas Under 201

5 point NBA Teaser (that I'm playing tonight)

Celtics -4
Bulls -0.5
Raptors +0.5

+160 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1.5 units to win 2.4

NBA Totals Teaser (7 points)

Jazz/Bobcats Under 202.5
Magic/Nuggets Over 197
Mavericks/Clippers Under 208.5

+150 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1unit to win 1.5.

Hey Sando that totals teaser is a 5 pointer not 7 right?

**thewhiteguy** · 01-09-13, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by thewhiteguy

Hey Sando that totals teaser is a 5 pointer not 7 right?

The odds on 5dimes for this is -110 thats why im asking

**wguan2** · 01-09-13, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by sando

Thanks boys.

Got some leans on a bunch of totals but not sure if I'm going to lock anything in, might just post my leans for now and see how they hold up.

Houston/NO Over 200.5
Denver/Orlando Over 204.5
LA/SA Over 214.5
Philly/Toronto Over 189
Utah/Charlotte Under 198
Clippers/Dallas Under 201

5 point NBA Teaser (that I'm playing tonight)

Celtics -4
Bulls -0.5
Raptors +0.5

+160 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1.5 units to win 2.4

NBA Totals Teaser (7 points)

Jazz/Bobcats Under 202.5
Magic/Nuggets Over 197
Mavericks/Clippers Under 208.5

+150 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1unit to win 1.5.

Teasing totals? You know I respect your capping so don't take this the wrong way. First, you may have a typo in the Jazz/Bobcats total since if it's a 7 point tease, it should be under 205.5. Secondly, imo variance on totals are so large that teasing them is a -ev play. Even when points are much more significant in the NFL, it is considered a -ev play so I'm very surprised you decided on a tease here especially with 3 teams.

I think all 3 plays are good plays actually (except maybe for the mavs/clips) at their original number. Just my two cents. Hope you don't take this as pick-thrashing.

**blanco** · 01-09-13, 05:43 PM

agree with wguan about the variance involved with totals

**sando** · 01-09-13, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by wguan2

Teasing totals? You know I respect your capping so don't take this the wrong way. First, you may have a typo in the Jazz/Bobcats total since if it's a 7 point tease, it should be under 205.5. Secondly, imo variance on totals are so large that teasing them is a -ev play. Even when points are much more significant in the NFL, it is considered a -ev play so I'm very surprised you decided on a tease here especially with 3 teams.
I think all 3 plays are good plays actually (except maybe for the mavs/clips) at their original number. Just my two cents. Hope you don't take this as pick-thrashing.

Not at all mate. I'm open to any and all constructive criticism from you anytime. This is the first totals teaser I have played all season. It's just the 1 unit for a bit of fun. I don't record teasers/parlays on my official record, although I do keep track of the results underneath it. Had a whole bunch of totals i liked today but didn't feel comfortable pulling the trigger on any of them, so thought I would play the 1 unit teaser for a bit of fun. And yes I just edited the mistake (205.5, not 202.5) Cheers.

**wguan2** · 01-09-13, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by sando

Not at all mate. I'm open to any and all constructive criticism from you anytime. This is the first totals teaser I have played all season. It's just the 1 unit for a bit of fun. I don't record teasers/parlays on my official record, although I do keep track of the results underneath it. Had a whole bunch of totals i liked today but didn't feel comfortable pulling the trigger on any of them, so thought I would play the 1 unit teaser for a bit of fun. And yes I just edited the mistake (205.5, not 202.5) Cheers.

Gotcha. Didn't see that it was more of an action wager than anything else. Well good luck man! Great pick on Indiana last night, was following your thread and everything and just couldn't pull the trigger but I'm glad you got a good hit on that one. Cheers

**mvanja** · 01-09-13, 06:05 PM

Sando why are u staying away from Hou?

**sando** · 01-09-13, 06:08 PM

Tennis

Great pick to start the ball rolling

ATP Sydney

Istomin v Anderson
Istomin +2.5 (-123, $1.81 Pinnacle) 1.5x
Istomin m/l (+160, $2.60 Pinnacle) 1x *Very generous price.

Seppi v Granollers
Granollers m/l (+120, $2.20 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Seppi garbage on hard courts (16-34 last 50) and at the beginning of the year. Granollers has won the last 2 meetings including their only encounter on hardcourts. 60/40 in Granollers favor.

ATP Aukland

Querry v Levine
Querry 2-0 (or -1.5 Sets) (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Same bet, different opponent. Again the odds are very generous. Those that have been following this tennis thread since the start know that I am a huge Querry fan. American's best male tennis player and one to watch out for this season. Has the potential to crack the top 10 this year (If Tipsarevic can then anyone can).

Monfils v Haas
Over 22.5 (-111, $1.91 Pinnacle) 1x

WTA Sydney

Radwanska v Li
Li m/l (-125, $1.80 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x
*3 matches played on hard courts in 2012, 3 straight set beat-downs by Li. If Li can keep the errors down and attack the weak Agi second serve then it should be a formality as when Li is hitting significantly more winners than UE's, she is arguably the 2nd best hardcourt player (behind you know who) in the WTA. What is not arguable is that Li is the superior hardcourt player to Radwanska. Li showed plenty of fight against the dangerous Keys yesterday so she must have some interest in winning the tournament. Li controls her agression and she will hit Agi off the court.

**sando** · 01-09-13, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by mvanja

Sando why are u staying away from Hou?

Because I believe Nola will win that game straight up, however I refuse to back against Houston (not profitable lately) = avoid.

**mvanja** · 01-09-13, 06:15 PM

ok thx

**davopnz** · 01-09-13, 06:18 PM

Istomin? :O was leaning Anderson. got some stats?

**needalifeline** · 01-09-13, 06:18 PM

What does +2.5 mean in tennis. I can only get M/L

**Vinnie Paz** · 01-09-13, 06:22 PM

How do you feel about raptors first half? They seem to always blow late leads....

**BigL28** · 01-09-13, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by needalifeline

What does +2.5 mean in tennis. I can only get M/L

It's the spread of game totals for each opponent : Anderson -2.5 will win by at least 2+5 games, Isotmin +2.5 will win or lose by less than 2.5 games.
Ex 1 : Anderson wins 6/4 6/4 = Anderson -2.5 cashes
Ex 2 : Istomin wins 7/6 0/6 7/6 = Anderson - 2.5 cashes

**thewhiteguy** · 01-09-13, 06:33 PM

Still a go at +2

**mvanja** · 01-09-13, 06:40 PM

01/09/13 03:31:42pm Pacific
NBA: Game 501-502 (ORN# 2105-2106)			Injury	Status	<center> Games </center>	<center> PTS </center>	<center> REB </center>	<center> AST </center>	<center> STL </center>	<center> BLK </center>
New York	<center> F </center>	Carmelo Anthony	suspension	OUT	28	29.0	6.1	2.3	1.0	0.5
is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Indiana.

**NYCWinner** · 01-09-13, 06:45 PM

Hey Sando!..I know this is late notice. But what do you guys think about the Over 189 Sixers vs Raptors tonight? I thinking about going ahead with this parlay ..$66 to win $496

Raptors -5
6ers v Raptors Over 189
Bulls -6
Spurs ML
Clippers ML

**mvanja** · 01-09-13, 06:50 PM

sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits

**MacVPTgod** · 01-09-13, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by mvanja

sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits

I feel your pain.

**sando** · 01-09-13, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by MacVPTgod

I feel your pain.

Originally posted by mvanja

sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits

04:30 PM

8354

S. Querrey (-1.5 Sets)

<input class=" textInputIE" name="M2_283832493_0" maxLength="15" size="6"> o 1.885<input name="selM2_283832493_0" value="-113" type="hidden"> (Pinnacle)

**davopnz** · 01-09-13, 06:59 PM

Whats the reasoning behind istomin?

**mvanja** · 01-09-13, 07:05 PM

[QUOTE=sando;17430048]

04:30 PM

8354

S. Querrey (-1.5 Sets)

<input class=" textInputIE" name="M2_283832493_0" maxlength="15" size="6"> o 1.885<input name="selM2_283832493_0" value="-113" type="hidden"> (Pinnacle)

I know what ur saying, waiting for a money to open Pinacle account, didn't plan to bet on tennis before I found ur tread... THX

**MacVPTgod** · 01-09-13, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by mvanja

sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits

I feel your pain.

**sando** · 01-09-13, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by davopnz

Whats the reasoning behind istomin?

No value with Anderson at -170, should no way be that short. Clear value on istomin at +160. Of course "value" doesn't win you money, so here's something more tangible. Both serve bombs yet Istomin is the superior returner (crucial in a tiebreak, i.e two big servers). that's all i got time for.

**slikec** · 01-09-13, 07:20 PM

Sando you make so many plays in no order for tournaments so is hard to check which play you added last. I would really love if you put numbers before plays(first play 1. second 2. etc.) so i would see much faster if there is a new play and which one. Thank you and keep up the good work

**steveq** · 01-09-13, 07:26 PM

anyone heard of stake my odds suck querry is 3.5 play it?? all i have

**thorny** · 01-09-13, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by steveq

anyone heard of stake my odds suck querry is 3.5 play it?? all i have

Querry -3.5 isn't a bad play or under total games...but I wouldnt stake as much, just in case of a tiebreaker etc...

**slikec** · 01-09-13, 07:37 PM

Another tennis capper that i follow also likes Li and Istomin. He also likes Nieminen +4 and Cibulkova +3,5 any thoughts?

**thorny** · 01-09-13, 07:43 PM

Sando,

B Tomic vs J Nieminen...I know you have been backing Tomic lately. So have I. But odds for Nieminen here seem good.

**sando** · 01-09-13, 07:49 PM

Originally posted by thorny

Sando,

B Tomic vs J Nieminen...I know you have been backing Tomic lately. So have I. But odds for Nieminen here seem good.

If there is a play then it would have to be Nieminen (in my opinion).

Originally posted by slikec

Another tennis capper that i follow also likes Li and Istomin. He also likes Nieminen +4 and Cibulkova +3,5 any thoughts?

I like those plays. Who is this guy?