AFL opening spreads

[hedgejob]

Just started raining in Adelaide. Take Port +71.5, that's too many points in the wet.

[brettels]

just got home, last minute rush in for bombers/swans. Have gone with the over 182.5 aswell. bombers QT line -0.5

[brettels]

got bummered on that QT line

well done gee

[bowtakwah]

@ Port. The rain have more effects on Port than Collingwood.

[Lookingtostart]

Matthew P. is the worst coach ever, never putting money on port as long as he's coach.

[brettels]

better than hardwick

[TwoWays]

Rain doesn't affect pressure and emotional intensity, and that's what the Pies showed again this week.

[Lookingtostart]

Crazy week, this must be the biggest week for thrashings ever...?! And there's more to come.

[brettels]

yep, at least 1 more and we all know who. no need to rub it in.

[donkson]

Matthew P. is the worst coach ever, never putting money on port as long as he's coach.

Playing against Collingwood in the wet with a shit team isn't particularly easy.

[Lookingtostart]

Playing against Collingwood in the wet with a shit team isn't particularly easy.

They are not that shit, more like young. They should have improved from last year. Primus's coaching philosophy is wrong and old fashioned. Their board is a mess and they continue to make bad decisions. They have no one in their coaching staff who is actually smart except Laidley, and only maybe. It's all about toughness, determination, inspirational speaches etc. but absolutely no ******* brains and thinking involved.

They have played the same way for the past 4 years, making the same structural mistakes. Primus came out at the start of the year and gave clues as to how they will play and I knew they were going to have a horror year. They (in a nutshell) decided to work on their defence and that's not the problem.

I'm a port fan as well, and I can go on and on... but at least this was some sort of vent.

[brettels]

You support two teams equally?

[Lookingtostart]

Yes, because I was barracking for West Coast before Port came into the competition. I'm from adelaide so I got onto Port. Crows fans are creepy (they actually are, no joke) so never really liked crows, except against vic teams.

[Alt75]

I share LTS's philosophy on footy teams, but with women. Always need a back up to "root" for.

No early bet365 totals again.

[brettels]

Yeah I understand that LTS I have relatives from Adelaide who did the same thing but they went from collingwood to port once they were in!

[Gee]

Nice day on Carlton yesterday. Kicking myself for buying 2 units back. Then 3-1 in the evening.

Looks like everyone else had it good yesterday too. Nice.

Today I'm going to play Bris -5.5 for 1.5x. Crows are getting hit hard, but the Gabba has been a fortress. I also like the over, but I'm a bit worried about the weather... I'll wait till I get a feed of the ground.

I am pretty sure I'll also be on the Hawks for 1.5x. Huge line drop makes them playable. I supect North have been getting hammered. Taking the North not having it against the really good teams theory.

Finally, Eagles -42.5 for 2x will be a play. Tigers really struggle against quality opposition.

[slappa]

Good luck Gee. Been raining most of the day down here inTassie. Could be a sloppy match. Thinking bout taking the under. Just wait and see how the weather stays

[Lookingtostart]

I'm with Lions as well, I think they've been playing better than the crows lately, plus they're at home!

And with just a $1 fun bet, Mitch Clark 1st goal @ $17 to win $16. (easiest $16 you'll ever make, free money )

[Gee]

Thanks Slappa.

Hawks have no problem scoring in the wet... but it'll be just a 1x play.

I've got the over in this crows/lions game at 184.5. weather doesn't look to be a big issue.

[Gee]

over is a lock. 8 goals in the first half of the first quarter!

Need bris here now.

[slappa]

Careful with that under Gee, looks like most of the rain is missing Launceston. Total has dropped 6 points from centrebet thismorning though.

[mups]

still going to be poor conditions at the ground, plus these two have had low scoring affairs in the past

170.5 had to be taken imo

[Gee]

Thanks buddy. Not going to take a total. Don't have a good read on that.

Just rolling with hawks -29.5. Decided on a 1.5x bet. I don't like that its dropped 9 points from the opening, but I'm stubborn. I may get burnt for fading North :/

[brettels]

eagles QT line and over 187.5

[Gee]

nice brettels. like the eagles today.

Got two half time plays on the north/hawks game.

got North +7.5 for 3qtr on bet365 at -117 for 1.5x. Going to take Hawks -7.5 for the last quarter for 2x. (I'm assuming the hawks line).

I already took Hawks to be ahead at half time after i saw the wind at +150 for 1x (edit. booked that one at qtr time when losing by 12). It doesn't seem bet365 factor the wind into it. the lines on 2nd and 3rd quarters have been the same.

Looks like I'm about to cash bris over already a winner with 15mins to go.

[Gee]

Spoke too soon

lions are done

[Gee]

Cash North 3qtr.

Hawks -7.5 game for 2.5x. With the wind in the last quarter. It'd be nice if they could cover the 29.5 too, but i'll take 7.5 Could be an easy $550 live betting this line glitch not factoring in the wind.

[Gee]

unbelievable.

the hawks just give it up.

[Gee]

Thank god for buddy. Cash 2nd, 3rd and 4th qtr spreads this game.

Not counting the 2nd qtr on my spreadsheet as I didn't post anything before it started.

Going to be a winning weekend whatever happens in this eagles game

[brettels]

piss off richmond!!!!

[kingsr]

Lmao Brettels that's your team!!!

[brettels]

i know, but they just cost me cause they are suppose to be themselves and down about 6 goals right now! the QT line was 10.5 im not happy. as long as eagles win and the total goes over i'll be in front for the weekend

[Alt75]

bad luck on the 1Q dude

Come on Eagles, keep this going and cover the -43.5

[brettels]

the total is well and truely won!!! an ok weekend.

[brettels]

and west coast summed up richmonds form. positive weekend, not the greatest but good.