Glad you like our game. 
Regarding the scoring it's all over the place, basketball at pro level you don't get the variation in scoring for each quarter as you do in AFL, depending on matchups across the field, sides can be shutdown and kept scoreless for a quarter or even a half, odd occasion nearly the entire game and a side can go from kicking 2-3 goals a quarter and then kick 10-12 in one. Playing stats on their own isn't very wise in AFL, you need to watch/follow the games and understand how teams matchup, play at certain grounds/interstate, this was Geelongs second game on the road, last week was 2500km away in Western Aus, also if they're playing on a shorter week, injuries.
Also despite some sides being far greater as far as skill of players on the list and record for the season, like with all sports it's never a sure thing a $1.10 fave will win SU let alone in AFL cover a large spread like -39.5. Less skilled teams can still chase and tackle hard and slow other teams from scoring and the coaches can have a negative/defensive mindset and flood the backline with extra players. By stats Geelong should have won by around 80 points. Lions are a young side but with teams like that doing poorly for the season, when their players are playing for a spot on the team next year and not to be cut they can lift and play beyond themselves.
Regarding the scoring it's all over the place, basketball at pro level you don't get the variation in scoring for each quarter as you do in AFL, depending on matchups across the field, sides can be shutdown and kept scoreless for a quarter or even a half, odd occasion nearly the entire game and a side can go from kicking 2-3 goals a quarter and then kick 10-12 in one. Playing stats on their own isn't very wise in AFL, you need to watch/follow the games and understand how teams matchup, play at certain grounds/interstate, this was Geelongs second game on the road, last week was 2500km away in Western Aus, also if they're playing on a shorter week, injuries.
Also despite some sides being far greater as far as skill of players on the list and record for the season, like with all sports it's never a sure thing a $1.10 fave will win SU let alone in AFL cover a large spread like -39.5. Less skilled teams can still chase and tackle hard and slow other teams from scoring and the coaches can have a negative/defensive mindset and flood the backline with extra players. By stats Geelong should have won by around 80 points. Lions are a young side but with teams like that doing poorly for the season, when their players are playing for a spot on the team next year and not to be cut they can lift and play beyond themselves.
Too much to risk and the game is too chaotic for one umpire to constantly have an effect on, sure some bad calls may disrupt a teams flow and can end up possibly changing the result, too many bad decisions by an ump and he's back to VFL/TAC though. I wasn't paying too much attention to the Lions V Cats on delay, didn't see Swans Dockers so not sure what you mean?
MMA is almost dead to me now.