ok..don't even know if they'll have that many high claimers like tomorrow..there's a way to check and it's not the condition book..going to ask str..but bottomline,as you said, no rush.. if it goes into the fall so be it
jbex vs lkid1 maidens only contest
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JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#71Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#72there are 3 mdn clm 50+ (one 50-40) between now and may 10 so they'll be included..figure double that through the end of may..i'll be on them all lolComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#73gulfstream (friday)
R10 #1 king of rock (12-1) 3WP
like the gradual fade line* exiting a very fast (winners fig) race in prior off the turf sprint as a setup for the stretch out (debut race).. trainer having a monster meet and excellent first time route and off a short layoff.. was a very expensive horse relative to the pedigree but is running for less than half the auction price.. to me that balances out a positive but could understand seeing it the other way.. comes in off steady works at pine meadows including last one a bullet 4f
* by lengths behind
i would go with this off the turf also as there is a slight chance of rain
no good
through 4 plays (this includes tampa play)
risk 18/ returned 0Comment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#74Risked $14 / Returned $26.40Comment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#75J,
I don’t like either of the MSW, @ gulf
nor the MSW @ Oak
so doors open brother
I may pass all 3Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#76ok.. didn't look yet and not going to till tomorrow..my mind's spaghetti now lolComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#77I'll definitely be on gulf 5..post tomorrowComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#78gulfstream
R5 #2 tio will (20-1) 2WP
think he's showed some life in his first 3 even though ultimately finishing far back..2 lengths off the pace call last out and finished with a solid figure despite being far back.. winner ran a graded stakes quality figure and it was a msw race..had to break from the 11 post to boot.. so 3rd off a short layoff gets on turf first time and pedigree well above average for that.. dam has been very productive with turf winners and overall.. now the bad part and its not minor.. leonel reyes a slightly below average jock(I go by %'s) but poor on the turf.. that will only help the price and like this guy as a longieComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#79hey lkid.. are you OK if I bet 2 horses in a race..both win only.. longshots that iposted in my threadComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#81race taken off the turf so passingComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
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JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#84gulfstream
R5 #2 tio will (20-1) 2WP
think he's showed some life in his first 3 even though ultimately finishing far back..2 lengths off the pace call last out and finished with a solid figure despite being far back.. winner ran a graded stakes quality figure and it was a msw race..had to break from the 11 post to boot.. so 3rd off a short layoff gets on turf first time and pedigree well above average for that.. dam has been very productive with turf winners and overall.. now the bad part and its not minor.. leonel reyes a slightly below average jock(I go by %'s) but poor on the turf.. that will only help the price and like this guy as a longie
risk 22/return 0
gulfstream
R5 #7 winnipeg wonder (20-1) 2WP
type of race in debut that I like as a primer to stretch out off .. dam has been very priductive producing turf runners..solid turf jock
R5 #9 gibberish (15-1) 3WP
saffie gets some of the mclaughlin dispersal.. those 2 races he comes out of are very quick (always talking winners figure when I say this) and he put solid numbers to boot coming out of them.. again like the type of line's he ran besides.. this one more impressive than above.. cost a bunch relative to specs.. solid regular works since last race and prior to that worked regularly at pine meadows going back to late december.. negative (and not a small one) is landeros a crappy turf jock.. too many positives here overall though
*2 horses this race
oaklawn
R10 #7 gypsy's feather (20-1) 2W
R10 #10 good shabbos (10-1) 2W
might be sloppy which is ok
..Last edited by JBEX; 04-19-20, 03:28 PM.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#85just realized this is a 2-4 and had a 1WP..changed it.. not in the gate yetComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#86added oak 10..just betting win on bothComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#87just realize I mistakenly bet10 on earlier race..it'll count as a 10 loss..my mistakeComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#88no Worries brother
grade it as $8
wasn’t your intention
let’s allow one $6 W bet (no place)
per day
keep it like otherComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#91risk 22/return 0
gulfstream
R5 #7 winnipeg wonder (20-1) 2WP
type of race in debut that I like as a primer to stretch out off .. dam has been very priductive producing turf runners..solid turf jock
R5 #9 gibberish (15-1) 3WP
saffie gets some of the mclaughlin dispersal.. those 2 races he comes out of are very quick (always talking winners figure when I say this) and he put solid numbers to boot coming out of them.. again like the type of line's he ran besides.. this one more impressive than above.. cost a bunch relative to specs.. solid regular works since last race and prior to that worked regularly at pine meadows going back to late december.. negative (and not a small one) is landeros a crappy turf jock.. too many positives here overall though
*2 horses this race
oaklawn
R10 #7 gypsy's feather (20-1) 2W
R10 #10 good shabbos (10-1) 2W
might be sloppy which is ok
..
7 @ gulfstream 3rd, a neck off the winner.. even a place would have been nice.. $21.40 show
oaklawn nothing..shut out continues
risk 34/ return 0Comment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#92Tampa race 7, Wednesday
lots of talent
blame the cake, creed , sense of justiceComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#93Nice call on Winnipeg wonderComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#94thanks lkid.. gonna check out tampa tonight.. sounds like a race I'll probably be onComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#95Np, I’ll def be playing as wellComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#96tampa.. wednesday
R7 #3 land mark deal (12-1) 2WP
take a shot for the upset with a homebred firster by munnings whose one of the better first out sires and strictly speed.. first foal to race out of a winning giant's causeway mare.. lots of class but that's tempered a bit with the fact that gc is a distance influence.. gullick having a nice meet and has huge roi with maiden specials and debut horses.. call me nuts but I like positive names with debuters as I think it's a sign they really like the horseComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#97Gimmie 4 to win
on #7 blame the cake 9/5Comment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#98Risked $18 / Returned $26.40Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#99tampa.. wednesday
R7 #3 land mark deal (12-1) 2WP
take a shot for the upset with a homebred firster by munnings whose one of the better first out sires and strictly speed.. first foal to race out of a winning giant's causeway mare.. lots of class but that's tempered a bit with the fact that gc is a distance influence.. gullick having a nice meet and has huge roi with maiden specials and debut horses.. call me nuts but I like positive names with debuters as I think it's a sign they really like the horse
risk 38 /return 0
Comment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#100Oaklawn R7
Really Nice horse race
#1 Backshot (8/1) , Anybody that can duel with American Therom going 21/4 then 45/2, is crazy fast, going to be sent from the rail under Cohen, off the long layoff. There is some really quick horses in this event, the pace is going be blistering . The one that's really interesting to me, is the #10 Derby Date (9/2) , After leaving the Coach's barn , was sent to bench 14 months, and under this rather unknown outfit, has been improvinbg each and every start. First Glance, you think professional maiden, but remember the Coach , Ran this colt in 3 grade 1 races outta 6 tries. 0-9 ok, but dismiss those 3 G1, look only lost by 3 to Network Effect a Chad Brown big time runner. But most importantly, has Never never sprinted on a fast track. I see some rain could hit tomorrow, but why not if they get a fast track. I promise you , you'll get a better number than 9/2, Hasn't had many top notch riders aboard either (not that they are getting one tomorrow). Why Can't Declan sit the stalking trip, of this predicted pace , Seems to be going in the right direction on the 4 year old campaign, but man this is not an easy spot. Just to add , how often do see a half mile work going 45 and 4, This horse was tuned up for Keenland meet, They shipped from Hot Springs to Lexington, and now traveled back in the same month. They want this horse to run bad, and adding the eye cups, tells me they are focusing this one here. #8 Ragtime Blues (3/1) , will be overbet off the layoff, and I'll be against this Baffert. Many of these horses, are capable of graduating in softer spots.
Gimme $4 to win on the #10 Derby Date (9/2)Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 04-23-20, 09:00 PM.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
#101oaklawn R7 #1 backshot (8-1) 4 W
cost a lot relative to the pedigree specs.. when I say this I'm looking at stud fee, dam's highest accomplishment as a racehorse and production as a broodmare.. if the auction price seems out of line with that information I figure horse probably a physical specimen, really fast work at the sales, along those lines.. realize first time with peter miller which doesn't add anything for me..obviously this one was targeted for santa anita with baffert.. do like that he's tremendous taking the blinkers offComment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#102Risked $22 / Returned $26.40Comment -
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#103oaklawn R7 #1 backshot (8-1) 4 W
cost a lot relative to the pedigree specs.. when I say this I'm looking at stud fee, dam's highest accomplishment as a racehorse and production as a broodmare.. if the auction price seems out of line with that information I figure horse probably a physical specimen, really fast work at the sales, along those lines.. realize first time with peter miller which doesn't add anything for me..obviously this one was targeted for santa anita with baffert.. do like that he's tremendous taking the blinkers offComment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23414
-
Louisvillekid1SBR Aristocracy
- 10-17-07
- 52143
#105
Yeah would paid 5-800 I’d guess
Instead I got $116
I know, I was like dam, you always play place
But everyone knows you can handicapp
Plenty of time ,
Cheers buddyComment
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