jbex vs lkid1 maidens only contest

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23414

    #71
    ok..don't even know if they'll have that many high claimers like tomorrow..there's a way to check and it's not the condition book..going to ask str..but bottomline,as you said, no rush.. if it goes into the fall so be it
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23414

      #72
      there are 3 mdn clm 50+ (one 50-40) between now and may 10 so they'll be included..figure double that through the end of may..i'll be on them all lol
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23414

        #73
        Originally posted by JBEX
        gulfstream (friday)

        R10 #1 king of rock (12-1) 3WP


        like the gradual fade line* exiting a very fast (winners fig) race in prior off the turf sprint as a setup for the stretch out (debut race).. trainer having a monster meet and excellent first time route and off a short layoff.. was a very expensive horse relative to the pedigree but is running for less than half the auction price.. to me that balances out a positive but could understand seeing it the other way.. comes in off steady works at pine meadows including last one a bullet 4f

        * by lengths behind


        i would go with this off the turf also as there is a slight chance of rain

        no good


        through 4 plays (this includes tampa play)

        risk 18/ returned 0
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #74
          Risked $14 / Returned $26.40
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #75
            J,

            I don’t like either of the MSW, @ gulf

            nor the MSW @ Oak

            so doors open brother

            I may pass all 3
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23414

              #76
              ok.. didn't look yet and not going to till tomorrow..my mind's spaghetti now lol
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23414

                #77
                I'll definitely be on gulf 5..post tomorrow
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23414

                  #78
                  gulfstream


                  R5 #2 tio will (20-1) 2WP

                  think he's showed some life in his first 3 even though ultimately finishing far back..2 lengths off the pace call last out and finished with a solid figure despite being far back.. winner ran a graded stakes quality figure and it was a msw race..had to break from the 11 post to boot.. so 3rd off a short layoff gets on turf first time and pedigree well above average for that.. dam has been very productive with turf winners and overall.. now the bad part and its not minor.. leonel reyes a slightly below average jock(I go by %'s) but poor on the turf.. that will only help the price and like this guy as a longie
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23414

                    #79
                    hey lkid.. are you OK if I bet 2 horses in a race..both win only.. longshots that iposted in my thread
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23414

                      #80
                      Originally posted by JBEX
                      hey lkid.. are you OK if I bet 2 horses in a race..both win only.. longshots that iposted in my thread

                      if not or if I don't hear from you I'll pick one
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23414

                        #81
                        race taken off the turf so passing
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #82
                          Originally posted by JBEX
                          hey lkid.. are you OK if I bet 2 horses in a race..both win only.. longshots that iposted in my thread
                          Sure I guess $8 total is what we are doing


                          $4 to place or win on 2 horses

                          or 2 horses $2 WP
                          since $4 WP Is Max bet

                          SEE no reason why not
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23414

                            #83
                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                            Sure I guess $8 total is what we are doing


                            $4 to place or win on 2 horses

                            or 2 horses $2 WP
                            since $4 WP Is Max bet

                            SEE no reason why not

                            ok.. we were doing that in the other contest so figured it'd be alright
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23414

                              #84
                              Originally posted by JBEX
                              gulfstream


                              R5 #2 tio will (20-1) 2WP

                              think he's showed some life in his first 3 even though ultimately finishing far back..2 lengths off the pace call last out and finished with a solid figure despite being far back.. winner ran a graded stakes quality figure and it was a msw race..had to break from the 11 post to boot.. so 3rd off a short layoff gets on turf first time and pedigree well above average for that.. dam has been very productive with turf winners and overall.. now the bad part and its not minor.. leonel reyes a slightly below average jock(I go by %'s) but poor on the turf.. that will only help the price and like this guy as a longie

                              risk 22/return 0



                              gulfstream


                              R5 #7 winnipeg wonder (20-1) 2WP

                              type of race in debut that I like as a primer to stretch out off .. dam has been very priductive producing turf runners..solid turf jock

                              R5 #9 gibberish (15-1) 3WP

                              saffie gets some of the mclaughlin dispersal.. those 2 races he comes out of are very quick (always talking winners figure when I say this) and he put solid numbers to boot coming out of them.. again like the type of line's he ran besides.. this one more impressive than above.. cost a bunch relative to specs.. solid regular works since last race and prior to that worked regularly at pine meadows going back to late december.. negative (and not a small one) is landeros a crappy turf jock.. too many positives here overall though


                              *2 horses this race

                              oaklawn

                              R10 #7 gypsy's feather (20-1) 2W
                              R10 #10 good shabbos (10-1) 2W

                              might be sloppy which is ok


                              ..
                              Last edited by JBEX; 04-19-20, 03:28 PM.
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23414

                                #85
                                just realized this is a 2-4 and had a 1WP..changed it.. not in the gate yet
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23414

                                  #86
                                  added oak 10..just betting win on both
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23414

                                    #87
                                    just realize I mistakenly bet10 on earlier race..it'll count as a 10 loss..my mistake
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #88
                                      no Worries brother

                                      grade it as $8

                                      wasn’t your intention

                                      let’s allow one $6 W bet (no place)

                                      per day

                                      keep it like other
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                        Risked $14 / Returned $26.40
                                        Bumping so don’t have to scroll next week
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23414

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                          no Worries brother

                                          grade it as $8

                                          wasn’t your intention

                                          let’s allow one $6 W bet (no place)

                                          per day

                                          keep it like other

                                          ok thanks.. sure no problem with one $6W bet per day
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23414

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                            risk 22/return 0



                                            gulfstream


                                            R5 #7 winnipeg wonder (20-1) 2WP

                                            type of race in debut that I like as a primer to stretch out off .. dam has been very priductive producing turf runners..solid turf jock

                                            R5 #9 gibberish (15-1) 3WP

                                            saffie gets some of the mclaughlin dispersal.. those 2 races he comes out of are very quick (always talking winners figure when I say this) and he put solid numbers to boot coming out of them.. again like the type of line's he ran besides.. this one more impressive than above.. cost a bunch relative to specs.. solid regular works since last race and prior to that worked regularly at pine meadows going back to late december.. negative (and not a small one) is landeros a crappy turf jock.. too many positives here overall though


                                            *2 horses this race

                                            oaklawn

                                            R10 #7 gypsy's feather (20-1) 2W
                                            R10 #10 good shabbos (10-1) 2W

                                            might be sloppy which is ok


                                            ..

                                            7 @ gulfstream 3rd, a neck off the winner.. even a place would have been nice.. $21.40 show

                                            oaklawn nothing..shut out continues

                                            risk 34/ return 0
                                            Comment
                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-17-07
                                              • 52143

                                              #92
                                              Tampa race 7, Wednesday

                                              lots of talent

                                              blame the cake, creed , sense of justice
                                              Comment
                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-17-07
                                                • 52143

                                                #93
                                                Nice call on Winnipeg wonder
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23414

                                                  #94
                                                  thanks lkid.. gonna check out tampa tonight.. sounds like a race I'll probably be on
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                    • 52143

                                                    #95
                                                    Np, I’ll def be playing as well
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23414

                                                      #96
                                                      tampa.. wednesday

                                                      R7 #3 land mark deal (12-1) 2WP

                                                      take a shot for the upset with a homebred firster by munnings whose one of the better first out sires and strictly speed.. first foal to race out of a winning giant's causeway mare.. lots of class but that's tempered a bit with the fact that gc is a distance influence.. gullick having a nice meet and has huge roi with maiden specials and debut horses.. call me nuts but I like positive names with debuters as I think it's a sign they really like the horse
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                        • 52143

                                                        #97
                                                        Gimmie 4 to win

                                                        on #7 blame the cake 9/5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #98
                                                          Risked $18 / Returned $26.40
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23414

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                                            tampa.. wednesday

                                                            R7 #3 land mark deal (12-1) 2WP

                                                            take a shot for the upset with a homebred firster by munnings whose one of the better first out sires and strictly speed.. first foal to race out of a winning giant's causeway mare.. lots of class but that's tempered a bit with the fact that gc is a distance influence.. gullick having a nice meet and has huge roi with maiden specials and debut horses.. call me nuts but I like positive names with debuters as I think it's a sign they really like the horse

                                                            risk 38 /return 0
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #100
                                                              Oaklawn R7

                                                              Really Nice horse race

                                                              #1 Backshot (8/1) , Anybody that can duel with American Therom going 21/4 then 45/2, is crazy fast, going to be sent from the rail under Cohen, off the long layoff. There is some really quick horses in this event, the pace is going be blistering . The one that's really interesting to me, is the #10 Derby Date (9/2) , After leaving the Coach's barn , was sent to bench 14 months, and under this rather unknown outfit, has been improvinbg each and every start. First Glance, you think professional maiden, but remember the Coach , Ran this colt in 3 grade 1 races outta 6 tries. 0-9 ok, but dismiss those 3 G1, look only lost by 3 to Network Effect a Chad Brown big time runner. But most importantly, has Never never sprinted on a fast track. I see some rain could hit tomorrow, but why not if they get a fast track. I promise you , you'll get a better number than 9/2, Hasn't had many top notch riders aboard either (not that they are getting one tomorrow). Why Can't Declan sit the stalking trip, of this predicted pace , Seems to be going in the right direction on the 4 year old campaign, but man this is not an easy spot. Just to add , how often do see a half mile work going 45 and 4, This horse was tuned up for Keenland meet, They shipped from Hot Springs to Lexington, and now traveled back in the same month. They want this horse to run bad, and adding the eye cups, tells me they are focusing this one here. #8 Ragtime Blues (3/1) , will be overbet off the layoff, and I'll be against this Baffert. Many of these horses, are capable of graduating in softer spots.

                                                              Gimme $4 to win on the #10 Derby Date (9/2)
                                                              Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 04-23-20, 09:00 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23414

                                                                #101
                                                                oaklawn R7 #1 backshot (8-1) 4 W

                                                                cost a lot relative to the pedigree specs.. when I say this I'm looking at stud fee, dam's highest accomplishment as a racehorse and production as a broodmare.. if the auction price seems out of line with that information I figure horse probably a physical specimen, really fast work at the sales, along those lines.. realize first time with peter miller which doesn't add anything for me..obviously this one was targeted for santa anita with baffert.. do like that he's tremendous taking the blinkers off
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Risked $22 / Returned $26.40
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                                    • 52143

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                    oaklawn R7 #1 backshot (8-1) 4 W

                                                                    cost a lot relative to the pedigree specs.. when I say this I'm looking at stud fee, dam's highest accomplishment as a racehorse and production as a broodmare.. if the auction price seems out of line with that information I figure horse probably a physical specimen, really fast work at the sales, along those lines.. realize first time with peter miller which doesn't add anything for me..obviously this one was targeted for santa anita with baffert.. do like that he's tremendous taking the blinkers off
                                                                    I wanted this one so bad , just missed
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23414

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                      I wanted this one so bad , just missed

                                                                      yeah another stride away from being back in the hunt..should have had some place money just to get rid o that ugly 0 lol..wasn't following your thread today..did you need him in a horizontal?


                                                                      risk 42/return 0
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                                        • 52143

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                        yeah another stride away from being back in the hunt..should have had some place money just to get rid o that ugly 0 lol..wasn't following your thread today..did you need him in a horizontal?


                                                                        risk 42/return 0
                                                                        I was rooting big time for you Down the lane


                                                                        Yeah would paid 5-800 I’d guess

                                                                        Instead I got $116

                                                                        I know, I was like dam, you always play place

                                                                        But everyone knows you can handicapp

                                                                        Plenty of time ,

                                                                        Cheers buddy
                                                                        Comment
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