Jbex plays

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23454

    #4586
    del mar


    R4 #4 damiano (9-5)
    R5 #3 elsa (20-1)

    churchill

    R11 #6 blue steel (15-1) #7 limonite (20-1) both half
    R12 #1 candizar (20-1) #2 derby date (8-1) both half
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23454

      #4587
      added churchill 11and going to look at 12
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23454

        #4588
        added churchill 12
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23454

          #4589
          parx (good or fast to play)

          R2 #3 artistic drifter (12-1)
          R3 #5 love is your name (2-1)
          R4 #1 spirit special (7-5)
          R5 pass

          done parx


          mahoning

          R6 #1 heatherfromphoenx (7-2)
          R7 #6 a new angel (7-2)
          R8 #9 scouting (7-2)
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23454

            #4590
            finished parx and mahoning .. chalk fest
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23454

              #4591
              aqueduct

              R1 #7 bourbon n rye (5-2)
              R3 #5 family fortune (12-1)

              2yo mcl $30k...exits much faster races (figure-wise) at parx and pen.. hopefully speed duel develops with the two just to the outside of her to set things up nicely.. being it's only her 3rd start she may show more speed anyway.. takes the blinkers off and this trainer hits at 24% from 58 mounts with that move


              R6 #11 yamano maker (off turf)


              tampa bay

              R4 #5 blinkersonletherip (6-1)
              R9 #9 irony of reality (6-1)


              woodbine

              R5 #2 truly honored (5-2)
              R8 #2 pictures of you (5-2)
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23454

                #4592
                added aqu 6 and tam 4
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23454

                  #4593
                  added tam 9 done
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23454

                    #4594
                    added woodbine 5 8
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23454

                      #4595
                      will be playing today.. won't be on aqueduct before R4 (1:47) and will be looking at fairgrounds (1:30)..will have some stuff up for both before 1pm
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23454

                        #4596
                        aqueduct

                        R4 #6 inclunation (8-1)

                        R6 #8 oh k funnybone (6-1)

                        mike luzzi 18-4-4-2 at the winter meet.. good for him..secondary reason I'm playing him

                        also R6 #4 ben of the bush (20-1) half unit

                        speed pedigree top and bottom.. dam has 5 winners from as many starters.. 3 of the 4 to run as 2yo's won (this is a 2yo mcl race)



                        R7 #3 tayler's the boss (4-1)
                        R9 #7 nolinski (7-2)

                        fairgrounds

                        R1 #3 from now on (7-2)
                        R3 #5 santa americana (10-1)
                        R4 #6 ship of the line (9-2)
                        R5 pass

                        R7 #7 desert rendezvous (8-1)


                        del mar

                        R8 #7 violent behavior (3-1)

                        probably 3-2 but to me in his 3 race career..

                        debut broke last vs mcl 80k at 15-1 with blinkers...
                        2nd start 71-1 vs msw turf..
                        last start (this level..mcl 30k).. close 2nd running w/o blinkers on dirt..
                        much better than rest of these..
                        only cost 18k so level appropriate..
                        bred up the gazoo for a wet track


                        remington park


                        R6 #8 john allen (7-2)
                        R7 #4 affirmatif star (9-5)
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23454

                          #4597
                          finished aqueduct
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23454

                            #4598
                            finished fg
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23454

                              #4599
                              added del mar 8
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23454

                                #4600
                                added remington 6 7
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23454

                                  #4601
                                  aqueduct

                                  R3 #8 andi's kitten (8-1) will be lower
                                  R4 #5 paynterbynumbers (7-2)

                                  R6 #5 crack shot (10-1) #6 fleet warrior (15-1)

                                  R9 #10 all clear (4-1)

                                  tampa bay

                                  R10 #3 malkia (8-5)

                                  big drop but think horse is ok...if so should bury this field at short odds


                                  del mar

                                  R3 #1 pitino (3-1)

                                  like the cutback and rail draw (excellent turf sprints here)
                                  thinking he'll run again like his 2nd career race at this distance..best turf rider in the west climbs aboard..cost $950k as a 2yo still relevant to me in his 5th career start

                                  probably be on the last race.. look later
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23454

                                    #4602
                                    added aqu 6
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23454

                                      #4603
                                      added aqu 9
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23454

                                        #4604
                                        added tam 9 and dmr 3
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23454

                                          #4605
                                          aqueduct R8

                                          the remsen.. G2 @ 1 1/8 for 2yo colts

                                          #5 network effect (7-5) ne

                                          the other co-favorite #6 maximus mischief (6-5) mm..both have sprinter/miler pedigrees but their numbers are much better than the rest in here (#6 better than mine).. I like that ne raced at a mile last out and 7f prior to that vs 7f and 5.5f on mm.. the pace figures were significantly faster in ne last race here at aqueduct in the nashua vs mm last at parx.. chad brown of course (ne) one of the best but he especially excels at 2nd route race where he's 37%/41 starts...other trainer (robert reid) is a solid trainer but in applicable categories not very good.. 0/13 graded stakes.. 11%/108 starts shippers with a big roi loss..1st route 6%/38 starts and you get back 28 cents/$ invested.. this not going to make you a lot but really like this one of the 2 logicals


                                          R1 #5 gauguin (5-1)
                                          R2 #9 kentucky wildcat (4-1)

                                          this one and #6 felix the fox are both by tapit out of stakes winning ghostzapper mares.. rare if ever would you have horses with such similar pedigrees in the same race


                                          R4 #5 jennifer's dream (10-1) filly equivalent of the remsen... demoiselle G2
                                          R5 #9 louisiana lady (30-1)


                                          R6... the go for wand stakes G3

                                          #8 pacific wind (8-1)

                                          rail is terrible at a mile at aqueduct and that's where the favorite breaks from..outside posts big edge and this gal stacks up well vs the others


                                          R8 above

                                          R9 cigar mile G1

                                          #3 pat on the back (15-1)

                                          again favorite gets the rail..has numbers that fit in hereand is very consistent..trainer excellent 2nd off the layoff and repeating with a winner..maybe this nyb will get lost in the shuffle betting-wise in here



                                          gulfstream R11 .. claiming crown jewel $200k

                                          #1 rich daddy (12-1)

                                          loves gulfstream (21-9-2-5).. this race could set up nicely with all the speed and this ones off the pace running style.. extra half furlong than the normal 1 1/16 should only help.. brian hernandez a solid 2 turn jockey.. 4th race off a 6 month layoff includes two 2nds last on a sloppy track and the prior one missed by a nose
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23454

                                            #4606
                                            added aqu 1 2
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23454

                                              #4607
                                              added aqu 4 5
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23454

                                                #4608
                                                finished aqueduct
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23454

                                                  #4609
                                                  added gulfstream 11
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23454

                                                    #4610
                                                    gulfstream

                                                    R7 #7 princess gaby (5-1)


                                                    del mar


                                                    R4 #7 go ghetto (7-2)
                                                    R7 #5 quidura (8-1)
                                                    R9 #5 felix leiter (8-1)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23454

                                                      #4611
                                                      added del mar
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                        • 36109

                                                        #4612
                                                        Good Luck JBEX with the Tracking of your action. Should be interesting. You can put all your plays in one post like you have been doing, and I will grade them all at once that night or in the morning. As long as you are game I am in for the long haul. With the rake being about 20% hopefully you can stay North of 80%. Tough game. To have a target to shoot for do you want to say tracking this segment ends with the Belmont 2019? That will be about 6 months of action, and give you a good idea on how you are doing. Hit me back.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23454

                                                          #4613
                                                          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                          Good Luck JBEX with the Tracking of your action. Should be interesting. You can put all your plays in one post like you have been doing, and I will grade them all at once that night or in the morning. As long as you are game I am in for the long haul. With the rake being about 20% hopefully you can stay North of 80%. Tough game. To have a target to shoot for do you want to say tracking this segment ends with the Belmont 2019? That will be about 6 months of action, and give you a good idea on how you are doing. Hit me back.

                                                          thank easy.. let's go up to florida derby day (end of march)..not sure if they go to gpw right after that but think it's a good stopping point.. different level of racing post fdd
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23454

                                                            #4614
                                                            prx

                                                            R2 #2 gran fortress (10-1)
                                                            R3 #1 sandy mischief (8-1)
                                                            R4 #6 crazy daisy (8-1)
                                                            R6 #8 party pants (9-5) 4W *


                                                            PARX NO PLAY FOR RECORDS... SLOPPY


                                                            mahoning

                                                            R7 #9 armed escort (6-1) 2W
                                                            R8 #5 this land (7-2) 2W
                                                            R9 #9 summer venture (7-2) 2W


                                                            just a reminder.. this is a 1WP default track.. just going 2W (no place) on these
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-14-12
                                                              • 36109

                                                              #4615
                                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                                              thank easy.. let's go up to florida derby day (end of march)..not sure if they go to gpw right after that but think it's a good stopping point.. different level of racing post fdd
                                                              OK Good deal. That's where my thread ends so it's uniform. GL.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-14-12
                                                                • 36109

                                                                #4616
                                                                what the heck...made my feelings known about drawing early conclusions but that works against me also if I start off well..not doing the grading myself and that's the big thing for me..how abut this

                                                                my thread for me..

                                                                4WP default big tracks..

                                                                2WP default small tracks..

                                                                1WP default really small tracks (i'll specify)..

                                                                no exactas..

                                                                off turf,off track no play..

                                                                no real time play
                                                                (i feel this is a bit of a disadvantage for me but want this always to be in advance picks..if I decide to play real time on rare occasion i'll state it and no grading)

                                                                if you want to stop cause of the book work that's fine

                                                                small tracks for me..
                                                                parx,laurel,delaware,mth,gpw,gg, fg..pretty much covers them

                                                                (oaklawn a big track.. other big's obvious)

                                                                really small tracks..
                                                                mahoning,thistledown,penn,finger lakes,remington,evd,ded,texas...anything else i'llspecify but pretty much covers it..no 50 cent bets at these tracks lol

                                                                probably forgot something here bUT we can ammend along the way


                                                                Last edited by JBEX; Today at 10:14 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-14-12
                                                                  • 36109

                                                                  #4617
                                                                  Also will start computing ROI after about $500 risked. Have a feeling you will do well.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23454

                                                                    #4618
                                                                    Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                                    Also will start computing ROI after about $500 risked. Have a feeling you will do well.

                                                                    sounds good ..added parx 6
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23454

                                                                      #4619
                                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                      prx

                                                                      R2 #2 gran fortress (10-1)
                                                                      R3 #1 sandy mischief (8-1)
                                                                      R4 #6 crazy daisy (8-1)
                                                                      R6 #8 party pants (9-5) 4W *

                                                                      * W only not a mistake.. win only
                                                                      right away off track rule in effect..if it starts as an off track and goes to good or better whole card is canceled..don't want to make this complicated..other way around starts good or fast and ends off the whole card counts as a play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                                        • 36109

                                                                        #4620
                                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                        right away off track rule in effect..if it starts as an off track and goes to good or better whole card is canceled..don't want to make this complicated..other way around starts good or fast and ends off the whole card counts as a play
                                                                        OK. Looks like you are off today as track for R1 is rated as sloppy. Unless it changes by R2 no plays will be graded.
                                                                        Comment
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