Jbex plays

[JBEX]

added aqu 4 5

[Easy-Rider 66]

gulfstream

R1 #7 she love me (3-1) 6W


aqueduct

R1 #10 youmakemeblush (9-2)
R4 #9 giant sandy (12-1) #10 marble moon (9-2) 3W both
R5 #3 new year's wish (2-1)

BUMP GL today

[JBEX]

BUMP GL today

same to you

[consensusontap]

Gonna start following keep the great picks coming

[JBEX]

Gonna start following keep the great picks coming

hopefully consensustap but corrections are a given with this game..sometimes you're better off tailing someone who's going bad but you like overall as a handicapper as he might be due for a turnaround..I don't get conservative when i'm going well and just continue to look for my spots long odds or short

[Easy-Rider 66]

gulfstream

R1 #7 she love me (3-1) 6W


aqueduct

R1 #10 youmakemeblush (9-2)
R4 #9 giant sandy (12-1) #10 marble moon (9-2) 3W both
R5 #3 new year's wish (2-1)

GP R1: winner pays $17.40

AQ R5: winner Pays $15.80

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $246/returned $257.20

[JBEX]

risked $246/returned $257.20

51 horses played

[hawkwind]

nice work got all your money back and enough for a couple of beers

[Easy-Rider 66]

Tell them JBEX> THis is a Marathon not a sprint. LOL. Good going so far no doubt. But a long way to go. GL.

[JBEX]

Tell them JBEX> THis is a Marathon not a sprint. LOL. Good going so far no doubt. But a long way to go. GL.

yes and the length of the marathon is well beyond the point where we're stopping but will give us some idea..there is a way to figure out with a degree of confidence how many races you need based on average odds but the math is beyond my level..if anybody is familiar with how to do this please chime in

[Easy-Rider 66]

yes and the length of the marathon is well beyond the point where we're stopping but will give us some idea..there is a way to figure out with a degree of confidence how many races you need based on average odds but the math is beyond my level..if anybody is familiar with how to do this please chime in

Yeah good points. You are on pace to risk a 2K -4K so at least for that amount we will see how you fare. Tough game.

[JBEX]

gulfstream

R5 #4 army one (2-1) 6W
R8 #6 giant dilemma (20-1) 3W and #7 game day drama (15-1) 2W


los alamitos

R7 #2 galilean (4-5) no bet

as monumental a mismatch as you'll see ..think they'll be hopping in the show pool big and he will be a derby contender next year.. 6.5f debut and then 7f last out and a mile today.. perfect


R10 #3 jersey's heat (7-2) 6W #7 giddymeister (8-1) 2W

remington R11

#10 dunph (10-1) 2WP

[JBEX]

added los al 7 10

[mrginandtonic]

yes and the length of the marathon is well beyond the point where we're stopping but will give us some idea..there is a way to figure out with a degree of confidence how many races you need based on average odds but the math is beyond my level..if anybody is familiar with how to do this please chime in

I don’t get it, JBex. Thought you always believe that short term outcome has nothing to do with long term results. Why would any extrapolation of your plays give any kind of degree of confidence? Weren’t you adamant about this and this is why you don’t track your plays despite how many times EZ had asked you? Now I’m really confused?

[JBEX]

I don’t get it, JBex. Thought you always believe that short term outcome has nothing to do with long term results. Why would any extrapolation of your plays give any kind of degree of confidence? Weren’t you adamant about this and this is why you don’t track your plays despite how many times EZ had asked you? Now I’m really confused?

I can understand your confusion and why would I be monitored again.. I honestly don't have a good answer for that other than that it's harmless.. if people want to believe that a conclusion can be reached after about 500-600 plays then I'm not gonna argue with them..i don't feel that way but i'll leave it up to the people in the forum to decide if they actually care.. as I mentioned I believe there is a mathematical way to look at this with average odds, projected roi and "degree of confidence"but that is beyond my ability to figure

[JBEX]

added remington 11

[Easy-Rider 66]

gulfstream

R5 #4 army one (2-1) 6W
R8 #6 giant dilemma (20-1) 3W and #7 game day drama (15-1) 2W


los alamitos

R7 #2 galilean (4-5) no bet

as monumental a mismatch as you'll see ..think they'll be hopping in the show pool big and he will be a derby contender next year.. 6.5f debut and then 7f last out and a mile today.. perfect


R10 #3 jersey's heat (7-2) 6W #7 giddymeister (8-1) 2W

remington R11

#10 dunph (10-1) 2WP

NO good today

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $269/returned $257.20

[JBEX]

parx 2WP default

(good or fast by the 3rd race to play)

R3 #5 promised storm (15-1)

R5 #5 stuck on gold (6-1)

son blane has to try and beat papa john lol (servis) who has 2 that look live in here (3,9).. dad the best trainer at parx and definitely top 10 in the country.. 2yo pennsylvania bred maiden race.. mine a homebred first time starter by an average first out sire.. the dam has produced 5 winners from as many starters (1 stakes winner) and 4 of those 5 who tried it as a 2yo won.. the dpi is excellent of course

blanes numbers

2018 overall.. 26-8-5-1
msw last 3 years 6/30.. every $1 invested gets you $2.47 back ($1.47 profit)
1 debut winner from 10 tries and that one paid $48


works below are all at parx.. like the progression in distance.. spacing-last four10 days apart
.. they gradually get better ranking wise 1st - 4th (10/14 - 12/1) and finishes off with a solid 4f
3/15


10/14.. 3f fst 38² b 8/11
11/11..4f fst 49² bg 16/28
11/21..5f fst 1:02³ b 7/23
12/1.. 5f fst 1:01² bg 1/11 bullet
12/11..4f fst 50¹ b 3/15



mahoning (live) 1WP default


R5 #2 supreme venture (7-2) 2W
R6 #6 turn back time (5-1)
R7 #9 na' bac leis (8-1) 2WP
R8 #6 persuasion (10-1)

[Easy-Rider 66]

parx 2WP default

(good or fast by the 3rd race to play)

R3 #5 promised storm (15-1)

R5 #5 stuck on gold (6-1)

son blane has to try and beat papa john lol (servis) who has 2 that look live in here (3,9).. dad the best trainer at parx and definitely top 10 in the country.. 2yo pennsylvania bred maiden race.. mine a homebred first time starter by an average first out sire.. the dam has produced 5 winners from as many starters (1 stakes winner) and 4 of those 5 who tried it as a 2yo won.. the dpi is excellent of course

blanes numbers

2018 overall.. 26-8-5-1
msw last 3 years 6/30.. every $1 invested gets you $2.47 back ($1.47 profit)
1 debut winner from 10 tries and that one paid $48


works below are all at parx.. like the progression in distance.. spacing-last four10 days apart
.. they gradually get better ranking wise 1st - 4th (10/14 - 12/1) and finishes off with a solid 4f
3/15


10/14.. 3f fst 38² b 8/11
11/11..4f fst 49² bg 16/28
11/21..5f fst 1:02³ b 7/23
12/1.. 5f fst 1:01² bg 1/11 bullet
12/11..4f fst 50¹ b 3/15

No play rated as muddy before R3.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Now after race track rated as good. SO its a play.

[JBEX]

No play rated as muddy before R3.

I know.. ridiculous because it wasn't and of course my 30-1 comes in 2nd..rules are rules.. race 5 no go either

[Easy-Rider 66]

I know.. ridiculous because it wasn't and of course my 30-1 comes in 2nd..rules are rules.. race 5 no go either

But they rated it as good after race so let's make it count. Hate to see you not get credit for it when it was a good track. Hit me back.

[JBEX]

But they rated it as good after race so let's make it count. Hate to see you not get credit for it when it was a good track. Hit me back.

thanks easy.. appreciate it

[JBEX]

going to play mahoning live rest of the card..will post with others above

[Easy-Rider 66]

going to play mahoning live rest of the card..will post with others above

OK GL. I assume these live plays are graded?

[JBEX]

OK GL. I assume these live plays are graded?

sure.. going small

[JBEX]

not gonna post when I post these mahoning plays

[Easy-Rider 66]

parx 2WP default

(good or fast by the 3rd race to play)

R3 #5 promised storm (15-1)

R5 #5 stuck on gold (6-1)

son blane has to try and beat papa john lol (servis) who has 2 that look live in here (3,9).. dad the best trainer at parx and definitely top 10 in the country.. 2yo pennsylvania bred maiden race.. mine a homebred first time starter by an average first out sire.. the dam has produced 5 winners from as many starters (1 stakes winner) and 4 of those 5 who tried it as a 2yo won.. the dpi is excellent of course

blanes numbers

2018 overall.. 26-8-5-1
msw last 3 years 6/30.. every $1 invested gets you $2.47 back ($1.47 profit)
1 debut winner from 10 tries and that one paid $48


works below are all at parx.. like the progression in distance.. spacing-last four10 days apart
.. they gradually get better ranking wise 1st - 4th (10/14 - 12/1) and finishes off with a solid 4f
3/15


10/14.. 3f fst 38² b 8/11
11/11..4f fst 49² bg 16/28
11/21..5f fst 1:02³ b 7/23
12/1.. 5f fst 1:01² bg 1/11 bullet
12/11..4f fst 50¹ b 3/15



mahoning (live) 1WP default


R5 #2 supreme venture (7-2) 2W
R6 #6 turn back time (5-1)
R7 #9 na' bac leis (8-1) 2WP
R8 #6 persuasion (10-1)

Parx R3: placed Pays $24.40

Parx R5: scratched

Mahoning: no good

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $283/returned $281.60

[JBEX]

risked $283/returned $281.60

62 horses played

[JBEX]

parx..2WP default

R5 #2 my pirate (15-1)
R6 #6 gran fortress (6-1) 666 uh oh
R7 #1a little siete (2-1) 4W

only if this one goes.. not interested in other part of entry


R9 #7 perfect ice (6-1)


mahoning.. 1WP default


R5 #4 john paul jones (8-1)

R6 #7 play ball (20-1)
R7 #2 smoke monster (4-1)
R8 #8 the lady factor (5-2) 3W

[JBEX]

added mvr 6 7

[JBEX]

finished mvr