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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23455

    #4516
    laurel thursday

    churchill will probably be a mess tomorrow... laurel nice weather and card


    R1 #6 my own lane (8-1)
    R2 #3 oy to the world (2-1)
    R5 #2 the constable (8-1)
    R6 #6 olympic village (7-2)
    R8 #3 abbo (9-2)
    R9 #2 jabuticaba (15-1)
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23455

      #4517
      churchill...friday (figuring sloppy)

      R1 #2 sweet legacy (7-2)
      R2 #2 admire (6-1)
      R3 #3 heavy roller (10-1)
      R4 #3 trophy chaser (3-1)
      R5 #10 so perfect (12-1)
      R6 #4 just wonderful (6-1)
      R7 #1 reflect (15-1)
      R8 #6 henley's joy (8-1)
      R8 #5 line of duty (10-1)

      R9 #8 standard deviation (12-1)

      not in love with this race...$450k yearling and even though by elite sire curlin it's a lot to pay with nothing special production-wise
      on the bottom..stamina top and bottom of the pedigree..broke maiden first out at saratoga @ 7f
      with a slow beyer..had to deal with 13 post in 2nd start in G1 at kee and still managed 3rd..blinkers on is a high % move for chad brown and lots of speed entered which could set up nice for him

      R10 #9 toast of new york (9-2)






      aqueduct

      R3 #10 cotton house (9-2)
      R6 #8 the other kessler (8-1)
      R9 #1 take charge mirella (6-1)
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23455

        #4518
        Originally posted by JBEX
        churchill...friday (figuring sloppy)

        R1 #2 sweet legacy (7-2)
        R2 #2 admire (6-1)
        R3 #3 heavy roller (10-1)
        R4 #3 trophy chaser (3-1)
        see that it's fast at churchill ..wouldn't change my opinions
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23455

          #4519
          play a few at aqueduct ...all post 4517
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23455

            #4520
            added churchill 5-8 and aqu 6
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23455

              #4521
              added an extra horse to R8 @ churchill

              R2 @ churchill Thomas van berg wins with a horse that's his father's name and pays $30 and follows up in the 3rd with a $59 horse ..amazing !
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23455

                #4522
                added 9 10 at churchill and 9 at aqueduct
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23455

                  #4523
                  churchill

                  R8 #7 expert eye (8-1)
                  R8 #11 lightning spear (20-1)
                  R11 #2 roaring lion (20-1)


                  aqueduct

                  R10 #4 hungry kitten (8-1)
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23455

                    #4524
                    added aqueduct 10
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23455

                      #4525
                      santa anita

                      R10 #9 knight's cross (8-1)
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23455

                        #4526
                        indiana grande

                        R1 #4 bahnke (4-1)
                        R3 #10 ricki (10-1)
                        R5 #7 flatoutjustice (8-1)
                        R6 #4 expect indy (7-2)
                        R7 #4 the money dance (5-2)
                        R8 #11 ladonia (6-1)
                        Comment
                        • BOA12
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-19-12
                          • 20622

                          #4527
                          Originally posted by JBEX
                          indiana grande

                          R1 #4 bahnke (4-1)
                          R3 #10 ricki (10-1)
                          R5 #7 flatoutjustice (8-1)
                          R6 #4 expect indy (7-2)
                          R7 #4 the money dance (5-2)
                          R8 #11 ladonia (6-1)
                          BOL JBEX Stayed alive in a P3 R1. Like R6 #4 and Race 7 seems wide open to me.
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23455

                            #4528
                            Originally posted by BOA12
                            BOL JBEX Stayed alive in a P3 R1. Like R6 #4 and Race 7 seems wide open to me.

                            thanks .. I think the 4's are tough in both.. having pletcher in the earlier race is a good thing as far as maybe getting a reasonable price
                            Comment
                            • BOA12
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-19-12
                              • 20622

                              #4529
                              Originally posted by JBEX
                              thanks .. I think the 4's are tough in both.. having pletcher in the earlier race is a good thing as far as maybe getting a reasonable price
                              Without value it's tough to make a profit. Have 4 in both with you.
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23455

                                #4530
                                Originally posted by BOA12
                                Without value it's tough to make a profit. Have 4 in both with you.
                                yes I just feel these 2 are tough but will obviously be short.. I don't always try to beat them
                                Comment
                                • BOA12
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-19-12
                                  • 20622

                                  #4531
                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                  yes I just feel these 2 are tough but will obviously be short.. I don't always try to beat them
                                  Big purse brings out the best to compete.
                                  Comment
                                  • BOA12
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-19-12
                                    • 20622

                                    #4532
                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                    yes I just feel these 2 are tough but will obviously be short.. I don't always try to beat them
                                    Race 7 was wide open. Bol today my BDH brother.
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23455

                                      #4533
                                      Originally posted by BOA12
                                      Race 7 was wide open. Bol today my BDH brother.
                                      yeah I couldn't come up with those two at all but if you had to make that point that was the race lol
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23455

                                        #4534
                                        churchill


                                        R1 #1 limari (5-1) 2 units
                                        R2 #5 mr dumas (9-2)
                                        R4 #2 mucha mezquina (5-1)
                                        R5 #5 bally squall (15-1)
                                        R6 #6 macha's reward (8-1)
                                        R10 #10 momma jean (8-1)

                                        the winner of the mdn 5k she exits at btp ran about 5-6 lengths faster than the par for this mdn 10k..she finished 2nd in that race..0/26 jock at the meet and 0/23 trainer on the year is the bad news


                                        aqueduct

                                        R1 #7 perspicacious (12-1)
                                        R2 #2 naples legacy (12-1)

                                        R3 #2 swiping dan (5-1)

                                        jose ortiz hops off #5 who won his last 2 races by a combined 7 lengths with big figures
                                        to ride this one.. kelly breen a solid trainer but ortiz never ridden for him.. find interesting

                                        R4 #6 call wil (4-1)

                                        ships in from laurel and takes what I'd consider a double jump in class (lrl 16k-aqu 25k)..
                                        won 3 back off a very similar running line and time off in between and also shipped that time
                                        from mth to prx.. jockey who rode him at lrl last out rides him again today and coincidentally has switched over to riding here in that time period

                                        hey str.. 7yo gelding


                                        R5 pass



                                        indiana grand

                                        R7 #11 toss of fate (8-1)

                                        this is a statebred stakes for 2 year olds.. he followed up a solid 2nd in his sprint debut with a win around 2 turns on the turf.. like the fact that even though his last win was on the turf it was around two turns and this field lacks horses with route experience.. he was on average (1st and 2nd call) 2 lengths off a very fast 8 lengths above par pace.. a MUCH better than average pedigree for an indiana bred (kentucky bloodlines)


                                        R8 #1 given favorite (5-1)

                                        this race statebred (sb) clm 5kn3l

                                        started out in sb mdn 10k and did nothing..
                                        dropped to sb mdn 5k at 1 mile and won easy..
                                        next sb alw 1 mile turf (41-1) ridiculous placing..nothing..
                                        placed properly sb clm 5kn2l at a mile.. wins
                                        another stupid placing in a sb alw (49-1) and does nothing..
                                        where he should be today sb 5kn3l @ 1 mile
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23455

                                          #4535
                                          finished churchill
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23455

                                            #4536
                                            added indiana 7 8
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23455

                                              #4537
                                              churchill

                                              R2 #4 final cut (12-1)
                                              R3 #1 dedicated (5-1)
                                              R6 #8 shining knight (10-1)
                                              R10 #6 tensweep (9-2)


                                              aqueduct

                                              R9 #6 thefinalcrazydude (8-1)
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23455

                                                #4538
                                                finished cd
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23455

                                                  #4539
                                                  added R9 aqueduct
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BOA12
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                    • 20622

                                                    #4540
                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                    churchill

                                                    R2 #4 final cut (12-1)
                                                    R3 #1 dedicated (5-1)
                                                    R6 #8 shining knight (10-1)
                                                    R10 #6 tensweep (9-2)


                                                    aqueduct

                                                    R9 #6 thefinalcrazydude (8-1)
                                                    Rough early CD. Did have R2 #8 but down $66 in P3's. Race 6 #4/123678 $1 EX $6 and #4- X-10-X Had your #8 in a P3 that's dead. Big bombs feel lucky to have hit R2 . bol JBEX R7 P3 - 2 4 6 9/ ALL/5 $14 R7 #9/12468 10 $1 EX $6 9- X-10-X $10 R8 $1 EXBX 134 $6 R8 #1-X10-X $10 R10 #12- 5-15-X $20 Just added R9 #5/ALL $1 EX $5 #5- X-10-X See you Placed R6 5.40 if you had it behind a $16.00 winner
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23455

                                                      #4541
                                                      Originally posted by BOA12
                                                      Rough early CD. Did have R2 #8 but down $66 in P3's. Race 6 #4/123678 $1 EX $6 and #4- X-10-X Had your #8 in a P3 that's dead. Big bombs feel lucky to have hit R2 . bol JBEX R7 P3 - 2 4 6 9/ ALL/5 $14 R7 #9/12468 10 $1 EX $6 9- X-10-X $10 R8 $1 EXBX 134 $6 R8 #1-X10-X $10 R10 #12- 5-15-X $20 Just added R9 #5/ALL $1 EX $5 #5- X-10-X See you Placed R6 5.40 if you had it behind a $16.00 winner
                                                      bol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23455

                                                        #4542
                                                        aqueduct

                                                        R1 #2 champagne bliss (8-1)



                                                        trainer contessa with first time mdn claimers is 7/73 and for every $2 bet $1.07 returned.. #5 (4-5) morning line...could see mine waking up at this level on a fast track in her third start.. ran evenly vs msw on the turf in debut and caught a sloppy track last out.. james toner in a small sample has great numbers in mcl races


                                                        R2 #9 elegant rose (15-1)


                                                        honestly like other ones better than this but have to be loyal to my expensive for the pedigree angle.. it'd be amongst 3 or 4 horses and not gonna say here.. graham motion has a $725k debut horse by war front (#5) and only reason i'm pointing it out is to show what a terrible bet he is in this situation.. he gets stock as good as anybody out there but if you bet on his debut horses you get killed.. 5/111 and for every $2 bet you get 78¢ back


                                                        R3 #4 tayler's the boss (9-2)


                                                        R4 #4 kathy's cause (8-1)

                                                        2yo msw statebred 1 mile turf.. like the even turf sprint debut at saratoga and then had a wide trip in his 2nd outing in an off the turf route.. comes in off 2 month rest.. like getting a giant's causeway in against ny breds and he should certainly like the 2 turns.. jose ortiz (only 2nd to his brother) best turf rider on circuit

                                                        R5 #5 daria's angel (9-2)

                                                        speaking of his brother lol (aboard this one.. not turf but doesn't matter).. horse ran an almost identical race to his last (6/20) at same distance (6.5f) prior to stretching out to a mile for an easy win.. he even repeated in his following race also at a mile (belmont 1 turn mile same as here).. claimed by gullo last race (excellent first off claim) and he'll be stretching out to a mile again


                                                        dmr

                                                        R8 #2 tiz a master (6-1)

                                                        sprint pedigree..solid steady works including a 3f bullet the first time she stepped on the track in july (2yo race)..trainer excellent with 2yo's and jock 3/8 riding for him past 2 years
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23455

                                                          #4543
                                                          added aqu 4 5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23455

                                                            #4544
                                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                                            aqueduct

                                                            R1 #2 champagne bliss (8-1)



                                                            trainer contessa with first time mdn claimers is 7/73 and for every $2 bet $1.07 returned.. #5 (4-5) morning line...could see mine waking up at this level on a fast track in her third start.. ran evenly vs msw on the turf in debut and caught a sloppy track last out.. james toner in a small sample has great numbers in mcl races


                                                            R2 #9 elegant rose (15-1)


                                                            honestly like other ones better than this but have to be loyal to my expensive for the pedigree angle.. it'd be amongst 3 or 4 horses and not gonna say here.. graham motion has a $725k debut horse by war front (#5) and only reason i'm pointing it out is to show what a terrible bet he is in this situation.. he gets stock as good as anybody out there but if you bet on his debut horses you get killed.. 5/111 and for every $2 bet you get 78¢ back


                                                            R3 #4 tayler's the boss (9-2)


                                                            R4 #4 kathy's cause (8-1)

                                                            2yo msw statebred 1 mile turf.. like the even turf sprint debut at saratoga and then had a wide trip in his 2nd outing in an off the turf route.. comes in off 2 month rest.. like getting a giant's causeway in against ny breds and he should certainly like the 2 turns.. jose ortiz (only 2nd to his brother) best turf rider on circuit

                                                            R5 #5 daria's angel (9-2)

                                                            speaking of his brother lol (aboard this one.. not turf but doesn't matter).. horse ran an almost identical race to his last (6/20) at same distance (6.5f) prior to stretching out to a mile for an easy win.. he even repeated in his following race also at a mile (belmont 1 turn mile same as here).. claimed by gullo last race (excellent first off claim) and he'll be stretching out to a mile again


                                                            if churchill comes up good or better probably post some from there
                                                            of course easy winner today @ 3-5 but still bad bet overall
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mrginandtonic
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-11-09
                                                              • 7734

                                                              #4545
                                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                                              of course easy winner today @ 3-5 but still bad bet overall
                                                              But a good exacta bet, 5 with your 2 paid $25, good call on the 2.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23455

                                                                #4546
                                                                Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                                                But a good exacta bet, 5 with your 2 paid $25, good call on the 2.
                                                                thx mgnt..that is a solid exacta for the odds
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23455

                                                                  #4547
                                                                  added dmr 8
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23455

                                                                    #4548
                                                                    aqueduct


                                                                    R1 #4 trance (6-1)
                                                                    R2 pass
                                                                    R3 #4 classic romeo (9-2)
                                                                    R9 #6 pirate's treasure (6-1)

                                                                    churchill

                                                                    R6 #7 shaharazard (8-1)
                                                                    R11 #3 taylor's princess (8-1)


                                                                    del mar

                                                                    R9 #3 giza goddess (15-1)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23455

                                                                      #4549
                                                                      added aqu 3
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23455

                                                                        #4550
                                                                        added 6 churchill and 9 aqueduct
                                                                        Comment
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