NHL - Monday, 2/15/16

**Rorster** · 02-15-16, 10:48 AM

Leafs really? but they're so bad

is this a value play or does your model have them winning?

**newbie64** · 02-15-16, 11:16 AM

Holy cow the Leafs to beat the Hawks on the road GOOD LUCK WITH THAT

**LT Profits** · 02-15-16, 11:39 AM

Model has Chicago at 65%, so I expect to lose Leafs play 65% of the time. But +230 makes 35% +EV.

**LT Profits** · 02-15-16, 11:42 AM

I would not categorize a 20-25-9 record as "so bad".

**Mike Huntertz** · 02-15-16, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I would not categorize a 20-25-9 record as "so bad".

Nor this record...
YTD: 135-144-13, +8.16

**smitch124** · 02-15-16, 12:34 PM

Hossa out and Hawks have been playing like caca since the break.

**mikefan1034** · 02-15-16, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I would not categorize a 20-25-9 record as "so bad".

No lupal van ryemsdyk phunieff just got traded. No kadri and and bozak for Toronto. Just enough LT just stop ur bs ur absolutely horrible. I knew before coming into this forum u would be on Toronto. There is no system u follow because any good system wouldn't even have this play rated to play. U just throw darts and hope one sticks.

**leafs_ducks** · 02-15-16, 01:07 PM

lol

**newbie64** · 02-15-16, 01:34 PM

4-1 hawks

**turtlejc** · 02-15-16, 01:46 PM

Originally posted by smitch124

Hossa out and Hawks have been playing like caca since the break.

hossa hasnt done a damn thing for the hawks in months

panarin is back, the russian kid...he came back last game but was still a bit under the weather

kane and anisimov looked lost without him...tonight this line will have 3 points each

**LT Profits** · 02-15-16, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by mikefan1034

No lupal van ryemsdyk phunieff just got traded. No kadri and and bozak for Toronto. Just enough LT just stop ur bs ur absolutely horrible. I knew before coming into this forum u would be on Toronto. There is no system u follow because any good system wouldn't even have this play rated to play. U just throw darts and hope one sticks.

+8.16 would seem to contradict that.

**funnyb25** · 02-15-16, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

+8.16 would seem to contradict that.

LT, ive noticed when you try to prove yourself by posting these, shit hits the fan for a little...why even give this clown the time of day?

**LT Profits** · 02-15-16, 03:39 PM

2 NHL Additions

4 NHL Plays Monday

Stars +103 (Heritage)
Stars / Predators OVER 5.5 -105 (Heritage)
Maple Leafs +230 (5 Dimes)
Wild / Canucks OVER 5 +105 (Heritage)

**POOLSIDE** · 02-15-16, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by mikefan1034

No lupal van ryemsdyk phunieff just got traded. No kadri and and bozak for Toronto. Just enough LT just stop ur bs ur absolutely horrible. I knew before coming into this forum u would be on Toronto. There is no system u follow because any good system wouldn't even have this play rated to play. U just throw darts and hope one sticks.

You're totally useless

**LT Profits** · 02-15-16, 05:55 PM

And now my Leafs +230 is scalpable with Blackhawks -225 at Pinnacle.

**jjgold** · 02-15-16, 05:58 PM

Good number on leafs

long term not taking scalp is a huge winner on those positions

**No coincidences** · 02-15-16, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Good number on leafs

long term not taking scalp is a huge winner on those positions

You'd think you of all people would've been around long enough to know better, but I guess not.

Beating a closing number by this much is the kiss of death.

**mikefan1034** · 02-15-16, 10:40 PM

Lmao great number 6-0 Blackhawks like I said what is the point taking the leads when they had no shot at all. U weren't on the right side. Amazing how people have no clue

**Rich Boy** · 02-15-16, 10:48 PM

Originally posted by mikefan1034

Lmao great number 6-0 Blackhawks like I said what is the point taking the leads when they had no shot at all. U weren't on the right side. Amazing how people have no clue

No such thing as ride sides guey, only right prices.
You cant look at a wager when the games over and say it was a good bet or not, what a rookie this giey.

**funnyb25** · 02-15-16, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by Rich Boy

No such thing as ride sides guey, only right prices.
You cant look at a wager when the games over and say it was a good bet or not, what a rookie this giey.

guy is by far the worst thing on this forum

**LT Profits** · 02-15-16, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by Rich Boy

No such thing as ride sides guey, only right prices.
You cant look at a wager when the games over and say it was a good bet or not, what a rookie this giey.

Exactly! It doesn't matter that I lost this one game because I said myself I expected to lose it 65% of the time. All that matters is hitting 35% of them at +230, but people can't seem to grasp that simple concept. There is a reason I entered the day +8.16 at nine games UNDER .500.

**lakerboy** · 02-15-16, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Exactly! It doesn't matter that I lost this one game because I said myself I expected to lose it 65% of the time. All that matters is hitting 35% of them at +230, but people can't seem to grasp that simple concept. There is a reason I entered the day +8.16 at nine games UNDER .500.

I'm the same and +23 units. We are dog monsters.

**jjgold** · 02-15-16, 11:08 PM

In long run you will crush books betting a line that is -230 and your on the dog +240 and eventually get chucked for most books even if bets lose ..why? They know your dangerous and your taking good numbers.

Math 101

**cankid** · 02-15-16, 11:13 PM

Gl on the late Over play

**funnyb25** · 02-15-16, 11:38 PM

Late over play hit halfway through the 2nd period

**jjgold** · 02-15-16, 11:56 PM

good call minny over

**No coincidences** · 02-16-16, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Exactly! It doesn't matter that I lost this one game because I said myself I expected to lose it 65% of the time. All that matters is hitting 35% of them at +230, but people can't seem to grasp that simple concept. There is a reason I entered the day +8.16 at nine games UNDER .500.

Getting it at +230 wasn't the bad play.

Having it close at +205 was.

Too much line movement. Just like the Kansas/Oklahoma State total tonight.

**No coincidences** · 02-16-16, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

In long run you will crush books betting a line that is -230 and your on the dog +240 and eventually get chucked for most books even if bets lose ..why? They know your dangerous and your taking good numbers.

Math 101

Sincerely,
2007