1. 01-10-11 06:19 PM #36
    yisman
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    I personally can't bring myself to pick a side here, but if I could bet using Bodog's square lineset, I'd be all over +3 (-120). Unfortunately, Bodog will switch you off of that lineset very quickly if you sign up there.

    I have a Bodog account, and they're giving me +3 (-135), which isn't nearly as enticing. Made a small play anyway.

    Lean towards under.
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  2. 01-10-11 06:21 PM #37
    HilltopTony
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Auburn is +100 now on the ML.

    This is insane. There's no way Vegas would allow scalping like this. No way.

    Don't care either way because I won't play the game, but if your so confident why aren't you playing it? I just can't see someone coming on here telling people matter of factly and not even play the game!
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  3. 01-10-11 06:21 PM #38
    CaptJames05
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    Ducks got this tonight! Go ducks!
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  4. 01-10-11 06:25 PM #39
    BettingWizard
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    Colts bettors were also in denial when Saints got hit hard from 6.5 to 4.5. Same will happen here
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  5. 01-10-11 06:27 PM #40
    firehoyt
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    I agree Bodog sucks when it comes to ML's. I may swap books. But on the line movement: The line movement either way doesn't determine the outcome of a game! The game hasn't even started yet and already people are saying Oregon has won simply based on line movement. Sure line movement, stats, etc play into making a decision but I'm a firm believer if you feel confident in a play, play it. Don't second guess it because money is being thrown around one or another
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  6. 01-10-11 06:27 PM #41
    sapidoc
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    You think oddsmakers would allow sharps to scalp like this?
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Auburn is +100 now on the ML. This is insane. There's no way Vegas would allow scalping like this. No way.
    I see your point. But there is more than one way to look at it...

    Do you think they opened the lines as they did to get the action they wanted and received?

    Its going to move as the money rolls in regardless. The scalping is just a byproduct of this. The question is which side did it roll in on and which side did they want it to roll in on?

    Anything can happen tonight, should be a great game!
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  7. 01-10-11 06:28 PM #42
    jmathes
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    the over is the bet hear tonight fellas
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  8. 01-10-11 06:32 PM #43
    CBASS
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    Ah, the infamous 'line movement' thread. No Coin, all bigtime games are going to have line movement since they are so heavily bet. I have watched both teams play at least six games this season & Auburn is the more complete team. It is really that simple.
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  9. 01-10-11 06:34 PM #44
    jwbama23
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    Cam Newton beat the NCAA, Oregon should be easy for him.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: yisman, and firehoyt
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  10. 01-10-11 06:44 PM #45
    KGambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by shaggy3000 View Post
    its the line and vig ATS at my book and im assuming several other books
    Bad assumption.
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  11. 01-10-11 07:06 PM #46
    BettingWizard
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    Brock likes Auburn. Nothing more needs to be said
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  12. 01-10-11 07:10 PM #47
    STEVAN74
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    loading up on the ducks, causes line movement.
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  13. 01-10-11 07:11 PM #48
    shaggy3000
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    Quote Originally Posted by KGambler View Post
    Bad assumption.
    how do you ever look at the altered vig ATS? i do all the time and it seems to hit a lot if you take the increased vig.
    im not playing the game but if i had money on it i would have to lean Auburn but i bet way to much to endure this freak show thats going on with the line.
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  14. 01-10-11 07:12 PM #49
    STEVAN74
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    Quote Originally Posted by jwbama23 View Post
    Cam Newton beat the NCAA, Oregon should be easy for him.
    Oregon has more weapons,
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  15. 01-10-11 07:16 PM #50
    shaggy3000
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    [COLOR=#000000 !important]this line movement is officially insane.
    at my book its now offering Auburn -2 ( -130 ) or you can take them ML at +105 and they have the Ducks at +2 ( +110 ) or you can take them ML -125    [/COLOR]
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  16. 01-10-11 07:30 PM #51
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    Brock likes Auburn. Nothing more needs to be said
    This.
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  17. 01-10-11 07:32 PM #52
    BstHcpr
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    Sharps all over Texas A&M and failed miserably. SHARPS SHARPS SHARPS SHARPS SHARPS SHARPS SHARPS
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  18. 01-10-11 07:35 PM #53
    raiders510
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    you guys freak out way too much about 3 points in line movement....if Auburn goes up 14-0 in the first quarter, I will bet my house you can get Oregon +7 in live betting. In a game like this its best to wait
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  19. 01-10-11 07:37 PM #54
    raiders510
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    god DAMN erin andrews.....thats a fine bezzel right there
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  20. 01-10-11 07:39 PM #55
    fishmonger
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    Quote Originally Posted by raiders510 View Post
    you guys freak out way too much about 3 points in line movement....if Auburn goes up 14-0 in the first quarter, I will bet my house you can get Oregon +7 in live betting. In a game like this its best to wait
    I don't know about my house. But I too believe this is the best route to go.
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  21. 01-10-11 07:40 PM #56
    raiders510
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    im not saying i bet my house on Oregon, I'm saying if that scenario happens, you will get a very favorable line, and i will bet my house on that probability
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  22. 01-10-11 09:11 PM #57
    chimp
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    Very sharp!!
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  23. 01-10-11 09:17 PM #58
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    Oregon -1.5 for the second half?
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  24. 01-10-11 09:22 PM #59
    FindTheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by D3 Mighty Ducks View Post
    Oregon -1.5 for the second half?
    only if you want to lose.
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  25. 01-10-11 11:17 PM #60
    shaggy3000
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    well i guess the line movement didnt work this time. SEC wins again
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  26. 01-10-11 11:19 PM #61
    paciophobia
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    Cashhh auburn!!!!!!!!
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  27. 01-10-11 11:22 PM #62
    Pin Fish
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    the line movement was caused by sharps middleing their early bets the score did not reflect the TOTAL DOMINATION OF AUBURN OVER OREGON............................
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  28. 01-10-11 11:24 PM #63
    CBASS
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    Thanks Auburn & all who bet the line down.
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  29. 01-10-11 11:27 PM #64
    texhooper
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    nice! wow, that was a nice way to end the season, with a .5 point cover.

    war eagle

    oh yeah, f\*\*k the sharps.
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  30. 01-10-11 11:38 PM #65
    Wojo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pin Fish View Post
    the line movement was caused by sharps middleing their early bets the score did not reflect the TOTAL DOMINATION OF AUBURN OVER OREGON............................

    I disagree. Sharps don't middle until much later in the day. The line movement was due to squares betting the Ducks. They saw the line going down sharply, there was no reason to middle early in the day.

    Squares lose this one. A great middle was betting Oregon -1 -105 for the second half.

    But, this is still a game that could have gone either way. Nobody should brag that they were "so smart" because they won. Another day, another outcome.
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  31. 01-11-11 12:19 AM #66
    No coincidences
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    This game was a coin flip. That's all.

    The erratic line reflected as much.
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  32. 01-11-11 12:27 AM #67
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    This game was a coin flip. That's all.

    The erratic line reflected as much.
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