Hey guys! So I am going to continue tracking my picks. I did alright this week on the non-saturday games. I lost UCF and Rutgers, but I wasn't extremely confident in them anyway, and therefore they were only 1 unit plays. My 3 unit play was the under in the Arizona game, and that hit, so my record right now...
(1-2) +1 unit
Here are my early and afternoon plays tomorrow. As soon as these resolve, I'll let you know what I'm putting on the later games.
Teaser (Auburn +28, Temple -7): 2 units
Look at the history behind LSU and Auburn. Neither team ever demolishes the other. It wont be any different in this game. Yes, LSU is amazing. Yes, Auburn is not that great this year. But Auburn will easily come within 28 points of LSU. LSU has a bad habbit of playing bad teams closer than they play good teams. Temple, by the way, as my second pick, is one I am VERY confident in. Adding a teaser makes me even more confident in it. Temple has been a cash cow this year for spread victories. Dont miss out!
Wake Forest -3.5: 2 units
My simulator taking in all of the stats from Duke, and all of the stats from Wake Forest, shows that wake forest should average around 9.7 yards per reception. 9.7 yards! This is a phenominal number for Wake Forest (and most college teams). When wake forest gains 9 or more net passing yards/catch since 1992, they are 21-9.
Oklahoma State -6.5: 3 unit, PLAY THIS!
OKLAHOMA ST is 11-1 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. I feel VERY confident in this pick.
Arkansas -15: 1/2 unit. (What? I want at least one game I bet on to be on TV!)
No rationale here, except that my simulator shows a slight edge to Arkansas. This is a square bet.
Parlay (Wisconsin -7, Oklahoma State -6.5, Wake Forest -3.5): 1 unit to win 5.
We already went over Oklahoma State and Wake. Wisconsin is one of my bigger victories of the week! As for Wisconsin, my simulator taking in all of the positions and stats shows that Wisconsin should get 4.8 yards per rush, twice that of Michigan St. Also... Wisconsin is 10-0 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
GL all!
(1-2) +1 unit
Here are my early and afternoon plays tomorrow. As soon as these resolve, I'll let you know what I'm putting on the later games.
Teaser (Auburn +28, Temple -7): 2 units
Look at the history behind LSU and Auburn. Neither team ever demolishes the other. It wont be any different in this game. Yes, LSU is amazing. Yes, Auburn is not that great this year. But Auburn will easily come within 28 points of LSU. LSU has a bad habbit of playing bad teams closer than they play good teams. Temple, by the way, as my second pick, is one I am VERY confident in. Adding a teaser makes me even more confident in it. Temple has been a cash cow this year for spread victories. Dont miss out!
Wake Forest -3.5: 2 units
My simulator taking in all of the stats from Duke, and all of the stats from Wake Forest, shows that wake forest should average around 9.7 yards per reception. 9.7 yards! This is a phenominal number for Wake Forest (and most college teams). When wake forest gains 9 or more net passing yards/catch since 1992, they are 21-9.
Oklahoma State -6.5: 3 unit, PLAY THIS!
OKLAHOMA ST is 11-1 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. I feel VERY confident in this pick.
Arkansas -15: 1/2 unit. (What? I want at least one game I bet on to be on TV!)
No rationale here, except that my simulator shows a slight edge to Arkansas. This is a square bet.
Parlay (Wisconsin -7, Oklahoma State -6.5, Wake Forest -3.5): 1 unit to win 5.
We already went over Oklahoma State and Wake. Wisconsin is one of my bigger victories of the week! As for Wisconsin, my simulator taking in all of the positions and stats shows that Wisconsin should get 4.8 yards per rush, twice that of Michigan St. Also... Wisconsin is 10-0 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
GL all!