Fred The Hammers Football Thread. Turning Outcomes Into Incomes $$

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-17-20, 01:16 AM

Adding:

12pm Eastern kickoff

Navy @ East Carolina Over 55.5 (-106) FD $212-200

Haven't really watched Navy this year, but everyone knows their game. Watched EC vs Ga State a few weeks ago. EC got a pick-6 on the first play and still got destroyed 49-29. They gave up 245 rushing in that game. They did win last week and their QB has thrown 3 tds in 2 of their games (6 tds 4 picks overall). I think they can score on Navy and Navy will run on them like they run on every weak team on their schedule. Weather is listed as clear in Greenville, NC
Here are the predictions I always glance at:

Oddsshark 43-23 Navy
CFN 36-30 EC
Athlon 37-33 Navy

Eastern Carolina Pirates 34-30

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-17-20, 08:43 AM

Tricky card today? I'm glad the B10 and the other guys are coming back soon to open up the buffet!!

Sneaky play here (hopefully) Kellen Mond (Texas A&M) Over 243.5 passing (-112) Fan Duel $112-$100

He's been over 300 yards in his last 2 games and Miss State has held everybody under 100 rushing so far. I think A&M throws it around a little bit today

Leaving for the sportsbook:

Probably play Ole Miss -1.5

QB is really good and has a great rapport with Lane Kiffin. 600+ on Alabama gets my attention

Also liked Louisville@Notre Dame Over 61.5, but 20-30 mph winds in South Bend? If it doesn't look that bad before kickoff then I'll play the Over or hit it Live

Good Luck Today Boys!!!

**swordsandtequila** · 10-17-20, 08:49 AM

I'm on Ole Miss ml. Good luck

**mikmik** · 10-17-20, 12:58 PM

They decide to play D today

**mikmik** · 10-17-20, 03:42 PM

And now Am and Missi playing d too smh

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-18-20, 01:47 AM

Knew it was going to be a tough day when East Carolina got the ball first and the backup QB came out. No injury listing? Was it covid? It was still 27-20 and EC had the ball inside the 20 and a tie means Over. Oh well. I did hedge out some at Under 56.5 early when I saw how shitty the EC QB was.

Also put $200 on Texas A&M ML & won $117, but took another $150 on A&M -16.5 when it was 14-0 and Miss State couldn't get a first down. Then of course there was a pick-6 and A&M got stopped at the 1 to end the game 28-14. Lost about $220 overall by 1 goddamn yard, but shit happens. I've won so many by .5 point. I did bail out of the Notre Dame game and I bailed out of the Ole Miss game, but when they faked a punt and ended up scoring to cut it to 20-14 then I took them live for $100 at +320. Felt like great value at the time. Arkansas blows games like that, but it was one of those days.

I think I'm 18-7 ATS overall cfb

Get'em next week

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-21-20, 05:19 PM

Adding:

Illinois +19.5 (-115) @ Wisconsin BetMgM $184-$165

Wisc replacing QB, RB, top WR, and some O-line. Illini QB actually has some pro potential and they return alot of guys overall.

Wisconsin 29-20

**earthx1** · 10-22-20, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Adding:

Illinois +19.5 (-115) @ Wisconsin BetMgM $184-$165

Wisc replacing QB, RB, top WR, and some O-line. Illini QB actually has some pro potential and they return alot of guys overall.

Wisconsin 29-20

Fred, Like the pick. Will follow.
Do you have any opinions on today's college game Arkansas St. Vs. App. St.?
Earthx1

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-20, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by earthx1

Fred, Like the pick. Will follow.
Do you have any opinions on today's college game Arkansas St. Vs. App. St.?
Earthx1

Yes. Adding:

Arkansas State +7 (+100) 1st Half $130-$130

Not a big play, but I like Ark State's playcalling. They know they don't run it great so they mix in jet sweeps and screens. Both QBs are somewhat mobile. Also App State hasn't played in a month and should be a little rusty 1st half. Ark State also fired their D coordinator so new guy should have them motivated

My halftime bets always seem to kickoff, but had 3 in a row receive the ball. Lets keep our fingers crossed!!!

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-20, 11:45 PM

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-20, 11:47 PM

Wish I could give out my casino bets and Live bets, but its too hard to type on my phone.

Oh well. Ark State was the wrong side. Hopefully Illinois +19.5 will get us back on the right track.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-20, 02:49 AM

Adding:

Syracuse @ Clemson Over 61.5 (-118) FD $236-$200

Clemson may shut them out, but I think there is a decent chance Clemson hits it themselves. 73 on GT and they're probably better defensively then Cuse.

Clemson 59-13

**CamNewtonOutfit** · 10-23-20, 06:44 AM

hey got any other college FB play for saturday daytime?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-20, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit

hey got any other college FB play for saturday daytime?

I'll have atleast 2-3 more, but nothing yet. I'm thinking about Purdue. For some reason they've beat Iowa in W. Lafayette 4 times in a row I think? Iowa lost alot of kids and some of their former black players are suing Ferentz. Interesting

**earthx1** · 10-23-20, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Wish I could give out my casino bets and Live bets, but its too hard to type on my phone.

Oh well. Ark State was the wrong side. Hopefully Illinois +19.5 will get us back on the right track.

Fred, Thanks for the pick. Good luck.
Earthx1

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-20, 05:16 PM

Ok crew. Found a total that I think pops 3Q!! Such a weird game because MT in their 7th game, but it's Rice's first game

Middle Tenn @ Rice Over 49.5

MT is 1-5 and just gave up 52 last week. Their last 6 games avg 63.2 PPG. Rice's 1st game, but they have OL and RBs coming back and ready to roll. Last year was Rice 31-27.

$440-$400 Big play for me. Weather in Houston should be good.

Rice 31-30

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-24-20, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Adding:

Syracuse @ Clemson Over 61.5 (-118) FD $236-$200

Clemson may shut them out, but I think there is a decent chance Clemson hits it themselves. 73 on GT and they're probably better defensively then Cuse.

Clemson 59-13

Trevor Lawrence the Golden Boy with the Pick -6

Now Dabo will leave him in til 4Q atleast. They'll put up 17-21 in the 3Q most likely!! That was huge for Over

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-24-20, 08:49 PM

Clemson Over
Mid Tenn Over

Got Mich Minn Over 65.5 Live
Got U Cincy Pk'em

Only loser today cost me $328 on parlays. Indiana Under 62 and that was 20-14 with like 3 min left. That had to be 99% to go Under?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-24-20, 08:54 PM

Adding:

Air Force Over 34.5 (-127) Team Total BetMgM $127-$100

**Shark** · 10-24-20, 08:57 PM

Nice day man, gl tonight.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-24-20, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by Shark

Nice day man, gl tonight.

Thanks brother! Had Indiana Under 62 which was 20-14 with like 3 min left and lose somehow? Cost me $328 on parlays, but still made really nice coin today and it ain't Over yet!!!

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-24-20, 09:17 PM

Seeing it good. Tried to get Hawaii at the casino, but it wasn't on TV so I passed. They were only like 3-3.5 point dogs and that never happens on the mainland. Knew something was fishy. Their QB is actually really good. Cordero I think?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-24-20, 10:40 PM

UC is killing SMU, but Air Force can't do much. Great day though!! Can finish a 4 teamer that pays $322 with Atlanta/Detroit Over 54.5

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-26-20, 05:08 PM

Solid day in the NFL! Caught some major breaks with Arizona +3.5

Adding:

Indiana @ Rutgers (+12.5) $175-$159

I love my Hoosiers, but they really didn't play all that great vs Penn State. Penn State had some bad turnovers and gave them a short field a few times. They had an experienced QB last year and their road wins were by only 6,7, and 3 points.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-29-20, 01:55 PM

Adding:

Colorado State -2.5 @ Fresno $150-$136
Hawaii @ Wyoming Under 60 (Caesars Sportsbook) $275-$250

I like the Col State Rams tonite! Typically you don't want to take a team in their first game vs a team thats already played, but only one team has film on the other team! Col State has a new coach in Steve Addazio. He had some success at BC and usually went to a bowl. He was 6-1 SU in openers and CS is also on a 6-1 SU streak vs Fresno. The Rams have an experienced QB as well

This game I love!! Hawaii Under? What are you smoking? Well this isn't the old chuck-n-duck Rainbow Warriors. They ran the ball 50+ times last week and its also going to be cold with 18-25 mph winds in Laramie, WY tomorrow night! Hawaii is 4-1 Under in their last 5 Mountain West games. Wyoming is also going with a backup QB. They've gone 6-2 Under in their last 8 games.

Good Luck! Lets Cash'em!!

**swordsandtequila** · 10-29-20, 03:39 PM

Carolina Panthers ml
Ga Southern ml

Parlay +166

Good luck on the Indy game. Guys I read have the line right at the opener (-13). Got hammered down to -10 now back to -11 at my book. Don't know what to make of Rutgers. Fired up for first game with Schiano back, or is Sparty really that bad? Hard to tell with only one game under their belts.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-29-20, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

Carolina Panthers ml
Ga Southern ml

Parlay +166

Good luck on the Indy game. Guys I read have the line right at the opener (-13). Got hammered down to -10 now back to -11 at my book. Don't know what to make of Rutgers. Fired up for first game with Schiano back, or is Sparty really that bad? Hard to tell with only one game under their belts.

Well I can you this much. The Indiana kids were still partying on Tuesday. They may blow them out, but this is a classic trap situation. They're never ranked and now they're 17th in the nation.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-29-20, 11:43 PM

Having a very good year because I'm sticking with the fundamentals, BUT I let you guys down with Col State for many reasons!

1. Road favorites getting smashed almost every time
2. Rams 1st game and Fresno's 2nd. HUGE advantage to Fresno
3. Public all over CS
4. Fresno has some tradition and nobody wants to start off 0-2 at home. It would've been alot more difficult to avoid if Fresno was 1-0, but this trainwreck was easy to see and I walked right into it

Hoped it would get to 24-17 Fresno so I could hedge out.

On the bright side, on the drive to the casino I heard it was pouring in Carolina with some wind. Cashed Under 52

Also took Georgia Southern Live. Some positive fundamentals that paid off there:

1. I got it at 10-10 Live bet -1.5 (-120). Thats basically pick'em
2. GS is an option team. If you want to beat an option team then you better not be tied in the 2nd half or they will probably wear you down. 2-3 yard runs become 7-8 yard runs

They did get down 17-10, but then wore down S Bama to win 24-17

Hope Hawaii Under hits tomorrow. Could be very strong start to the weekend?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-31-20, 01:27 AM

Hawaii Wyoming Under

$$$

Also picked up Maryland Over 35.5 team total when they had 21 halfway thru 2Q. Only loser was Hawaii ML 2nd half, but solid night overall!! On to big things tomorrow and keep this train rolling!!!

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-31-20, 07:59 AM

Tough card today imo, but I'm still taking some shots!!

Adding:

Cuse +14 (Caesars) $150-$136

Cuse played really hard last week vs Clemson and was only down 27-21 3Q. I think they get some confidence out of that into today! Also who is Wake to lay 2 tds on the road?

WF 33-24

I'm going to have cash ready for live bets, but I'm playing these other picks in a bunch of 2 team parlays:

Purdue ML -290
Cuse +14
La Tech +13 (Also taking a shot LT ML +400)
Texas A&M Arkansas Over 53.5
Louisville ML +135
Bobby Green MMA - 310

Thats 15 two team parlays. No big risk. Probably play the A&M Over straight up. Both QBs have a ton of experience. 31-28 last year

Good Luck today boys!!!

**thekoreanmang** · 10-31-20, 08:22 AM

Nice picks! Was thinking about Wake Forest but glad I saw your post. I was born in Syracuse and my aunt went there so I'll always have a spot for this big orange heads.

**mikmik** · 10-31-20, 01:00 PM

Cuse laying an egg

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-02-20, 05:02 PM

Decent Saturday. Won like $220 overall. Rutgers had that miracle called back. I was at the casino and everyone had Rutgers. We were all going nuts til reality sunk in. La Tech rallied to win outright which was the big one for me because I also picked up LT +6.5 in the first half when they were up. If I had LT in my parlays instead of Louisville then it would've been a nice day. A&M Over was a piece of cake!

MAC starts Wednesday and Pac12 this weekend. Capping hard tomorrow so stay posted. I love the MAC because they always have a few loose lines and easy Overs!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-03-20, 01:00 AM

Had $800 on Brady Over 1.5 TD passes (-195). My biggest play of the year!! I'd post the ticket, but sbr deletes them for some reason? Tampa slept thru the 1st half for some reason, but it hit!!!

Working overtime on capping Wednesday night MAC-tion right now!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-03-20, 01:52 AM

Adding:

Ball State @ Miami Ohio Over 55 (-115) BetMgM $172-$150

Logic on this one is pretty easy to follow. Ball State with the #1 offense & worst defense in the MAC last year. BS returns the MACs leading passer and also top WRs/RBs. They beat Miami 41-27 last year in Muncie, IN. In fact Ball State was 9-2-1 Over this total of 55 last year. Miami's kind of opposite. Better defensively then Ball State, but not super high powered on offense. Weather shouldn't be an issue on Wed night in Oxford, OH

Ball State 33-27