Buffalo ML (-400), Ball State ML (+105), GB ML (-245) $75-$195
Comment
Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#107
Miami OH plays very slow and they have one of the most defensive minded coaches in cfb. Game will depend on what ball st is doing imo
Comment
Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#108
Mia O backup qb looks way better. Gilbert getting knocked out turned out to be a blessing
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#109
Originally posted by Renegades
Mia O backup qb looks way better. Gilbert getting knocked out turned out to be a blessing
Over was easy enough with BS's shitty defense. Made the backup look like Tom Brady. I also picked up BS Over 27.5 Live which paid for the bets I had with BS ML. Rolling along pretty well this year!!
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#110
Adding:
Nevada ML/Col State ML parlay Oddsboost (+180) BetMgM $100-$180
Nevada ML/Col State ML parlay Oddsboost (+190) Fan Duel $50-$95
I already leaned Col State tonite and then saw this Oddsboost on MGM & FD. Nevada should be no problem so its basically a little extra payout for Colorado State. I may post a total or CS +3.5 as well, but have to look into it more.
I like CS because Wyoming doesn't throw it that well and CS can stack the box on them. Also its important not to get to worked up over a bad opening game for CS. CS is at home and should be better tonite. I like their coach and they worked in a throwing QB last week that could be the key tonite. They're also getting a key WR back that didn't play in their opener. Dante Wright 57 catches last year for 805 and 214 rushing with 6 tds total
Here's the write-up on this WR:
It should help Centeio and O'Brien to get decorated Dante Wright back after COVID contact-tracing protocols sidelined both him and fellow sophomore receiver Ty McCullouch last week. Last year, Wright was named an All-American freshman by ESPN and the Football Writers Association of America, as he recorded 57 receptions for 805 yards and four touchdowns plus 214 rushing yards and two scores.
East Carolina +5 $110-$100
EC/Tulane Over 60.5 $192-$175
I have EC +5 to close out some parlays if GB ML hits. I may hedge out with Tulane ML on Saturday
Overall decided I like Over 60.5 better then EC+5. Tulane is 4-1 Over this year. Tulane avg. 36 ppg and allows up 31 ppg. EC scores 31 ppg and allows 37 ppg. The numbers are there and the weather should be clear with little wind.
EC is underrated imo. Their QB missed the Navy game (23-27) and their backup sucks. You take that game out and they're really a shootout style team. The dumbass officials admitted that they blew the late calls in the EC/Tulsa game and EC had the game stolen from them. Basically beating Tulsa on the road is a good accomplishment. Their QB shredded a decent Tulsa defense all night and I think he'll do the same to Tulane. I don't think Tulane is that great, but Over 60.5 is my main play. I had S Alabama +11 in the opener vs Tulane and SA led the whole game til the end. Oddsshark has Tulane 37-28
EC 37-31
Lets Get It!!!
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#112
I basically got Colorado State at +180 & +190. I also got them -295 Live when it was 17-7 for another $100. CS +3.5 in parlays. I hit Nevada/Utah State Under 58.5 Live when it was 14-9 early. Green Bay -220 in parlays
I don't have the biggest bankroll, but
I AM WHIPPING THEIR ASS
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#113
Adding:
Should have got it earlier yesterday because the juice went up but I still think its a winner!!
BYU/Boise Alternate Total Over 59.5 (-143) BetMgM $200-$140
Comment
earthx1
SBR Sharp
03-04-18
256
#114
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
Adding:
Should have got it earlier yesterday because the juice went up but I still think its a winner!!
BYU/Boise Alternate Total Over 59.5 (-143) BetMgM $200-$140
Fred, Thanks for the pick. Good luck
Earthx1
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#115
Originally posted by earthx1
Fred, Thanks for the pick. Good luck
Earthx1
GL brother!
Adding some breakfast football 9AM in LA:
Arizona State @ USC Over 55.5 (-115) BetMgM $172-$150
Both QBs are back and thats actually kind of a low # for todays cfb with nonstop targeting/pass interference calls
Barely cashed it!! Miami QB could've scored and slid down and they took 3 knees! Thank you! Didn't think it would be that tough when NC State was up 10 early 4Q
Too bad on the Boise BYU Over. Both Boise QBs out? Covid probably. No possible way to hit now. BYU playing kind of stupid too
Big one early is EC/Tulane Over 60.5 and EC +4.5 & +5. I also picked up USC Ariz St Over 55.5 which is a early kickoff too.
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#118
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
Adding:
Should have got it earlier yesterday because the juice went up but I still think its a winner!!
BYU/Boise Alternate Total Over 59.5 (-143) BetMgM $200-$140
Needed 41 points 2nd half. Boise couldn't do shit all night then goes TD bomb, onside kick, and TD bomb
$$$
Comment
joco
SBR MVP
04-24-11
3242
#119
Been watching for a bit. You are imo the best/most consistent football bettor on here over the last month. Credit where it’s due. Keep it up Broski
Comment
Buckandadime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-21-15
8847
#120
GL Fred...
Comment
mikmik
SBR Hall of Famer
05-13-12
5457
#121
Figured we would get one with ECU over and of course a turnover. And USC is absolute dog shit.
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#122
Originally posted by joco
Been watching for a bit. You are imo the best/most consistent football bettor on here over the last month. Credit where it’s due. Keep it up Broski
Thanks guys. Sorry about the 2 Overs....lost both a total of 2.5 points EC goes for 2 down 38-21 with like 5 min left. Doesn't make it. Gets the onside...fumbles. Stops them again and drives inside the 10 with a 1 minute left and gets stopped. Tulane missed a 39 yd fg in the 4th Q too. Shit happens.
I did get even and slightly up with some Live bets. I've been hitting these for like $75-$100, but some are so juicy that I need to start throwing down $200-$300 occasionally. Sorry its hard to type on my phone or I'd post them. I do post live bets when I'm at my house, but of course the shit changes by the minute
I got Maryland +14.5 when they were up 7 and had the ball around midfield
I got Colorado/UCLA Over 68.5 when it 28-7 with like 6 min left in the 1st half
Both were easy as shit and a buddy convinced me to take Florida +125. Ended up slightly up for Saturday
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#123
Adding:
Central Michigan @ N Illinois Over 57.5 (-110) BetMgM $330-$300
I almost took Ohio last week vs CM because they had 8 returners on defense and always run the ball pretty well, but CM beat them. CMs QB was making his first start ever, but the kid was poised and threw the ball really well. NI battled Buffalo and played hard all 4 quarters, but they're very young and made alot of mistakes. I think CM lights them up, but they fight to the end and take it Over
I also plan on playing the Ball State team total Over, but have to shop it around once they open it up tomorrow some time.
Ball State -8 and 58.5 means it would most likely be 33 or 33.5. Ball State returns the MACs top QB, most of their O-line, and top RBs/WRs. Not to mention their defense sucks so they usually have to keep scoring. Check back
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#125
[QUOTE=Fred The Hammer;29871947]Adding:
Central Michigan @ N Illinois Over 57.5 (-110) BetMgM $330-$300
I almost took Ohio last week vs CM because they had 8 returners on defense and always run the ball pretty well, but CM beat them. CMs QB was making his first start ever, but the kid was poised and threw the ball really well. NI battled Buffalo and played hard all 4 quarters, but they're very young and made alot of mistakes. I think CM lights them up, but they fight to the end and take it Over
Central Michigan 38-27
Here's more trends on this game:
Northern Illinois 7-1 Over in their last 8 games
CM 5-0 Over versus losing teams
CM 4-0 Over on the road
CM 8-2 Over in their last 10 games
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#126
Adding for Tuesday:
Ohio/Akron & Buffalo/Miami Ohio to both go Over 56.5 (+280) BetMgm Oddsboost $75-$210
Not so sure about Akron doing anything, but I'm rolling over my small Jets (+6.5) live bet profit over to this oddsboost. I feel like Ohio and Miami will have no problem going Over. I may play that one or parlay it at some point.
Not sure what this is worth, but I like trends:
Buffalo 10-1 Over on Tuesday
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#127
Adding:
Ole Miss -10.5 (-114) over South Carolina Fan Duel $194-$170
This OM team put up 48 pts and 600+ yds on Alabama. Kiffin will also stick the knife in and twist it (6 td passes vs Vandy). South Carolina will quit in the 2nd half. Probably play OM team Over as well when they post it. Would have to be 40-41 I would think?
Ole Miss 48-27
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#128
Already got Kent State BG Over 62.5 Live
Adding:
Buffalo -5.5 (-121)
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#129
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
Already got Kent State BG Over 62.5 Live
Adding:
Buffalo -5.5 (-121)
2-0 Live Bets....waiting to see if I could get Buffalo by less then a TD
$$
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#130
Well Northern Illinois shit the bed and that Over lost, but I think that was my first bet over $250 that lost all season. For live bettors, I hope you saw how shitty NI looked and grabbed CM live like I did at -10.5. I also got some Ball State +4.5 for a small profit overall. I really needed BS ML to get it done. I have them in 3 parlays. Coastal ML wins and I cash a ticket over $400.
Adding:
Col State Over 21.5 (-115) MgM
Colts ML (-120) MgM
Wilkins Over 8.5 carries (-129) MgM
Good Luck Tonite!!!
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#131
Cancelled Coastal Carolina. Cash that ticket I guess.
Adding:
Cincinnati Over 41.5 (-118) MgM $236-$200
They're going to whip ECs ass tonite. UC is trying to get in the playoff and EC has a bunch of southern kids that aren't going to give a shit about playing in 30 degree weather tonite. Their defense completely sucks anyway.
I can't lay 26-27 pts or whatever? Thought about the first half the other day when it was -15.5, but then a few bad breaks can kill it. I think they put up more then enough tonite!
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#132
Leaning Under Minn/Iowa. Iowa always leans Under, but lets see if the Gophers shitty defense shows up? Probably get something close to Under 56 Live if it looks like the punters might get some work tonite.
Iowa 10-5 Under in their last 15 games
Comment
Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#133
Agree on cincy. They need style pts.
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#134
Adding:
Iowa Minn Under 58.5 (-118) Live
Looks a little windy and both teams are going to pound the ball
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#135
Originally posted by Renegades
Agree on cincy. They need style pts.
GL tonite!!
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#136
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
Cancelled Coastal Carolina. Cash that ticket I guess.
Adding:
Cincinnati Over 41.5 (-118) MgM $236-$200
They're going to whip ECs ass tonite. UC is trying to get in the playoff and EC has a bunch of southern kids that aren't going to give a shit about playing in 30 degree weather tonite. Their defense completely sucks anyway.
I can't lay 26-27 pts or whatever? Thought about the first half the other day when it was -15.5, but then a few bad breaks can kill it. I think they put up more then enough tonite!
35-10 Bearcats
They're so much better then the rest of their conference that its not even fair. I doubt they get in the final 4, but they deserve a New Years Day bowl or maybe a shot at the championship. I think they'd beat Notre Dame, Florida, and A&M personally.
Easy peasy tonite!! Cashed my Coastal parlays plus 2 easy winners. Should be up over $600 tonite! Waiting to see if I can get a team total on Ole Miss. I think they'll run it up on South Carolina. The turf is super fast on their field.
Comment
earthx1
SBR Sharp
03-04-18
256
#137
Fred, Good picks. Nice win streak. Do you have any picks for saturday?
Earthx1
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#138
Originally posted by earthx1
Fred, Good picks. Nice win streak. Do you have any picks for saturday?
Earthx1
Yes sir I do!!
Already posted Ole Miss -10.5 and added -6.5 1st half
I made an alternate total & ML parlay which is sort of like a teaser:
Oregon ML & NC Wake Over 62.5 (-118) BetMgm $236-$200
I actually threw that NC alternate total 62.5 (-209) in several parlays. NC plays 45-34 type of games every week it seems
Got a little on Florida/Arkansas Over 59.5 (-112) FD
Would've been a bigger play, but I'm thinking Florida's all world TE Pitts will be out
Good Luck Today Boys
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#139
Crazy day. Florida Over will put me ahead after a couple of Live bet losses earlier. OM inside the 5, but couldn't get the TD there. Oregon ML to close out nice parlay, but their QB looked lost so I took Wa St Live and then they let Oregon go 60 yds in 20 seconds? Don't know what to do now? Could cash out the Wash State side, but then get left with nothing.
Just glad Trask and Florida bailed me out!
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11575
#140
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
Adding:
Ole Miss -10.5 (-114) over South Carolina Fan Duel $194-$170
This OM team put up 48 pts and 600+ yds on Alabama. Kiffin will also stick the knife in and twist it (6 td passes vs Vandy). South Carolina will quit in the 2nd half. Probably play OM team Over as well when they post it. Would have to be 40-41 I would think?
Ole Miss 48-27
Ole Miss. Cash another ticket. Ho hum
Took an Over parlay for tonite/tomorrow and bought a few points:
Washington/Oregon State Over 49.5 & Arizona/Buffalo Over 53.5