Disclaimer- you need a Bodog account to play it. I don't see the prop anywhere else. I've been on the phone with Bodog a lot lately. I think they'll pay.... eventually.
The play:Ivan Calderon IS knocked down or out +350.
Opponent: Hugo Cazares.
If you don't feel like reading the details below, bottom line there's about 50% chance IMO that Cazares is able to deck Calderon at some point in the 12 rounds, just like he did in the 8th round of their first fight. Consult with your resident math expert Ganch or Josh to see if +350 is a fair number in a 50/50 play. The line started at +400.
This is a rematch from their championship bout last year in which Calderon lifted Cazares 108 pound title with a split decision victory in Calderon's backyard of Puerto Rico. Mexican Cazares is back on the island again. Mexico/Puerto Rico big rivalry in boxing, should be intense. Matter of fact, ringside will be Antonio Margarito, a Mexican buddy of Cazares who just spent 11 rounds chasing down ultra talented Puerto Rican Miguel Cotto, before stopping him here in Vegas. Maybe there will be some karma.
This is cat and mouse all the way. Calderon is the slick southpaw, hit and don't get hit, longtime 105 pound champion who moved up in weight last year. Cazares looks like he's at least two weight classes bigger, big physical advantages.
Cazares got talent and he caught up to the undefeated Calderon and floored him in the 8th round of their first fight. Calderon is the goods though, got thru it and finished the fight.
Cazares is not back in Puerto Rico to win a decision. He'll be going for it. He was a little sloppy in the first fight, too much chasing instead of cutting the ring off but he still managed to deck Calderon.
Something I like is that Calderon is approaching 34 years of age, which is actually kind of old for these small weight classes. He hasn't take much punishment over the years but almost every fight has to go the full 12 rounds because of his lack of power. He's probably a couple steps slower than his prime and he's very dependent on his legs and movement. If
you take a shot, good luck. It's a nice number for a small play.
Chances of Calderon actually stopping Cazares is slim and none. I'm suprised the decision prop on Calderon is pricing better, down to -130 at dimes. That's a great price for the vast majority who think Calderon is going to slick his way to another decision win. Otherwise your laying -235 or so on Calderon straight up . That prop loses with a draw , so a few bucks on the big draw odds just to cover is good, cheap insurance. l
Punch.
The play:Ivan Calderon IS knocked down or out +350.
Opponent: Hugo Cazares.
If you don't feel like reading the details below, bottom line there's about 50% chance IMO that Cazares is able to deck Calderon at some point in the 12 rounds, just like he did in the 8th round of their first fight. Consult with your resident math expert Ganch or Josh to see if +350 is a fair number in a 50/50 play. The line started at +400.
This is a rematch from their championship bout last year in which Calderon lifted Cazares 108 pound title with a split decision victory in Calderon's backyard of Puerto Rico. Mexican Cazares is back on the island again. Mexico/Puerto Rico big rivalry in boxing, should be intense. Matter of fact, ringside will be Antonio Margarito, a Mexican buddy of Cazares who just spent 11 rounds chasing down ultra talented Puerto Rican Miguel Cotto, before stopping him here in Vegas. Maybe there will be some karma.
This is cat and mouse all the way. Calderon is the slick southpaw, hit and don't get hit, longtime 105 pound champion who moved up in weight last year. Cazares looks like he's at least two weight classes bigger, big physical advantages.
Cazares got talent and he caught up to the undefeated Calderon and floored him in the 8th round of their first fight. Calderon is the goods though, got thru it and finished the fight.
Cazares is not back in Puerto Rico to win a decision. He'll be going for it. He was a little sloppy in the first fight, too much chasing instead of cutting the ring off but he still managed to deck Calderon.
Something I like is that Calderon is approaching 34 years of age, which is actually kind of old for these small weight classes. He hasn't take much punishment over the years but almost every fight has to go the full 12 rounds because of his lack of power. He's probably a couple steps slower than his prime and he's very dependent on his legs and movement. If
you take a shot, good luck. It's a nice number for a small play.
Chances of Calderon actually stopping Cazares is slim and none. I'm suprised the decision prop on Calderon is pricing better, down to -130 at dimes. That's a great price for the vast majority who think Calderon is going to slick his way to another decision win. Otherwise your laying -235 or so on Calderon straight up . That prop loses with a draw , so a few bucks on the big draw odds just to cover is good, cheap insurance. l
Punch.