The HOFF's MMA 2011

**Camdemonium** · 05-02-11, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by sirchadwick1

I've heard he let up, he had a problem cutting b/c he added muscle and needed to adjust, and also that he was ill leading up to the fight. No clue which excuse is right (maybe all?)... but I think we can all agree he wasn't himself. He's fighting Mendes next right? Wonder what the lines will look like there. I don't think Chad will be "money" in this one.

I totally agree. When Aldo was firing on all cylinders, hominick was in big trouble. If he could do that for 25 min WATCH OUT!

War Aldo.

**The HOFF** · 05-04-11, 02:07 AM

News that Aldo was recovering from infection and had been sick. GRRRRRRRR... Things I need to know BEFORE the fight.

**Camdemonium** · 05-04-11, 09:02 AM

I know I hate that. Like Nog-Mir. Bummer

**Vaughany** · 05-04-11, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by Camdemonium

I know I hate that. Like Nog-Mir. Bummer

Except Aldo still won! And Zombie Nog would of lost to Mir even if he was in top shape IMO!

**Camdemonium** · 05-05-11, 06:26 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Except Aldo still won! And Zombie Nog would of lost to Mir even if he was in top shape IMO!

No way dude! Nog was soooooo slow in that fight.

I just wish like Hoff said that they would let the bettors know before the fight happens that they are sick. Although I know that isn't going to happen.

**The HOFF** · 05-21-11, 06:22 PM

Bellator 45 - Featherweight - L'Auberge Du Lac - Lake Charles, Louisiana - MTV2

Daniel Straus vs Patricio Freire

My Pick: Patricio Freire -130 (3.9u to win 3u)

**thesox0311** · 05-21-11, 08:13 PM

GL tonight Hoff, like the pick.

**The HOFF** · 05-21-11, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by thesox0311

GL tonight Hoff, like the pick.

Thanks. Seems to be against a lot of other people, so we'll see how it goes.

**thesox0311** · 05-21-11, 08:26 PM

Should be a exciting fight, thought the line would actually be higher. Im on it small, i never go big on Bellator fights.

**The HOFF** · 05-21-11, 09:25 PM

Bellator 45: 1-0 +3.00u

2011 MMA: 26-16 +28.95u

**Vaughany** · 05-22-11, 04:56 AM

Gd job Hoff, far too many people getting carried away with the whole "always pick the wrestler" theory! Didn't make sense to me when Freire had already proved he can deal with them wen he faced Warren.

**Ladle** · 05-22-11, 06:40 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Gd job Hoff, far too many people getting carried away with the whole "always pick the wrestler" theory! Didn't make sense to me when Freire had already proved he can deal with them wen he faced Warren.

For me, it was more of a value play (+160), even though I didn't necessarily favour Straus. Same thing applied when I bet on Hawn to beat Good and that turned out to be profitable (though the decision was a bit dubious). I never bet much on these value plays, but I think they're worth a flier bet.

EDIT: Nice job by the way, Hoff.

**Vaughany** · 05-22-11, 07:07 AM

Originally posted by Ladle

For me, it was more of a value play (+160), even though I didn't necessarily favour Straus. Same thing applied when I bet on Hawn to beat Good and that turned out to be profitable (though the decision was a bit dubious). I never bet much on these value plays, but I think they're worth a flier bet.

EDIT: Nice job by the way, Hoff.

Gettin Straus at +160 was certainly good value in comparison to what the line ended up at so can't knock that.

**cheeese** · 05-22-11, 02:52 PM

Beating the market is not something you should be embarrassed about.

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 12:59 AM

UFC 130 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - PPV

Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson

My Pick: Fight Goes to DEC +180 (2u to win 3.6u)

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 01:08 AM

UFC 130 - Middleweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - Spike TV
Kendall Grove vs Tim Boetsch

My Pick: Tim Boetsch +130 (2u to win 2.6u)

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 01:09 AM

UFC 130 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - Spike TV

Miguel Torres vs Demetrious Johnson

My Pick: Demetrious Johnson +150 (3u to win 4.5u)

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 01:25 AM

UFC 130 - Welterweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - PPV

Thiago Alves vs Rick Story

My Pick: Rick Story +190 (1u to win 1.9u)

**Hannibal** · 05-28-11, 02:58 AM

good picks! i definitely see value in story at +190

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 11:09 PM

UFC 130: 4-0 +12.60u

2011 MMA: 30-16 +41.55u

I didn't know if 100 units was a realistic goal for the year but I just might make it if I keep the same pace and didn't just jinx myself. Some positive events in June will have me about 50 units up half way through the year.

**brooks85** · 05-28-11, 11:16 PM

nice work hoff, story is a beast

**Vaughany** · 05-28-11, 11:21 PM

Great job Hoff, I'm regretting not pullin the trigger on Boetsch

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by brooks85

nice work hoff, story is a beast

His days as an underdog are surely over. Kind of like Evan Dunham. It took about 3-4 fights of him being a decent dog before books got the clue. Story was a big dog against Hendricks and again against Alves. Unless he fights GSP or Fitch next, I see Story being a large favorite from now on.

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 11:24 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Great job Hoff, I'm regretting not pullin the trigger on Boetsch

I wish I had more confidence and went bigger!

**Ladle** · 05-28-11, 11:44 PM

Good stuff as always, Hoff.

Originally posted by The HOFF

I wish I had more confidence and went bigger!

Yeah, me too. He looked very good indeed tonight.

**rocky mattioli** · 05-29-11, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

UFC 130: 4-0 +12.60u

2011 MMA: 30-16 +41.55u

I didn't know if 100 units was a realistic goal for the year but I just might make it if I keep the same pace and didn't just jinx myself. Some positive events in June will have me about 50 units up half way through the year.

well done....nice,clean easy to follow card....

good night for wagerers...

**Eccocide** · 05-29-11, 09:43 AM

GJ Hoff. keep it up!

**snake11eyes** · 05-29-11, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by rocky mattioli

well done....nice,clean easy to follow card....

good night for wagerers...

Another positive night Hoff. Keep it up.

**The HOFF** · 06-04-11, 12:08 PM

Ultimate Fighter 13 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - Palms Casino Resort - Las Vegas, Nevada

Rueben Duran vs Francisco Rivera

My pick: Reuben Duran -180 (9u to win 5u)

**The HOFF** · 06-04-11, 12:10 PM

Ultimate Fighter 13 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Palms Casino Resort - Las Vegas, Nevada - Spike TV

Chuck O'Neil vs Chris Cope

My Pick: Chuck O'Neil -165 (4.95u to win 3u)

**The HOFF** · 06-04-11, 12:11 PM

Ultimate Fighter 13 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Palms Casino Resort - Las Vegas, Nevada - Spike TV

Ramsey Nijem vs Tony Ferguson

My Pick: Tony Ferguson +130 (3u to win 3.9u)

**The HOFF** · 06-04-11, 12:24 PM

Ultimate Fighter 13 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Palms Casino Resort - Las Vegas, Nevada - Spike TV

Kyle Kingsbury vs Fabio Maldonado

My Pick: Fabio Maldonado +165 (2u to win 3.3u)

**The HOFF** · 06-05-11, 06:29 AM

TUF FINALE 13: 2-2 +1.95u

2011 MMA: 32-18 +43.50u

Barely managed to pull out a winning night. A little sour on the Maldonado/Kingsbury decision, and pissed at myself for loving Guida the last month and then pussing out and not betting him.

**bjpenn85** · 06-05-11, 07:31 AM

Still pretty impressive hoff. Most of us had a rough night.

**GoGoGadget** · 06-05-11, 03:44 PM

What was up with Maldonado in the 3rd? He sealed Kingsbury's left eye and didn't throw any rights to his face the whole round