The HOFF's MMA 2011

**Poppa Catfish** · 03-02-11, 03:27 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Yee tht or perhaps Palhares quickest submission on sportbet/5dimes if they offer them for this event. WHich site has the +175 does not complete 1st round?

Bodog, and I'm also contemplating that play right this moment. They just came out with a whole mess of props, Ill post in your thread

**The HOFF** · 03-03-11, 02:17 AM

UFC Live 3 - Middleweight 3 rounds - KFC Yum! Center - Louisville, Kentucky - Versus

Alessio Sakara vs Chris Weidman

My Pick: Chris Weidman -130 (5.2u to win 4u)

**The HOFF** · 03-03-11, 02:20 AM

UFC Live 3 - Middleweight 3 rounds - KFC Yum! Center - Louisville, Kentucky - Versus

Rousimar Palhares vs Dave Branch

My Pick: Rousimar Palhares -215 (6.45u to win 3u)

My Pick: Fight Does Not Complete 1 Full Round +175 (1u to win 1.75u)

**The HOFF** · 03-03-11, 03:20 AM

UFC Live 3 - Lightweight 3 rounds - KFC Yum! Center - Louisville, Kentucky

Thiago Tavares vs Shane Roller

My Pick: Thiago Tavares +100 (2u to win 2u)

**The HOFF** · 03-04-11, 03:53 AM

UFC Live on Versus 3: 2-2 +4.00u

2011 MMA: 15-9 +18.70u

Can't complain with a positive night, but I should have stayed away from Tavares. I just missed the round 1 finish for Palhares. I would have played him straight up for more but was scared off by the heavy line movement. I did hit a small parlay and a single play on Yang, but won't count those as I didn't post them.

**The HOFF** · 03-08-11, 03:05 PM

Cro Cop +210 has to be worth at least 1u. Going to wait and see where it ends up and probably have to make a small play. Jim Miller is currently -215 but still moving. I'll see if I can get him better than -200.

**ddream1** · 03-08-11, 06:40 PM

hoff whats ur thoughts on miller? i keep thinking he has to win this, but i'm a little concerned his boxing isn't good enought to win a 3R stand up and not sure how he gets it down? shalourus is pretty predictable and throws telegraphing shots but he is a forward pressing bull. miller pulls guard maybe? i want miller bad but my gut says no.

**The HOFF** · 03-09-11, 03:41 AM

Originally posted by ddream1

hoff whats ur thoughts on miller? i keep thinking he has to win this, but i'm a little concerned his boxing isn't good enought to win a 3R stand up and not sure how he gets it down? shalourus is pretty predictable and throws telegraphing shots but he is a forward pressing bull. miller pulls guard maybe? i want miller bad but my gut says no.

Miller has only lost to the top 2 lightweights. He is a good enough fighter to capitalize on Shalorus' reckless style. Shalorus took a split decision against Palaszewski and was awarded an undeserved draw against Varner. Shalorus is powerful, but if he couldn't finish Palaszewski, Varner, or Jensen then I do not see him finishing Miller at all. I think Miller can take him down but would be able to punch and move if he can't. I like Miller as a 3 to 4 unit play on my 1-10 scale. I might even take a flier on Miller by submission.

Side note - I like his brother Dan to walk over Catone. Hopefully I can get a decent line.

**The HOFF** · 03-09-11, 07:03 AM

Phil Davis down to -260. Making a play on that.

**sirchadwick1** · 03-09-11, 07:11 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Phil Davis down to -260. Making a play on that.

I just clicked on the line at -260 and it immediately went up to -335 within seconds. Nuts...
Nog went from +180 to +245.

**The HOFF** · 03-09-11, 07:20 AM

Originally posted by sirchadwick1

I just clicked on the line at -260 and it immediately went up to -335 within seconds. Nuts...
Nog went from +180 to +245.

That's crazy. I can't believe that my small time bet is the reason it would move that much.

**kiefynugs** · 03-09-11, 08:04 AM

I'm glad that you agree with me about miller. As a whole these LW WEC guys are kind of a joke. Shalorus has a solid skillset, but Miller has proven to be able to outclass him in every category, and against better opponents.

He will win. Bocek will also win

**Vaughany** · 03-09-11, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by kiefynugs

I'm glad that you agree with me about miller. As a whole these LW WEC guys are kind of a joke. Shalorus has a solid skillset, but Miller has proven to be able to outclass him in every category, and against better opponents.

He will win. Bocek will also win

I wouldnt say they're kind of a joke....Cerrone, Castillo and Roller are testament to that. But yeah in comparison to likes of Edgar, Maynard and Miller they shouldnt be at their level.

**sirchadwick1** · 03-09-11, 09:20 AM

Bendo is not a joke either... I think he will beat Bocek. He did pretty well against Pettis and looked almost unstoppable until he fought him. Shalorus however, has been on the lucky end of things and I think we see a noticeable big step up when he fights Miller. Jim is a beast.

**The HOFF** · 03-12-11, 03:02 AM

BFC 36 - Lightweight Quarterfinal 3 rounds - Shreveport Municipal Memorial Auditorium, Shreveport, LA - MTV2

Rob McCullough vs Patricky Freire

My Pick: Patricky Freire +175 (3u to win 5.25u)

**The HOFF** · 03-12-11, 03:08 AM

Lost my play on Marquardt -245 as Akiyama has pulled out of the fight. Also losing a play I wanted to make on Dan Miller against Nick Catone, as Miller has replaced Akiyama and is fighting Marquardt.

**NunyaBidness** · 03-12-11, 11:52 AM

Wow, doesn't even see like Dan Miller and Marquardt should be in the same organization much less in the same cage together.

**The HOFF** · 03-13-11, 03:16 AM

Bellator 36: 1-0 +5.25u

2011 MMA: 16-9 +23.95u

**The HOFF** · 03-16-11, 06:01 PM

I've got quite a few smaller bets on UFC 128. J. Miller, Tibau, Barboza ITD, CroCop, Schaub by 3RD Dec, and I like Marshall too. Final plays will be up after weigh ins.

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 01:23 AM

UFC 128 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Prudential Center - Newark, New Jersey - Spike TV

Edson Barboza vs Anthony Njokuani

My Pick: Edson Barboza Wins Inside The Distance -140 (7u to win 5u)

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 01:25 AM

UFC 128 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Prudential Center - Newark, New Jersey - PPV

Jim Miller vs Kamal Shalorus

My Pick: Jim Miller -190 (3.8u to win 2u)

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 01:27 AM

UFC 128 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Prudential Center - Newark, New Jersey - Facebook

Kurt Pellegrino vs Gleison Tibau

My Pick: Gleison Tibau -145 (2.9u to win 2u)

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 01:30 AM

UFC 128 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Prudential Center - Newark, New Jersey - PPV

Mirko Filipovic vs Brendan Schaub

My Pick: Brendan Schaub Wins by DEC +310 (1u to win 3.1u)
My Pick: Mirko Filipovic +220 (1u to win 2.2u)

**kiefynugs** · 03-19-11, 01:56 AM

not even a unit on the main event huh? You're exercising good restraint

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 02:29 AM

Originally posted by kiefynugs

not even a unit on the main event huh? You're exercising good restraint

I can't decide (which screams bet on the underdog). I'm just going to enjoy that fight. That way I don't have to cheer for anyone.

**kiefynugs** · 03-19-11, 02:37 AM

yeah I wish I hadn't laid down so heavy on it. 7u that was pretty irresponsible betting against a prodigy wrestler

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 07:34 PM

Starting with a win! Tibau by split decision. A lot closer than I thought it would be.

**The HOFF** · 03-19-11, 11:57 PM

UFC 128: 2-3 -5.00u

2011 MMA: 18-12 +18.95u

Not a very good night. Barboza really let me down. I don't know what his gameplan was. He really didn't work his kicks at all. Well back again next week. Really large on Phil Davis. Hopefully I can bounce back.

**The HOFF** · 03-22-11, 07:06 PM

UFC Fight Night 24

I've got 13u on Phil Davis. Going to wait and see what Anthony Johnson looks like at the weigh in, and then maybe make a play. I like Damarques Johnson at +205. Undercard plays may include Johny Hendricks, Jon Hathaway, Jon Madsen, and Christan Morecraft.

**The HOFF** · 03-26-11, 01:54 AM

Fight Night 24 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Key Arena - Seattle, Washington - Spike TV

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs Phil Davis

My Pick: Phil Davis -260 (13u to win 5u)
My Pick: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Wins by SUB +1045 (1u to win 10.45u)

**The HOFF** · 03-26-11, 01:56 AM

Fight Night 24 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Key Arena - Seattle, Washington

Sean McCorkle vs Christian Morecraft

My Pick: Christian Morecraft -175 (7u to win 4u)

**The HOFF** · 03-26-11, 02:08 AM

Fight Night 24 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Key Arena - Seattle, Washington - Facebook

Jon Madsen vs Mike Russow

My Pick: Mike Russow +250 (1u to win 2.5u)

**kiefynugs** · 03-26-11, 05:41 AM

Hopefully you and I cash big on morecraft hoff

**corcoran65** · 03-26-11, 09:03 AM

well it looks like almost every body on this forum is in morecraft

**Ladle** · 03-26-11, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by corcoran65

well it looks like almost every body on this forum is in morecraft

Yup. Everyone's going to have a very depressing Sunday if he somehow loses.

Best of luck, Hoff.