UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee (April 21, 2018)

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Math not my strong suit...

Willis TKO/KO = +2.4u
Willis loss = -2.75u
Willis win but not TKO/KO = +0.37u

So if I hedge .5u on Sherman TKO/KO at +515 pretty sure I end up basically no blood with a Willis loss, and around +2u with Willis win of any type. I think I'm seeing that right... seems like hedge is the play.

Fuk it man!

Let it ride!

Seems a fav is due to win

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-21-18, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Math not my strong suit...

Willis TKO/KO = +2.4u
Willis loss = -2.75u
Willis win but not TKO/KO = +0.37u

So if I hedge .5u on Sherman TKO/KO at +515 pretty sure I end up basically no blood with a Willis loss, and around +2u with Willis win of any type. I think I'm seeing that right... seems like hedge is the play.

Wouldn't it be -0.13u if Willis wins by Sub/Dec?

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by the1yankee

Your $
take the risk
or hedge.
Not rocket science shags

See above... pretty much a dummy with math and hedges. Can never keep my thoughts straight. But no blood, or +2u win seems preferable to the possibility of being down almost 3u with Sherman win, so I'm gonna hedge. Hedge by TKO/KO since that's pretty much Sherman's only path. I doubt he wins a decision against Big Pretty and if he does then it's only .5u more down the drain anyway.

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:25 PM

What's that 3 doggz in a row

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:26 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Wouldn't it be -0.13u if Willis wins by Sub/Dec?

Yeah... "basically no blood" since it's less than a .25u. Barely registers.

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

See above... pretty much a dummy with math and hedges. Can never keep my thoughts straight. But no blood, or +2u win seems preferable to the possibility of being down almost 3u with Sherman win, so I'm gonna hedge. Hedge by TKO/KO since that's pretty much Sherman's only path. I doubt he wins a decision against Big Pretty and if he does then it's only .5u more down the drain anyway.

And I can also say

The crazy sh it going down TONITE

That may be smart

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:28 PM

Branch ko ,

Like a serial killer hid in in the woods

N pops out

N murders you

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:28 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Wouldn't it be -0.13u if Willis wins by Sub/Dec?

Oh wait. I see what you're saying. See? I'm a dummy with these hedges.

**PhoKing** · 04-21-18, 10:29 PM

fook these ads mang.... i wouldnt watch this shit if i didnt bet on these fights

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:29 PM

The third up decision on the fight with the eastern European

The Georgian lol

**turbozed** · 04-21-18, 10:30 PM

Riding with Hugo and Shag on Willis ITD

Let's go Big Pretty

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:31 PM

On.yaaa shaggy

That fat fuk

HEDGE

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:32 PM

Buckets n buckets of KFC, POPEYES, CHURCHS, ZAXBYS, WING STOP

WILLIE FUKIN CRUSH EM ALL!!!

**turbozed** · 04-21-18, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by the1yankee

Branch ko ,

Like a serial killer hid in in the woods

N pops out

N murders you

Jesus Christ man, you don't gotta make a racial comment on every fight with a black dude.

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:34 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Fight Night 128 Bets

Nakamura +196, .51u
Chagas -130, 1.3u
Chagas/Baha o1.5, -130, 2.5u
Miller/Hooker FDGTD +190, .53u
Johns -107, 2.5u
Willis TKO/KO +100, 1u

Willis + Branch parlay, +222, .45u
Hooker + Anderson parlay, +127, .79u

I haven't pulled the trigger... keep hoping the line will get better, but I want some action on Simon. I just like the dude.

Added:
Willis + Simon parlay +136, .74u

Added hedge:

Sherman TKO/KO +515, .5u

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:35 PM

Think Big Pretty takes this one way or another, but decision wouldn't shock me. He's pretty calculated with his pressure. The early finish of Crowder isn't shocking since Crowder suuuuuuuuuuucks, but it may take him a bit longer here. Wonder if Sherman will adjust in any way after 3 TKO/KO losses.

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:36 PM

I always get burnt on thiago Santos

How many are there in UFC, 6

**PaperTrail07** · 04-21-18, 10:40 PM

how is Sherman alive lol...

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-21-18, 10:40 PM

Solid HW fight. Willis almost had Sherman out of there

**Richard Clock** · 04-21-18, 10:41 PM

As someone who didnt do research on this fight, how is this on the main card?

**mackave** · 04-21-18, 10:42 PM

Willis gonna get tired now and lose?

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Jesus Christ man, you don't gotta make a racial comment on every fight with a black dude.

I'm sorry man.

I no way intended to make this raciaL!!!

If I offended you I apologize!

I was just trying to make the point of the knockout came from nowhere

Like someone sneaking up on you and cold cocking u

Cuz it was so unexpected.

Not sure how u convey this bein a shot a a minority of a racial slur

But if u did

It was DEFINITELY not the intended to be like u conveyed it guy

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:42 PM

Willis does a good job of not overexerting and hunting for the KO and even still Sherman may have weathered the main storm. Lets see how Willis's power looks to start round 2.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-21-18, 10:43 PM

Live Bet:
Willis+Sherman Goes Distance (+150) .8u

**Degenregen** · 04-21-18, 10:44 PM

Pretty sure sherman was out for a second there, can we get a retrospective tko?

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:45 PM

N ain't no fukin way you can't tell me that Willis don't put the smash on some chicken!!!

I know I sure do! Good fukin sh it there, n I'm a whitey

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-21-18, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by the1yankee

N ain't no fukin way you can't tell me that Willis don't put the smash on some chicken!!!

I know I sure do! Good fukin sh it there, n I'm a whitey

"You know who likes fried chicken? Black people. You know who else likes fried chicken? Literally everyone."
-Seth Meyers

**JC2008** · 04-21-18, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by the1yankee

N ain't no fukin way you can't tell me that Willis don't put the smash on some chicken!!!

I know I sure do! Good fukin sh it there, n I'm a whitey

Why don't you contribute to the thread? No one gives a f uck about your drunk opinions.

**Shagdogy** · 04-21-18, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Live Bet:
Willis+Sherman Goes Distance (+150) .8u

This one should hit Hugo. Don't see Willis taking many chances in the 3rd knowing he's up.

Willis's counter 1-2 has looked very sharp and accurate. It's too bad he couldn't quite get that finish for us yet. Don't see it coming now.

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:49 PM

These guys are gassed

THIS IS GOING TO DECISION

**turbozed** · 04-21-18, 10:50 PM

After Willis failed to get Sherman out in the 1st, I feel like this was destined to go the distance.

Was +150 after 1st round.

**Thrilla** · 04-21-18, 10:50 PM

Live Shermanator +700

**unlearn** · 04-21-18, 10:51 PM

I thought dada5000 was retired

**the1yankee** · 04-21-18, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

Why don't you contribute to the thread? No one gives a f uck about your drunk opinions.

Aight. I'll chill it out wit da dumb shieeet

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-21-18, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by unlearn

I thought dada5000 was retired

Lol