UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee (April 21, 2018)

[turbozed]

Hooker ITD cashes. Congrats Hugo! Tailed you on that one that too. Going to have to start paying you for your picks lol

Btw, this ref was slow to stop the fight TWICE now. No more of this penetrating ref. He can yell out stop here or after Siyar landed that body kick. WTF.

[Shagdogy]

Nice. I only had FDGTD at +190... when fights go like that you wish you just loaded up on it. Unfortunately I just win 1u. I'll take it.

[SmellMyFinger]

Huge win for me there. Hooker's sixth UFC finish in as many wins. 2.5u on that ITD (+230)

tailed your hooker itd, parlayed it with barbosa by ko , sweating the main event big

[boss_of_um]

I've got Hooker ITD next hedged with Miller Decision

Also tailed this play. Thanks Hugo

[Thrilla]

Shorty got caught throwing the overhand. Mismatch here. Then again het tried that overhand several times, easy read by Hooker.

[Hugo de Naranja]

God damn... Why did you do that Hugos... Nasty knee.

Sure was.

[PaperTrail07]

Serra must get Dana White his Blow or something....why do they like that guy lol

[Hugo de Naranja]

Cheers boys!

[PaperTrail07]

On Sterling here....lets cash

[turbozed]

Tiger Muay Thai lowkey churning out a lot of good fighters lately. That knee that Hooker landed was perfect MT form.

[boss_of_um]

@Hugo what's your favorite play left for the night?

I have an open parlay I'd like to close. Don't need a long shot +odds play. But don't want something too juicy either. In the +100 to -200 range would be fine.

[Thrilla]

Get ready for fight of the night

Next

Sterling A. - Johns B.

[turbozed]

On Sterling here....lets cash

On Aljo here too but only for a unit. If Johns is legit and dominates Aljo with grappling, I'll be extremely impressed.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added Hedge:
Sterling Decision (+170) 1u

Reducing my Johns exposure just a bit with this hedge. Still have him pretty big with straight bets and parlays.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Tiger Muay Thai lowkey churning out a lot of good fighters lately. That knee that Hooker landed was perfect MT form.

They have a great camp. Rivera, Burgos, Hooker, Shevchenko sometimes

[Shagdogy]

Going against you Sterling guys... unless Aljo uses some transitions and gets to dominant positions on the mat, I'm not sure what offense he really has to outscore Johns. Should be a pretty close fight though. Hoping Johns is ready for this test.

[Hugo de Naranja]

@Hugo what's your favorite play left for the night?

I have an open parlay I'd like to close. Don't need a long shot +odds play. But don't want something too juicy either. In the +100 to -200 range would be fine.

Edgar is the bet I'm most confident in. If you're looking for something with less juice I can take a look and make another suggesiton.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Going against you Sterling guys... unless Aljo uses some transitions and gets to dominant positions on the mat, I'm not sure what offense he really has to outscore Johns. Should be a pretty close fight though. Hoping Johns is ready for this test.

Let's go Johns

[boss_of_um]

Edgar is the bet I'm most confident in. If you're looking for something with less juice I can take a look and make another suggesiton.

Frankie Edgar Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

This Edgar play?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Frankie Edgar Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

This Edgar play?

I'd go with Edgar ML or -3.5 NOT Decision. I think Decision might happen but there's way more betting value in ITD

[dvb02]

on Johns as well. Let's go!

[BIGDAY]

Sterling should roll.

[Shagdogy]

Added Hedge:
Sterling Decision (+170) 1u

Reducing my Johns exposure just a bit with this hedge. Still have him pretty big with straight bets and parlays.

I don't hate this... made me consider it to, but I'm gonna just ride out with Johns. Been keeping an eye lately for consensus by some sharp guys I like to follow (some at your suggestion). For what it's worth, both guys on half the battle, both guys on mma oddscast, Will Martin, myself, and of course Hugo all prefer Johns here. It's not by a wide margin though. I think Aljo has all the tools, but he just really hasn't shown the offensive ability yet. I think he may, but lets find out.

[boss_of_um]

I'd go with Edgar ML or -3.5 NOT Decision. I think Decision might happen but there's way more betting value in ITD

Got it. Thanks. And appreciate your posts each event. Great work!

[Hugo de Naranja]

R1 a close 10-9 Sterling on my scorecard

[Shagdogy]

Range giving Johns fits. Not showing his usual pressure. Rookie mistake holding on to the head of Aljo when he had the chance for top position. Uh oh...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Got it. Thanks. And appreciate your posts each event. Great work!

No problem man. Hope you cash your open parlay.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Range giving Johns fits. Not showing his usual pressure. Rookie mistake holding on to the head of Aljo when he had the chance for top position. Uh oh...

Yeah that was.

[Hugo de Naranja]

After like 10 UFC fights, Sterling's striking is FINALLY improving.

[Shagdogy]

After like 10 UFC fights, Sterling's striking is FINALLY improving.

Yup. And Brett Johns looking very very tentative. The range seems to have thrown him off and he's not opening up with his standup, nor is he closing distance his typical way. Nice performance from Aljo. Wrong about Johns here.

At this point I think Johns has to start throwing bombs to try to change this fight.

[Thrilla]

Johns got chin though

[the1yankee]

Well another black chip cashes vs the soft white guys

[BIGDAY]

Good round for Sterling.

[PaperTrail07]

2-0 Sterling

[Shagdogy]

Johns got chin though

Yup and that's about it so far. Needs to try to force a brawl in round 3 and see what happens. If he lands a TD he can win a round but not the fight. Balls to the wall brawl or nothing. Go out on your sword here Brett boy.