TUF 9 Plays

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    TUF 9 Plays
    If you made it through the 9th season of The Ultimate Fighter, you are probably a fan of the movie ‘Snatch.’ Team USA vs. Team UK brought us some great fights, but even Brad Pitt’s Mickey O’Neil character in the film would’ve been struggling to understand what some of the Brits were saying most of the time. Juno ut I mine Mate?

    Despite the occasional mass confusion, I still thought it was an entertaining enough year that could yield one or two future household name type guys. The rivalry between coaches Dan Henderson and Michael Bisping was non-existent, but it will be fun to see the overrated Bisping get beat up at UFC 100. But for now, here is my look at the Finale show on Saturday evening.


    Diego Sanchez -320
    Clay Guida +260

    There have been rumblings of Sanchez (22-2-0) facing the winner of the B.J. Penn – Kenny Florian fight once he defeats Guida (25-6-0). Now I know that Diego is a bad man and a heavy favorite to come out victorious here, but let’s all calm down for just a second.

    Possibly the most intense dude in the UFC, Sanchez should be a heavy favorite here. As if he needed anymore help achieving his goals, he’s even taken on the guidance of world renowned goofball motivator Tony Robbins! What can’t these two accomplish together? “Nightmare” Sanchez really is a nut job though. Did you know that he used to work for UPS? Just look at his picture. Could you imagine this guy showing up at your door? “Sign for the PACKAGE...NOW!!!” Once you hesitate from the instant fear, he smashes you over the head with the box, puts you in an arm bar and UPS only insures up to $100. I’m glad he found MMA.

    What can Diego do for you?


    As for Guida, he’s been getting knocked around by fans lately for putting on “boring” fights. He was involved in two really great bouts against Roger Huerta and Tyson Griffin, but lost both. Now he has made some adjustments and won three straight, but it translates into a boring style – most notably in his last fight where he laid on top of Nate Diaz for most of the fight to earn the lackluster split decision victory.

    Winning is less than half the battle in the UFC. If your fights are putting fans to sleep, you can be 10-0 and Dana White will send you packing. Guida has to realize this, and be ready to match Sanchez’s intensity throughout. At least I hope he realizes this, because I’m playing him. Sanchez is the man, but Guida at those odds are too good to pass up for yours truly. Plus, I’m loyal to anyone who could finally take out my nemesis Nate Diaz, for life.

    DeMarques Johnson -385
    James Wilks +295

    When I first saw Johnson (14-6-0) in his preliminary fight to earn his way into the house, I said out loud that he was going to be the welterweight winner. I’m not wavering on that belief now. I think that DeMarques will be the biggest star to emerge from this cast. He has no nickname as of yet, but I’d like to suggest “Beeps” for him. Never in the history of the show has anyone cussed so much. With all the Maury Povich beeps whenever he would talk, he was almost as hard to understand as the Brits.

    As for James Wilks (6-2-0), he has a really cool name. Sounds like someone from the 70’s wearing a leather hat with a feather in it who would never get dissed by a lady. He made it to the finals by beating up a game Frank Lester twice. I do like his fighting style, but I think DeMarques has what it takes to win the show.

    Andre Winner -245
    Ross Pearson +185

    Poor Ross Pearson (10-3-1) looks like Sloth from ‘Goonies’ and he once enrolled in college to become a bricklayer. Does it get much worse than that?

    Yes, yes it does. Andre Winner (10-2-1) is my play for the lightweight TUF champ. By the way, this show gave us a Winner (Andre) and a Dollar (Cameron). Thanks guys!

    Team U.K.


    Nate Diaz -155
    Joe Stevenson +135

    As best I can tell, pigs are not flying, and hell hath not frozen over. Regardless, I am putting money on the dreaded Diaz brothers in the same month. A few weeks ago I won on Nick in Strikeforce, and believe it or not, I’m taking my most hated fighter, Nick Diaz (10-3-0) tonight. Sound the alarms, I’ve gone mad!

    “Daddy” Stevenson (34-10-0) set the UFC ablaze when he arrived, gaining a 5-1 record. Since then he has dropped three of four, all to quality opponents (Penn, Florian, Sanchez). He hasn’t really been the same since getting completely mauled by B.J. Penn. Sad to say it, but I think his slide continues.

    I can’t stand Nate Diaz, but I know his game inside out from rooting against him for so long. What he lacks in the power category, this lanky Gracie jiu-jitsu standout will compensate for with his wide array of submissions. When he is on his back and his legs start swinging all over the place is when he is at his best. Diaz has a 5 inch height advantage on Stevenson, and should be able to avoid his power until he figures out a way to submit him. It pains me to say it but, go Nate Diaz?

    I lost money on this


    Nick Osipczak -240
    Frank Lester +180

    Osipczak (3-0-0) showed some skills on the show until he met up with the dominant DeMarques Johnson. But even in that fight, he was able to rock DeMarques a couple of times before succumbing. And guess what he did before he became a fighter…He was a professional gambler! He knows his odds and probably has his entire family laying down the rent on him. Either that or he’ll throw the fight to settle an old debt? Oh no.

    Lester (3-2-0) showed tons of heart. After getting beat to a pulp by Wilks, he was an injury sub and was able to beat Daniel Faulkner, who some considered the Brits biggest threat. Unfortunately that earned him the right to get beat up by Wilks again, but he did hang tough for awhile.

    But poor Frank Lester’s UFC profile page looks like someone spent maybe 2 minutes on it. He’s listed as being 5’1” and his favorite grappling technique as “Overhand right” and favorite striking technique as “Rear naked choke.” Poor Frank. I think he’ll be gone soon. But he’s sure got heart!
  • brooks85
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-05-09
    • 44709

    #2
    Guida at +260 is a great bet, if i had any brains id play it. I want to play guillard too but i just dont think he will win. Im going to bet stevenson but since im like the Diaz bros haha, i wouldnt mind seeing joe daddy getting wrapped up.
    Comment
    • brooks85
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-05-09
      • 44709

      #3
      damnt just read Ciesnolevicz is 2lbs heavy and has 2 hours to cut it. He better get it done, i want to see that fight. Depending how tonight goes, im going to bet drwal.
      Comment
      • The HOFF
        SBR MVP
        • 07-02-08
        • 4847

        #4
        Bread, it's ok. You are not alone. I bet on Nate Diaz too, a lot, don't tell anyone.
        Comment
        • The HOFF
          SBR MVP
          • 07-02-08
          • 4847

          #5
          Originally posted by brooks85
          damnt just read Ciesnolevicz is 2lbs heavy and has 2 hours to cut it. He better get it done, i want to see that fight. Depending how tonight goes, im going to bet drwal.
          I bet Drwal before the weigh-ins and I like it even better now. Ciesnolevicz was supposedly trying to cut 14 lbs as of Thursday night. He should be pretty exhausted come fight time.
          Comment
          • brooks85
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-05-09
            • 44709

            #6
            im on drwal +110, i hope it makes the broadcast
            Comment
            • brooks85
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-05-09
              • 44709

              #7
              wow guida peaked at +290 on 5dimes
              Comment
              • Robyn
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-05-08
                • 9681

                #8
                Here are my picks for tonight:

                Sanchez
                Johnson
                Lytle
                Pearson
                Stevenson (i just can't bet on Diaz)
                Tibau
                Blackburn
                Drwal
                Osipczak
                Dollar
                Comment
                • brooks85
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 44709

                  #9
                  im betting sanchez,lytle,stevenson,tibau and drwal also. I expect a good night.

                  picks for the fights are

                  sanchez
                  johnson
                  lytle
                  winner
                  stevenson
                  tibau
                  blackburn
                  drwal
                  Osipczak
                  dent
                  Comment
                  • Robyn
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-05-08
                    • 9681

                    #10
                    Here's to MONEY!
                    Comment
                    • Skanless1
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-15-08
                      • 706

                      #11
                      that nate submission was classic. i forget who he was fighting in that fight though.

                      i think this may end being a VERY chalky event.
                      Comment
                      • brooks85
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 44709

                        #12
                        U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 352 Diego Sanchez -300 for Fight Lines Jun 20 10:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 354 Joe Stevenson +135 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 364 Andre Winner -230 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 367 Gleison Tibau -260 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 370 Brad Blackburn -130 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 372 Tomasz Drwal -105 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 376 Nick Osipczak -240 for Fight Lines Jun 20 08:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 357 Kevin Burns +200 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 361 Marques Johnson -350 for Fight Lines Jun 20 07:10 PM EST - Baseball MLB - 966 New York Yankees / Florida Marlins Under 8 -120 for Game - Pitcher Options: A.J. Burnett - R must start / Josh Johnson - R must start

                        5 to win 1072

                        watch it lose on the mlb bet

                        added
                        Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 361 Marques Johnson -350 for Fight Lines Jun 20 05:00 PM EST - Boxing Boxing - 8101 Wladimir Klitschko -800 for Fight Lines Jun 20 06:00 PM EST - U.F.C. Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale - 376 Nick Osipczak

                        50 to win 52.45

                        and 100 on stevenson +135
                        Comment
                        • Robyn
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-05-08
                          • 9681

                          #13
                          Johnson sure better win. I actually initially picked Wilks but edited my initial post. I almost changed my mind on Diaz, too....but I hate him so much I just can't put money on him.
                          Comment
                          • brooks85
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-05-09
                            • 44709

                            #14
                            no doubt in my mind who should be the underdog in stevenson/diaz. Both diaz bros struggle against guys who can control them. Their wrestling is their weakness. Also, the experience factor isn't even close. Nate doesnt hit hard like kflo, diego or bj. And doesnt have the same pace as kflo or diego. Stevenson hasn;t been ko'd in 10 years. I feel real good about this one, especially getting stevenson +135
                            Comment
                            • Robyn
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-05-08
                              • 9681

                              #15
                              I am not worried about Stevenson getting KO'd....it's Diaz's submissions that are deadly. If Stevenson finds himself on his back, he could be in some trouble.
                              Comment
                              • Robyn
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-05-08
                                • 9681

                                #16


                                Also, sooner or later, this guy is going to have to cut his hair...or wear chick braids.
                                Comment
                                • brooks85
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 44709

                                  #17
                                  So easy a clayman can do it
                                  Comment
                                  • Bread
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-16-08
                                    • 23726

                                    #18
                                    I must finally have a better record than Rubyn. I simply must!
                                    Comment
                                    • Robyn
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-05-08
                                      • 9681

                                      #19
                                      nnnnnnnnnnNO!
                                      Comment
                                      • Robyn
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-05-08
                                        • 9681

                                        #20
                                        Ok, I just added a parlay on Duhhhhmarcus Johnson and Pearson. Damn you bread. Every time I start getting greedy, I lose my ass.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bread
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-16-08
                                          • 23726

                                          #21
                                          Guida 1 unit
                                          Lytle 2 units
                                          Winner (undecided how much yet. 1 or 2 units)
                                          Diaz 2 units

                                          Guillard 1 unit
                                          Garcia 1 unit
                                          Ospiczak 2 units

                                          parlay
                                          winner
                                          guillard
                                          garcia
                                          osipczak
                                          1 unit to win 12.5 units.

                                          if guillard costs me that parlay i will snap snap!
                                          Comment
                                          • Riot
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-16-09
                                            • 437

                                            #22
                                            Lol my card is whack !


                                            my parlay is

                                            Sanchez
                                            Diaz
                                            Lytle
                                            Johnson
                                            winner
                                            Tibau
                                            Osipczak
                                            DenT -
                                            im risking 50 to win 665

                                            But i covered down for upsets

                                            i took 50 on Guida +260
                                            50 on Stevenson +140
                                            50 on wilkes +275
                                            50 on Guillard +215
                                            100 on Dwarl +110
                                            210 on Osipczak (former pro gambler !)



                                            i dont know guys, lack of preperation and i went nuts for this one. i dont know must of these guys, so it should be exciting !!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Bread
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-16-08
                                              • 23726

                                              #23
                                              I'm gonna start to refrain from looking at these threads in fear of catching a spoiler.

                                              Will probably do an in-game thread tonight for anyone interested. So we can win and lose..together. AWWWW!!
                                              Comment
                                              • brooks85
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-05-09
                                                • 44709

                                                #24
                                                ill make sure i keep my fingers away from the keyboard come fight time lol]

                                                btw did you read up on the BFC fights? I hope there is a feed later, they sounded great
                                                Comment
                                                • illmatick
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 5456

                                                  #25
                                                  hey brooks, how much longer till the first fight starts?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brooks85
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-05-09
                                                    • 44709

                                                    #26
                                                    30 mins until the undercard
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brooks85
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 44709

                                                      #27
                                                      either my spanish sucks or these guys are ****ing with me haha but i think this will be a feed for the BFC show starts at 9est. broadcast will be in spanish

                                                      Comment
                                                      • tsilvetti
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 156

                                                        #28
                                                        Booked.

                                                        Guida at +270 $500 for $1850
                                                        stevenson +130 $250 for $575
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bread
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-16-08
                                                          • 23726

                                                          #29
                                                          in game thread. no spoilers

                                                          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tsilvetti
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 156

                                                            #30
                                                            1-0 so far , lets go GUIDA! Upset baby!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The HOFF
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-02-08
                                                              • 4847

                                                              #31
                                                              If I can just vent for a little bit...

                                                              Nate Diaz you F****** piece of S***.

                                                              There, all done.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Robyn
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-05-08
                                                                • 9681

                                                                #32
                                                                Hoff, we were having a great day up until Nate Diaz lost. Bread lost all heart in the rest of the fights and went to bed.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Eccocide
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 2126

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by The HOFF
                                                                  If I can just vent for a little bit...

                                                                  Nate Diaz you F****** piece of S***.

                                                                  There, all done.
                                                                  I feel your pain. Can we please get some old-school Pride yellow cards in the UFC??? I'm tired of these types of wrestlers who do no damage and just lay-and-pray! DIE STEVENSON DIE!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • illmatick
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-05-09
                                                                    • 5456

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Riot
                                                                    Lol my card is whack !


                                                                    my parlay is

                                                                    Sanchez
                                                                    Diaz
                                                                    Lytle
                                                                    Johnson
                                                                    winner
                                                                    Tibau
                                                                    Osipczak
                                                                    DenT -
                                                                    im risking 50 to win 665

                                                                    But i covered down for upsets

                                                                    i took 50 on Guida +260
                                                                    50 on Stevenson +140
                                                                    50 on wilkes +275
                                                                    50 on Guillard +215
                                                                    100 on Dwarl +110
                                                                    210 on Osipczak (former pro gambler !)



                                                                    i dont know guys, lack of preperation and i went nuts for this one. i dont know must of these guys, so it should be exciting !!!!

                                                                    nice job riot, Guillard and Wilks were must plays
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The HOFF
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-02-08
                                                                      • 4847

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Robyn
                                                                      Hoff, we were having a great day up until Nate Diaz lost. Bread lost all heart in the rest of the fights and went to bed.
                                                                      Looks as if you had another spectacular night. Bread and I should just burn some money and let some one kick us in the junk instead of betting MMA.

                                                                      I ended the night ok because of Drwal and Guillard. Diaz blew a big parlay and then I lost a few on him straight up.
                                                                      Comment
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