UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum (March 11, 2017)

**PaperTrail07** · 03-12-17, 12:54 AM

Man......that was the best sub chance...

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 03-12-17, 12:55 AM

Silence......

**PaperTrail07** · 03-12-17, 12:55 AM

Damn......destroyed him...Ill take it

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 12:56 AM

Belfort had a few moments but Gastelum overcame him and fought smart

**GunShard** · 03-12-17, 12:56 AM

The opposite of the Woodley Thompson fight.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 12:56 AM

Solid winning night for me! On to the next.

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 12:57 AM

Yep.. Ko was the call.. Vitor at 40 that chin is shot... I did have ITD but was hoping for the sub.. Should have taken the KO.. It was just a matter of time.. Gas is the young dude with a good chin too.. Vitor never had a chance..

**GunShard** · 03-12-17, 12:57 AM

Gastelum trains with Ferguson. Clearly he is a heavy favorite for a reason.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by GunShard

The opposite of the Woodley Thompson fight.

Yup. A lot of solid fights on this card. Good matchmaking.

**Shagdogy** · 03-12-17, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Solid winning night for me! On to the next.

**Sanity Check** · 03-12-17, 12:57 AM

Vitor looked much sharper and more powerful than he did in his last two fights.

Kelvin just too much though.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Yep.. Ko was the call.. Vitor at 40 that chin is shot... I did have ITD but was hoping for the sub.. Should have taken the KO.. It was just a matter of time.. Gas is the young dude with a good chin too.. Vitor never had a chance..

Disagree that he never had a chance. Vitor still fast and powerful. He landed a few big shots

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 12:58 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Solid winning night for me! On to the next.

Good job Hugo I tanked this event.. Glad ya won!!!!

**Shagdogy** · 03-12-17, 12:58 AM

Vitor still showed some real good hand speed. Lacked power though. Didn't have much of a shot against Gas there.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-12-17, 12:58 AM

Not good for me either....too many parlays and dumb hedges...

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Disagree that he never had a chance. Vitor still fast and powerful. He landed a few big shots

Have you ever seen Gas wobbled or rocked in fights I haven't so I say Vitor never had a chance.. I guess if he landed a clean shot then maybe, but he didn't.. End of story..

Young mans sport.. Vitor needs to hang them up..

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 01:05 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Good job Hugo I tanked this event.. Glad ya won!!!!

Thanks bud. I know you'll crush the next one. We all have bad night now and again.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 01:06 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Have you ever seen Gas wobbled or rocked in fights I haven't so I say Vitor never had a chance.. I guess if he landed a clean shot then maybe, but he didn't.. End of story..

Young mans sport.. Vitor needs to hang them up..

He was against Woodley

**Sanity Check** · 03-12-17, 01:07 AM

Kelvin is like a smaller version of Cain Velasquez.

Same relentless pressure. Same endless cardio. Give him some credit. He could be a future champ.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 01:11 AM

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Picks:
Paulo Borrachinha Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Jeremy Kennedy Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Rani Yahya Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Sergio Moraes Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Kevin Lee Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Knees and Punches)
Bethe Correia Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29) -> DRAW
Ray Borg Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Edson Barboza Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Mauricio Rua Round 2 {T}KO (Punches)
Kelvin Gastelum Round 2 TKO (Punches)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 01:11 AM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Kelvin is like a smaller version of Cain Velasquez.

Same relentless pressure. Same endless cardio. Give him some credit. He could be a future champ.

Interesting comparison

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-12-17, 01:12 AM

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Kelvin Gastelum ($9,500) 126 Points
Tim Means ($9,000) 7.5 Points
Kevin Lee ($8,300) 91.5 Points
Bethe Correia ($8,000) 34.5 Points
Ray Borg ($7,800) 56 Points
Davi Ramos ($7,400) 17.5 Points

Risk: 1u
Total Points: 333 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -1u

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Paulo Borrachinha ($9,100) 111 Points
Tim Means ($9,000) 7.5 Points
Michel Prazeres ($8,900) 118 Points
Edson Barboza ($8,700) 95 Points
Davi Ramos ($7,400) 17.5 Points
Vitor Belfort ($6,700) 5 Points

Risk: .2u
Total Points: 354 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -.2u

**Shagdogy** · 03-12-17, 01:16 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Costa 3u, -285
Lee 3u, -185
Means 1.8u, -180
Borg 1.27u, -127

That's it for now. Good luck.

Card Total: 3-1, +1.87u

2017 YTD: 28-15, +15.18u

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Kelvin is like a smaller version of Cain Velasquez.

Same relentless pressure. Same endless cardio. Give him some credit. He could be a future champ.

Agreed..

**rsynweap84** · 03-12-17, 08:04 AM

A most entertaining fight! Winnings was le' cherry on top! Definitely much better than the PPV's, I'm liking these FOX/FS1/Fightpass fights more and more since 200. UFC 200 was crap, compared to the two fights before it that week. Seems like these guys in these fights are more likely to go for it with everything they got, instead of being cautious and holding back like on the PPV's. Great event!

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 11:01 AM

Yep going over the numbers now and it's not looking good!!!

I won the first 2 fights on the card and won the last 2 fights on the card with Gas and Shogun and that helped a bit. Hit the chick fight also with Reneau and that's it, lost every other fight on this card

... Probably lost around $500 - $600 on every account..

Not the end of the world as I'm still up from last event winnings but I did get murdered with this event. The Tim Means and Yahya losses really killed me....Focking Brazilian card worked my shiiit over

.....

The fights that I changed my mind on I lost. I originally was on Edson Barboza and Kevin Lee as I should have stuck with my initial leans after capping.. Oh well..

Congrats to everyone who won this event, very impressive work...

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Leaning Kevin Lee because of his wrestling but worried about a decision robbery in Brazil... Probably still going with Lee by decision..

There's a chance Lee can get a submission win here as well..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Kevin-Lee-84342

My initial lean was Kevin Lee and by sub.. Kicking myself now for changing my mind and going with Trinaldo just because he was fighting Brazil.. This one fight that may have changed my outcome on this event.. I'm sure that Kevin Lee win by Sub prop for $100 would have paid off big...

No use crying over spilled milk but just saying you should probably always go with your initial gut when it comes to MMA or Boxing..

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-12-17, 02:33 PM

Are you going to make baseball thread?

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Are you going to make baseball thread?

No those days are over Beelz. I only share in MMA..

Can't give away all my secret betting plays with sports gambling, I am excited to start playing MLB again though I can't lie.

That's always been my bread and butter over the years..

**Shagdogy** · 03-12-17, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

No those days are over Beelz. I only share in MMA..

Can't give away all my secret betting plays with sports gambling, I am excited to start playing MLB again though I can't lie.

That's always been my bread and butter over the years..

Do you just play a system? I barely have time to do enough research just for MMA. Had to give up other sports.

**JIBBBY** · 03-12-17, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Do you just play a system? I barely have time to do enough research just for MMA. Had to give up other sports.

Yes I do.. Basically MMA takes the least time for me because I already know all the fighters.. Just read a few recent articles, watch last fighter vids if I don't remember them, fighter recent trends with sherdog record checking, I then look for the best and most likely props to land at best value and go with it.. Hedge when I'm on the fence. (I should have done more hedging with this event actually looking back now)

MMA is easy compared to other sports when capping IMO...

Baseball it's all about trends same with NBA and NHL.... Very time consuming and you gotta tune into the daily player news reports also.. NBA TV helps alot so does NHL and MLB TV news.. Hit those shows up every night before I go to bed.. Record and fast forward thru the commercials to save time.. Who's healthy and not, which teams are hot and not.. Past match ups, etc.. All helps with capping.

With MLB I concentrate on pitcher performance more then anything else.. Hot teams with hot bats as well. Slumping teams and pitchers as well to fade.. It's not rocket science just work...

**PaperTrail07** · 03-13-17, 11:58 AM

JIBBER you get HOT in MLB let me know...lol...not a great card for me either...

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Yes I do.. Basically MMA takes the least time for me because I already know all the fighters.. Just read a few recent articles, watch last fighter vids if I don't remember them, fighter recent trends with sherdog record checking, I then look for the best and most likely props to land at best value and go with it.. Hedge when I'm on the fence. (I should have done more hedging with this event actually looking back now)

MMA is easy compared to other sports when capping IMO...

Baseball it's all about trends same with NBA and NHL.... Very time consuming and you gotta tune into the daily player news reports also.. NBA TV helps alot so does NHL and MLB TV news.. Hit those shows up every night before I go to bed.. Record and fast forward thru the commercials to save time.. Who's healthy and not, which teams are hot and not.. Past match ups, etc.. All helps with capping.

With MLB I concentrate on pitcher performance more then anything else.. Hot teams with hot bats as well. Slumping teams and pitchers as well to fade.. It's not rocket science just work...

**JIBBBY** · 03-13-17, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

JIBBER you get HOT in MLB let me know...lol...not a great card for me either...

It's gonna be a while Paper as I typically don't play the first 2 weeks of any sport as you just can't get a feel for the teams play when the seasons first start... Not alot of trends to help cap either..

**PaperTrail07** · 03-13-17, 12:51 PM

For sure....BUT...just fade the reds lol...

Originally posted by JIBBBY

It's gonna be a while Paper as I typically don't play the first 2 weeks of any sport as you just can't get a feel for the teams play when the seasons first start... Not alot of trends to help cap either..

**Igor_1965** · 03-13-17, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Card Total: 3-1, +1.87u

2017 YTD: 28-15, +15.18u

good job thanks