UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs. Thompson (June 18, 2016)

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  • Thrilla
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-15
    • 13809

    #106
    Covington C. - Meunier J.

    Any value in under 2.5 rounds or no dist if we look at Meunier's 0%dec 7-0-0 record. Colby covington 8-1-0 (38%dec)
    under 2.5 rounds currently @ +145 (5dimes)
    no distance @ +115 (5dimes)

    - Meunier UFC debutant and takes the fight on short notice!


    Whats your take on this?
    Last edited by Thrilla; 06-18-16, 07:16 AM.
    Comment
    • Thrilla
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-10-15
      • 13809

      #107
      Jonny Greenwood (2-3-0) is a Amateur MMA Fighter out of England. View complete Tapology profile, bio, rankings, photos, news and record.












      Meunier vs Yannis Jacquet

      Last edited by Thrilla; 06-18-16, 08:43 AM.
      Comment
      • mirinquads
        SBR MVP
        • 04-22-13
        • 3927

        #108
        Covington sub +300.
        Comment
        • Thrilla
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-10-15
          • 13809

          #109
          Weigh-in

          Comment
          • Ultimatemeatball
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-03-16
            • 131

            #110
            Saggo line dropped significantly.
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83693

              #111
              Originally posted by mirinquads
              Covington sub +300.
              Played it safer.. Just in case.. 25% of his wins have come by KO..

              $100.00 $250.00 Pending 6/18/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2109 Covington wins inside distance +250* vs Not Covington inside distance
              UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



              Colby
              Covington
              vs
              Jonathan
              Meunier
              "The French Spider"

              USA
              Country
              CANADA

              8-1-0
              Record
              7-0-0

              25%
              KO/TKO
              71%

              38%
              SUB
              29%

              38%
              DEC
              0%

              71 in
              Height
              75 in

              170 lbs
              Weight
              170 lbs

              72 in
              Reach
              75 in

              41 in
              Leg Reach
              0 in
              Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-18-16, 10:44 AM.
              Comment
              • JIBBBY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-10-09
                • 83693

                #112
                Originally posted by Thrilla
                Covington C. - Meunier J.

                Any value in under 2.5 rounds or no dist if we look at Meunier's 0%dec 7-0-0 record. Colby covington 8-1-0 (38%dec)
                under 2.5 rounds currently @ +145 (5dimes)
                no distance @ +115 (5dimes)

                - Meunier UFC debutant and takes the fight on short notice!


                Whats your take on this?
                The U2.5 at +145 seems like a solid bet to me... I hit is as well for a benny..
                Comment
                • Thrilla
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-10-15
                  • 13809

                  #113
                  Originally posted by mirinquads
                  Covington sub +300.
                  Meunier has a few choke hold wins in his MMA record. There is risk of Covington exposing his neck trying to take down Meunier who's height might be an advantage in takedown defence.
                  Though Meunier looked skinny @ weigh-ins compared to his shape in the fight video's posted. Short notice or perhaps weight cut could be the reason.
                  Last edited by Thrilla; 06-18-16, 02:33 PM.
                  Comment
                  • JC2008
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-08
                    • 2258

                    #114
                    Meunier is undefeated and fighting at home basically, as Montreal and Ottawa are about 2 hours apart, give-or-take... I could see him winning a decision, as well.
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83693

                      #115
                      Originally posted by JC2008
                      Meunier is undefeated and fighting at home basically, as Montreal and Ottawa are about 2 hours apart, give-or-take... I could see him winning a decision, as well.
                      Going by the numbers JC..

                      Meurnier has never fought past the 2nd round, this is his UFC debut.. Gotta question the level of comp he's faced so far in the lessor organizations also..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jonathan-Meunier-146567

                      Also Colby has only gone to decision 1 time in 4 of his last UFC fights. He's fought some stiffer competition, and he just got choked out so I doubt he'll get choked out again in this rebound fight. Most fighters learn from their losses.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Colby-Covington-57269

                      Hey, but ya never know as anything is possible and does happen in the cage..
                      Comment
                      • JC2008
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-08
                        • 2258

                        #116
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        Going by the numbers JC..

                        Meurnier has never fought past the 2nd round, this is his UFC debut.. Gotta question the level of comp he's faced so far in the lessor organizations also..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jonathan-Meunier-146567

                        Also Colby has only gone to decision 1 time in 4 of his last UFC fights. He's fought some stiffer competition, and he just got choked out so I doubt he'll get choked out again in this rebound fight. Most fighters learn from their losses.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Colby-Covington-57269

                        Hey, but ya never know as anything is possible and does happen in the cage..
                        Fair enough. Colvington parlayed with Cirkunov may be worth a look, as well as Cirkunov round 3 +1200.
                        Last edited by JC2008; 06-18-16, 11:40 AM.
                        Comment
                        • JIBBBY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 83693

                          #117
                          Anyone got a beat on this chick fight?

                          Only fight I didn't cap or bet on yet.. Thinking I was gonna take a pass but now I want to play it but am clueless.. Didn't watch vids and don't really know these chicks.. Did sherdog the fight and tried to go by the numbers but drew a blank.. Maybe fight goes the distance? Valerie by decision perhaps?

                          1403 Calderwood / Letourneau goes 3 rnd dist -290
                          1411 Letourneau wins by 3 round decision
                          +118
                          125lb Catchweight Bout



                          Valerie
                          Letourneau
                          "Trouble"
                          vs
                          Joanne
                          Calderwood
                          "JoJo"

                          CANADA
                          Country
                          SCOTLAND

                          8-4-0
                          Record
                          10-1-0

                          50%
                          KO/TKO
                          40%

                          13%
                          SUB
                          0%

                          25%
                          DEC
                          60%

                          67 in
                          Height
                          66 in

                          125 lbs
                          Weight
                          125 lbs

                          68 in
                          Reach
                          65 in

                          37 in
                          Leg Reach
                          38 in
                          Comment
                          • MMA_Oracle
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 07-14-15
                            • 170

                            #118
                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                            Anyone got a beat on this chick fight?

                            Only fight I didn't cap or bet on yet.. Thinking I was gonna take a pass but now I want to play it but am clueless.. Didn't watch vids and don't really know these chicks.. Did sherdog the fight and tried to go by the numbers but drew a blank.. Maybe fight goes the distance? Valerie by decision perhaps?

                            1403 Calderwood / Letourneau goes 3 rnd dist -290
                            1411 Letourneau wins by 3 round decision
                            +118
                            125lb Catchweight Bout



                            Valerie
                            Letourneau
                            "Trouble"
                            vs
                            Joanne
                            Calderwood
                            "JoJo"

                            CANADA
                            Country
                            SCOTLAND

                            8-4-0
                            Record
                            10-1-0

                            50%
                            KO/TKO
                            40%

                            13%
                            SUB
                            0%

                            25%
                            DEC
                            60%

                            67 in
                            Height
                            66 in

                            125 lbs
                            Weight
                            125 lbs

                            68 in
                            Reach
                            65 in

                            37 in
                            Leg Reach
                            38 in
                            Calderwood isnt very good. Valerie has a decent chance to knock her out, though, so i'd be a bit weary of the decision prop
                            Comment
                            • firekillex
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-13
                              • 6420

                              #119
                              what ive learned from womens mma is to bet on the underdog everytime and be profitable haha
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #120
                                Originally posted by JC2008
                                Fair enough. Colvington parlayed with Cirkunov may be worth a look, as well as Cirkunov round 3 +1200.
                                Gotta fade the guys making their debut until they prove they can handle UFC level competition.
                                Comment
                                • blumpkin
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-16-11
                                  • 359

                                  #121
                                  I love Letourneua here at 125. Making 115 is so hard for her to make. She was respectable in her loss to JJ. Her other losses were to top competition in Claudia, Sarah Mac and one other. Jojo is very hittable and Valerie should control the fight.
                                  Comment
                                  • Thrilla
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-10-15
                                    • 13809

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                    The U2.5 at +145 seems like a solid bet to me... I hit is as well for a benny..
                                    no suprise here everytime I run down a under in the thread you seem to already have a bet on it. lol

                                    GL to us.
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83693

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by Thrilla
                                      no suprise here everytime I run down a under in the thread you seem to already have a bet on it. lol

                                      GL to us.
                                      Well I guess that is a good thing.. The numbers leaned to that being a very good bet for the odds, and you get all the props on that call.. All good Thrilla, let's just hope it hits!!

                                      $100.00
                                      $145.00 Pending 6/18/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Jonathan Meunier/Colby Covington Under 2½ +145*
                                      Comment
                                      • JC2008
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-08
                                        • 2258

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                        Gotta fade the guys making their debut until they prove they can handle UFC level competition.
                                        Not necessarily... Look at Josh Emmett vs. John Tuck last month, in Emmett's debut. I do agree in this instance though that Colvington should win.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hugo de Naranja
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-14-16
                                          • 14140

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by JC2008
                                          Not necessarily... Look at Josh Emmett vs. John Tuck last month, in Emmett's debut. I do agree in this instance though that Colvington should win.
                                          I think that taking guys with UFC experience against guys without especially at about even or plus odds (see Graves v. Brown or Harris v. East) is a positive EV strategy. Here the might not be as much value but I think Covington will get the win.
                                          Comment
                                          • JC2008
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-27-08
                                            • 2258

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                            I think that taking guys with UFC experience against guys without especially at about even or plus odds (see Graves v. Brown or Harris v. East) is a positive EV strategy. Here the might not be as much value but I think Covington will get the win.
                                            Well he dropped from -275 to -250 on bet365 which means the KO/TKO/DQ prop is at +200, I may be looking into that one for sure.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-14-16
                                              • 14140

                                              #127
                                              Picks for Tonight:
                                              Bagautinov Unanimous Decision
                                              Covington Rd 2 Submission
                                              Markos Split Decision
                                              Theodorou Unanimous Decision
                                              Beal Unanimous Decision
                                              Jotko Unanimous Decision
                                              Cirkunov Rd 2 Submission
                                              Saggo Rd 1 TKO
                                              Calderwood Unanimous Decision
                                              Aubin-Mercier Rd 1 Submission
                                              Bosse Rd 1 KO
                                              Cerrone Split Decision
                                              Thompson Rd 3 TKO
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83693

                                                #128
                                                This is looking like a favorite heavy card. Not seeing alot of dogs landing with this card like other past cards.. We see????

                                                Rory Mac is now the odds on favorite.. Wonderboy at +odds.. I don't really call that a dog hit though if Wonderboy wins at +105..
                                                Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-18-16, 01:58 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83693

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                  Gotta fade the guys making their debut until they prove they can handle UFC level competition.
                                                  A very good philosophy!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Thrilla
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-10-15
                                                    • 13809

                                                    #130
                                                    Elias Theodorou is so handsome. What a beautiful man.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83693

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                      Elias Theodorou is so handsome. What a beautiful man.
                                                      Gingers need love too



                                                      Elias
                                                      Theodorou
                                                      "The Spartan"
                                                      vs
                                                      Sam
                                                      Alvey
                                                      "Smile'N"

                                                      CANADA
                                                      Country
                                                      USA

                                                      12-1-0
                                                      Record
                                                      26-7-0, 1NC

                                                      55%
                                                      KO/TKO
                                                      68%

                                                      9%
                                                      SUB
                                                      8%

                                                      36%
                                                      DEC
                                                      28%

                                                      73 in
                                                      Height
                                                      74 in

                                                      185 lbs
                                                      Weight
                                                      185 lbs

                                                      75 in
                                                      Reach
                                                      75 in

                                                      40 in
                                                      Leg Reach
                                                      42 in
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lokihayze
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 03-16-16
                                                        • 92

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by firekillex
                                                        yup, another reason i was high on rory .. good eye
                                                        Thanks man. Weidman is also married to wonderboys sister and during his camp for rockhold (before he got hurt) he was away from home which means away from his wife AND wonderboy. So potentially he hasn't been training with wonderboys much over the past 3 months.
                                                        Even 2-3 months can make a huge difference as look as Nate Diaz fighting Johnson and then shortly after fighting Conor. He even said it himself 'with a camp
                                                        I wouldn't have been hit'.
                                                        So... It's a legit concern. Not like he hasn't been out of wonderboys training for so little time that it wouldn't matter (a week or 2)
                                                        Tried to tell a couple of blokes this and they think it won't matter. We will see
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lokihayze
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 03-16-16
                                                          • 92

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Deceptakhan
                                                          mentally, i think Rory has more weight on his shoulders, expecting a lil girl in a couple weeks, hasnt faught in a year, Bellator is just waiting to throw a big number at him, wonderboy has his sights on the belt, gonna be a great fight, i really dig both these guys
                                                          Not to be a prick but Rory isn't an emotional guy. People even say he reminds them of a serial killer. I think he's got Aspergers or something similar which is why he's such an amazing fighter, they usually are incredibly clever and focus on 1 or 2 things and obsess on it.
                                                          They're just socially awkward really.
                                                          Don't show emotions etc. when is Rory ever emotional? He will just lock it away in the back of his mind that he has to provide for a kid now, won't really hit him emotionally like having a kid would hit Weidman or bisping.
                                                          He doesn't get all emotional. Watch him talk after fights etc you'll see. I wouldn't put too much stock in him being affected by it.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • HurlSweatPants
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 07-28-15
                                                            • 951

                                                            #134
                                                            Lets get it Hugo!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JC2008
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-27-08
                                                              • 2258

                                                              #135
                                                              If anything, a kid on the way would be motivating.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ty$
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-20-16
                                                                • 1241

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                This is looking like a favorite heavy card. Not seeing alot of dogs landing with this card like other past cards.. We see????

                                                                Rory Mac is now the odds on favorite.. Wonderboy at +odds.. I don't really call that a dog hit though if Wonderboy wins at +105..

                                                                How many cards have you thought the faves would dominate? This shit is 50/50 it's fighting... Don't be Scared Homies ... Play the dogs and win big!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BIGDAY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 02-17-10
                                                                  • 48245

                                                                  #137
                                                                  It's FIGHT NIGHT!!

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Heyeverybody99
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 04-25-15
                                                                    • 584

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                                                    It's FIGHT NIGHT!!


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83693

                                                                      #139
                                                                      GAME TIME!!!! Let's do this boys!!!

                                                                      Taking the early dog in this first fight.. Should be a tightly contested fight one way or the other so at those +235 I had to try it.. Russian is tough as nails though...



                                                                      Ali
                                                                      Bagautinov
                                                                      "Puncher"
                                                                      vs
                                                                      Geane
                                                                      Herrera
                                                                      "The Revolutionary"

                                                                      RUSSIA
                                                                      Country
                                                                      USA

                                                                      13-4-0
                                                                      Record
                                                                      9-1-0

                                                                      38%
                                                                      KO/TKO
                                                                      22%

                                                                      31%
                                                                      SUB
                                                                      56%

                                                                      31%
                                                                      DEC
                                                                      22%

                                                                      64 in
                                                                      Height
                                                                      65 in

                                                                      125 lbs
                                                                      Weight
                                                                      125 lbs

                                                                      65 in
                                                                      Reach
                                                                      66 in

                                                                      36 in
                                                                      Leg Reach
                                                                      36 in
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Heyeverybody99
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 04-25-15
                                                                        • 584

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Cote +135 to the promise land.

                                                                        Cote in round 1 +900

                                                                        Letourneau -150

                                                                        Saggo -115

                                                                        Come at me bros
                                                                        Comment
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