JoshKnows Ufc 196: Mcgregor vs Diaz

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Erik Silva isnt training with bums in Brazil anymore, he's at Kings working with Machida, RDA, Cordeiro and co. IF he loses to Nordine friggin Taleb he may as well retire

Its a good stylistic matchup, taleb is hard to finish, bigger guy, better cardio, better wrestling, it's well worth a half a unit at 3 to 1 with a made path to victory. Look for him to tire out silva with the grappling and win a clear unanimous dec. It's more a fade on silva, then it is a ringing endorsement on taleb. I'll keep fading silva till he proves it post drug testing. Was def taleb or no play. Kings mma doesn't worry me. Tristar has been on a bit of a losing streak however, and silva does look in better shape, cut me from 1.5 units on taleb to only a half unit.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 01:07 PM

Added
Miller -135 risking $600

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 02:05 PM

Shit lines, thought they would be better.
Added:
Mcgregor finishes in the 3rd +525 risking $100
Mcgregor/diaz starts round 2 -225 $562.50 to win $250

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 02:08 PM

Still very nice IMO..

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Shit lines, thought they would be better.
Added:
Mcgregor finishes in the 3rd +525 risking $100
Mcgregor/diaz starts round 2 -225 $562.50 to win $250

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 02:08 PM

They will talk and circle for 1/2 the first round...

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Still very nice IMO..

Yea I like that number, though I thought it would be 200 even... I was more referring to the rounds finished odds, expected atleast +900 on 3rd round finish, and +1600 on 4th.

**AliMMA** · 03-01-16, 02:28 PM

Think Villante vs Latifi will go over 1.5?

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by AliMMA

Think Villante vs Latifi will go over 1.5?

Meh not really Latifi likely ko's him in the first, lines about right, I'd give it a 50/50 shot to go over as the line suggest, no value to make a play either way, if Villante fights long and doesnt engage much, it's possible. I'd go with no play.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:09 PM

have to agree there...

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Yea I like that number, though I thought it would be 200 even... I was more referring to the rounds finished odds, expected atleast +900 on 3rd round finish, and +1600 on 4th.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:11 PM

I dunno....lo of time people expect fireworks there is NOTHING....I expect a VERY tentative first round...with late ATTEMPTS that arent landed, then they tie up/ maybe a takedown but doubt Latifi wont finish it there....Villante knows whats up....avoid that first 2:30 and its a cruise IMO...

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Meh not really Latifi likely ko's him in the first, lines about right, I'd give it a 50/50 shot to go over as the line suggest, no value to make a play either way, if Villante fights long and doesnt engage much, it's possible. I'd go with no play.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:12 PM

does it have as good of a chance as Silva/Taleb....absolutely not....i honestly cant see how that finishes at ALL lol...

**mirinquads** · 03-01-16, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

does it have as good of a chance as Silva/Taleb....absolutely not....i honestly cant see how that finishes at ALL lol...

All Silvas wins comes in rd1.. Not sure what you're on lately Paper, but you should lay off it bro.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by mirinquads

All Silvas wins comes in rd1.. Not sure what you're on lately Paper, but you should lay off it bro.

But at the same time, all of talebs fights go over the number set. Silva's a shell of his former self, which wasn't much to begin with. If you like over, you might as well bet taleb as well, silva only knows 1st round victorys.

**mirinquads** · 03-01-16, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

But at the same time, all of talebs fights go over the number set. Silva's a shell of his former self, which wasn't much to begin with. If you like over, you might as well bet taleb as well, silva only knows 1st round victorys.

That's the whole point. I doubt Silva wins if it goes over, so why not bet Taleb Dec?

I think theres a decent chance of a rd 1 Silva win too. Taleb is not very good, and Silva is, for the first 2 minutes.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:52 PM

I havent missed an over in quote some time....you thought I was crazy betting the over in the Roy nelson fight too....we saw how that went ..all 3 EASILY...

Originally posted by mirinquads

All Silvas wins comes in rd1.. Not sure what you're on lately Paper, but you should lay off it bro.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:54 PM

They will dance in circles for 1-2 mins....silva wont land the KO's shot...Over 1.5 in a cruise...wouldnt be shocked t see Taleb by decision...

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:56 PM

I think Taleb will last a tad longer than Koscheck ....

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 03:59 PM

I was INSANE for betting the over 2.5 in the Silva/Bis fight Too....BIS decision COULD NEVER HAPPEN!

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

I was INSANE for betting the over 2.5 in the Silva/Bis fight Too....BIS decision COULD NEVER HAPPEN!

Paper, mcgregor diaz to start the 2nd round is down to -185.

**PaperTrail07** · 03-01-16, 04:16 PM

Wow TY Sir....NOW is the time...

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Paper, mcgregor diaz to start the 2nd round is down to -185.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 04:29 PM

Latifi -210/mcdiaz starts 2nd round -185 $250 to win $318.53

**AliMMA** · 03-01-16, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

I dunno....lo of time people expect fireworks there is NOTHING....I expect a VERY tentative first round...with late ATTEMPTS that arent landed, then they tie up/ maybe a takedown but doubt Latifi wont finish it there....Villante knows whats up....avoid that first 2:30 and its a cruise IMO...

Hope your right!!

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Wow TY Sir....NOW is the time...

This is even better..

Added:
Not mcgregor in the 1st round -170 $170 to win $100

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 09:25 PM

Added:
Thatch finishes in round 1 +175 $150
Sanchez finishes in 3rd +1750 $100
Miller -140 $140 more

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 11:19 PM

Parlay:
Mcgregor wins inside the distance -295
Nunes -150
Risking $1000 to win $1231.74

Mcgregor itd is lower than mcgregor ko prop on 5Dimes.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-01-16, 11:37 PM

My Full Card:
Parlay:
Mcgregor wins inside the distance -295
Nunes -150
Risking $1000 to win $1231.74

Mcgregor finishes in the 3rd +525 risking $100
Mcgregor/diaz starts round 2 -225 $562.50 to win $250
Latifi -210/mcg-diaz starts 2nd round -185 $250 to win $318.53
Not mcgregor in the 1st round -170 $170 to win $100

Nunes +100/-155 risking $1200

Latifi -150/-210/-190 risking $1600

Holm finishes in 3rd round +875 $100
Holm finishes in 4th round +1300 $150
Holm finishes in 5th round +1900 $150

Vitor Miranda inside the distance -120/-130/-140 to win $300
Vitor Miranda -300 Risking $3000
Miranda/guim under 2.5 +110 $100
Miranda/guim fight doesn't go the distance -120 $120

Teruto Ishihara +200 risking $600

Taleb by dec +325 Risking $100
Taleb by dec +300 Risking $50

Corey Anderson by dec -105/-120/-130 to win $300

Miller -135/-140 risking $740
Sanchez to finish in the 3rd +1750 risking $100

Thatch finishes in round 1 +175 $150

**mirinquads** · 03-02-16, 01:01 AM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

I was INSANE for betting the over 2.5 in the Silva/Bis fight Too....BIS decision COULD NEVER HAPPEN!

Da penetrate are you on about dude? Was on the two bets you mentioned as well. It's not about them hitting or not, it's about the value. But saying Silva can't win in RD 1, when that's all he does, and Taleb just been finished in round one is just non sense.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-02-16, 03:59 AM

**JoshKnows46** · 03-02-16, 04:01 AM

**Ultimatemeatball** · 03-02-16, 06:52 AM

I'm all in on Conor but just had a revelation. I see him trying some spinning shit where he missed and ends up on his back on the ground with Diaz slowly advancing position to mount. Somehow, this seems more than possible with Conor's confidence and erratic fighting style.

**mirinquads** · 03-02-16, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by Ultimatemeatball

I'm all in on Conor but just had a revelation. I see him trying some spinning shit where he missed and ends up on his back on the ground with Diaz slowly advancing position to mount. Somehow, this seems more than possible with Conor's confidence and erratic fighting style.

All in Diaz.

**JIBBBY** · 03-02-16, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by mirinquads

All in Diaz.

**mirinquads** · 03-02-16, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

See who will be laughing when Conor falls over from throwing a kick, and Diaz gulliotines dat ass

**JIBBBY** · 03-02-16, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by mirinquads

See who will be laughing when Conor falls over from throwing a kick, and Diaz gulliotines dat ass

1035 Diaz wins by submission

<input id="editx" name="M1_16" size="4"> +600

**mirinquads** · 03-02-16, 12:42 PM

Pretty sure UFC Meatballs wouldnt have predicted it if it wasn't going to happen Jibbby. He predictzz dees tings.