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PizzaComment -
Its winning over time. Over time you meet obstacles, gain experience so that you know when to bet when to avoid, recognise patterns bla bla. MMA betting market has also changed a bit over the years, so being able to adapt and find new "holes" are quite important. Winning big a month or even a full year doesnt mean you will next year. Are you able to profit 2-3 years then youre good as nothing has grinded you down, not series of fluky decisions, unluck, draws, injuiries ref mistakes, unhealthy bankroll management...then youve seen it all, and overcome.
Or win 5x as much betpoints off course, who can forget!Comment -
Bet points is all that matters to be honestComment -
Bet points rock and it's too bad I give all mine away.. I'd have 5000 or more already if I wasn't so generous... Betpoints for everyone!!!!
Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-07-15, 01:35 PM.Comment -
My take...
I like Poirier & Duffy. Yes Poirier has fought the better comp but remember he dropped to FW cause he had a cpl losses against top LW's (Korean Zombie & Cub.) Yes Poirier beat Max but Max had just turned 20 years old and it was his UFC debut after only 4 pro fights. Using that fight as a measuring stick I think is a mistake.
It's important to understand when a certain fighter fought another fighter and how they won or lost. Some guys get a lot better and they are totally different fighters than they were 3, 4, or 5 years ago.
Poirier is very good but he does get rocked in fights. Duffy, imo, will capitalize on this. I think Duffy is better everywhere. Duffy submitted Ivan Jorge is his last fight. Jorge was never subbed in his career (30 pro fights.) Duffy is also with Tri-Star now. He took 3 years off to work on his boxing and it looks good these days. He will beat Dustin and move into the top 15. Poirier shouldn't be in the top 15 imo.
I like Big Ben as the dog. Stipe is very good but Ben is on a roll and a great value at +250.Comment -
Poirier got rocked when he was a 145'er mostly, and his skills has increased exponentially since fighting Mcgregor. Way more defensively responsible, and know how to apply his power better than just throwing fast balls hoping something gives like previously. Duffy probably is a slightly bad matchup, but odds shouldnt look like this.
And Poirer should absolutely be in the top 15 if not top 10.
Also, Chan and Cub wasnt lightweight fights..Last edited by mirinquads; 10-07-15, 05:59 PM.Comment -
I started with 6 loyalty betpts now I have 6523 need to become an sbr pro I guess $100 to charity why notComment -
Jibby give me all of your betpoints. It will give you gold karma and good luck
High five emoji!!!Comment -
That about sums it up... The question in what method would each fighter win for prop betting purposes?
The props -
<small>Dustin Poirier vs Joseph Duffy - Lightweight 5 rounds - UFC Fight Night 76 propositions</small> Sat 10/24 1003 Poirier / Duffy goes 5 round distance <input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4"> +350 5:00PM 1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4"> -485 Sat 10/24 1005 Poirier wins inside distance <input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> +299 5:00PM 1006 Not Poirier inside distance <input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> -389 Sat 10/24 1007 Poirier wins by 5 round decision <input id="editx" name="M1_2" size="4"> +700 5:00PM 1008 Not Poirier by 5 round decision <input id="editx" name="M2_2" size="4"> -1300 Sat 10/24 1009 Duffy wins inside distance <input id="editx" name="M1_3" size="4"> -154 5:00PM 1010 Not Duffy inside distance <input id="editx" name="M2_3" size="4"> +124 Sat 10/24 1011 Duffy wins by 5 round decision <input id="editx" name="M1_4" size="4"> +621 5:00PM 1012 Not Duffy by 5 round decision <input id="editx" name="M2_4" size="4"> -1101 Sat 10/24 1013 Poirier / Duffy draw <input id="editx" name="M1_5" size="4"> +16500 5:00PM 1014 Fight not a draw <input id="editx" name="M2_5" size="4"> -49500 Sat 10/24 1015 Poirier wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_6" size="4"> +775 5:00PM 1016 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_6" size="4"> -1625 Sat 10/24 1017 Poirier wins in round 2 <input id="editx" name="M1_7" size="4"> +950 5:00PM 1018 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_7" size="4"> -1950 Sat 10/24 1019 Poirier wins in round 3 <input id="editx" name="M1_8" size="4"> +1350 5:00PM 1020 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_8" size="4"> -3250 Sat 10/24 1021 Poirier wins in round 4 <input id="editx" name="M1_9" size="4"> +1950 5:00PM 1022 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_9" size="4"> -5850 Sat 10/24 1023 Poirier wins in round 5 <input id="editx" name="M1_10" size="4"> +2750 5:00PM 1024 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_10" size="4"> -9250 Sat 10/24 1025 Duffy wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_11" size="4"> +225 5:00PM 1026 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_11" size="4"> -305 Sat 10/24 1027 Duffy wins in round 2 <input id="editx" name="M1_12" size="4"> +425 5:00PM 1028 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_12" size="4"> -675 Sat 10/24 1029 Duffy wins in round 3 <input id="editx" name="M1_13" size="4"> +725 5:00PM 1030 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_13" size="4"> -1545 Sat 10/24 1031 Duffy wins in round 4 <input id="editx" name="M1_14" size="4"> +1225 5:00PM 1032 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_14" size="4"> -2675 Sat 10/24 1033 Duffy wins in round 5 <input id="editx" name="M1_15" size="4"> +1850 5:00PM 1034 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_15" size="4"> -5550 Sat 10/24 1035 Poirier wins by submission <input id="editx" name="M1_16" size="4"> +505 5:00PM 1036 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_16" size="4"> -915 Sat 10/24 1037 Poirier wins by TKO/KO <input id="editx" name="M1_17" size="4"> +591 5:00PM 1038 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_17" size="4"> -1172 Sat 10/24 1039 Duffy wins by submission <input id="editx" name="M1_18" size="4"> +250 5:00PM 1040 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_18" size="4"> -350 Sat 10/24 1041 Duffy wins by TKO/KO <input id="editx" name="M1_19" size="4"> +145 5:00PM 1042 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_19" size="4"> -185 Sat 10/24 1043 Poirier wins by 5 round unani dec <input id="editx" name="M1_20" size="4"> +1075 5:00PM 1044 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_20" size="4"> -2225 Sat 10/24 1045 Poirier wins by 5 round split/maj dec <input id="editx" name="M1_21" size="4"> +1670 5:00PM 1046 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_21" size="4"> -5000 Sat 10/24 1047 Duffy wins by 5 round unani dec <input id="editx" name="M1_22" size="4"> +930 5:00PM 1048 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_22" size="4"> -1890 Sat 10/24 1049 Duffy wins by 5 round split/maj dec <input id="editx" name="M1_23" size="4"> +1410 5:00PM 1050 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_23" size="4"> -3690 Sat 10/24 1051 Poirier / Duffy starts round 5 <input id="editx" name="M1_24" size="4"> +282 5:00PM 1052 Fight won’t start round 5 <input id="editx" name="M2_24" size="4"> -372 Sat 10/24 1053 Poirier / Duffy starts round 4 <input id="editx" name="M1_25" size="4"> +195 5:00PM 1054 Fight won’t start round 4 <input id="editx" name="M2_25" size="4"> -255 Sat 10/24 1055 Poirier / Duffy starts round 3 <input id="editx" name="M1_26" size="4"> +117 5:00PM 1056 Fight won’t start round 3 <input id="editx" name="M2_26" size="4"> -147 Sat 10/24 1057 Poirier / Duffy starts round 2 <input id="editx" name="M1_27" size="4"> -205 5:00PM 1058 Fight won’t start round 2 <input id="editx" name="M2_27" size="4"> +165 Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-08-15, 10:51 AM.Comment -
These props make the most sense to me -
Poirier is capable of a Submission or KO win and I doubt these fighters go 5 rounds..1005 Poirier wins inside distance <input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> +299
or
Porrier's chin has be cracked before, Duffy's striking has continued to show improvement and this fight most likely stays standing.1041 Duffy wins by TKO/KO <input id="editx" name="M1_19" size="4"> +145 Comment -
DiamondComment -
A gust of wind blows Poirer over.. Duffy's sub game won't let him up.Comment -
The UFC has built in a crowd favorite winner to get the stadium rocking. My pick of the night is Aisling Daly.Owner/Cool Works CupComment -
Stipe Miocic injured, pulled from Ben Rothwell fight at UFC DublinComment -
That sucks.. That was the one fight I was really looking forward to seeing on this card.. Bet refunded already on 5Dimes that I had pending with Big Ben... Oh well..Comment -
Jibbby, where's your SBR trivia winner badge?Comment -
I keep going and then the questions get nuts..
At the 3rd round it's like what college football running back in 1932 ran for 100 yards in 2 straight games?.. I can't cash out at 60 bet points or so as I let it ride.. SBR has the trivia questions dialed in though..
Major perks on the 3 trivia hits though unwritten.. Hit 4 and that's really impressive... I'd say after 2 hits you are guessing though mostly without cheating.. I won't cheat and if I earn a badge it will be worthy of showing..
Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-13-15, 10:20 PM.Comment -
Yeah, definitely the last one is a mind guessing game for the most part. I believe one or twice when I actually knew it and sometimes you think the answer is tricky ends up being the correct one.
Anyhow, I'm on Joe Duffy to take out the Diamond in the main event. Joe has been on a roll without taking any major damage. He could very well face Conor and would probably beat him right now. If those two ended up fighting again, I'm going with Joe - unless they fight in Dublin and fix the fight since Conor is a bigger draw.Comment -
^ Unwritten you got me thinking so this time I cashed out at the 3 trivia hit.. Here is your badge below.. Letting it ride in the future though.
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Beware fading Irish fighters on this card. Can easily see some home cooking decisions for their countrymenComment -
I'm gonna be on this thread next week.. Haven't even tried to cap the prelims yet...
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JIBBBY would appreciate your thoughts on these guys I like this card--solid and a finish stevie ray plus mcclellan- and dalbyComment -
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Madadi say he trained while in prison
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Stormin Norman Parke is always a tough out though....
Hard to bet on a fighter that has been in prison for the last few years with simple training or not.. Still Mad Dog might be worth a shot as a 3-1 dog going in..... http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Reza-Madadi-18921
Parke has lost his last two bouts by decision to Tibau and Trinaldo which is respectable and that shows just how durable he is, and Madadi is coming off a win over contender Michael Johnson, even though it was two years ago.
Norman Parke has a tendency to leave his neck open when charging in for take downs, and Madadi is one of the best at locking in chokes in an instant (8 submission wins on his record). Madadi is intense, insane, and hungry after a two-year layoff. He will probably look to make an example out of Parke if he can.
Reza Madadi via the submission prop might also be worth the try for even better odds when it comes out.Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-19-15, 11:37 AM.Comment
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