UFC Fight Night Breaded

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC Fight Night Breaded
    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    UFC Fight Night will be held on Saturday night in Tampa. It takes place at the Sun Dome, which means that the stars will not be shining. Dana White is holding back his stable of superstars for the more prosperous pay-per-views. That’s how we end up with a main event of Joe Lauzon vs. Jeremy Stephens. Due to the disappointing card, I will be saving my $200 and the Breads will be watching this one from home.

    I do see four potential money making opportunities. And who knows, many times these smaller cards offer the most excitement. Let’s face it…it can’t be any worse than last week’s UFC 94!

    Joe Lauzon -180
    Jeremy Stephens +150

    Ever since his showing on The Ultimate Fighter 5, the UFC has pushed for Lauzon (16-4-0) to become a star. This will be the second Fight Night that he headlines. The last one added him to Kenny Florian’s growing list of bloody victims. The goofy looking kid from Mass has Dana on his side, and that’s a good friend to have.

    His opponent is Jeremy Stephens (16-3-0). Stephens is a tenacious striker, as evidenced by this shot to Rafael dos Anjos. Equally as impressive as the KO is the celebration. He lists his heroes as UFC fighter Josh Neer and God. There’s a joke in there somewhere, but I’m going to leave it alone.





    Lauzon will not want to trade blows with Stephens. He’ll need to endure some shots and get Stephens’ back to force the tap. I think he can do it. Should this fight go to the judges, it’s advantage Lauzon. Strange things happen with judges when it comes to Dana’s pets. Just look at Michael Bisping.

    Mac Danzig -120
    Josh Neer -110

    TUF 6 winner Mac Danzig (19-5-1) comes off a unanimous decision loss to Clay Guida. Ordinarily, that would’ve made me happy, but for some unknown reason, I was on Danzig. Usually calm and collected at all times, Danzig was visually frustrated for the entire fight.

    The last time that Neer (24-7-1) crossed my path, I was losing a good chunk of change backing him against Nate Diaz. More importantly than the money, I lost my mind. I dislike Diaz more than most terminal diseases. Neer has proven that you don’t have to be smart to defeat him, as he has lost to Nick Diaz as well. Beaten by the brothers dim. Ouch.

    Imagine what a guy with brains could actually do here. Danzig is at one with the universe, and he should outsmart his opponent en route to the submission of the night.

    Anthony Johnson -300
    Luigi Fioravanti +235

    Hometown hero Fioravanti (13-4-0) hails from St. Petersburg, FL. OK, I made that up. Yes, he is from here, but no, we’ve never heard of him. Anthony Johnson (6-2-0) will most assuredly garner more cheers from the crowd.

    Johnson has created quite a buzz. The exciting young fighter is fresh off his revenge victory over Kevin Burns, which he ended in magnificent fashion. Whether striking, kicking or on the ground, look for complete domination from Johnson. Fioravanti lists his strength as “good takedown defense”. I’m afraid that’s not going to help if you’re asleep on the way down.




    Kurt Pellegrino -205
    Rob Emerson +165

    I have dubbed this as the “Kilmer Fight”. And no, not because it will start out smooth and finesse, then turn ugly right before your eyes. The “Kilmer Fight” pits Batman against The Saint. I’m not sure which movie was worse, but Emerson is easily the weakest fighter here.


    What happened?



    Emerson (10-6-1) has never impressed me. Since his TUF beginnings, he has received more chances than any mediocre fighter that I can recall. He is coming off a 12 second TKO over Manny Gamburyan, but after Manny lost yet again last week, it’s starting to look like he was highly overrated.





    Pellegrino (18-4-0) has also added to my grief by losing to Diaz. He has rebounded with a solid win over Thiago Tavares. This spread may actually move in Pellegrino’s favor, as Emerson is the more recognizable name to the casual fan. It would be nice if the -205 actually went lower, but whatever you can get him at should be a cashing ticket. Pellegrino is the ‘Top Gun’ here, and will certainly bring the ‘Heat’.
    Last edited by Willie Bee; 02-06-09, 03:56 PM. Reason: add front page link
  • brooks85
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-05-09
    • 44709

    #2
    Can't wait. Been a great year so far.
    Comment
    • THE_LOCKSMITH
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-25-08
      • 7237

      #3
      i like Tibau -115 over Clementi. Tibau isn't great but he's a big 155er and i think he can control the smaller clementi and pull out a decision. i also like Johnson -300 and Danzig -120
      Comment
      • Bread
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-16-08
        • 23726

        #4
        I'm leaving that one alone Locksmith, but I just hope Clementi wins so he can tell someone to "suck it" afterwards. God that Guilliard match was great.
        Comment
        • Skanless1
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-15-08
          • 706

          #5
          I really like Pelligrino... not sure why emerson keeps getting these chances.. didn't see his win vs gamburyan, but sounds like that was a fluke. Pelligrino brings it every fight and his pace SHOULD be too much for emerson.

          might stay away from the main event fight, though small lean to lauzon.

          anthony johnson is a beast but that's a steep price.
          Comment
          • Bread
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-16-08
            • 23726

            #6
            I'm with you on the Emerson deal. Am I just missing it??? They gave that guy 2 chances he shouldn't have gotten on TUF, and he's still making cards. I'd rather see Andy Wang!! LOL.

            Comment
            • The HOFF
              SBR MVP
              • 07-02-08
              • 4847

              #7
              Yeah Bread!

              I didn't have much time this week, so I'll just add some of my insight to your thread. AWESOME!


              JEREMY STEPHENS +145
              JOE LAUZON -175

              I have to be honest. I'm a little SHOCKED that Dana White didn't save this marque match up for the headliner of UFC 100. I think we can all agree that the excitement over this match up probably surpasses that of the GSP - Penn fight.

              Joe Lauzon looks like a twelve year old boy. I have some inside information and was able to get a look at Lauzon's training camp.


              Lauzon's training gym




              Lauzon's training partner

              It looks as if Lauzon has had a good camp and prepared himself well. I've heard that he spent plenty of time working his cardio in the ball pit. LAUZON -175


              MAC DANZIG -140
              JOSH NEER +110


              Josh Neer "The Dentist"

              Oh that's ****ing gross! As much as I hate Mac Danzig, oh and do I hate him, I think he can win this match pretty easily. His yin-yang, chi, meditation and tiger penis should all help his emotional well-being as he engages in a battle of spirits and forces of energy in the wooded forest of Babylon riding on a majestic steed, helping save forest creatures from any danger. MAC DANZIG -140


              JAKE ROSHOLT +165
              DAN MILLER -205

              I was not impressed with Jake Rosholt when I saw him fight in the WEC. I wasn't impressed with that 80's movie "Mask" that he did with Cher either.



              I'm pretty sure Cher got the Oscar nod for this one though. DAN MILLER -205

              OTHER PICKS I LIKE
              Rich Clementi -105
              Matt Grice -150
              Kurt Pellegrino -210

              Comment
              • Bread
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-16-08
                • 23726

                #8
                Christ almighty Hoff that's some funny shit. I'm not supposed to be LOL'ing here at work...

                Looks like we're both on the favorites. LET'S CASH! LIKE MEN!!!

                PS....Would YOU spend $100 for a ticket to this show?? Me neither.
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82485

                  #9
                  I like Lyoto Machida again. He was superb last week.
                  Comment
                  • Bread
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-16-08
                    • 23726

                    #10
                    Pavy bet him for the max. Do it. Doooo it.
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82485

                      #11
                      Bread he hit the tattoo guy between the eye brows and knocked him out with one punch. I'm going all in with Machida gain.
                      Comment
                      • Bread
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 23726

                        #12
                        I know Pavy. My biggest bet was on tattoo guy.

                        I'm a real winner.
                        Comment
                        • The HOFF
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-02-08
                          • 4847

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Bread
                          PS....Would YOU spend $100 for a ticket to this show?? Me neither.
                          Oh God no! I'm not sure I'd pay $10. The other thing about it is that you have to pay $12 for each drink at the arena. Why not watch it at home with a $12 case of Milwaukee's Best! Although I just know this card is going to be a lot more exciting than that snoozefest UFC 94.
                          Comment
                          • Willie Bee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-14-06
                            • 15726

                            #14
                            Man, that's really sad about Kilmer. I've got less gut than him.
                            Comment
                            • johnnyP
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-06-08
                              • 305

                              #15
                              HOFF, i just snurfed reading your post.... HILARIOUS! I love it!

                              thanks man!
                              Comment
                              • flyingillini
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 41219

                                #16
                                My picks:
                                L Fioravanti +300
                                K Pellegrino -197
                                J Rosholt +170
                                J Neer +130
                                D Stojnic +445
                                J Lauzon -193
                                המוסד‎
                                המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                Comment
                                • Bread
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-16-08
                                  • 23726

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by johnnyP
                                  HOFF, i just snurfed reading your post.... HILARIOUS! I love it!

                                  thanks man!

                                  The Hoff is out of control. I love that guy.

                                  Illini...good luck on (most) of your plays
                                  Comment
                                  • flyingillini
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 41219

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Bread
                                    The Hoff is out of control. I love that guy.

                                    Illini...good luck on (most) of your plays
                                    Thanks Breadman, will you be attending the Pool Party and going inside the Cabana?
                                    המוסד‎
                                    המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                    Comment
                                    • Bread
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-16-08
                                      • 23726

                                      #19
                                      Chances are pretty good. I've got to make my way to that thread shortly here.
                                      Comment
                                      • poetwarrior41
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 06-20-08
                                        • 963

                                        #20
                                        These UFC "Fight Night" cards are usually very chalky, and are used to showcase up and coming fighters that UFC has alot invested in. Dana White and the matchmaker usually set up some of the fighters in situations where they can really shine in, this formula seems to be more prevalent in the TV fights. Anthony Johnson and Cain Velasquez are two that fit the profile and they will not lose tonight.
                                        My Predictions

                                        Lauzon 2nd Round submission
                                        Velasquez KO Round 1
                                        Danzig Unanimous Decision
                                        Johnson 1st Round KO
                                        Pelligrino 3rd Round submission
                                        Comment
                                        • Bread
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-16-08
                                          • 23726

                                          #21
                                          Seems like most are in agreement with the picks here. Hopefully that equals lots of cashed tickets.
                                          Comment
                                          • Robyn
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-05-08
                                            • 9681

                                            #22
                                            I wish I wasn't hungover because I simply can not make my picks right now.
                                            Comment
                                            • Bread
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-16-08
                                              • 23726

                                              #23
                                              Robyn kissed Norm MacDonald last night. I'm not even kidding.
                                              Comment
                                              • Robyn
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-05-08
                                                • 9681

                                                #24
                                                Without tongue.
                                                Comment
                                                • SlickFazzer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-22-08
                                                  • 20209

                                                  #25
                                                  Robyn, your avatar accentuates your breasts nicely.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Robyn
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-05-08
                                                    • 9681

                                                    #26
                                                    Slick, I don't think anything could hide them and that makes me sad.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mmike032
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-08
                                                      • 8905

                                                      #27
                                                      how come I only see 3 fights on the card at Greek?
                                                      what did I miss
                                                      I'm always a day late and a dollar short
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bread
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-16-08
                                                        • 23726

                                                        #28
                                                        Cut off times Mike. Get what you can while you can.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Robyn
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-05-08
                                                          • 9681

                                                          #29
                                                          Danzig looked terrible. Neer is a faggot.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • j0hnnyv
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-09
                                                            • 3620

                                                            #30
                                                            dont know why i continue to back, danzig hes such a can
                                                            Comment
                                                            • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-25-08
                                                              • 7237

                                                              #31
                                                              Agreed, Danzig ****ed up a perfect night for me. Had that douch on like 2 parlays. This Ultimate fighter winner won't last much longer in the UFC. back to back losses vs Gudia and Neer puts danzig way at the bottom of the 155ers
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DennisGreen
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-27-08
                                                                • 18369

                                                                #32
                                                                Hoff lmao. Unreal post bud. Love the mask reference haha too funny.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The HOFF
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-02-08
                                                                  • 4847

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks for the praise Bread, johnnyP, and Dennis G.

                                                                  Pretty good night for fights. I was very entertained. Danzig-Neer fight was awesome.
                                                                  Comment
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