MD's House of Winnerz

[visualrealism]

Orginally checked this thread for any ufc 161 plays and saw an Easy WSOF winner!!!

[MD]

Taking Carl tonight. Terrible fight IQ, but he should be the better wrestler and he has very good cardio; he's slicker than Steele on the ground and Steele's superior kicks should just lead to him getting taken down.

I am legend.

[MD]

Orginally checked this thread for any ufc 161 plays and saw an Easy WSOF winner!!!

Glad you cashed, man! Carl is a very dangerous man on the ground.

[MD]

I have a bit on u2.5 +270 for the main event by the way. Don't like the current line though.

[MD]

#MDTeam

[gabe]

props

[MD]

Large on Alexis Davis tonight. She's far better than Rosi Sexton in literally every area, and she's bigger. Her ground game is incredible and Sexton's only clear route to victory is to hold Davis against the fence for three rounds, an area in which Davis should be far better. Davis ITD is also pretty solid, I have it at +110 and Davis sub +311. I hedged a bit with Sexton decision +650. I like Shawn Jordan here, too, I'm moderate on him, and I have a small bet on Jordan decision +420. I'm moderate-large on Rashad, with a decent amount on both the straight line and the decision line at +142. He said he wants to take Henderson down "fifty times", and I believe he can give Hendo fits if he comes in to wrestle. Hedged with Hendo in round 1 +550. Also have Hendo/Evans distance at -145, Shields/Woodley distance -120, Shields/Woodley o2.5 -110, and Krause/Stout distance -185. All have some good value.

Jake Shields decision +420 is ridiculous and obviously has a lot of value, I'm moderate on that. Anyone who's ever seen a Jake Shields fight should know that this is a terrible line. I like Miocic north of +250, lots of value there, and Miocic decision +550 and +500. I hedged with Nelson KO at +100 and ITD at -125. Unless Nelson wins a decision, I won't take too big a hit from this fight, and if Stipe wins a decision I'm going to have a great night.

My props are all over the place, but as long as my big plays come through, I'll be happy. Lots of big + money lines from me, which is something I don't normally do. May have a couple of more bets incoming.

[Dwil125]

Man you got all the round props early.. will tail evans/hendo goes the distance after alexis davis wins. Thinking miocic decision also.. good luck

[MD]

Man you got all the round props early.. will tail evans/hendo goes the distance after alexis davis wins. Thinking miocic decision also.. good luck

I have too much free time.

Just finished watching tape for the night. In Pierson/Robertson, you can get a guy whose strongest asset is his counter-grappling at + money against a guy whose weakest asset is his striking. I'll be playing Pierson later tonight.

[MD]

From the event thread:

Tiny bet on Delorme decision +503. Value there.

[MD]

Moderate on Pierson +130. Can't make this shit up. He should be the clear favourite.

[MD]

Been waiting for Stout to drop below -240 all week, but Krause just went to +260, so small play on him.

[LiveAction916]

MD I need some winners. Besides Alexis Davis who do you like on the main card?

[MD]

I like Rashad a lot to be honest. I'm on fire tonight but generally my good nights start with me losing, so who knows how I'll do from here.

I also like Miocic decision if you can get it at better than +300.

Shawn Jordan is a really good bet, too. Shawn Jordan and Rashad are both really solid here.

[LiveAction916]

Thanks bud I appreciate it. Lets get some cash!!

[LiveAction916]

I'm thinking about a $200 parlay on Jordan, Davis, and Evans to win $562...what do you think?

[MD]

I think all the legs are +EV, so it should be a good parlay.

[MD]

Large on Alexis Davis tonight. She's far better than Rosi Sexton in literally every area, and she's bigger. Her ground game is incredible and Sexton's only clear route to victory is to hold Davis against the fence for three rounds, an area in which Davis should be far better. Davis ITD is also pretty solid, I have it at +110 and Davis sub +311. I hedged a bit with Sexton decision +650. I like Shawn Jordan here, too, I'm moderate on him, and I have a small bet on Jordan decision +420. I'm moderate-large on Rashad, with a decent amount on both the straight line and the decision line at +142. He said he wants to take Henderson down "fifty times", and I believe he can give Hendo fits if he comes in to wrestle. Hedged with Hendo in round 1 +550. Also have Hendo/Evans distance at -145, Shields/Woodley distance -120, Shields/Woodley o2.5 -110, and Krause/Stout distance -185. All have some good value.

Jake Shields decision +420 is ridiculous and obviously has a lot of value, I'm moderate on that. Anyone who's ever seen a Jake Shields fight should know that this is a terrible line. I like Miocic north of +250, lots of value there, and Miocic decision +550 and +500. I hedged with Nelson KO at +100 and ITD at -125. Unless Nelson wins a decision, I won't take too big a hit from this fight, and if Stipe wins a decision I'm going to have a great night.

My props are all over the place, but as long as my big plays come through, I'll be happy. Lots of big + money lines from me, which is something I don't normally do. May have a couple of more bets incoming.

Feeling good about this one.

[MD]

Thanks bud I appreciate it. Lets get some cash!!

Easy money.

[LiveAction916]

One leg down, two to go.

[MD]

Hope you played Jordan straight too, would suck if Rashad lost and broke your parlay.

Anyway, biggest play of the night coming up. Let's go Davis.

[LiveAction916]

no I didn't bet him straight up because I have other parlays open with hendo as the last leg so we will see.

[LiveAction916]

not looking good for Davis so far...

[goodfellas433]

Have her by sub Wtf

[MD]

I cashed on my large straight bet, missed my ITD and sub play. Up big for the fight, and the night, though, so I'm happy.

Man, I didn't think she'd have such a tough time. Sexton gained my respect.

[LiveAction916]

Huge!!!! if stipe wins I can go into the main event where if rashad evans wins i'll hit $562, if henderson wins I hit $1039.

[MD]

I'm thinking about a $200 parlay on Jordan, Davis, and Evans to win $562...what do you think?

Just realized, you're getting that parlay at 200 to win 562? Those are awful odds. It should pay out closer to 1K.

[LiveAction916]

Well when I bet the parlay I got Davis at -500, Jordan even, and Evans -170. This was on Bovada btw.

[MD]

Ah, fair enough. -170 for Evans? That's pretty steep. Just saw he's -165 on 5D, too. Crazy.

[Catchn_Picks]

Superb night MD...congrats

[MD]

Large on Alexis Davis tonight. She's far better than Rosi Sexton in literally every area, and she's bigger. Her ground game is incredible and Sexton's only clear route to victory is to hold Davis against the fence for three rounds, an area in which Davis should be far better. Davis ITD is also pretty solid, I have it at +110 and Davis sub +311. I hedged a bit with Sexton decision +650. I like Shawn Jordan here, too, I'm moderate on him, and I have a small bet on Jordan decision +420. I'm moderate-large on Rashad, with a decent amount on both the straight line and the decision line at +142. He said he wants to take Henderson down "fifty times", and I believe he can give Hendo fits if he comes in to wrestle. Hedged with Hendo in round 1 +550. Also have Hendo/Evans distance at -145, Shields/Woodley distance -120, Shields/Woodley o2.5 -110, and Krause/Stout distance -185. All have some good value.

Jake Shields decision +420 is ridiculous and obviously has a lot of value, I'm moderate on that. Anyone who's ever seen a Jake Shields fight should know that this is a terrible line. I like Miocic north of +250, lots of value there, and Miocic decision +550 and +500. I hedged with Nelson KO at +100 and ITD at -125. Unless Nelson wins a decision, I won't take too big a hit from this fight, and if Stipe wins a decision I'm going to have a great night.

My props are all over the place, but as long as my big plays come through, I'll be happy. Lots of big + money lines from me, which is something I don't normally do. May have a couple of more bets incoming.

Tonight I cashed Delorme decision +503, Stipe decision +550 and + 500, Krause +260, and Shields decision +420. Plus a bunch of other less-impressive bets.

Biggest night I've ever had by far, whether or not Rashad wins. Literally nothing could ruin this night, huge rush.

[LiveAction916]

free rolling!!!! $562 for evans, $1039 for henderson. I took shields,jordan,stipe, and hendo in the 1k parlay.

[DonnyMcslick]

impressive night

[visualrealism]

Evans!!!

[MD]

Evans wins and MDTeam crushes again.