I am sticking with my same 3 Autobets from last year, but this time i will weight them properly (10x each play). Will stick to about 3 plays per day, but will not go more then 1-3 units on non system plays. These are home-grown systems, and I will rely on them to make or break my season.
A1_play any pitcher who has a whip of 1.00 or < in his last 3 games over a pitcher who has a 1.80 or > whip in his last 3. both pitchers last 3 games have to be within the last 30 days. the pitcher with the 1.00 or less whip must have the better ranked bullpen era behind him. i will move some plays to the runline when i dont feel comfortable laying heavy
odds.
2010 Record: 28-20 _58%
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A2_play the over when both pitchers have a whip of 1.80 or > in their last 3 games. both pitchers last 3 games have to be within the last 30 days. neither of the 2 bullpens can be ranked 1-5 in era.
2010 Record: 6-8_43%
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A3_play the under when both pitchers have a whip of 1.00 or < in their last 3 games. both pitchers last 3 games have to be within the last 30 days. neither of the 2 bullpens can be ranked 26th - 30th in era.
2010 Record: 27-9_75%
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All of the above plays were documented in my 2010 thread here at SBR. Even though A2 wasn't successful in 2010, it can very easily be the biggest winner in 2011 if the games become high scoring again. Maybe some fences get moved in, the stitching on baseballs get tightened slightly, or some new undetectable performance enhancing drug gets used by sluggers. So I will play each of these for a dime a pop.
I will do a prediction of all teams total wins, playoffs, world series etc in the next month or so. I dont play over/unders for team total wins, but know that many people do. I also do not play any preseason baseball.
Good Luck to all this year....