Does the series go 7 games?

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  • High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-28-10
    • 8022

    #1
    Does the series go 7 games?
    Been a great and rather frustrating series, if you're a Cards fan/backer, but nonetheless, I haven't felt let down. It's had its fair share of impressive long balls, great pitching (some of Carps stuff leaves me awe-struck), and if weren't for A.J.'s commentary, I couldn't complain much about anything.

    One of the biggest surprises has been the mismanagement of TLR. Not sure if any of you guys caught his comments after last night's game, but his excuse for not going to Motte was that the bullpen didn't hear his name, but heard Lynn's name instead. I mean, Motte and Lynn sound nothing alike...it's so far-fetched that I find myself believing that such a travesty really occurred, and as TLR said, he credits the fans of Arlington for being as loud as they were.

    On the other end, there are several disturbing trends that the Rangers have been following and they're fortunate to have not had to pay more runs for continuing to commit them. What's with all of the errors? The Rangers are suppose to be the more calm and collected team that had been to the WS and was better prepared and more focused to handle this time around. Besides the errors, the Rangers' young bullpen is also showing signs of the moment getting the better of them, though they haven't suffered as greatly as they could have. Ogando and Feliz have consistently struggled to find the strike zone. If Pujols could have refrained from whiffing in the 9th, there's two batters on base with no outs. That's more pressure to find the strike zone and I'm not so sure the Cards don't score at least one run, tie the game, or do more damage...though this is all hearsay.

    Of course it doesn't really matter that the errors are being committed and the Rangers' bullpen (and CJ) have walked and struggled to find the strike zone, when they're chalking up wins. The Cards have been shooting themselves in the foot over and over again. Heading into game 6, there's some differences that lead me to lean with the Rangers closing the series out in 6.

    First, we have seen that playing from behind in the series has effected the defensive and arguably pitching performance of the Rangers early and late in the game. In game 6, some of the pressure that has weighed on the Rangers' shoulders should be lifted some, whereas the Cards are faced with the fact that they must win both remaining games. In baseball, it's all about who can stay loose, focused, and being able to refrain from trying too hard to make their play, which favors the Rangers. The other factor that I believe supports the Rangers is that they get to see Garcia for the second time around, though the same argument can be made for the Cards' lineup being able to see Lewis another go-around. However, the Rangers' bats have been warming up, while the Cards' have been struggling. This means that the Rangers can continue to pitch around Pujols and take their chances with the others. TLR should recognize that Holliday is not on his "A" game and he should adjust his lineup accordingly. Put Berkman behind Pujols, or follow with Freeze. In short, If both pitchers can repeat their game 2 performances, I believe that Rangers' have the edge a second time around.

    If the game sees both managers going to their bullpens early, it could get interesting and I'm not entirely sure who has the edge, though if the Cards' hitters can manage to take advantage of when Ranger RP's struggle to find the zone, then I'd say they'd have the adv. Then again, with the one game adv., maybe the Rangers' RP's enter more relaxed and they're able to keep their pitches lower and getting ahead in counts.

    Weather-wise, cold air and wind (especially if it's working against the longball) favors an N.L style of game, which would favor the Cards if they can manage to turn-it around and come through with moving guys over on the bases and getting the ball in play to score a sac-run. Not saying the Rangers are incapable of playing small ball, but having pitchers that have had experience laying down a bunt definitely creates an edge in a close ballgame.

    I'm inclined to lean Rangers in game 6, but there's a decent chance this series goes 7, in which I think the Cards win it. Rangers in 6 or Cards in 7.

    What do you guys think?
  • Ice House
    Restricted User
    • 07-21-10
    • 4060

    #2
    so your saying if you like the Cardinals in game 6 you might as well take them to win the series at +270?
    Comment
    • High3rEl3m3nt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-28-10
      • 8022

      #3
      I am saying that I believe the Rangers have the edge (small edge) in game 6, but if the Cards manage to win...we have seen that these games are full of goof-ups, I like them in 7. At this point, I wouldn't advocate a Cards series play. I also don't think that you cap these games like you would have the reg. season, or even early in playoff series games, because the starting pitchers are in unique situations and it's unsure of how many innings a manager will let them stay on the mound. I also think that if game 6 starts tomorrow and the weather causes delays, it could negate the Texas edge and favor the Cards' strength, which I still believe is their bullpen, as well as most of their SPs, who would be on the table.
      Comment
      • High3rEl3m3nt
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-28-10
        • 8022

        #4
        Again, I see the Rangers with the edge tomorrow, their bats are alive, they're seeing Garcia a second time around, and they're entering the game from a stronger mental standpoint.
        Comment
        • Ice House
          Restricted User
          • 07-21-10
          • 4060

          #5
          i don't know .... I think the Cardinals are a team of destiny this year.


          Busch stadium will be rocking Wednesday and Thursday
          Comment
          • High3rEl3m3nt
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-28-10
            • 8022

            #6
            I guess I have never been one to believe in destiny...though I do think it can influence a person's performance if they believe that destiny has a bearing on the outcome. If we consider this possibility, it'd probably support a play on the Rangers. The Rangers made it last year, lost to the Giants, and then managed to find their way to the Series the very next year. In the minds of the Rangers, it's their year. They have managed to split the series in St. Louis (so far) and took 2 of 3 in Arlington. In two of their wins, they trailed and came from behind to take the games. One in the 9th, after being shutout, and last night's come from behind play to tie the game against the Cards' ace. Seems to me that if we follow the destiny line of thinking, the Rangers believe its their time (they also have never won a title). On the flip-side, the Cards have given up games and failed to capitalize on the many chances that they have been gifted. Of course they'll try and approach game 6 as "we're focusing on just one game," but how do you forget that you gave up a game in the 9th, left as many runners on base as they have, and now face the uphill challenge of winning both games at home, though I'm sure that they believe it can be done. Then, after last night's game, come to find out, TLR drops the big bomb that the greatest of management errors occurred last night...it's got to be odd for the players to have to take in Tony's comments...almost would have been better if he had just chalked up last night to his error in judgment and the players could have probably moved on a little easier...

            Of course this is all outside analyses and whether any of it has any bearing on the Cards', or the Rangers', game 6 performances is yet to be discovered. So much can happen and some of it will likely happen, that either team could win game 6. It's hard to see how the Rangers aren't positioned to clinch the series. Will be a great game to watch and I am wishing that I would have taken the Rangers to hedge out by Cards series bet when the series was 2-1
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