SF/CHC u11.½, -130 $260to win $200
The Cubs were shelled for seven home runs and 12 overall runs last night. Overall, 19 runs were scored. Often after games like that, we see the next game result in a much lower tally and that's one reason we like the UNDER here. At 12, it's asking a whole heckuva lot to get this game to go OVER. This is especially true when you consider that the Giants offense is averaging 4.0 runs per game on the season and they managed just three total runs in their series against the Mets. Neither of these pitchers is that awful, as both have ERAs in the mid 4's. We'll take the UNDER on this huge total this afternoon.
Cubs, -156 $156 to win $100
This one is a matchup between a great Cubs home team vs a weak Giants team that got sweept by the Mets in their last series. The Giants got the edge in the pitching matchup, the reason for not going for the RL as I think Cain can make it a close game. The Cubs got the batting edge in this one, but not by much. The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-1 in Marquis' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. They are also 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and they got a great 9-1 record in Marquis' last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series and 3-13 in Cains last 16 starts during game 1 of a series. The Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies RL, +135
Arizona has been a horrible road team the entire year, but when they face teams with a winning record on the road, they are even worse. When facing a .500+ team on the road, the D-Backs are a depressing 5-18. Philadelphia off of their worst stint of the season at 6-13, has now won two straight and has righted the ship. This two-game run is also after a 1-9, ten-game home stretch, and good teams don't continue to do that at home. The Phillies are 13-5 when Kyle Kendrick takes the mound, and have been eating up LHP to the tune of a 20-12 record. We see them winning this one easily at home.
Mets, -124
Everyone has wondered what had happened to this Mets team ever since their collapse last September. This season didn't look much better, but finally the talent on this team is showing what it can do. The Mets have now won six straight and are knocking on the door to the NL East lead. Oliver Perez won 15 games last year, and he has shown signs of regaining that form. Perez has had problems with control, but he has ironed them out. After walking 43 in his first 60 innings, Perez has now issued just 11 free passes over his last 37.1 innings. Colorado is just 8-28 over their last 36 games on the road. We like the value on this hot Mets team at home.
Rangers RL & ML, -150/+100
The White Sox have been a terror in their own park where they have now gone 20-4 over their last 24 games. But when on the road they have been less than mediocre where they are just 4-11 in their last 15. Two of those wins have come by just a single run meaning they are just 2-13 if faced with a -1.5 runline over their last 15. Texas has now been 19-12 in their last 31 at home and is a tough team to beat in Arlington. When coming off a game where a team had 17+ hits, playing at home and starting a pitcher with a 7.50 ERA over his last three starts, teams have been 51-16 to the +1.5 runline and we think Texas is worthy of the choice here
(Won't make the late game bets before the Cubs game is over as I don't know how much to bet on them before that. Might add 2-3 more too)
Good Luck All
The Cubs were shelled for seven home runs and 12 overall runs last night. Overall, 19 runs were scored. Often after games like that, we see the next game result in a much lower tally and that's one reason we like the UNDER here. At 12, it's asking a whole heckuva lot to get this game to go OVER. This is especially true when you consider that the Giants offense is averaging 4.0 runs per game on the season and they managed just three total runs in their series against the Mets. Neither of these pitchers is that awful, as both have ERAs in the mid 4's. We'll take the UNDER on this huge total this afternoon.
Cubs, -156 $156 to win $100
This one is a matchup between a great Cubs home team vs a weak Giants team that got sweept by the Mets in their last series. The Giants got the edge in the pitching matchup, the reason for not going for the RL as I think Cain can make it a close game. The Cubs got the batting edge in this one, but not by much. The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-1 in Marquis' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. They are also 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and they got a great 9-1 record in Marquis' last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series and 3-13 in Cains last 16 starts during game 1 of a series. The Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies RL, +135
Arizona has been a horrible road team the entire year, but when they face teams with a winning record on the road, they are even worse. When facing a .500+ team on the road, the D-Backs are a depressing 5-18. Philadelphia off of their worst stint of the season at 6-13, has now won two straight and has righted the ship. This two-game run is also after a 1-9, ten-game home stretch, and good teams don't continue to do that at home. The Phillies are 13-5 when Kyle Kendrick takes the mound, and have been eating up LHP to the tune of a 20-12 record. We see them winning this one easily at home.
Mets, -124
Everyone has wondered what had happened to this Mets team ever since their collapse last September. This season didn't look much better, but finally the talent on this team is showing what it can do. The Mets have now won six straight and are knocking on the door to the NL East lead. Oliver Perez won 15 games last year, and he has shown signs of regaining that form. Perez has had problems with control, but he has ironed them out. After walking 43 in his first 60 innings, Perez has now issued just 11 free passes over his last 37.1 innings. Colorado is just 8-28 over their last 36 games on the road. We like the value on this hot Mets team at home.
Rangers RL & ML, -150/+100
The White Sox have been a terror in their own park where they have now gone 20-4 over their last 24 games. But when on the road they have been less than mediocre where they are just 4-11 in their last 15. Two of those wins have come by just a single run meaning they are just 2-13 if faced with a -1.5 runline over their last 15. Texas has now been 19-12 in their last 31 at home and is a tough team to beat in Arlington. When coming off a game where a team had 17+ hits, playing at home and starting a pitcher with a 7.50 ERA over his last three starts, teams have been 51-16 to the +1.5 runline and we think Texas is worthy of the choice here
(Won't make the late game bets before the Cubs game is over as I don't know how much to bet on them before that. Might add 2-3 more too)
Good Luck All
