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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #7631
    MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

    Play #1

    Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

    Good luck.
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #7632
      Went out last night so gotta work on the card fast and furious. No writeups but will discuss plays later if you like. Good luck today.
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #7633
        Originally posted by Love The Action
        MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

        Play #1

        Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)
        Play #2

        Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

        Good luck.
        Comment
        • Love The Action
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-08-10
          • 10952

          #7634
          Originally posted by Love The Action
          MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

          Play #1

          Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

          Play #2

          Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)
          Play #3

          Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

          Good luck.
          Comment
          • pacocn
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-05-10
            • 12934

            #7635
            Lta, AJ has had a renaissance season of sorts.
            I like this under, However there is a 40 percent chance
            of rain in Pittsburgh, scattered thunderstorms,
            and we know that Cubs pen. I will have to pass.
            Last edited by pacocn; 05-25-12, 08:37 AM.
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #7636
              Originally posted by Love The Action
              MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

              Play #1

              Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

              Play #2

              Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

              Play #3

              Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

              Good luck.
              Play #4

              Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)

              Good luck.
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #7637
                Originally posted by pacocn
                Lta, AJ has had a renaissance season of sorts.
                I like this under, However there is a 40 percent chance
                of rain in Pittsburgh, scattered thunderstorms,
                and we know that Cubs pen. I will have to pass.


                Good luck. It's only 30% and if you check the predictive radar, it's just scattered showers not storms and the pattern does not seem to hit the ballpark. Anyway, I'm not too worried about it. Both pitchers are innings-eaters and as long as we don't see a rain delay during the game, then I do not anticipate too much bullpen risk in this game. I expect both guys to pitch around 7 innings tonight. GL

                EDIT: up to 7 now....I have this game set at 5.01 so I might have to go bigger and risk the rain.
                Last edited by Love The Action; 05-25-12, 08:55 AM.
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #7638
                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                  MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                  Play #1

                  Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                  Play #2

                  Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

                  Play #3

                  Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

                  Play #4

                  Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)
                  Play #5

                  Tigers -1RL (-105) 1x (Locked)

                  Good luck.
                  Comment
                  • Love The Action
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 10952

                    #7639
                    There is value on a lot of unders tonight, so this could be a crazy "sweat-it-out" type of night....it looks like tonight could be one of the bigger cards of the season to date.
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #7640
                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                      MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                      Play #1

                      Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                      Play #2

                      Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

                      Play #3

                      Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

                      Play #4

                      Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)

                      Play #5

                      Tigers -1RL (-105) 1x (Locked)
                      Play #6

                      Giants/Marlins under (7) 1x (Locked)

                      Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • taxe91
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-16-12
                        • 610

                        #7641
                        loving the yankees play, LTA. if anyone else was planning on tailing it:

                        - the athletics average over a run lower against rightys (ivan nova) than leftys
                        - ivan nova's SIERA is over TWO full runs lower than his current ERA, so he is undervalued somewhat despite it being the yankees.
                        - the big one: the yankees won 44% of their road games by more than 1 run last year

                        hope i didnt go through all that just to jinx us all..
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #7642
                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                          MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                          Play #1

                          Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                          Play #2

                          Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

                          Play #3

                          Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

                          Play #4

                          Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)

                          Play #5

                          Tigers -1RL (-105) 1x (Locked)

                          Play #6

                          Giants/Marlins under (7) 1x (Locked)

                          Good luck.
                          Play #7

                          Indians (+101) 1x (Locked)

                          Good luck.
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #7643
                            Originally posted by taxe91
                            loving the yankees play, LTA. if anyone else was planning on tailing it:

                            - the athletics average over a run lower against rightys (ivan nova) than leftys
                            - ivan nova's SIERA is over TWO full runs lower than his current ERA, so he is undervalued somewhat despite it being the yankees.
                            - the big one: the yankees won 44% of their road games by more than 1 run last year

                            hope i didnt go through all that just to jinx us all..
                            Comment
                            • Love The Action
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 10952

                              #7644
                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                              MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                              Play #1

                              Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                              Play #2

                              Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

                              Play #3

                              Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

                              Play #4

                              Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)

                              Play #5

                              Tigers -1RL (-105) 1x (Locked)

                              Play #6

                              Giants/Marlins under (7) 1x (Locked)


                              Play #7

                              Indians (+101) 1x (Locked)
                              Play #8

                              Padres/Mets under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)

                              Good luck.
                              Comment
                              • BeardedTaco
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-18-11
                                • 647

                                #7645
                                huge move on white sox right after ur post
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #7646
                                  Looks like the "wind tunnel" effect might be in play tonight in Texas for those of you interested. If you were thinking about the under, keep track of the wind patters as the day moves on.
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #7647
                                    Originally posted by BeardedTaco
                                    huge move on white sox right after ur post
                                    I know...up to +110.

                                    I still think we are getting a nice price for Gomez considering Quintana really does not have any particular advantages in this game. The Indians have faced him before when he pitched out of the pen, so it's not like they don't know what to expect. I have the Indians set at -106 so I was happy to get the +101.

                                    I probably would have waited on a few of these plays today, but I am off work today and we are leaving in a few hours to hit the beach with the baby. I want to get all of my plays in before I leave but will probably have to sacrifice the best price to do so. I will be interested in checking before game to see where some of these close. Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • Les_Nuts
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-01-12
                                      • 931

                                      #7648
                                      I like the Yankees and Tigers on -1 RL too, what do you think of the Reds -1? Cueto has made three starts at home this year and only allowed three total runs in those starts, Reds high on confidence won 6 in a row while so far Freidrich has faced some sub-par offenses like the Padres, Mariners and Giants, very inconsistent at the moment
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #7649
                                        Originally posted by Les_Nuts
                                        I like the Yankees and Tigers on -1 RL too, what do you think of the Reds -1? Cueto has made three starts at home this year and only allowed three total runs in those starts, Reds high on confidence won 6 in a row while so far Freidrich has faced some sub-par offenses like the Padres, Mariners and Giants, very inconsistent at the moment
                                        I will pass on that one. Friedrich has performed pretty well, especially away from Colorado. His numbers are pretty solid so far and the Reds have never faced him. With that said, it's never a bad idea to look to back the Reds when they are facing a lefty. Good luck.
                                        Comment
                                        • daddyv
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-05-10
                                          • 241

                                          #7650
                                          its +112 for the indians now?? should i grab it now or dya think ill get a better number?
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #7651
                                            A lot of money hitting that Cards over....probably because of yesterday's score and Joe West behind the plate. However, yesterday had the wind howling straight out at 15 mph, while today the wind is blowing in at 10 mph from right. I hate Country Joe West when I like the under, but West tends to respect the upper echelon pitchers so hopefully he widens his zone for Lee a little bit and calls it that way for Lohse as well.
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #7652
                                              Originally posted by daddyv
                                              its +112 for the indians now?? should i grab it now or dya think ill get a better number?
                                              That's your call to make....I took it at +101 so that should tell you my opinion. GL
                                              Comment
                                              • Ryan138
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-24-10
                                                • 1345

                                                #7653
                                                Any opinion on gallardo facing zona and struggling Kennedy?
                                                Comment
                                                • LoneStar
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-11-09
                                                  • 190

                                                  #7654
                                                  Originally posted by pacocn
                                                  Lta, AJ has had a renaissance season of sorts.
                                                  I like this under, However there is a 40 percent chance
                                                  of rain in Pittsburgh, scattered thunderstorms,
                                                  and we know that Cubs pen. I will have to pass.
                                                  good thing you did cause now its at 7 juiced on the over

                                                  edit: disregard the comment. I think there is a public miss perception here driving this number up, so I will fade the public and roll with ya LTA.
                                                  Last edited by LoneStar; 05-25-12, 11:41 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #7655
                                                    Originally posted by Ryan138
                                                    Any opinion on gallardo facing zona and struggling Kennedy?
                                                    I have these two pitchers ranked very similarly to each other. I don't see any value so I will pass. There is no confirmation about the roof as to being open or closed, so that will be something to keep an eye on. GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Clutch423
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 04-30-12
                                                      • 5

                                                      #7656
                                                      Nothing but respect LTA, I always check-in at your blogsite prior to making my MLB wagers and appreciate you. Thanks as well for your insight into tonight's weather in Texas due to my fantasy baseball addiction! I have Morrow on the mound tonight but am leaning towards pitching red-hot Ervin Santana at Seattle.

                                                      I am a pretty good judge of character or whatnot, and I'm POSITIVE that you're about to enjoy this beach trip with your family. I send well-wishes and hope that you will be around SBR for years to come. Cheers my brother
                                                      Comment
                                                      • billysink
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 03-29-09
                                                        • 5172

                                                        #7657
                                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                        I know...up to +110.

                                                        I still think we are getting a nice price for Gomez considering Quintana really does not have any particular advantages in this game. The Indians have faced him before when he pitched out of the pen, so it's not like they don't know what to expect. I have the Indians set at -106 so I was happy to get the +101.

                                                        I probably would have waited on a few of these plays today, but I am off work today and we are leaving in a few hours to hit the beach with the baby. I want to get all of my plays in before I leave but will probably have to sacrifice the best price to do so. I will be interested in checking before game to see where some of these close. Good luck.
                                                        I can see the move when I look at the Indians splits versus lefties. It would appear that their approach to hitting changes drastically. Gonna wait on the starting lineups for this one.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Madison
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-16-11
                                                          • 6442

                                                          #7658
                                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                          Looks like the "wind tunnel" effect might be in play tonight in Texas for those of you interested. If you were thinking about the under, keep track of the wind patters as the day moves on.
                                                          Wow, no kidding. I watched the game about a month ago when I think it was you Biff discussing the tunnel effect. It looked like I could hit a ball out to right center. After that I promised myself I wouldn't bet an under in Tex unless I had some solid info from one of you sharp guys.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #7659
                                                            Originally posted by billysink
                                                            I can see the move when I look at the Indians splits versus lefties. It would appear that their approach to hitting changes drastically. Gonna wait on the starting lineups for this one.
                                                            No doubt...they rank top 6 versus righties, while middle of the pack against lefties. The question is how much you respect Quintana and how long you think he will last before giving way to the White Sox pen. I don't respect this 5+ SIERA and would be surprised if he goes beyond 5 innings. I like the Indians tonight. GL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #7660
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                                                              Play #1

                                                              Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                                                              Play #2

                                                              Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x (Locked)

                                                              Play #3

                                                              Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

                                                              Play #4

                                                              Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)

                                                              Play #5

                                                              Tigers -1RL (-105) 1.5x (Locked)

                                                              Play #6

                                                              Giants/Marlins under (7) 1x (Locked)


                                                              Play #7

                                                              Indians (+101) 1x (Locked)

                                                              Play #8

                                                              Padres/Mets under (7)(+110) 1x (Locked)
                                                              Added 0.50x to Play #5. Correct units denoted above.

                                                              Good luck.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #7661
                                                                BOL tonight, LTA!

                                                                Best to you and your family for a great holiday weekend.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Redscot
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-16-11
                                                                  • 2571

                                                                  #7662
                                                                  Great looking card my man. Was very satisfying to get home and see that many of my quick glance leans made your card, gives me extra confidence that I am seeing the ball well atm. Hope you had a great day at the beach with the fam . Any thoughts on the Angels?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #7663
                                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                    MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                                                                    Play #1

                                                                    Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                                                                    Play #2

                                                                    Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x and under (7)(+100) 0.50x (Locked)

                                                                    Play #3

                                                                    Yankees -1RL (-110) 1.5x (Locked)

                                                                    Play #4

                                                                    Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x and under (8) 0.50x (Locked)

                                                                    Play #5

                                                                    Tigers -1RL (-105) 1.5x (Locked)

                                                                    Play #6

                                                                    Giants/Marlins under (7) 1x and under (7)(+100) 0.50x (Locked)


                                                                    Play #7

                                                                    Indians (+101) 1x (Locked)

                                                                    Play #8

                                                                    Padres/Mets under (7)(+110) 1.5 (Locked)
                                                                    Added 0.50x to Plays 2, 4, 6 and 8. Correct units denoted above.

                                                                    I am going against the grain of the line movement and playing aggressive. Good luck.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Les_Nuts
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-01-12
                                                                      • 931

                                                                      #7664
                                                                      Big card today, just managed to squeeze in the late adjustments . GL all
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Love The Action
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 10952

                                                                        #7665
                                                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                        MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/25/2012

                                                                        Play #1

                                                                        Devil Rays ML (+147) 1x (Locked)

                                                                        Play #2

                                                                        Cubs/Pirates under (6.5) (+105) 1x and under (7)(+100) 0.50x (Locked)

                                                                        Play #3

                                                                        Yankees -1RL (-110) 2x (Locked)

                                                                        Play #4

                                                                        Phillies/Cardinals under (7)(+110) 1x and under (8) 0.50x (Locked)

                                                                        Play #5

                                                                        Tigers -1RL (-105) 1.5x (Locked)

                                                                        Play #6

                                                                        Giants/Marlins under (7) 1x and under (7)(+100) 0.50x (Locked)


                                                                        Play #7

                                                                        Indians (+101) 1x (Locked)

                                                                        Play #8

                                                                        Padres/Mets under (7)(+110) 1.5 (Locked)
                                                                        Added 0.50x to Play #3. Correct units denoted above.

                                                                        I think the Yankees bats wake up tonight. Good luck.
                                                                        Comment
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