LTA's MLB Plays

**Redscot** · 08-09-11, 11:07 PM

Already dropped a unit on the Royals LTA, and seeing your confidence may go bigger.

Top 5 undervalued pitcher against a gas can. Gotta be more than a run difference in the SP alone in this game.

**Love The Action** · 08-09-11, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Already dropped a unit on the Royals LTA, and seeing your confidence may go bigger.

Top 5 undervalued pitcher against a gas can. Gotta be more than a run difference in the SP alone in this game.

Yeah...this is a great spot for the Royals. Glad to see you agree

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 8/9/11

Play #1

Angels ML (+101) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #2

Tigers/Indians under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked) PENDING

Play #3

KC/TB under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #4

Braves ML (-120) 1x (Locked) WINNER

I'm off to bed...exhausted....we're 3-0, possible 4-0 with a 4x profit if this Tigers/Cleveland under hits (tied at 2 - 2 in the 14th inning as I type).

I will post up my Wednesday plays now as well. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 8/10/11

Play #1

Royals ML (+126) 2x (Locked)

Play #2

Braves/Marlins under (7.5)(-125) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Tigers ML (+135) 1.25x (Locked)

Play #4

Reds -1 RL (-131) 1x (Locked)

That's the card for Wednesday as of right now...we might just have a few more plays as well. Just like Tuesday, I will try to get you some quick hit notes on each play before I leave for work tomorrow morning. Good luck!

**No coincidences** · 08-10-11, 12:52 AM

Love that Royals play LTA.

Get it and stay hot!

**pacocn** · 08-10-11, 01:04 AM

Great day Lta sleep soundly 4-0

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 06:42 AM

Originally posted by Redscot

Come on Atlanta and Detroit.....

09 Aug 2011 17:58 Internet (www.bancajuancitosport.com) Sesion # 81131 6Parlay

901 AT Atlanta Braves -138

8/9/2011 7:10:00 PM 905 AT Colorado Rockies +110 [3,2]
8/9/2011 7:10:00 PM 917 AT Detroit Tigers +115

8/9/2011 7:05:00 PM 921 AT Oakland Athletics +1½ -165 [4,1]
8/9/2011 7:05:00 PM 926 AT Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +110 [0,4]
8/9/2011 7:10:00 PM 927 AT Seattle Mariners Over +8 -120

8/9/2011 8:05:00 PM 100/4715 # 51741

Sorry Red...was rooting for you...that sucks....

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 06:42 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Yeah...this is a great spot for the Royals. Glad to see you agree

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 06:49 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Love that Royals play LTA.

Get it and stay hot!

Let's hope Paulino rewards our faith and the Royals bullpen does not blow it. I am very confident that the Royals score some runs though.

Good luck

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by pacocn

Great day Lta sleep soundly 4-0

Yeah, we got it!

**Redscot** · 08-10-11, 06:58 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Sorry Red...was rooting for you...that sucks....

That's life my man. Had a great night though, no complaints. Keep up the hot hand bud.

**Redscot** · 08-10-11, 07:07 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Let's hope Paulino rewards our faith and the Royals bullpen does not blow it. I am very confident that the Royals score some runs though.

Good luck

I hear ya on Paulino rewarding our faith. His peripheral's are simply dominant, but at some point the result's need to show something for it. Let's hope today is the start of a new "result's oriented" Paulino

.

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 07:12 AM

MLB 8/10/11

4 - 0 = +4x

Another nice night, let's keep it up for Wednesday.

MLB Season 2011

333 - 293 = +37.02x

We are starting to hit our stride and make some solid profit after treading water during July. I moved all MLB plays over to this forum from the NBA forum on July 11th with our season record at 265 - 244 for a profit of +26.45x. Since that time, we have gone 68 - 49 over our last 117 plays for a profit of +10.57x. Therefore, we are hitting over 58% over our last 117 plays, but are only at +10.57x. That number should be higher. For whatever reason, we have a poor record in our recent multiple unit plays which has cost us about 7x in additional profit. Time to turn that around...starting today with that Royals play. Let's keep rolling. I have to get back to Wednesday's card before leaving for work...back to the grind. Good luck to everyone today.

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 08:19 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 8/10/11

Play #1

Royals ML (+126) 2x (Locked)

Play #2

Braves/Marlins under (7.5)(-125) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Tigers ML (+135) 1.25x (Locked)

Play #4

Reds -1 RL (-131) 1x (Locked)

Play #5

White Sox/Orioles under (9) 0.50x (Locked)

**qsilver335** · 08-10-11, 08:26 AM

I like the Royals play, Tampa has to come back down to earth after playing well too many nights in a row. Good luck!

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 08:37 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 8/10/11

Play #1

Royals ML (+126) 2x (Locked)

Play #2

Braves/Marlins under (7.5)(-125) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Tigers ML (+135) 1.25x (Locked)

Play #4

Reds -1 RL (-131) 1x (Locked)

Play #5

White Sox/Orioles under (9) 0.50x (Locked)

Here are some quick hit notes on these plays:

KC ML - I love this play. I locked this one early because I thought we would see some solid RLM in this play and I still do with 80%+ on TB. Paulino's peripherals are really solid and dominate Davis' numbers as evidenced by +1.6 advantage by Paulino in WAR. We also have KC's young offense coming off a shutout. If you have followed my plays for a bit, you know I like to support solid offenses coming off of a shutout because the lineups are hungry and odds suggest they will score. KC is looking to avoid the sweep today and I think they sneak out of TB with a win. I have KC set at +114, so I think we have quite a bit of value here and I am rolling with the Royals ML for 2x.
Braves/Marlins under - we cashed on this pitching matchup between Hudson and Sanchez about ten days ago and I see no reason not to tail these two guys again. The Marlins are struggling on offense and Hudson is hitting his stride. Sanchez has great defense independent stats with a dominating K%. Hudson is more of a ground ball pitcher and I think both guys show up with seven strong innings. I have this one coming in at 6.7 runs and I see no reason to support the over here, so I am paying the heavy juice and rolling with the under for 1x.
Tigers ML - Jiminez has not been pitching well and one of my contacts in the Chicago sports media scene told me that Colorodo traded Jiminez because they believe he is in the beginning stages of a degenerative undisclosed right arm injury. Take that for what it's worth, but I like Porcello in this spot. Detroit has the better offense and Porcello has been pitching very well of late. Both pitchers have solid advanced stats, but I am going to give the edge to the Tigers today at a great price. I have Detroit set ten cents less than the books so I am rolling with the Tigers and their superior offense for 1.25x.
Reds -1RL. I am fading Millwood here. He has done nothing in the minors to suggest he revives his career in this spot versus a desperate Reds team. The Reds have to win this game and Leake has been very consistent this year with respectable advanced stats. This is a must win for the Reds, so I will back them on the -1RL for 1x against a has-been in Milwood.
White Sox/Orioles under - White Sox unders are generally a profitable proposition and I like Humber to get it done against Hunter and the O's. As everyone know, Miller is the ump today with his 65% strike rate and I think we see both pitchers find some early success. Because Hunter may not have the stamina to go late in the game, I am only making this a 0.50x play because it is difficult to trust the O's bullpen.

I'm off to work. I have a few more leans as well and will check in throughout the day. Good luck to everyone today.

**pacocn** · 08-10-11, 08:42 AM

Lta, solid card

bol

**JR007** · 08-10-11, 10:25 AM

Nice Job......

**BiffTFinancial** · 08-10-11, 10:57 AM

like both of your unders, BOL LTA.

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 11:34 AM

Huge line movement supporting the tigers play. We are beating the current number by twenty cents.

Also beating the current number in all of our plays. Lets see how things pan out later...good luck to those playing the early games.

**investing4us** · 08-10-11, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Huge line movement supporting the tigers play. We are beating the current number by twenty cents.

Also beating the current number in all of our plays. Lets see how things pan out later...good luck to those playing the early games.

I would like to know how to gadge line movement in mlb. Where do I start? Suggestions would be appreciated.

**BigBoi** · 08-10-11, 12:09 PM

You have leans in the early games? I lean Philly, Pitt, and Under on both games. Prolly the squarest plays on the board but I dont really care.

**Ca$hfloW** · 08-10-11, 12:21 PM

Your one of the very few class acts here at sbr, I really appreciate you posting plays and keeping all the drama out of it. Sbr needs more threads like this one. Keep up the great work and let's take the books money.

**shadow13** · 08-10-11, 12:31 PM

I agree very professional picks and handicapping skills ,i hope we all can make money with your help LTA,thank u

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 02:04 PM

Early Action ML Parlay (not for records win or lose)

Giants/LAD to win

0.25x to win 0.56x

**investing4us** · 08-10-11, 02:36 PM

Sports Betting Software Sports Insights

Looking at purchasing either the Premium Pro or the Premium from Sports Insights. I am undecided which one to choose. The Premium Pro has 3 more options than Premium such as system picks, smart money and system plays, square and best bet plays. Looking for some advice. Is it worth the extra benjamin for this or should I just stick to the Premium. Any suggestions would be appreciated.

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by investing4us

Looking at purchasing either the Premium Pro or the Premium from Sports Insights. I am undecided which one to choose. The Premium Pro has 3 more options than Premium such as system picks, smart money and system plays, square and best bet plays. Looking for some advice. Is it worth the extra benjamin for this or should I just stick to the Premium. Any suggestions would be appreciated.

I split the basic package with my buddy...I don't need all the fluff - although I'm sure their higher priced packages are great. However, as long as I can see the real time line moves and know where the money is then I am happy. Good luck in whatever you choose....

**shocktopme** · 08-10-11, 06:28 PM

.

Nice day yesterday LTA......WTG!!!!!!!Keep up the good cappin and good luck tonight

**JR007** · 08-10-11, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by investing4us

Looking at purchasing either the Premium Pro or the Premium from Sports Insights. I am undecided which one to choose. The Premium Pro has 3 more options than Premium such as system picks, smart money and system plays, square and best bet plays. Looking for some advice. Is it worth the extra benjamin for this or should I just stick to the Premium. Any suggestions would be appreciated.

I don't know, if it is worth the money, seems to me (from what I've read) the e-mail me free plays once in a while....the are big on reverse line movement, betting against the public, their record was around 500...last e-mail I recieved from them, I don't know about their premium stuff

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 06:59 PM

Man...rough start in Atlanta/Braves under with Sanchez getting knocked out in the 2nd inning. We will need a miracle in that one.

Despite the Tigers huge line move, they are down by 4 early...

Three runs through three innings in the Sox game (change in umps from Miller to Hoyne who is another good under ump).

No score in Cincy or KC yet. We need to get the KC, Cincy and Detroit plays for a nice profitable night.

Good luck guys!

**investing4us** · 08-10-11, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by JR007

I don't know, if it is worth the money, seems to me (from what I've read) the e-mail me free plays once in a while....the are big on reverse line movement, betting against the public, their record was around 500...last e-mail I recieved from them, I don't know about their premium stuff

Thanks for your input I am going to try the 14 day free trial.

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 07:09 PM

FYI...I made a last second action play on Cubs over (8.5) for 0.25x. I won't count that for the records since it wasn't posted before game time. I was debating this play all day and decided to pull the trigger since I will be watching the game at home with the fam and because I was able to get a better than market price. Hopefully, this one makes up for the action parlay lost from earlier. GL...

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 07:25 PM

WTF is wrong with Porcello...the offense just gets back three of the four this guy gives up and then he turns around gives three right back and maybe more. Bad guys 7 Tigers 3...fvcking Porcello

We had this one right on paper and killed the closer by over 20 cents, but if the starting pitcher doesn't perform you just have to chalk it up and move onto the next one....

**Love The Action** · 08-10-11, 09:31 PM

KC was winning 7 - 3 in the bottom of the ninth. It is now 7 - 6 with runner on first and one out. If they blow this game, that is one of my all time worst bad-beats....

**funnyman** · 08-10-11, 09:37 PM

They did.Threw the ball away on a triple.Terrible loss. Terrible relief pitching.