LTA's MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

I am assuming Cederstrom in Philly and Kellog in Milwaukee, but have 0 confirmation on that.

Right....that's what I was thinking...it would be common sense for them to follow the normal rotations. Hope so anyway....tomorrow is a big night. I'm thinking about adding to my stake in both plays, but the juice is just killer.

[Love The Action]

MLB Final Numbers for Regular Season 2011

418 - 378 = +38.03x

MLB 2011 Playoff Recap 10/6/11

2 - 0 = +2.412x

MLB 2011 Playoffs

7 - 5 = -0.168x

Pretty much worked ourselves back to even after that tough 4x loss last Sunday by bouncing with four consecutive profitable days...time for Carpenter to pay us back in Friday....good luck.

[HOT WINGS]

Tigers LTA Guess the jinx worked

[lakerboy]

Nice call on the tigers pal.

[Redscot]

My local still doesn't have tomorrow's games up . Any chance I had of getting a jump on these totals is .

[gunnersgun]

on my phone and can't seem to navigate to earier pages, what are ur plays for tomorrow, and also if someone could tell me what time the games are that'd be greatly appreciated....

[Love The Action]

Nice call on the tigers pal.

Perhaps the series would have went a different way if not for the rainout....

[Love The Action]

Tigers LTA Guess the jinx worked

Nice job HW

[No coincidences]

Bet the farm on halladay tomorrow -180. What did cliff close at in game 2, something like -167? and over 6.5 -117 wow

Thanks for advising us early. You got a good number to "bet the farm" -- oh wait, it's down to -175.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/7/11

Play #1

D-Backs/Brewers under (7.5)(-120) 1.5x (Locked)

Play #2

Cards/Phillies under (7)(-125) 2x (Locked)

I am locking these in now and eating the heavy juice (ouch) because I expect both totals to drop relatively soon to 7 and 6.5 respectively. Most offshore books actually have 6.5 right now for the phillies total, so I'm pleased to get 7 irrespective of the expensive price. I generally dont pay more than -120 for a total, but in this case the extra 5 cents is warranted. I have the Milwaukee total at 6.6 and the Philly total at 6 even, so Im jumping on both of these early numbers. Good luck.

I added a half unit to both of these plays at the same price as before. Therefore, I am now playing the Brewers under 1.5x and the Phillies under for 2x. Both at heavy juice, but I think we beat the closer as I expect both totals to drop sometime tomorrow. No need for a big writeup; we have four great starters, four solid bullpens and an elimination game for the NLDS. If they follow the regular ump rotations we should have two solid under umps in Cederstrom and Kellog. Weather should not be a factor whatsoever and even though Milwaukee is a dome, there will be a shadow issue for the hitters because of the glass panels on the roof. I'm not exactly pleased that we are getting the same pitching matchup from our winning ticket in game one, but I still think both Gallardo and Kennedy can get it done. I love the fact that Carpenter and Halladay both got knocked around last start as that should lead to more over wagers and a sweet bounceback mentality from both veterans. There's not much else to say as I have pretty much a full run of variance between my price and the posted total, so I'm rolling with both unders for Friday. Good luck.

[kingsr]

Nice LTA! Thanks for Detroit bro Tailed blindly and CA$H!

[Exxpresso]

Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?

[kingsr]

Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?

Scroll up 3 posts and you'll see LTA's plays for tomorrow.

[Love The Action]

Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?

No leans on the side, just playing the two unders.

I will say that both favorites are slightly overpriced, but not anything near that monstrous pricing gift that the books gave us with Detroit yesterday. To me, each game is too close to a 50/50 proposition and there is no strong edge worth making a play on the ML. Good luck in whatever you choose

[Love The Action]

Nice LTA! Thanks for Detroit bro Tailed blindly and CA$H!

[hawley]

LTA you are a true asset to SBR amongst the many trolls and losers

good to see you doing well in here.

[Donnie Brasco]

Congrats on a great night gents! How do we not play halladay today?

[alvinho]

LTA betting 1.5u/2u and the picks fits Dexter's A3 model? im in!

[fitguy67]

Tigers first five was nice money...the final result was nice, period.

[Love The Action]

LTA you are a true asset to SBR amongst the many trolls and losers

good to see you doing well in here.

Very humbling words....same to you Hawley

[BigDan]

Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?

Dont care what anyone says and yes i am a homer but im gonna say it anyway. How is stl at this price not worth a shot? Gm 5s/7s are as close to coinflips as you can get most the time, anything can happen, not to mention we get the team that steamrolled into the playoffs. ive seen this movie before, wild card playing the "greatest team/pitcher ever" who "has no shot"..Fukk Doc, Fukk da Phils, fukk their fans, Fukk that idiot that said put a farm he never had on philly... yes Doc is great blah blah blah, that said we get the better bats, better pen (yea i said it, where all the fukheads that tried telling me getting rid of that assclown Drew was a bad move now?), stronger willed team @ +165..sign me up

GO CARDS

Agree with LTA, the under is probably the better play as not like i expect Cards to light Doc up, few early runs should be enough to tighten phils bats up even more, Carp wont go out like no bitch. 3-2 Cards..Bring on the shit talking Brewers and their bandwagon fans that only talk every 7 years or so.

[Love The Action]

Dont care what anyone says and yes i am a homer but im gonna say it anyway. How is stl at this price not worth a shot? Gm 5s/7s are as close to coinflips as you can get most the time, anything can happen, not to mention we get the team that steamrolled into the playoffs. ive seen this movie before, wild card playing the "greatest team/pitcher ever" who "has no shot"..Fukk Doc, Fukk da Phils, fukk their fans, Fukk that idiot that said put a farm he never had on philly... yes Doc is great blah blah blah, that said we get the better bats, better pen (yea i said it, where all the fukheads that tried telling me getting rid of that assclown Drew was a bad move now?), stronger willed team @ +165..sign me up

GO CARDS

Agree with LTA, the under is probably the better play as not like i expect Cards to light Doc up, few early runs should be enough to tighten phils bats up even more, Carp wont go out like no bitch. 3-2 Cards..Bring on the shit talking Brewers and their bandwagon fans that only talk every 7 years or so.

The phils are overpriced, but not, for example, nearly as much as the yanks were yesterday. Most importantly, yesterday we had an overpriced favorite with a disavantage in starting pitchers. As much as i respect Carp and expect him to pitch well today, he does not hold the advantage over doc like fister had over nova. I like the under so much that I am contemplating making this the biggest play all year....the only thing holding me back is the juice. Good luck dan

[BigDan]

Oh yea bro. i agree with you. You know im a homer. Im on under for 2u and Stl for just 1u.. keep telling myself after i hit a gm with Cards im done but then i play them anyway. what can i say, house money and im a believer. Usually not a homer, but once playoffs roll around all that goes out the window.

Doc a beast and Carp on the tail end, just hoping he musters that warrior mojo tonight. A few runs early off Doc and i think philly butts will tighten so tight that they couldnt hit a pitch i threw

that said i wouldnt be shocked if Doc pitched a 2 hit shutout, he certainly capable but we have had decent gms against him. The fact you like under so much gives me more hope because the only way it goes over is if Carp gets tagged.

[guil0000]

No leans on the side, just playing the two unders. I will say that both favorites are slightly overpriced, but not anything near that monstrous pricing gift that the books gave us with Detroit yesterday. To me, each game is too close to a 50/50 proposition and there is no strong edge worth making a play on the ML. Good luck in whatever you choose

I couldn't agree more... when I capped both games yesterday I told myself I would play the dogs if I can get +150 on arizona and +180 on St- Louis. I have to agree with the totals. BOL today LTA

[Love The Action]

If anyone has confirmation that cederstom is the ump in philly, please share. Same for kellog in mil. Thanks.

[Luv2Play2]

dam got a really late start.. both mine offering 6' ovr -125 ? do ya think it will climb back to 7 on the cards? bol 2day

[Redscot]

If anyone has confirmation that cederstom is the ump in philly, please share. Same for kellog in mil. Thanks.

Well, Covers has them both listed, and another site I visit does as well...still, there is nothing guaranteeing they are not just making the same assumptions we are at this stage.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/7/11

Play #1

D-Backs/Brewers under (7.5)(-120) 1.5x (Locked)

Play #2

Cards/Phillies under (7)(-125) 2x (Locked)

I am locking these in now and eating the heavy juice (ouch) because I expect both totals to drop relatively soon to 7 and 6.5 respectively. Most offshore books actually have 6.5 right now for the phillies total, so I'm pleased to get 7 irrespective of the expensive price. I generally dont pay more than -120 for a total, but in this case the extra 5 cents is warranted. I have the Milwaukee total at 6.6 and the Philly total at 6 even, so Im jumping on both of these early numbers. Good luck.

I added a half unit to both of these plays at the same price as before. Therefore, I am now playing the Brewers under 1.5x and the Phillies under for 2x. Both at heavy juice, but I think we beat the closer as I expect both totals to drop sometime tomorrow. No need for a big writeup; we have four great starters, four solid bullpens and an elimination game for the NLDS. If they follow the regular ump rotations we should have two solid under umps in Cederstrom and Kellog. Weather should not be a factor whatsoever and even though Milwaukee is a dome, there will be a shadow issue for the hitters because of the glass panels on the roof. I'm not exactly pleased that we are getting the same pitching matchup from our winning ticket in game one, but I still think both Gallardo and Kennedy can get it done. I love the fact that Carpenter and Halladay both got knocked around last start as that should lead to more over wagers and a sweet bounceback mentality from both veterans. There's not much else to say as I have pretty much a full run of variance between my price and the posted total, so I'm rolling with both unders for Friday. Good luck.

Play #2

Added 0.50 for total of 2.5x Cards/Phils under (7)(-125) (Locked)

I may be adding to the stake of both games as the day goes on. Both games should see a lot of "small ball" with advancing runners via bunts, etc., which will hopefully keep the big innings away. Good luck.

[JR007]

thought the totals would be in the 6 range by now, have not been following, have there been any so far ????

[Redscot]

thought the totals would be in the 6 range by now, have not been following, have there been any so far ????

7 1/2 Brew and 7 Phils hanging on by a thread in most books.

[Love The Action]

Well, Covers has them both listed, and another site I visit does as well...still, there is nothing guaranteeing they are not just making the same assumptions we are at this stage.

Thank you

[Love The Action]

Verlander/tigers open at -111 and quickly get bought up to -114...

[mt675826]

Man it was awesome to cash the Tigers with an A-Rod strikeout, it was one of the best moments for me this season hands down. I'm with you on the Cards/Phils under but I have always tried to avoid betting ANY Milwaukee games under, especially at home. I think all four teams today will obviously be in all out defensive mode, but the few times I've taken unders involving Milwaukee I've been burned... especially at home. Can't help but notice LTA that it seems like your 1.5x/2x shows some of that same doubt? Why not heavier on the AZ/MIL under?

[815Sox]

Why do you think people should go higher than 2 units of AZ/MIL? I do not get your question.

[Trivial]

I think the question is why not 2x equal on both?