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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #4201
    Originally posted by Redscot
    I am assuming Cederstrom in Philly and Kellog in Milwaukee, but have 0 confirmation on that.
    Right....that's what I was thinking...it would be common sense for them to follow the normal rotations. Hope so anyway....tomorrow is a big night. I'm thinking about adding to my stake in both plays, but the juice is just killer.
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #4202
      MLB Final Numbers for Regular Season 2011

      418 - 378 = +38.03x

      MLB 2011 Playoff Recap 10/6/11

      2 - 0 = +2.412x

      MLB 2011 Playoffs

      7 - 5 = -0.168x

      Pretty much worked ourselves back to even after that tough 4x loss last Sunday by bouncing with four consecutive profitable days...time for Carpenter to pay us back in Friday....good luck.
      Comment
      • HOT WINGS
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-29-10
        • 8055

        #4203
        Tigers LTA Guess the jinx worked
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #4204
          Nice call on the tigers pal.
          Comment
          • Redscot
            SBR MVP
            • 05-16-11
            • 2571

            #4205
            My local still doesn't have tomorrow's games up . Any chance I had of getting a jump on these totals is .
            Comment
            • gunnersgun
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-31-11
              • 124

              #4206
              on my phone and can't seem to navigate to earier pages, what are ur plays for tomorrow, and also if someone could tell me what time the games are that'd be greatly appreciated....
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #4207
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                Nice call on the tigers pal.


                Perhaps the series would have went a different way if not for the rainout....
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #4208
                  Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                  Tigers LTA Guess the jinx worked
                  Nice job HW
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #4209
                    Originally posted by Almighty
                    Bet the farm on halladay tomorrow -180. What did cliff close at in game 2, something like -167? and over 6.5 -117 wow
                    Thanks for advising us early. You got a good number to "bet the farm" -- oh wait, it's down to -175.

                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #4210
                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                      MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/7/11

                      Play #1

                      D-Backs/Brewers under (7.5)(-120) 1.5x (Locked)

                      Play #2

                      Cards/Phillies under (7)(-125) 2x (Locked)


                      I am locking these in now and eating the heavy juice (ouch) because I expect both totals to drop relatively soon to 7 and 6.5 respectively. Most offshore books actually have 6.5 right now for the phillies total, so I'm pleased to get 7 irrespective of the expensive price. I generally dont pay more than -120 for a total, but in this case the extra 5 cents is warranted. I have the Milwaukee total at 6.6 and the Philly total at 6 even, so Im jumping on both of these early numbers. Good luck.
                      I added a half unit to both of these plays at the same price as before. Therefore, I am now playing the Brewers under 1.5x and the Phillies under for 2x. Both at heavy juice, but I think we beat the closer as I expect both totals to drop sometime tomorrow. No need for a big writeup; we have four great starters, four solid bullpens and an elimination game for the NLDS. If they follow the regular ump rotations we should have two solid under umps in Cederstrom and Kellog. Weather should not be a factor whatsoever and even though Milwaukee is a dome, there will be a shadow issue for the hitters because of the glass panels on the roof. I'm not exactly pleased that we are getting the same pitching matchup from our winning ticket in game one, but I still think both Gallardo and Kennedy can get it done. I love the fact that Carpenter and Halladay both got knocked around last start as that should lead to more over wagers and a sweet bounceback mentality from both veterans. There's not much else to say as I have pretty much a full run of variance between my price and the posted total, so I'm rolling with both unders for Friday. Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • kingsr
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-23-10
                        • 1983

                        #4211
                        Nice LTA! Thanks for Detroit bro Tailed blindly and CA$H!
                        Comment
                        • Exxpresso
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-29-10
                          • 279

                          #4212
                          Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?
                          Comment
                          • kingsr
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-23-10
                            • 1983

                            #4213
                            Originally posted by Exxpresso
                            Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?

                            Scroll up 3 posts and you'll see LTA's plays for tomorrow.
                            Comment
                            • Love The Action
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 10952

                              #4214
                              Originally posted by Exxpresso
                              Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?
                              No leans on the side, just playing the two unders.

                              I will say that both favorites are slightly overpriced, but not anything near that monstrous pricing gift that the books gave us with Detroit yesterday. To me, each game is too close to a 50/50 proposition and there is no strong edge worth making a play on the ML. Good luck in whatever you choose
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #4215
                                Originally posted by kingsr
                                Nice LTA! Thanks for Detroit bro Tailed blindly and CA$H!
                                Comment
                                • hawley
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-10-10
                                  • 14270

                                  #4216
                                  LTA you are a true asset to SBR amongst the many trolls and losers

                                  good to see you doing well in here.
                                  Comment
                                  • Donnie Brasco
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-04-11
                                    • 862

                                    #4217
                                    Congrats on a great night gents! How do we not play halladay today?
                                    Comment
                                    • alvinho
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 10-15-09
                                      • 19

                                      #4218
                                      LTA betting 1.5u/2u and the picks fits Dexter's A3 model? im in!
                                      Comment
                                      • fitguy67
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-13-11
                                        • 5082

                                        #4219
                                        Tigers first five was nice money...the final result was nice, period.
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #4220
                                          Originally posted by hawley
                                          LTA you are a true asset to SBR amongst the many trolls and losers

                                          good to see you doing well in here.
                                          Very humbling words....same to you Hawley
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDan
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-28-11
                                            • 5104

                                            #4221
                                            Originally posted by Exxpresso
                                            Hey LTA, congrats to the Tigers Do you have any leans on sides today ? I have leans to the Brewers and the Cards. Like both games as under. Maybe parlay the 2 unders with Brewers ML, what do you think ?

                                            Dont care what anyone says and yes i am a homer but im gonna say it anyway. How is stl at this price not worth a shot? Gm 5s/7s are as close to coinflips as you can get most the time, anything can happen, not to mention we get the team that steamrolled into the playoffs. ive seen this movie before, wild card playing the "greatest team/pitcher ever" who "has no shot"..Fukk Doc, Fukk da Phils, fukk their fans, Fukk that idiot that said put a farm he never had on philly... yes Doc is great blah blah blah, that said we get the better bats, better pen (yea i said it, where all the fukheads that tried telling me getting rid of that assclown Drew was a bad move now?), stronger willed team @ +165..sign me up

                                            GO CARDS

                                            Agree with LTA, the under is probably the better play as not like i expect Cards to light Doc up, few early runs should be enough to tighten phils bats up even more, Carp wont go out like no bitch. 3-2 Cards..Bring on the shit talking Brewers and their bandwagon fans that only talk every 7 years or so.
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #4222
                                              Originally posted by BigDan
                                              Dont care what anyone says and yes i am a homer but im gonna say it anyway. How is stl at this price not worth a shot? Gm 5s/7s are as close to coinflips as you can get most the time, anything can happen, not to mention we get the team that steamrolled into the playoffs. ive seen this movie before, wild card playing the "greatest team/pitcher ever" who "has no shot"..Fukk Doc, Fukk da Phils, fukk their fans, Fukk that idiot that said put a farm he never had on philly... yes Doc is great blah blah blah, that said we get the better bats, better pen (yea i said it, where all the fukheads that tried telling me getting rid of that assclown Drew was a bad move now?), stronger willed team @ +165..sign me up

                                              GO CARDS

                                              Agree with LTA, the under is probably the better play as not like i expect Cards to light Doc up, few early runs should be enough to tighten phils bats up even more, Carp wont go out like no bitch. 3-2 Cards..Bring on the shit talking Brewers and their bandwagon fans that only talk every 7 years or so.
                                              The phils are overpriced, but not, for example, nearly as much as the yanks were yesterday. Most importantly, yesterday we had an overpriced favorite with a disavantage in starting pitchers. As much as i respect Carp and expect him to pitch well today, he does not hold the advantage over doc like fister had over nova. I like the under so much that I am contemplating making this the biggest play all year....the only thing holding me back is the juice. Good luck dan
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDan
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-28-11
                                                • 5104

                                                #4223
                                                Oh yea bro. i agree with you. You know im a homer. Im on under for 2u and Stl for just 1u.. keep telling myself after i hit a gm with Cards im done but then i play them anyway. what can i say, house money and im a believer. Usually not a homer, but once playoffs roll around all that goes out the window.

                                                Doc a beast and Carp on the tail end, just hoping he musters that warrior mojo tonight. A few runs early off Doc and i think philly butts will tighten so tight that they couldnt hit a pitch i threw

                                                that said i wouldnt be shocked if Doc pitched a 2 hit shutout, he certainly capable but we have had decent gms against him. The fact you like under so much gives me more hope because the only way it goes over is if Carp gets tagged.
                                                Last edited by BigDan; 10-07-11, 08:14 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • guil0000
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-18-11
                                                  • 472

                                                  #4224
                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                  No leans on the side, just playing the two unders. I will say that both favorites are slightly overpriced, but not anything near that monstrous pricing gift that the books gave us with Detroit yesterday. To me, each game is too close to a 50/50 proposition and there is no strong edge worth making a play on the ML. Good luck in whatever you choose
                                                  I couldn't agree more... when I capped both games yesterday I told myself I would play the dogs if I can get +150 on arizona and +180 on St- Louis. I have to agree with the totals. BOL today LTA
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #4225
                                                    If anyone has confirmation that cederstom is the ump in philly, please share. Same for kellog in mil. Thanks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Luv2Play2
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-24-10
                                                      • 2461

                                                      #4226
                                                      dam got a really late start.. both mine offering 6' ovr -125 ? do ya think it will climb back to 7 on the cards? bol 2day
                                                      Last edited by Luv2Play2; 10-07-11, 10:17 AM. Reason: spell check
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Redscot
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-16-11
                                                        • 2571

                                                        #4227
                                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                        If anyone has confirmation that cederstom is the ump in philly, please share. Same for kellog in mil. Thanks.
                                                        Well, Covers has them both listed, and another site I visit does as well...still, there is nothing guaranteeing they are not just making the same assumptions we are at this stage.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #4228
                                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                          MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/7/11

                                                          Play #1

                                                          D-Backs/Brewers under (7.5)(-120) 1.5x (Locked)

                                                          Play #2

                                                          Cards/Phillies under (7)(-125) 2x (Locked)


                                                          I am locking these in now and eating the heavy juice (ouch) because I expect both totals to drop relatively soon to 7 and 6.5 respectively. Most offshore books actually have 6.5 right now for the phillies total, so I'm pleased to get 7 irrespective of the expensive price. I generally dont pay more than -120 for a total, but in this case the extra 5 cents is warranted. I have the Milwaukee total at 6.6 and the Philly total at 6 even, so Im jumping on both of these early numbers. Good luck.
                                                          I added a half unit to both of these plays at the same price as before. Therefore, I am now playing the Brewers under 1.5x and the Phillies under for 2x. Both at heavy juice, but I think we beat the closer as I expect both totals to drop sometime tomorrow. No need for a big writeup; we have four great starters, four solid bullpens and an elimination game for the NLDS. If they follow the regular ump rotations we should have two solid under umps in Cederstrom and Kellog. Weather should not be a factor whatsoever and even though Milwaukee is a dome, there will be a shadow issue for the hitters because of the glass panels on the roof. I'm not exactly pleased that we are getting the same pitching matchup from our winning ticket in game one, but I still think both Gallardo and Kennedy can get it done. I love the fact that Carpenter and Halladay both got knocked around last start as that should lead to more over wagers and a sweet bounceback mentality from both veterans. There's not much else to say as I have pretty much a full run of variance between my price and the posted total, so I'm rolling with both unders for Friday. Good luck.

                                                          Play #2

                                                          Added 0.50 for total of 2.5x Cards/Phils under (7)(-125) (Locked)


                                                          I may be adding to the stake of both games as the day goes on. Both games should see a lot of "small ball" with advancing runners via bunts, etc., which will hopefully keep the big innings away. Good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JR007
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-21-10
                                                            • 5279

                                                            #4229
                                                            thought the totals would be in the 6 range by now, have not been following, have there been any so far ????
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Redscot
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-16-11
                                                              • 2571

                                                              #4230
                                                              Originally posted by JR007
                                                              thought the totals would be in the 6 range by now, have not been following, have there been any so far ????

                                                              7 1/2 Brew and 7 Phils hanging on by a thread in most books.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #4231
                                                                Originally posted by Redscot
                                                                Well, Covers has them both listed, and another site I visit does as well...still, there is nothing guaranteeing they are not just making the same assumptions we are at this stage.
                                                                Thank you
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #4232
                                                                  Verlander/tigers open at -111 and quickly get bought up to -114...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mt675826
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 03-14-11
                                                                    • 30

                                                                    #4233
                                                                    Man it was awesome to cash the Tigers with an A-Rod strikeout, it was one of the best moments for me this season hands down. I'm with you on the Cards/Phils under but I have always tried to avoid betting ANY Milwaukee games under, especially at home. I think all four teams today will obviously be in all out defensive mode, but the few times I've taken unders involving Milwaukee I've been burned... especially at home. Can't help but notice LTA that it seems like your 1.5x/2x shows some of that same doubt? Why not heavier on the AZ/MIL under?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 815Sox
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-13-10
                                                                      • 1078

                                                                      #4234
                                                                      Why do you think people should go higher than 2 units of AZ/MIL? I do not get your question.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Trivial
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-22-09
                                                                        • 1328

                                                                        #4235
                                                                        I think the question is why not 2x equal on both?
                                                                        Comment
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