LTA's MLB Plays

GoggsViggs · 10-05-11, 08:09 PM

LTA, just dropping in to say hi. Hope u on the brew crew tonight.

Redscot · 10-05-11, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

GM 5 bitches!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Why is that asshole talking about phi/mil series? Cards aint done yet ye of many names...........

Tell me you weren't eyeing some unsuspecting Phillie fan top of the 1st

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by Trivial

Nice call on the cards. That helps a lot. Phew.

Just stop man. It wasn't a "call". He didn't predict a cards win. He bet on a probability of the cards winning that he thought was better than their true probability. Whether the cards won or lost it was a great bet because the closer was beat by 6 cents. Had the philles scored 3 in the 9th, you would be huffing and puffing and thought he didn't make a nice call. Leave the results oriented comments at home guy

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Early birds probably got the worm on that total. I could see it landing at 9, which would pay off only those who took it at 8.5.

Love The Action · 10-05-11, 08:10 PM

MLB Final Numbers for Regular Season 2011

418 - 378 = +38.03x

MLB 2011 Playoff Recap 10/5/11

1 - 0 = +1x

MLB 2011 Playoffs

5 - 5 = -2.6x

Slowly but surely we inch back to the black for the playoffs after that big 4x loss last Sunday. We've had three straight profitable days and we'll go for four tomorrow....

Redscot · 10-05-11, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

Just stop man. It wasn't a "call". He didn't predict a cards win. He bet on a probability of the cards winning that he thought was better than their true probability. Whether the cards won or lost it was a great bet because the closer was beat by 6 cents. Had the philles scored 3 in the 9th, you would be huffing and puffing and thought he didn't make a nice call. Leave the results oriented comments at home guy

The term "Wet Blanket" comes to mind.

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

The term "Wet Blanket" comes to mind.

The guy thought Jim Leyland was a pitcher I can't help it

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:16 PM

I shut it down before the playoffs. Not the most logical thinking, but to bet at most probably 5 games throughout the playoffs is just variance in my mind I don't need eating into my season's profit

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:17 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Tell me you weren't eyeing some unsuspecting Phillie fan top of the 1st

wasnt to angry yet as at this point id be a fool not to expect Edwin to give up a few in the 1st. Never thought we couldnt get to Oswalt.

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:18 PM

screw punching a philly fan. Ye of many names would be so fun to chin check. something tells me his internet mouth is much stronger than his jaw...

Redscot · 10-05-11, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

wasnt to angry yet as at this point id be a fool not to expect Edwin to give up a few in the 1st. Never thought we couldnt get to Oswalt.

True. Gonna be a hell of a matchup come Friday. 2 Bulldogs squaring off.

815Sox · 10-05-11, 08:20 PM

I have to say, its almost like Jackson expects to be rocky in the first now. You just have to hope that the other team doesn't hurt him beyond repair. He looked very good tonight, I thought the Phillies would overpower him but nope. The Phils offense is really struggling right now and this is not the time to do it.

Krazymojo · 10-05-11, 08:20 PM

red what u doing for the az/mil game?

Redscot · 10-05-11, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by Krazymojo

red what u doing for the az/mil game?

Drinkin'

. I lean BrewCrew but not enough to put money on it.

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

screw punching a philly fan. Ye of many names would be so fun to chin check. something tells me his internet mouth is much stronger than his jaw...

address me properly son

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:23 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

address me properly son

pretty sure i did "boy"....

Trivial · 10-05-11, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

Just stop man. It wasn't a "call". He didn't predict a cards win. He bet on a probability of the cards winning that he thought was better than their true probability. Whether the cards won or lost it was a great bet because the closer was beat by 6 cents. Had the philles scored 3 in the 9th, you would be huffing and puffing and thought he didn't make a nice call. Leave the results oriented comments at home guy

Shhesh - stop playing on words man. I was just saying that his analysis of the probability of the cards winning came to fruition.

I in no way second guess someone. I am not one of these shitheads who go off on people predicting wrong. It is called gambling for a reason. It isn't a GIC at a bank paying 0.1% interest or something.

Risk = reward, but even stocks can go down and lose.

Crap man, take a chill pill.

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by Trivial

Shhesh - stop playing on words man. I was just saying that his analysis of the probability of the cards winning came to fruition.

It came to fruition because of where the line closed, not the result of the game. Had the phillies won, you wouldn't be saying nice call, that's my point.

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:28 PM

Trivial dont waste your time with that douche. trust me he the biggest fraud on a forum full of them. That clown talking "profits" when the gms he put his little nuts out there never hit, so i guess he only hits the gms he is scared to talk about till after the fact(shocking)...this gm was a no-brainer, doesnt take a stat geek to know that this was going to gm 5 any more than it did to know phil was gonna wax stl after albert went down and they were beat the hell up earlier in the year(that clown was all over cards for those gms, HUGE VALUE

)............

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

Trivial dont waste your time with that douche. trust me he the biggest fraud on a forum full of them. That clown talking "profits" when the gms he put his little nuts out there never hit, so i guess he only hits the gms he is scared to talk about till after the fact(shocking)...this gm was a no-brainer, doesnt take a stat geek to know that this was going to gm 5 any more than it did to know phil was gonna wax stl after albert went down and they were beat the hell up earlier in the year(that clown was all over cards for those gms, HUGE VALUE

)............

spoken like a true square

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:31 PM

Bodog just gave me +102 on the d-bags......not tired so fukk it...go d-bags!!!!! the team not you ye of many names *i could see how this would be confusing as you are no doubt a d-bag)...

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

spoken like a true square

A square that is up much more than you im sure....sorry stat boy, i use my eyes and actually knowledge and i know that bothers you cause you are incapable of that

funny how someone who thinks so highly of herself relies on formulas that others came up with. Sad really...

No coincidences · 10-05-11, 08:34 PM

Hey "God" -- I see all of your posts asking if Boston was a stupid bet at -300 the day Beckett lost to the O's and you were banned have mysteriously vanished ...

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

A square that is up much more than you im sure....sorry stat boy, i use my eyes and actually knowledge and i know that bothers you cause you are incapable of that

of course, everyone this board is a winner! and not a small one either! why do people feel the need to validate themselves on a message board? you ain't up long term we both know that

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Hey "God" -- I see all of your posts asking if Boston was a stupid bet at -300 the day Beckett lost to the O's and you were banned have mysteriously vanished ...

What? If you're talking about the Tommy Hunter game of course -300 would be stupid, I think that game closed around -250

Trivial · 10-05-11, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

It came to fruition because of where the line closed, not the result of the game. Had the phillies won, you wouldn't be saying nice call, that's my point.

Umm.. do some searches from me my friend. I have constantly complimented the right call, even when the wager lost. People like LTA and others can easily say screw off to all of us and go make money just fine on their own without any sharing. They enjoy talking about it, getting opinions, and sharing and we all benefit from that. The English word for that is a "forum" which I am participating in.

I could give two flying f**ks about baseball. I'd rather watch grass growing on the field than watch lame asses throwing a ball at insane speeds. I do so because of the possibility of making money, and talking to fine folks who actually care about the sport. There are likely people who do the same for the sports I do care about and they don't.

So go take your technical details to someone who gives a shit. I'm here to talk with normal folk.

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

of course, everyone this board is a winner! and not a small one either! why do people feel the need to validate themselves on a message board? you ain't up long term we both know that

im not the one who started talking "profits"...we all know god damn well you have never been up in your life, hell i doubt you can even get "up" if you know what im saying, not that you could find any woman to fukk your pathetic ass....

im certainly not the one here trying to validate myself, to everyone but you that is obvious....

Trivial · 10-05-11, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

Trivial dont waste your time with that douche. trust me he the biggest fraud on a forum full of them. That clown talking "profits" when the gms he put his little nuts out there never hit, so i guess he only hits the gms he is scared to talk about till after the fact(shocking)...this gm was a no-brainer, doesnt take a stat geek to know that this was going to gm 5 any more than it did to know phil was gonna wax stl after albert went down and they were beat the hell up earlier in the year(that clown was all over cards for those gms, HUGE VALUE

)............

Thanks for the advice. I'll let him burn.

No coincidences · 10-05-11, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

What? If you're talking about the Tommy Hunter game of course -300 would be stupid, I think that game closed around -250

You are a goddam liar.

You asked me the day after Boston lost to the O's and you called it the "play of the month" if it'd be a bad bet to take Boston the next day, making it sound like you'd be a fool to fade them again. Now the posts are mysteriously missing and you've done an about-face.

You lost your ass taking Boston down the stretch. Period.

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:39 PM

Roenicke starting Kottaras over Lucroy??? Their R/L splits are polar opposites and guess which is dead weight against lefties

hawley · 10-05-11, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by Almighty

of course, everyone this board is a winner! and not a small one either! why do people feel the need to validate themselves on a message board? you ain't up long term we both know that

Pot meet kettle...

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You are a goddam liar.

You asked me the day after Boston lost to the O's and you called it the "play of the month" if it'd be a bad bet to take Boston the next day, making it sound like you'd be a fool to fade them again. Now the posts are mysteriously missing and you've done an about-face.

You lost your ass taking Boston down the stretch. Period.

"mysteriously missing" lol....I think you're talking about when I bet Bedard but nowhere did I say it was the play of the month nor did I bet boston the next day

Krazymojo · 10-05-11, 08:43 PM

BrewCrew-112 3x

Almighty · 10-05-11, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by hawley

Pot meet kettle...

everyone thinks I'm a huge loser and that every pick I post loses. I'm thrilled they think I always lose I could care less, that's the opposite of caring about message board approval

BigDan · 10-05-11, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You are a goddam liar.

You asked me the day after Boston lost to the O's and you called it the "play of the month" if it'd be a bad bet to take Boston the next day, making it sound like you'd be a fool to fade them again. Now the posts are mysteriously missing and you've done an about-face.

You lost your ass taking Boston down the stretch. Period.

ive never seen the guy on a winning side until after the fact....but im sure long term he is doing great