LTA's MLB Plays

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by gshock1

does this mean Sharp $ is on NY or just the general market driving up the price?

Yanks being the most popular sports commodity in the world definitely has it's influence. I'll defer to LTA as to what degree that is influencing these moves, I would think the Sharp money would have bought in before the inevitable "square" Yankee plays. Not my area of expertise though........GL fella's

**BigDan** · 10-06-11, 06:35 PM

Tigers+163 for me...bodog has a way of talking me into dogs.

**gshock1** · 10-06-11, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

Tigers+163 for me...bodog has a way of talking me into dogs.

I heard this is 2dabank. True?

**BigDan** · 10-06-11, 06:38 PM

**gshock1** · 10-06-11, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

Looking forward to college hoops. Glad 2 see you back!

**HOT WINGS** · 10-06-11, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/6/11

Play #1

Tigers ML (+153) 1x (Locked)

Line starting to move around and I have a busy day at work ahead of me so I'm going to take the +153. I have the tigers as +131 dogs so the inflated odds on the yanks for very similar teams provides some nice value. Fister is by far the better pitcher tonight, and despite more bullpen options for the yanks, I'm rolling with the tigers for 1x. Good luck.

**BigDan** · 10-06-11, 06:43 PM

cant wait brother. although college fb has been treating me pretty well..usually post plays i really like in Biffs and/or LTA's thread

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/6/11

Play #1

Tigers ML (+153) 1x (Locked)

Line starting to move around and I have a busy day at work ahead of me so I'm going to take the +153. I have the tigers as +131 dogs so the inflated odds on the yanks for very similar teams provides some nice value. Fister is by far the better pitcher tonight, and despite more bullpen options for the yanks, I'm rolling with the tigers for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Tigers PK First Five Innings (+147) 0.60x (Locked)

Once this hit +147, I had to jump on it. This way, I have total exposure of 1.6x, but I have the ability to win about 2.4x and if only the first five play hits I just about break even. Good luck.

**No coincidences** · 10-06-11, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #2

Tigers PK First Five Innings (+147) 0.60x (Locked)

Once this hit +147, I had to jump on it. This way, I have total exposure of 1.6x, but I have the ability to win about 2.4x and if only the first five play hits I just about break even. Good luck.

Did the same. BOL has +155; Pinny is +138.

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #2

Tigers PK First Five Innings (+147) 0.60x (Locked)

Once this hit +147, I had to jump on it. This way, I have total exposure of 1.6x, but I have the ability to win about 2.4x and if only the first five play hits I just about break even. Good luck.

Right on bro, I am on this one as well.

Have constructed one of the most interesting/probably asinine cards of my life on this game tonight. Gonna be drinking up a storm here, BOL to all

**No coincidences** · 10-06-11, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Right on bro, I am on this one as well.

Have constructed one of the most interesting/probably asinine cards of my life on this game tonight. Gonna be drinking up a storm here, BOL to all

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by gshock1

does this mean Sharp $ is on NY or just the general market driving up the price?

Sorry, I was traveling home from work and could not respond. In this case, without knowing for sure, I believe there is so called "sharp" money on both sides. Just like on this board, you have "value" sharps who are jumping all over the Tigers at +150 or more solely because of overinflated odds on the Yanks and their actual probability of winning not matching such inflated odds. In addition, you have other "sharps" that feel the Yanks are the superior team, are playing at home and should pull this out because of the superior bullpen. However, what you also have driving up the price is the overwhelming amount of money coming in from the five burroughs of NY. NY is one of the main betting markets in the world -- not only the country -- and make no mistake that every Joe Yankee fan is jumping all over this game betting everywhere from $10 to $1000 because the "yanks can't possibly lose this one at home."

I have seen so much nonsense written on this board, that it really questions what some of these guys actually know about sports investing. To me, the Yanks have a solid chance of winning. But their true probability of winning does not come close to matching a -170 price. The Tigers have the superior starter and a comparable offense. I expect a good game and for the Tigers to end up on top after 5 innings and after 9. Good luck.

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Right on NC, not quite sure what happened here, but i am looking at some funky shit.

If it's not a score fest I should be ok though

.

GL man

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Right on NC, not quite sure what happened here, but i am looking at some funky shit.

If it's not a score fest I should be ok though

.

GL man

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 07:11 PM

We got two early ones...but remember this is a long game so don't get too crazy just yet

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 07:14 PM

Just posted my second NCAAF play of the week on the Boise/Fresno game tomorrow. Good luck.

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/1239549-ltas-ncaaf-plays-p6.html#post11758933

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**Trivial** · 10-06-11, 07:29 PM

Thanks LTA. Got it in at Pinny.

Anyone know if the Greek offers such bets? I cant find it. Thanks.

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #2

Tigers PK First Five Innings (+147) 0.60x (Locked)

Once this hit +147, I had to jump on it. This way, I have total exposure of 1.6x, but I have the ability to win about 2.4x and if only the first five play hits I just about break even. Good luck.

**Trivial** · 10-06-11, 07:57 PM

Found it under props. Thanks.

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 08:16 PM

Oh Boy, Giriardi having visions of Larussa

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Oh Boy, Giriardi having visions of Larussa

He better be careful or he's going to be screwed if this goes extra innings....

Did you jump on the oregon over with me? Got a quick 10 at least...

**Donnie Brasco** · 10-06-11, 08:36 PM

Ok yanks, leave the dux on the pond like u have all year!

**Donnie Brasco** · 10-06-11, 08:41 PM

Yeah baby! True to form!

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

He better be careful or he's going to be screwed if this goes extra innings....

Did you jump on the oregon over with me? Got a quick 10 at least...

Yup, I did bro, loved that play

.

SWeating bullets here. Have Det 1st 5 and under 5 1st 5, this is some stressful shiznit.

It gets better though.....have Yanks R/L for the game and under 9

....I need psych. help. GL Bro

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 09:08 PM

Cash the Tigers first five...now let's get this game

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 09:13 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Yup, I did bro, loved that play

.

SWeating bullets here. Have Det 1st 5 and under 5 1st 5, this is some stressful shiznit.

It gets better though.....have Yanks R/L for the game and under 9

....I need psych. help. GL Bro

Just crazy enough to hit em all...although I would much rather you go 3-1

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Just crazy enough to hit em all...although I would much rather you go 3-1

At this stage I'll settle for 3-1 too my man.

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 09:55 PM

How does Benoit miss that little dribbler

**No coincidences** · 10-06-11, 09:56 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

How does Benoit miss that little dribbler

It's a baseball -- not a fvcking bomb.

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 10:42 PM

Great calls LTA

. Always a great night when the Yanks get eliminated

**italianbandit** · 10-06-11, 10:45 PM

Nice

**Love The Action** · 10-06-11, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Great calls LTA

. Always a great night when the Yanks get eliminated

Originally posted by italianbandit

Nice

Solid win

Do you guys know the umps for tomorrow?

**Trivial** · 10-06-11, 10:47 PM

Indeed. Congratulations and good night.

**Trivial** · 10-06-11, 10:48 PM

Too bad I didn't see the Ncaaf pick until just now.

**815Sox** · 10-06-11, 10:50 PM

Now I just need the Penguins to hold on for one more period. Night of the Dogs!

**Redscot** · 10-06-11, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Solid win

Do you guys know the umps for tomorrow?

I am assuming Cederstrom in Philly and Kellog in Milwaukee, but have 0 confirmation on that.