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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #1
    Monday
    3* Tribe/Diamondbacks under 9 (-115)
    2* Nationals ML (+125)
    2* Braves/Mariners under 6 (+102)

    BOL to all tonight.
  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #2
    waiting on ump for tribe but i do like it. played sea un 6.5 last night,juicy. might play nats also...Gl today
    Comment
    • Ktown
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-18-10
      • 403

      #3
      Great job on the totals Biff, keep up the great capping.
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        Originally posted by BigDan
        waiting on ump for tribe but i do like it. played sea un 6.5 last night,juicy. might play nats also...Gl today
        thanks, BigDan. i would prefer to wait for ump info on Tribe game, but a little concerned that could result in my getting stuck with 8.5 (ump and line-up card - Tribe called up Chisenhall from minors today). only 1 of last 10 Tribe games has reached 9 runs, roof closed in AZ, AL team in NL park, and Dbacks have been a very underrated under team all season.

        i think that there's a decent chance that Tribe line-up looks like this: Brantley, Phelps, A Cabrera, Santana, Sizemore, Buck, Chisenhall, Marson/Hannahan, Talbot. that's bad, and doesn't even include the potential for Shelley Duncan. Kennedy really only need concern himself with the first 5 hitters. maybe i'm just the kind of sucker that Vegas loves, but that screams under 9.
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #5
          Originally posted by Ktown
          Great job on the totals Biff, keep up the great capping.
          thank you, Ktown. BOL to you tonight.
          Comment
          • BigDan
            Restricted User
            • 04-28-11
            • 5104

            #6
            roof closed isnt it? that what we want.
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #7
              Originally posted by BigDan
              roof closed isnt it? that what we want.
              oops you are correct. yes, it is closed, and yes, that's what we want. i edited prior post lest there be any confusion.

              Tribe TT under 3.5 also looks good, but i'm too much of a chickenshit homer to play it.
              Comment
              • Jonno116
                SBR Hustler
                • 09-26-10
                • 63

                #8
                The over 6.5 at SD is getting a good beating . Good chance of it happening ?!
                Comment
                • STAY STRONG
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 2498

                  #9
                  Had some spicy beef noodle soup for lunch. Good stuff.
                  Comment
                  • cashville03
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 06-13-11
                    • 306

                    #10
                    ive been following ya for a bit and i think its time i pull the trigger on ur plays as for the fact that i suck and am running bad lol. on arizona ml and under 9...bol!!
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Jonno116
                      The over 6.5 at SD is getting a good beating . Good chance of it happening ?!
                      i actually lean under. Pads are so low-scoring at home, and playing in NL park likely means that either Hosmer or Butler has to take a seat for KC.
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #12
                        Originally posted by STAY STRONG
                        Had some spicy beef noodle soup for lunch. Good stuff.
                        nice. i foolishly ate light and i've been starving most of the afternoon.

                        Originally posted by cashville03
                        ive been following ya for a bit and i think its time i pull the trigger on ur plays as for the fact that i suck and am running bad lol. on arizona ml and under 9...bol!!
                        BOL to us. can't argue with your AZ ML play at all. Tribe are hurting and will continue to do so until they get back home. Hafner not being able to play interleague kills their already anemic line-up.
                        Comment
                        • BigDan
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-28-11
                          • 5104

                          #13
                          I played Nats for series at +145 instead of taking them tonight.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            parlayed d-bags and under.
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #15
                              Fairchild announced as ump for CIN/TB. i really wanted to take the under in this game, and Fairchild is a decent under ump, but for whatever reason, i just can't pull the trigger. maybe it's because Mike Leake is the Fausto Carmona of southwest Ohio/Kentucky.
                              Comment
                              • BigDan
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-28-11
                                • 5104

                                #16
                                yea i had that one wrote down till Cueto got scratched.
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #17
                                  2 runs in the top of the 1st for the Reds. passing on the under saved some early heartburn.
                                  Comment
                                  • jbart28
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-16-11
                                    • 3387

                                    #18
                                    Mitch Talbot is a gas can- he allows lefties to hit .429 and the snakes have a shit ton of left handed rakers. I like D backs run line with no play on the total. BOL

                                    I can see montero, drew, johnson, etc smashing this guy tonight
                                    Comment
                                    • 19th Hole
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-22-09
                                      • 18964

                                      #19
                                      Hit it!

                                      Biff...
                                      Been keepin' an eye on you.

                                      I like your Atl/Sea Un.
                                      Braves and Mariners each have
                                      stong under totals.
                                      Comment
                                      • brock
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-07-08
                                        • 8326

                                        #20
                                        Good luck I,m on Washington.
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #21
                                          Tim Welke is the ump in Arizona. fk. that's not good for business. good to see that pinny moved to 8.5, though. he's only 7-8 over this season, hopefully that keeps up tonight, but historically he's an over ump.
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jbart28
                                            Mitch Talbot is a gas can- he allows lefties to hit .429 and the snakes have a shit ton of left handed rakers. I like D backs run line with no play on the total. BOL

                                            I can see montero, drew, johnson, etc smashing this guy tonight
                                            i don't blame you for liking Dbacks RL. Talbot can have a bad outing, no doubt, but the roof is closed and he doesn't throw a lot of fly balls. i'm concerned about Talbot's walks, and now Welke, but in their last 23 games, the Tribe has scored 0 five times and 1 run five times. Talbot's been decent lately other than the Tigers game, and no matter what, the Tribe shouldn't score much.

                                            Originally posted by 19th Hole
                                            Biff...
                                            Been keepin' an eye on you.

                                            I like your Atl/Sea Un.
                                            Braves and Mariners each have
                                            stong under totals.
                                            thanks, 19th Hole, BOL to you tonight.
                                            Comment
                                            • Lord and Master
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 05-31-11
                                              • 531

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                              oops you are correct. yes, it is closed, and yes, that's what we want. i edited prior post lest there be any confusion.
                                              what site did you use to find out that the roof is closed?

                                              Tim Welke is the ump in Arizona. fk. that's not good for business. good to see that pinny moved to 8.5, though. he's only 7-8 over this season, hopefully that keeps up tonight, but historically he's an over ump.
                                              Covers has welke at 10-6 on overs this year, which site did you use? I have no idea how reliable covers is. He also has an above average strike %, that should indicate an under ump not an over
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Lord and Master

                                                what site did you use to find out that the roof is closed?



                                                Covers has welke at 10-6 on overs this year, which site did you use? I have no idea how reliable covers is. He also has an above average strike %, that should indicate an under ump not an over
                                                i saw the roof on twitter

                                                actually i use covers for umps. my mistake, i accidentally put in Bill Welke's number. you are correct, Tim Welke is 10-6 over this season. no matter, it wasn't part of my reasoning for playing. a lot of people consider him an over ump.
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #25
                                                  15 minutes in and the Tribe game is already fkn ridiculous.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • vcj16
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 07-08-09
                                                    • 379

                                                    #26
                                                    good luck to us on the Braves/Mariners under 6
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by vcj16
                                                      good luck to us on the Braves/Mariners under 6
                                                      right!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Lord and Master
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-31-11
                                                        • 531

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                        a lot of people consider him an over ump.
                                                        I know i've read that before too but his strike % is actually one of the highest. The over/under record for him lifetime is 78-57 but its obvious that is just variance as more strikes decrease runs not add them. If you assume o/u is a 50/50 proposition I would bet that that outcome out of only 135 trials is barely outside the first standard deviation
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pacocn
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 07-05-10
                                                          • 12934

                                                          #29
                                                          biff, i ended up playing the tribe straight up
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by pacocn
                                                            biff, i ended up playing the tribe straight up
                                                            great call, pacocn. nice big + odds hit. wish i'd done the same instead of total but at least i pushed.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pacocn
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-05-10
                                                              • 12934

                                                              #31
                                                              biff i tailed u on the total too, i was hoping it would stay 4-3
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #32
                                                                3* Tribe/Diamondbacks under 9 (-115) - PUSH
                                                                2* Braves/Mariners under 6 (+102) - WINNER

                                                                Nats in extra innings in Anaheim. felt fortunate to get a push out of the Tribe game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pacocn
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-05-10
                                                                  • 12934

                                                                  #33
                                                                  biff, i had a feeling Talbot would hold his own.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by pacocn
                                                                    biff i tailed u on the total too, i was hoping it would stay 4-3
                                                                    glad that at least we pushed, thought i was going to lose it when Sizemore dove after that ball in the first inning.

                                                                    Originally posted by pacocn
                                                                    biff, i had a feeling Talbot would hold his own.
                                                                    he has first inning troubles, but he did settle down well. he deserved to get the W.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jbart28
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-16-11
                                                                      • 3387

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Oh well, bad play by me. At least I got under braves and braves

                                                                      Good picks biff
                                                                      Comment
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