Monday

[BigDan]

Yeah, I rode the under 9 with ya at the last minute....we got putzed. Had atlanta and the under and under 7 nats...push 1 time??

yea that nats under needs to push, last leg of decent parlay for me.

[BiffTFinancial]

I know i've read that before too but his strike % is actually one of the highest. The over/under record for him lifetime is 78-57 but its obvious that is just variance as more strikes decrease runs not add them. If you assume o/u is a 50/50 proposition I would bet that that outcome out of only 135 trials is barely outside the first standard deviation

you make a good point. umps are a factor, but not determinative on their own. for whatever reason, Tim Welke's games tend to go over (i did notice tonight that he called a number of close strikes - his strikes zone is not outrageously small). i know that i've done well with overs in Welke games this season. tonight was the first time i've taken an under in a Welke game this season, and i pushed.

[BigDan]

only about 6-9 umps or so that i worry about that seem far less than neutral one way or the other.

[BiffTFinancial]

Oh well, bad play by me. At least I got under braves and braves

Good picks biff

well, i wasn't that close in my cap of the game, just close enough to get out with the push. i can't believe that the Tribe scored 5. you should have a few more good opportunities to fade them on this road trip.

[BiffTFinancial]

2* Nats ML - LOSER

1-1-1 +0.04u

[BigDan]

2* Nats ML - LOSER

1-1-1 +0.04u

still positive day, lol, beats the shit out of negative

wish they would have lost 3-2, would have been nice not to get my 3 team knocked down to 2 with the push. that why i played them for series tho cause i like their matchup for 2marro. might play them anyway.

go see what you think of my card im pretty much done, well got plays i liked now in and gonna wait on a few but wont have a lot of time 2marro.