2006 Preview - Kansas City Royals

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    2006 Preview - Kansas City Royals
    (Last in a series of 30)


    2005 Record: 56-106, 5th in AL Central

    Woe is KC. They were likely headed in a downward spiral whether owner David Glass took over in 1993 or not. But Glass’ management --- Mismanagement? --- has only contributed to an even steeper decline. GM Allard Baird and manager Buddy Bell are left to try to make it all work.

    The pitching staff was in disarray before camp started and it has become an even bigger mess during camp. The top three appear to be right-handers Scott Elarton, Runelvys Hernandez and Joe Mays. If that’s not enough to make your average big league hitter drool, then what is? Behind those three is still anyone’s guess right now, though lefty Jeremy Affeldt and righty Denny Bautista have pitched well enough to claim the last two spots. In fact, Affeldt and Bautista have pitched better this spring than the front three. Mike Wood and Elmer Dessens are also still in the mix.

    An injury to southpaw Mark Redman and personal issues with Zack Greinke threw the rotation into a pickle this spring. Redman had to have some arthro work on a knee and could be back around mid-April. Greinke is off dealing with “longstanding emotional issues,” according to the Kansas City Star. There is no timetable for his return, though speculation is June.

    Mike MacDougal entered camp as the closer before an injury to a muscle in his right shoulder shut him down. Early May is a best-case scenario for his return. While he’s out, Bell has decided to go with 21-yr-old Ambiorix Burgos in the closer’s slot. Since that news came across the wires, Burgos has stumbled a bit in preseason action.

    The relief corps behind Burgos to start with will be made up of a blend that includes left-handers Andy Sisco and Jimmy Gobble, along with right-handers Joel Peralta and Luke Hudson, plus the losers in the rotation battles. Rumors are going around that several teams are interested in Gobble, so a trade is possible.

    Though the winter acquisitions of Elarton, Mays and Redman might not pay big dividends this season, signing Reggie Sanders, Mark Grudzielanek and Doug Mientkiewicz should at least provide some veteran stability in the lineup. That is, of course, assuming that all three can stay healthy, something that has not always happened for Sanders and Grudzielanek.

    Sanders will be in left field and probably bat cleanup in the order. The rest of the outfield will see David DeJesus in center and Emil Brown in right. DeJesus is going to bat leadoff, unless something drastic --- Like continued problems with his hamstring that have bugged him this spring --- changes that idea. Matt Stairs, Aaron Guiel and Chip Ambres are outfield backups and, since the club plans to carry just 11 pitchers to open up, all three could make the team. If one is sent down, it will be Guiel.

    Veteran Mike Sweeney, who has endured more than his fair share of lackluster seasons in KC, will be the primary DH. Again, assuming he’s healthy. Sweeney has been bothered by a bruised ankle all spring; if he can’t get into action this week, his Opening Day status is in doubt.

    Behind the plate are John Buck and Paul Bako. Buck’s bat has been slow this spring with Bako’s stick hot, but Buck should still be the #1 catcher on Opening Day.

    Mientkiewicz and Grudzielanek man the right side of the infield and should give announcers a hard time when calling a Royals double play this year as they try to spit out those names. Mientkiewicz has been tearing it up this spring at the plate. Angel Berroa is the shortstop and capable of 15-20 homers plus some speed on the bases. Mark Teahen figures to be the Opening Day third sacker, but he might be at third by season’s end. Young phenom Alex Gordon, the second overall pick in 2005 out of Nebraska, is showing signs of being ready for the bigs a little ahead of schedule.

    Joe McEwing and Esteban German are the best bets for reserve infield jobs, with Chris Clapinski and Ruben Gotay possibly seeing action at some point in the campaign.

    Granted, they went out and added some nice inexpensive free agents in the offseason for the first time in, uh, well, a long time. But it’s still difficult to imagine this team finishing anywhere but the cellar in this division. And it might be a deep cellar at that.

    Key Performer(s): Anyone listed as a pitcher in your scorebook. A lot of eyes will be on Elarton, Mays and Redman (when he returns from minor knee surgery).

    Camp Question(s): Spring opened with a dozen arms competing for the rotation, and about as many competing for the pen. Injuries and personal problems whittled that down some, and what’s left on the mound really isn’t too appealing.

    My Play: Before MacDougal and Redman went down with injuries, and Greinke’s “longstanding emotional issues” reared their head, I had the Royals down for 66 wins. Right now, Pinnacle lists KC at 64 (over -117; under +101) with The Greek making their break at 64½ (over +105; under -125). If you lean strongly one way or another, you can get some nominal value at one book or the other. Personally, I think they’re a good bet, along with Florida, to drop 100 in the loss column this season.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    i feel 64 is still probly too high. even with the improvements that they have made over the offseason, they still lack the talent to win that many games this year.
    Comment
    • Illusion
      Restricted User
      • 08-09-05
      • 25166

      #3
      Yet another team you are gonna have to bet this year if you wanna make a profit in bases. Those comebacks will be huge. I have the Royals winning 61-62 games this season.
      Comment
      • bigboydan
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-10-05
        • 55420

        #4
        ILL, you mean to tell me that you will take KC over the white sox this year. the sox beat them in every game but 1 last year.

        i'm just using that as an example, but i'm sure you see my point.
        Comment
        • Illusion
          Restricted User
          • 08-09-05
          • 25166

          #5
          Originally posted by bigboydan
          ILL, you mean to tell me that you will take KC over the white sox this year. the sox beat them in every game but 1 last year.

          i'm just using that as an example, but i'm sure you see my point.
          Don't you remember that hot stretch they caught last year and me and you laughed our way to the bank. I remember people laughing at you because you called that hot streak. They said there's noway KC gets hot, but we proved them wrong.
          Comment
          • bigboydan
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-10-05
            • 55420

            #6
            Originally posted by Illusion
            Don't you remember that hot stretch they caught last year and me and you laughed our way to the bank. I remember people laughing at you because you called that hot streak. They said there's noway KC gets hot, but we proved them wrong.

            oh yes i do remember that ILL.

            i thought it was perty funny too how everyone laughed at me over that prediction that ended up becomming true
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              Current record 13-37

              My Play: Personally, I think they’re a good bet, along with Florida, to drop 100 in the loss column this season.
              Presently on pace to win but 42-43 games this year, the Royals have been nothing short of awful up to this point in the 2006 season. After a 2-13 start in April, KC has hardly improved with 11 wins in the 35 games since April 21.

              How bad are they? How about the fact that they're still .500 if you take away the 11-game losing streak in April and the 13-game skid they just came out of since last week? The Royals rank last in homers allowed and homers hit among AL teams, have yet to have one of their starters throw a complete game and have walked 207 batters compared to just 258 struck out.

              But, wait! There's more...

              Kansas City has scored just 200 runs, last in the AL, and walked but 120 times (last in the AL) while striking out 320 times. They have won just one time out of 12 games agaisnt AL East teams, that coming last Friday in the Bronx. They are 0-8 against lefty starters and an almost Astros-like 5-22 on the road. The only good news up to now is they are perfect in extra innings (1-0) and don't rank last in the AL as far as home attendance, drawing about 1,600 more per game than Tampa up to now.

              Kansas City has won three of their last five, so maybe they will get their act together and prove me wrong by losing less than 100 games this year. They would need to go 50-62 (.446) the rest of the way to lose only 99 games this year, and certainly far stranger things than that have happened in baseball. They actually have a shot to sweep the A's in Oakland today before continuing on to Seattle and complete their current road trip that has taken them from East Coast to West. After that, 19 of their next 32 games before the All-Star break are at home.
              Comment
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