Tuesdays Interleague/and Phis/cards

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  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #36
    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
    what do you make of the fact that Pads TT is 3.5 -115 over and Red Sox TT is 4.5 -115 over while game total is 9 -115 on the under? Red Sox TT over looks good, almost too good. think i will probably add M's/Nats under.

    Honestly i think we will see good Latos tonight, which means pass for me cause only way to bet Sox games is Sox-1.5 ov gm or over team total and none of them thrill me today.


    thought about that Nats/M's game a lot today. Could never make up my mind on the total, think im gonna ride with the Nats, they are beast off a off day at home, they been swinging the bats well lately and i think Livans old crusty ass will be savvy enough to hold the weak swinging M's in check.
    Comment
    • HOT WINGS
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8055

      #37
      Originally posted by BigDan
      Honestly i think we will see good Latos tonight, which means pass for me cause only way to bet Sox games is Sox-1.5 ov gm or over team total and none of them thrill me today.


      thought about that Nats/M's game a lot today. Could never make up my mind on the total, think im gonna ride with the Nats, they are beast off a off day at home, they been swinging the bats well lately and i think Livans old crusty ass will be savvy enough to hold the weak swinging M's in check.
      I just took Nationals ML and -1 +108. Think they might be best play today that doesnt feel like everyone is on. Love fading Fister on road. Also added Whitesox, O's, Brewers TT O 3.5, Yanks TT O 4 and Jays O 8.5. Thinking about that Royals Over and for some reason I kind of like STL today, but not enough to play I dont think. SF and under seem good in late games
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #38
        Originally posted by BigDan


        Honestly i think we will see good Latos tonight, which means pass for me cause only way to bet Sox games is Sox-1.5 ov gm or over team total and none of them thrill me today.


        thought about that Nats/M's game a lot today. Could never make up my mind on the total, think im gonna ride with the Nats, they are beast off a off day at home, they been swinging the bats well lately and i think Livans old crusty ass will be savvy enough to hold the weak swinging M's in check.
        thanks, man. Sox TT now juiced to -120, but i'm going to pass since it simply doesn't make sense. hard not to feel good about a Sox TT over right now, though. Nats bats are the biggest concern for the under, they've hit very well on this home stand.
        Comment
        • BigDan
          Restricted User
          • 04-28-11
          • 5104

          #39
          For better or worse here is what im on so far. lots of favs and lots of consensus plays, and lots of rls so a little worried today, been on a good run as of late tho so might as well keep swinging.

          arz/kc ov 9 -120. played last night cause figured it would go up, seriously considering popping the 9.5 at +105 again if i can get a ump i dont hate.

          Kc-1.5 +160. Im banking on one of these starters to get lit up and id say saunders is the odds on fav in this game.

          Col-130. gotta say this worries me, most ppl are off the tribe bandwagon now so fading them might be a little dangerous, Rox are drive me crazy with their inconsistent play, but when they start wining they usually do it in bunches. Better team, better starter, good price gotta try it.

          Phi-1.5 ev. ive said all i can say about this game, if Cards come out with heart and prove me wrong so be it.

          Nats-130. these guys are swinging some hot bats, they really like this spot with a day off and at home. Pitching is basically a wash w/maybe a slight edge to Livan at home, but im betting on the bats in this one. Bifft i do think your under is solid, neither of these pitchers get run support, just scared of Nats bats right now.

          Mil-135. this one really scares me but Braun is back in the lineup and this team is to good at home to not get a W here. if mil loses ill feel real good about cards chances of hanging around cause if this team cant gain ground with blood in the water they are bums.

          Det-1.5 +145. if i had a brain id get off this with everyone and their mothers playing it and the line dropping. but i dont so i wont, feel like ive had a good read on Scherzer all year and like him tonight.

          tex-1.5 -110....going to the well one more time here, like always when tex wins they do it in bunches. The kid pitching for hou has pretty good stuff but how long will he be able to go against this lineup? that leaves hou pen to deal with these bats, ill probably play this 2marro as well.

          8 freaking plays!! Honestly already feel like i lost today, just couldnt really narrow it down like i would like to.

          And 2 series plays.....

          Phi-160. Doc,Lee, Oswalt vs a banged up Cards team. Stl pitchers have not been going deep in games as of late (besides Carp), if phils get 3 innings a night to take cracks at Cards pen this should be easy.

          Minny +135. taking the red hot al team to take a couple against a all a sudden slumping sf team.

          Want to play chisox as well but i think i have done enough damage to my roll already and the weather looks ominous....Gl everyone
          Comment
          • BiffTFinancial
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-29-09
            • 22670

            #40
            BOL, Big Dan. i'm on Angels/Marlins over, Dbacks/Royals over and Phils RL. don't think i can pull the trigger on M's/Nats under after looking at the Nats box scores since Zimmerman returned. gonna pay attention to ump announcements the games in new series and maybe add something then.
            Comment
            • BigDan
              Restricted User
              • 04-28-11
              • 5104

              #41
              I know that to many plays and i lowered my bets so i wouldnt take to big of a hit tonight.

              did stay with full units on Nats, kc/arz ov, and phi rl. everything else just .5 unit
              Comment
              • BigDan
                Restricted User
                • 04-28-11
                • 5104

                #42
                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                BOL, Big Dan. i'm on Angels/Marlins over, Dbacks/Royals over and Phils RL. don't think i can pull the trigger on M's/Nats under after looking at the Nats box scores since Zimmerman returned. gonna pay attention to ump announcements the games in new series and maybe add something then.

                They are a different team since his return. i think they got on the Larussa juice plan or something. Gl to you as well brother.
                Comment
                • HOT WINGS
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-29-10
                  • 8055

                  #43
                  GL Bigdan looks like a good card. I always play alot of games so doesnt seem like too many to me haha
                  Comment
                  • BigDan
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-28-11
                    • 5104

                    #44
                    Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                    GL Bigdan looks like a good card. I always play alot of games so doesnt seem like too many to me haha

                    thnx bro.

                    i guess it works both ways, ive had days were i should have played the whole card and didnt and ive had days where i play all these games and do miserably. Honestly i much rather have it down around 3 to 5 that i really feel good about, on days were i play a lot it usually because not much stood out from the rest. Felt like with taking all these short favs that trying to narrow was just gonna have me knocking the wrong games off the card so playing them all and hoping for the best.
                    Comment
                    • vyomguy
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-08-09
                      • 5794

                      #45
                      dont go big on rangers...the line-up today is not good.....stay away from RL and over. Might be a close game.
                      Comment
                      • BigDan
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-28-11
                        • 5104

                        #46
                        Originally posted by vyomguy
                        dont go big on rangers...the line-up today is not good.....stay away from RL and over. Might be a close game.

                        didnt like the over to start. i put a fraction of what i won on their rl yesterday on them again today. If they dont cover it ill probably go a little more again 2marro. thnx for the heads up
                        Comment
                        • vyomguy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-08-09
                          • 5794

                          #47
                          just curious as to why you like detriot today...their leading hitter Miguel Cabrera is out today.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #48
                            Originally posted by vyomguy
                            just curious as to why you like detriot today...their leading hitter Miguel Cabrera is out today.

                            Miggy was 0-12 (or some shit) lifetime against Billingsly anyway. they have a lot of good bats.

                            Im pretty much just playing the pitching matchup here, think CR really sets up nicely for Scherzer and when Billingsly starts sliding like he has been imo it takes him a while to get back on track, then if det can get him out i always have lad's pen to fall back on.

                            Honestly it probably not the best play with everyone liking tigers to bounce back and the line dipping a little, but i had la winning gm 1 and det the second game since before the series started and i couldnt get myself completely off of it. Seriously considering the ff under as well.
                            Comment
                            • BigDan
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-28-11
                              • 5104

                              #49
                              WoW what a come from behind win for the Nats!!! Im not on that side of those to often. wrong team scoring the runs in the kc gm but we got the push, hopefully Royals garbage asses can plate a garbage time run to cash this ticket.

                              Phils look rough but you gotta love Larussa, up 2-1 in 8th and he brings in Miller. LMFAO, that why you cant trust this team, they got 3 good bullpen arms but Tony rather bring in the vet scrubs. now they go to Motte in a very tough spot, thanx tony for not starting the inning with Motte now maybe i still got a chance, Lets go Howard.
                              Comment
                              • BigDan
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-28-11
                                • 5104

                                #50
                                Need a crooked number here Rangers!!!!
                                Comment
                                • BigDan
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-28-11
                                  • 5104

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by BigDan
                                  getting my smoke on trying to bang out a few winners to get on tonight. So lets get cracking.

                                  zona/kc ov9. This one kinda jumped out at me right off that bat. Both these offenses are capable, both starters have their moments but are inconsistent. What the odds of them both being lights out? like both these teams for at least 4 runs, maybe more for one depending on which pitcher doesnt bring his A gm. kc at home against lefties have a higher ba, obp, and score a half run a game more. D-bags ran into some tough pitching last hme stand and think it will benefit them getting out on the road and w/a dh. Grabbing tonight cause looks like it gonna go up if anything.


                                  leans

                                  Det-120. Think we will see Tigers take out a little frustration on Billingsly garbage ass 2marro. Scherzer has been a little inconstant but i seem to like him at the right times this year, and in this park against this team i think he will have a really strong game. I know this gonna be a popular play so gonna wait until 2marro and make sure i still like it, even if price is a little more i think it worth it to wait.

                                  Phils-165. Yes lets talk my team, Albert hurt, so sad. Bad timing with all the other injuries.

                                  Phi has to be the absolute money play, maybe even rl or -1 at least(even tho doc wins a lot of gms by 1). I mean i worry a little Cards rallying the troops at 1st but against Doc? thats a lot to ask for a lineup that already had some holes. How they score 3 is beyond me. Even if McClellan pitches well he not going past 6, that 3 innings of Cards pen. Puts me at givin phi 4-5 which would make anything but the ml dicey. honestly think 5-2 phils, makes sense that the rl is already been bet down to shit.


                                  still looking.

                                  Questions, comments, thoughts on games appreciated as always . Gl everyone

                                  Lets just agree i know my team boys. guess i should feel fortunate for the push on kc/arz, really go screwed with the ump in that game. Still would have been nice if Kc could have pushed a meaningless garbage run across late. still hoping det can get things going
                                  Comment
                                  • HOT WINGS
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-29-10
                                    • 8055

                                    #52
                                    Wow what a comeback by the Nationals that made me have pretty much a break even day sine it was my biggest play. Thought I was fukked for sure on that one. Luckily my wifes Dad is in town and kept me from losing in late games because I was leaning SF and under but didnt play anything. Guess you were spot on about Cards tonight glad I didnt take a shot with them. I should of knew better than to play Orioles 2 days in a row. Mad I pussed out on Padres but it is real hard betting against Redsox right now. They probably will smoke Padres tomorrow. Lackey -200 is insane though
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDan
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-28-11
                                      • 5104

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                      Wow what a comeback by the Nationals that made me have pretty much a break even day sine it was my biggest play. Thought I was fukked for sure on that one. Luckily my wifes Dad is in town and kept me from losing in late games because I was leaning SF and under but didnt play anything. Guess you were spot on about Cards tonight glad I didnt take a shot with them. I should of knew better than to play Orioles 2 days in a row. Mad I pussed out on Padres but it is real hard betting against Redsox right now. They probably will smoke Padres tomorrow. Lackey -200 is insane though

                                      Yea Nats game was great. if Tex could get me a 2 run walk off hr i think im gonna end up pretty decent on the day.

                                      just off the top of my head id say over in Bos.
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