AZplaya's 321 parlay system

[azplaya]

This is my own variation of the set your monthly income system some of you may have read about from Tony Stoffio(not sure on the spelling of his last name)

This is not a system for picking games, it is a money management system. I will use 2 team parlays in a labby system to increase my bankroll by 18-30% per month. I have been following this system for 2 months and increased my roll by 56%.

I will lay out how the system works and provide my plays for the day. I'm posting this more to show how the system works and posting the plays for my own tracking. You can use this system for your own plays as well you do not need to follow mine.

The set up:
Set up three labby lines reflecting the following percentages of your bankroll:
3% 2% 1%
3% 2% 1%
3% 2% 1%

My bankroll is currently at about 5k and I am starting a new labby today, which looks like this.
$150 $100 $50
$150 $100 $50
$150 $100 $50

I will play 3 two team parlays each day and spread out my losses using a labby type of chase system. Once I win 9 parlays, the labby is complete and my bankroll has increased by 18%. This should take right around 2 weeks or so.

The rules:
I have only developed 2 rules for this system to work. I developed these rules based on my own trial and error.
Rule 1 - play only 3 parlays per day. The fastest way you can f\*\*k everything up is if you start chasing and playing extra plays because you get a bad beat or lose a close one. Trust me I've been down that road and it will ruin you. One suggestion is to parlay games that start around the same time so you are less tempted to tilt off when an early game loses.

Rule 2 - play parlays that pay out at least 2.5-1. Don't go playing two -200 teams. The reason is many days you will go 1 and 2 on your parlays and this ensures a profit on those days.

I'm posting this in the bases forum since most plays are on baseball. If this isn't the appropriate forum for it I apologize.

Bol if you follow along. If you are confused let me know. If you follow along it should start to make sense. I'll post my day 1 plays in a bit.

[azplaya]

Day 1 plays:

Oakland A's moneyline
Kc royals moneyline
$51 to win $150

Rangers Phillies under 7
Los Angeles Angeles moneyline
$53 to win $150

New York Mets moneyline
Boston red sox moneyline
$51 to win $150

[keel44]

I see you are trying to win the first number of your labby line. I always thought you add the first number and last number together.

[azplaya]

Your right keel you often see labbys where you bet the two outside numbers and then chase you losses on a smaller inside number. I set it up this way because it's just less confusing to me and still has the same effect, I start with a larger first set of bets and spread my losses to the smaller numbers. I know the 3 2 1 amounts look like some cheesy numbers that I just threw together but I actually did a lot of experimenting to come up with this system and these amounts. At first I was way too aggressive and lost a good chunk of my roll because I had a bad run and had to start over with a new labby with smaller amounts. I think I've finally found the perfect amounts because I've had some runs where I've gone 4-5 days without a run and never was in danger of ruin. The cool thing about this system is you can win even only being a 50% capper. Its not really a matter of if you will win, just a matter of how long it will take to finish.

[azplaya]

Shaping up to be a great night. Angeles up big need the A's to come threw for the sweep

[azplaya]

Taking this one early before line moves any more:
Dallas mavs +2.5
Dallas okc under 200.5

$46 to win 130

[keel44]

Are you gonna show your updated labby lines?

[azplaya]

X $130 $50
X $130 $50
$130 $111 $50

A's putrid offense cost me the sweep but I will take 2 for 3 on parlays all day long. Labby is updated with the one loss spread to the smaller numbers and amounts balanced so we are trying to win equal amounts on the 3 parlays. Overall results after day 1:

Plays: 5-1
Parlays: 2-1
+5 units (1 unit =1% of roll )

[azplaya]

To break down the new labby for anyone who is following and is confused:

150 100 50
150 100 50
150 100 50

Labby looks like this to start. We win two to give us:

X 100 50
X 100 50
150 100 50

We lose $51 which we spread out to give:
X 120 50
X 120 50
150 111 50

So our next set of bets should be for 120 120 and the 150 remaining from the first row. I want to bet even amounts tho so I balance it to 130 130 130.

Hope that clarifys!

[ChaseMoney]

To break down the new labby for anyone who is following and is confused:

150 100 50
150 100 50
150 100 50

Labby looks like this to start. We win two to give us:

X 100 50
X 100 50
150 100 50

We lose $51 which we spread out to give:
X 120 50
X 120 50
150 111 50

So our next set of bets should be for 120 120 and the 150 remaining from the first row. I want to bet even amounts tho so I balance it to 130 130 130.

Hope that clarifys!

If you dont mind, could you keep updating this for everyone to see? I'm curious how you would perform over a longer period of time.

[azplaya]

Play 2

Tampa bay rays first five -.5
Tampa bay lighting moneyline -117
$54 to win $130

[azplaya]

Last one for today:
Mariners moneyline
Braves moneyline
$54 to win $130

[Soon2BRich]

good luck bro

[azplaya]

If you dont mind, could you keep updating this for everyone to see? I'm curious how you would perform over a longer period of time.

That's the plan bro. I've done some simulations and it seems like it should be solid long term, but sport betting always looks easier on paper than it is in reality. I guess we'll see if it turns out to be a solid money management system or a trainwreck

[mp5070]

Good Luck

[azplaya]

Updated results after day 2:
Dallas mavs +2.5
Dallas under 200.5
Easy winner here with the mavs winning straight up and the game finishing 20 points under the total

Lighting moneyline
Rays first five -.5
Epic comeback by the lightning is wasted by the rays inability to plate some early runs against Vasquez. Price gives up 2 first inning runs and the Marlins cruise.

Atlanta moneyline
Seattle moneyline
Braves out hit Angeles 18-5 and comeback from 4-0 to tie it up with 4 runs in the 7th. Stayed up til almost 2am in Texas watching this game, pretty sure I woke up the neighborhood when they won it in the 12th! Seattle wins their 5th straight against the pads who's offense has gone missing again.

Results:
Plays 10-2
Parlays 4-2
+9 units

Will post updated labby and plays for today shortly

[azplaya]

So after 2 more wins yesterday our labby looks like this:

X X $50
X $130 $50
X $111 $50

Our one loss was for $54 which we divide by 3 giving $18 to spread out over the 3 rows, giving us:

X X $68
X $139 $59
X $120 $59

Now we want to balance it, so 68+139+120 =327 / 3 = 109

So new labby is
X X $109
X $109 $59
X $109 $59

3 plays for today:
Giants ML
Braves ML
$44 to win $111

Yanks ML
Dodgers ML
$46 to win $111

Heat bulls under 178.5
Red sox runline
$39 to win $111

[azplaya]

Not sure why I bet to win $111 instead of 109 LOL not a big deal that's what I get for staying up all night watching the braves game

[jhack704]

az i sent you a pm, didnt want to clog up your thread

[azplaya]

I've had a couple pm's and it seems some people are interested in implementing this system. Let me go thru a quick simulation of how this system works, let's just look at say 1 week of betting this way. We will make a couple of assumptions:
Our starting bank roll is $1000.
We are getting 2.5 - 1 on each of our parlays.

Starting labby
30 20 10
30 20 10
30 20 10

Day 1:
We play 3 plays risking 12 to win 30. Lets say we win 1 lose 2. Our labby is

X 20 10
30 20 10
30 20 10

We lost 24 which we spread to the remaining numbers. 24/3 = 8 so we have:

X 28 10
34 24 10
34 24 10

We balance it so:
X 32 10
32 24 10
32 24 10

Day 2 we risk 13 to win 32 and lose all 3. So we spread out 13 to each of the remaining rows like so:

X 38 17
38 31 10
38 31 10

Day 3 we bet 15 to win 38 and win 1 of 3 so:

X 38 17
X 31 10
38 31 10

Add 10 to each row for the 30 we lost

X 41 22
X 4015
41 36 10

Its an odd number so we balance as good as we can.
Day 4 we risk 16 to win 41 and lose all 3 so:
X 49 30
X 48 23
49 44 10

Day 5 we risk 20 to win 49 and again lose all 3 so:
X 59 40
X 58 33
59 54 10

Day 6 we risk 24 to win 59 and win 1 so:
X 59 40
X 58 33
X 54 10

Spread out the losses, balance the bets, rinse repeat and we do this until we have won 9 parlays and completed the labby

[Soon2BRich]

hey bro, i just wanted to ask a couple of questions if you dont mind? have you ever tried this before in previous season? if so how did that go? also how much do think this system will make?

[azplaya]

hey bro, i just wanted to ask a couple of questions if you dont mind? have you ever tried this before in previous season? if so how did that go? also how much do think this system will make?

Nah I just started betting this way about 6-7 weeks ago. I think the potential is to complete 1.5 - 2 labby sets a month meaning you will increase your roll 25-35% a month

[keel44]

You need to hit 10% of the parlays, I figure.

My only problem is trying to chase that last one. You can't spread it out anymore, unless you add more lines of course.

[azplaya]

First losing day since posting on sbr, plays go 3-3 but parlays go 0-3. Still can't believe heat game went over but whatever, great thing about sports betting is their is always another day.

Once you get down towards the end of the labby, you want to keep an eye on that back row. Ultimately I don't want the amounts in the back row to be more than about 3% of my starting bankroll. Reason is once you start that back row there are no more numbers to spread your losses too so your bets can get big in a hurry. Since our bet size is still small I'm just straight chasing tomorrow, so the new labby will be:

X X $152
X $152 $59
X $152 $59

Plays 13-5
Parlays 4-5
Units +6.5

[azplaya]

You need to hit 10% of the parlays, I figure.

My only problem is trying to chase that last one. You can't spread it out anymore, unless you add more lines of course.

Ya dude and if someone can't hit 10% then sports betting probably isn't for them. You should be hitting around 25% if your just flipping coins. You're right, things get a little interesting sometimes when you get down to the last 1-2 numbers. That's why its important to not spread your losses to those numbers unless you hit a cold streak and your bets start getting too big.

[azplaya]

Couple that I like so far today:

Play #1
Houston ML
Okc team total under 100.5
$55 to win $159

Dodgers shouldn't be road chalk to anyone right now, especially with Norris on the mound who has been lights out at home. Kershaw is a stud but I'm happy to fade the dodgers here.

Just don't see okc scoring over 100 tonight.
Dallas mavs ML
Phillies ML

$50 to win $159

Best value on the board tonight is the mavs ml IMO the have okc figured out and would love to come home up 3-1. Phillies own the reds and get utley back tonight, arroyo has been shakey his last couple of starts.

That's really all I like so far, not a huge fan of the card today. Anyone got anything they just love tonight?

[azplaya]

Last one for me today. Little chalky but I like it.

Texas rangers moneyline
Boston red sox moneyline
$74 to win $159

[LGHT]

I have a lean on TX, but passed due to the horrible hitting. They are one of the worse hitting teams in May, and have only scored 5 runs in the last 4 games. Hopefully Hamilton and Cruz can get them swinging again, because CWS has been really hitting this month.

[azplaya]

Hoping Cruz and Hamilton help them get b ack on track. That's two big bats to add to their lineup. Seems like the whole world is on the tribe tonight but that line seemed fishy to me like the books where begging for action on Cleveland so I jumped on the red sox.

[azplaya]

Wow what a comeback by the mavs

[Soon2BRich]

lets get it tonight

[azplaya]

1-2 for my parlays on Day 4 for a small profit. Boston blows a late lead but Dallas saves me with an epic comeback.

Below is the updated labby heading into day 5
X X $152
X X $59
X $152 $59

After spreading losses and balancing we have:
X X $164
X X $164
X $164 $59

Again I am not spreading my losses to the last number to keep it as small as possible.

Results after day 4:
Plays 17-7
Parlays 5-7
Units +7

Play 1 for day 5:
Miami heat -4.5(bought the hook )
Miami Chicago over 178.5
$64 to win $164.

[azplaya]

Play #2:
Dbacks ml (game 1)
Tigers ml
$53 to win $164

[azplaya]

Last one for tonight:
Marlins ml
Pardres +1.5
$62 to win $164

[azplaya]

Play 1 for day 5:
Miami heat -4.5(bought the hook )
Miami Chicago over 178.5
$64 to win $164.

BOOM
Cash the heat and the over!