System Integrity 2011

[dlunc3]

Yanks game ppd... do we just take the night off or play the angels as they had the same opening line?

[DustyDiamond]

When the system was back tested you wouldn't know this "type of situation" happened. It would simply have listed the Mariners as the favorite. I think the system play is with out a doubt the M's... if you don't wanna play that's cool but it wouldn't be following the system per say

This burned people last year, when Lee was traded to Texas they closed the lines and re-opened as the fav. This cost the series to lose while the orginial fav went on to win. It is just me, but I tend to say away from pitching changes. However in this case a pitching change actually took way the angels as being the fav and gave it to another team. Just got to be cautious.

[DustyDiamond]

Yanks game ppd... do we just take the night off or play the angels as they had the same opening line?

If the yanks were the fav for the day take the night off and count as a push.

[DustyDiamond]

Are we still on an (A) bet due to pushes?

[dlunc3]

based on the system that is run here, it is an third out of four D bets... if you never divided your bet up into four and kept chasing, then yes, it is an A bet up next.

[ebbearsfb1]

overall biggest dog

Overall : 6-7
+1.5: 9-4
+2.5: 9-4
-1.5: 4-9

March 31st, 2011
1) San Diego Padres + 175 vs. Saint Louis Cardinals Won 5-3
April 1st, 2011
2) Houston Astros + 220 vs. Philadelphia Phillies lost 5-4
April 2nd, 2011
3) Houston Astros +220 vs. Philadelphia Phillies lost 9-4
April 3rd, 2011
4) Houston Astros + 175 vs. Philadelphia Phillies lost 7-3
April 4th, 2011
5) Minnesota Twin +153 vs. New York Yankees lost 4-3
April 5th, 2011
6) Minnesota Twin +185 vs. New York Yankees Won 5-4
April 6th, 2011
7) Houston Astros +175 vs. Cincinnati Reds Lost by 12-4
April 7th, 2011
8) Washington Nationals + 175 vs. Florida Marlins Won 5-3
April 8th, 2011
9) Kansas City Royals + 151 vs. Detroit Tigers Lost 5-2

April 9th, 2011
10) Kansas City Royals+ 149 vs. Detroit Tigers Won 3-1
April 10th, 2011
11) Chicago Cubs +185 vs. Milwaukee Brewers Lost 6-5
April 11th, 2011
12) Tampa Bay Rays + 150 vs. Boston Red Sox Won by 16-5
April 12th, 2011
13) Tampa Bay Rays +163 vs. Boston Red Sox Won 3-2

[TheJames]

It does feel like we should be betting on the biggest dogs for the first 2 weeks

[slapshot]

if you play the system stricktly, you wouldn't have played the angels last night as they didn't meet all criteria of the biggest fav of the day......congrats if you played them though.

4-4-4-1 -1.07
yankees today wednesday again

[do5000]

It does feel like we should be betting on the biggest dogs for the first 2 weeks

last year somebody suggested you bet dogs for the 1st and last 2 weeks of the season

[Fitz22]

so is yanks a C or D bet then?

[slapshot]

so is yanks a C or D bet then?

well we've had some controversy with what team is the biggest fav and change of team to bet due to rain...but if you've been playing the teams i have posted, this is what you have:

for -1 it's an "A" bet
for -1.5 it's a "D" bet

[DustyDiamond]

What does 4-4-4-1 mean?

[slapshot]

wins - losses - push - rain

[honeyeater]

Does anyone know when they will finish the NYY ppd game? mlb.com does not say and my book will hold my bet for 3 days or unless they do play it before. Anyone?

[honeyeater]

Also can anyone tell me since in LINE HISTORY they only show the home teams line how can I find out the visitors line? Pinnacle has opening Philly @ Wash +171, now that's for Wash winning. How do I know what the Philly side is?

[TheJames]

Also can anyone tell me since in LINE HISTORY they only show the home teams line how can I find out the visitors line? Pinnacle has opening Philly @ Wash +171, now that's for Wash winning. How do I know what the Philly side is?

http://www.thespread.com/mlb-baseball-public-betting-chart

hope that helps buddy

[honeyeater]

http://www.thespread.com/mlb-basebal...-betting-chart

hope that helps buddy

Can you answer my question about the NYY game rained out yesterday? Will it be replayed at some point or no. MLB.com has nothing about it. I want to make sure my book gives me my bet back- thanks

[SkivChef]

A make up date has not been announced, u will get ur money back

[slapshot]

record to date
5-4-4-1 +2.46
thursday
yankees -1 to win 3.53

[do5000]

yanks again today?

[SkivChef]

or is it philly?

[dlunc3]

It's yanks

[OTL]

or is it philly?

If you are using Covers.com as the thread starter suggested today's bet is Philly. Yesterday should have been Philly too.

[dlunc3]

The system on this thread has been backtested using pinnacle opening lines.. so based on that, the play is ny

[SkivChef]

The system on this thread has been backtested using pinnacle opening lines.. so based on that, the play is ny

ya i remember that now, where do i see pinnacle op lines?

[floridagolfer]

As long as you use one source all season long, I think where you go for your information is the least of anyone's concerns. Yeah, there are going to be some differences over the course of a season that lasts six months, but just like you lose some games that others win, you're also going to win games that others lose.

[SkivChef]

well said, floridagolfer

[slapshot]

ya i remember that now, where do i see pinnacle op lines?

you can get the pinnacle opening lines from sbr live odds or covers - matchups - lines history

[OTL]

I should have stuck to the Covers lines, I had a feeling Phil Hughes was going to get rocked again. Now I'm going to be on an E bet tomorrow instead of an A.

[dlunc3]

I should have stuck to the Covers lines, I had a feeling Phil Hughes was going to get rocked again. Now I'm going to be on an E bet tomorrow instead of an A.

Im guessing you play the rl not the -1rl?

[OTL]

Im guessing you play the rl not the -1rl?

Yeah, it's just too much juice to swallow betting the -1 rl. I backtested this system last year and found it failed on the -1 rl before the 6th bet was made. The juice got so high it would have bankrupted anyone betting to win 1% of their bankroll. So use caution when playing this on a -1 and maybe limit your chase to just 3 or so games.

[floridagolfer]

Two weeks into the season and I've counted five one-run wins . . . ouch.

At my site, I see Atlanta and Philadelphia as both opening at -200 for Friday.

[slapshot]

I should have stuck to the Covers lines, I had a feeling Phil Hughes was going to get rocked again. Now I'm going to be on an E bet tomorrow instead of an A.

pinnacle at covers had yankees as the biggest favorite.

[DustyDiamond]

Wow a lot of pushes lately. Looks like another Yankees day

[slapshot]

5-4-5-1 +2.46
friday
philadelphia -1 to win 3.53

covers have atlanta and philly tied at -180....philly has the higher total.