System Integrity 2011

BigMama · 04-07-11, 05:30 AM

great day for all

do5000 · 04-07-11, 06:28 AM

Originally posted by atari5200

it should've been the reds. the opening lines were so close to each other and the reds line held on strong while the cards lines dropped. I guess judgement plays no part in this system.

thats easy to say now

teecee · 04-07-11, 08:04 AM

it seems odd that philly opened @ -230 on the m/l, but only +115 on the r/l, while boston opens @ -162 on the m/l and -108 on the r/l. just an observation.

slapshot · 04-07-11, 08:31 AM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

What bet are you on? A, B or C?

philly tonight is a D bet

TheJames · 04-07-11, 04:54 PM

I decided to take a risk and chase to a 4th game and it cashed

also congrats to all on the win today

dlunc3 · 04-07-11, 08:46 PM

Looks like det. tomorrow it is...

TheJames · 04-08-11, 01:30 AM

Is Detroit the play for sure slapshot?

DustyDiamond · 04-08-11, 04:49 AM

Detroit is the today's play.

do5000 · 04-08-11, 07:36 AM

Originally posted by TheJames

I decided to take a risk and chase to a 4th game and it cashed

also congrats to all on the win today

congrats! glad the risk paid off

floridagolfer · 04-08-11, 08:04 AM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Detroit is the today's play.

Yes, by a very small margin. Wow, just a week into the season and we've already had a C and D game. Here's looking for an easier weekend.

slapshot · 04-08-11, 01:48 PM

3-4-1 -4.6
friday
detroit -1 to win 3.53

TheJames · 04-08-11, 02:40 PM

End of 1st and were off to a good start! 4-0 Tigers

dlunc3 · 04-08-11, 05:25 PM

Two more wins and we are back on track!

DustyDiamond · 04-08-11, 07:22 PM

Nice win today, so with the win today I take it we are 3-0 series wise?

dlunc3 · 04-08-11, 10:19 PM

now tomorrow is tricky.... det opened as the biggest favorite easy on every site but pinnacle... on pinnacle for some reason they only opened at -148?? so if going off pinnacle then sf is the play... if going off basically every other site, det is the play... what do you all think?

honeyeater · 04-08-11, 10:58 PM

I bet Detroit on a chase play BUT I really do not understand why Philly was not a pick. They opened WAY higher then Det. Also how in the hell can I see what Pinnacle's opening line was? I don't have an account with them.
Please clarify- thank you.

honeyeater · 04-08-11, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by honeyeater

I bet Detroit on a chase play BUT I really do not understand why Philly was not a pick. They opened WAY higher then Det. Also how in the hell can I see what Pinnacle's opening line was? I don't have an account with them.
Please clarify- thank you.

Ok I wrote to Pinnacle and discovered they do not keep track of the opening lines. So unless I'm staring at my computer at the time when they come out I'll never know what they were. BUT since this system works just as long as you are consistent with one book it should not be an issue. For example I loss with the covers opening today by betting Philly but you guys lost taking St Louis and I took Cinn. I think it evens out-
BOL.

TheJames · 04-09-11, 12:02 AM

If the system was backtested using covers we should probably stick with that...so whats the play? Detroit again I assume

slapshot · 04-09-11, 03:30 AM

using covers....lines history...and sbr for that matter....san francisco is the play for saturday

floridagolfer · 04-09-11, 05:04 AM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Nice win today, so with the win today I take it we are 3-0 series wise?

It's 4-0 on the season: wins in Games C,A,D,A.

Messijah · 04-09-11, 05:12 AM

Is this a modified "system integrity"? I thought that system was about picking biggest favourite of the day and then chasing them up to six games, not picking the favourite every day? Am I wrong?

/M

dlunc3 · 04-09-11, 07:05 AM

Originally posted by honeyeater

Ok I wrote to Pinnacle and discovered they do not keep track of the opening lines. So unless I'm staring at my computer at the time when they come out I'll never know what they were. BUT since this system works just as long as you are consistent with one book it should not be an issue. For example I loss with the covers opening today by betting Philly but you guys lost taking St Louis and I took Cinn. I think it evens out-
BOL.

If you look at covers they will show you the opening line for pinnacle.... also, philly was only like -110 yest, how did you see them as the biggest favorite?

DustyDiamond · 04-09-11, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by Messijah

Is this a modified "system integrity"? I thought that system was about picking biggest favourite of the day and then chasing them up to six games, not picking the favourite every day? Am I wrong?

/M

You only pick the favorite every day. 1 Bet per day. The series is based on can the favorite of the day cash once in a 4 or 6 day/game chase. It is possible to play a different team everyday.

do5000 · 04-09-11, 08:38 AM

Originally posted by slapshot

using covers....lines history...and sbr for that matter....san francisco is the play for saturday

thanks Slapshot. so far so good

floridagolfer · 04-09-11, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by Messijah

Is this a modified "system integrity"? I thought that system was about picking biggest favourite of the day and then chasing them up to six games, not picking the favourite every day? Am I wrong?

/M

Biggest OPENING favorite, not the biggest favorite at any other point during the day.

SkivChef · 04-09-11, 03:55 PM

It's really not that hard

honeyeater · 04-09-11, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by slapshot

using covers....lines history...and sbr for that matter....san francisco is the play for saturday

I found the line history- thank you-

honeyeater · 04-10-11, 01:20 AM

Ok- I'm in Australia and certain you guys are sleeping or partying now but I'm not going to wake up at 3am monday morning to check the thread. pinnacle has Mil opening at +158 then settling at -172. Why? I don't know. So assuming that is not a typo LAA are the day's favs at an opening price of -168. I hope I'm correct- if not please explain what I did wrong and then hope LAA wins by 2 runs.
Thank you

honeyeater · 04-10-11, 01:23 AM

That has to be a -158 because Bet Jam has them opening at -168 a few minutes earlier-

PALLETIZE · 04-10-11, 03:29 AM

More Action

Along with the Highest Favorite of the day I have also been doing a chase on the second Highest Favorite of the day. I have been doing it since opening day and so far it has not went past a B bet using the -1 run line. So it has actually out performed the #1 Favorite Chase. I know that it is early but I went with it last year also and didn't see much difference in the two. Please don't get the idea that I am recommending this, I just wanted to share the information.

do5000 · 04-10-11, 08:10 AM

Laa -180

slapshot · 04-10-11, 08:49 AM

Originally posted by do5000

Laa -180

what book are you looking at for angels -180?

for pinnacle lines:
covers:
brewers are -174, angels -168

sbr:
brewers -168, angels -170

this one is tricky...research is based on covers opening lines i will stick with that here. that will make brewers the play. good luck what ever you choose to do.

4-4-2 -1.07
brewers -1 to win 3.53

TheJames · 04-10-11, 09:15 AM

Also going with brewers here

DustyDiamond · 04-10-11, 09:36 AM

Last night SF was a push at -1 so Remake your (A) bet.

Today: Milwaukee Brewers (A) -1

DustyDiamond · 04-10-11, 09:37 AM

Anyone using labby? what are people's labby strategies?