Big Dog MLB 2011

[rkelly110]

Pirates were a +160 at my book. They were down 0-6 in the 5th and scored 5 runs their
next at bat. I had the +RL and was in the money. Was. Exciting 9th inning, thought they
might pull it off. Oh well, get 'em tomorrow.

Winning day anyway.

2-1 for you today, way to go, Bookie Crusher!

[bombCanada]

5/16:
Mets +144 6.00u
Rockies +136 6.00u
Blue Jays +139 6.00u
Orioles +169 6.00u
Twins +149 6.00u

best luck!

[Stealinhome]

Crazy day couldn't get down on any thing till now oh well

[keel44]

You must realize that your underdogs will have to take a turn for the worst. I think now is the time to incorporate some -1.5 RL favorites. I mean after all +odds are +odds, right?

I know you are all about crafty money management, but these underdogs are way over achieving here. I mean after all, you wanna keep it simple. How about one week of home RL favorites then a week of road dogs. Does it really matter when you are here just to test your LABBY?

[bombCanada]

5/16:
Mets +144 6.00u *lose*
Rockies +136 6.00u *win*
Blue Jays +139 6.00u *win*
Orioles +169 6.00u *lose*
Twins +149 6.00u *lose*

90-95 +201u

[bombCanada]

5/17:

Astros +162 6.00u
Yankees +136 6.00u
Blue Jays +135 6.00u
Angels +147 6.00u
Twins +165 6.00u

best luck!

[VicVega91]

best of luck today bc !!!

[rkelly110]

Keel, it ain't broke yet. Why fix it?

Take a bunch of ML dogs, throw in a grenade and you will get some. BOOM! Plus 200 units.
How many systems do you know, that's pulled in this many units so soon?

I read that dogs win 44% of games. Excellent percentage for use in BC's lab lines.
Be patient, do what the lab line tells you with no emotion and have fun.

GL today.

[M4rk0]

Good luck today!!

[keel44]

Keel, it ain't broke yet. Why fix it? Take a bunch of ML dogs, throw in a grenade and you will get some. BOOM! Plus 200 units. How many systems do you know, that's pulled in this many units so soon? I read that dogs win 44% of games. Excellent percentage for use in BC's lab lines. Be patient, do what the lab line tells you with no emotion and have fun. GL today.

I see your point, but why walk into losses. Dogs can't kill it all year. They just can't. History has shown they can't. I say switch to RL on favorites very soon. +odds are +odds no matter how you slice it. You have sliced into the dogs well enough. Now slice into the favorites. I will be following along. You can check my spreadsheet if you want to see how I am doing with +odds betting ---- not that great for me, however.

http://keel44.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[jsw64]

Two 1 run losses,one that was up 5-0-so close again to a big night.

[Roscoe2330]

Sorry to ask yet another Labby question but I've only used Labby in Chases, not in a ase like this, playing multiple games and all at +$$$.

So say I end a day 3-2 but up 5.5 units. I am playing a line of 10 1's (1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1) would cross off 6 of them but add 0.5 at the end. And if I lose, because I am playing multiple games, would I divide up a days total loss and add it to the end not as one number but separate units as well? Also, once a line is cleared, do I start a new line with 1.5's? Or go with something to the effect of 2.5% of my new bankroll?

Love what you're doing BC - my apologies if this is clogging the thread but thought I would throw it out there. I've looked for some JW Cash posts and searched the forum for "Labby" but have not found anything that lends itself to a situation as unique as the one BC has developed.

Thanks - Roscoe

[rkelly110]

I see your point, but why walk into losses. Dogs can't kill it all year. They just can't. History has shown they can't. I say switch to RL on favorites very soon. +odds are +odds no matter how you slice it. You have sliced into the dogs well enough. Now slice into the favorites. I will be following along. You can check my spreadsheet if you want to see how I am doing with +odds betting ---- not that great for me, however.

http://keel44.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

You're not doing bad Keel, for flat betting dogs. The season is still young.

Do you have an odds range for the -RL's? If you do, tweak it. If you don't,
find a good range.

I personally like the ML +160 on the +RL.

GL

[bombCanada]

You must realize that your underdogs will have to take a turn for the worst. I think now is the time to incorporate some -1.5 RL favorites. I mean after all +odds are +odds, right?

I know you are all about crafty money management, but these underdogs are way over achieving here. I mean after all, you wanna keep it simple. How about one week of home RL favorites then a week of road dogs. Does it really matter when you are here just to test your LABBY?

I see your point, but why walk into losses. Dogs can't kill it all year. They just can't. History has shown they can't. I say switch to RL on favorites very soon. +odds are +odds no matter how you slice it. You have sliced into the dogs well enough. Now slice into the favorites. I will be following along. You can check my spreadsheet if you want to see how I am doing with +odds betting ---- not that great for me, however.

I've spent some time thinking about this, because you make some good points.

My motivations are mine, and the system in this thread is mine, and if I don't own it, then I won't stick with it. This is a situation I hadn't quite anticipated, which is that it would come screaming out of the gate, ie it's a roaring success. You've likely read most of the thread, because you know that I've admitted that I don't think the current win rate is sustainable. However, part of my goal is to demonstrate that I've created a system which can survive some ups and downs and remains playable, ie. the bet sizes don't get so large that I (or anyone else) blow(s) out. And I want to run it for the season. I'm not going to change what I'm doing, even if it costs me $$ short term, because I want to validate something I can do again in following years.

What I would encourage you to do, keel, is run your -RL picks in this thread, starting tomorrow. Post your plays, post your results, post your totals. We can match results going forward on a regular basis. We can all learn something.

This is just as easily something I could do, but I don't want to lose my focus. Are you up to the challenge?

[keel44]

I've spent some time thinking about this, because you make some good points. My motivations are mine, and the system in this thread is mine, and if I don't own it, then I won't stick with it. This is a situation I hadn't quite anticipated, which is that it would come screaming out of the gate, ie it's a roaring success. You've likely read most of the thread, because you know that I've admitted that I don't think the current win rate is sustainable. However, part of my goal is to demonstrate that I've created a system which can survive some ups and downs and remains playable, ie. the bet sizes don't get so large that I (or anyone else) blow(s) out. And I want to run it for the season. I'm not going to change what I'm doing, even if it costs me $$ short term, because I want to validate something I can do again in following years. What I would encourage you to do, keel, is run your -RL picks in this thread, starting tomorrow. Post your plays, post your results, post your totals. We can match results going forward on a regular basis. We can all learn something. This is just as easily something I could do, but I don't want to lose my focus. Are you up to the challenge?

No. I am not up to the challenge. I understand what you are trying to do. I was trying to get you to talk more about your philosophy and to add perspective. Your response is satisfactory and I hope it ends well.

KEEL

[bombCanada]

5/17:

Astros +162 6.00u *lose*
Yankees +136 6.00u *win*
Blue Jays +135 6.00u *ppd*
Angels +147 6.00u *lose*
Twins +165 6.00u *win*

92-97 +207u

[bombCanada]

5/18:
Rockies +135 7.00u
Pirates +148 7.00u
Astros +165 7.00u
Tigers +155 7.00u
Twins +159 7.00u

Best luck!

[Soon2BRich]

wow u really made 200 hundred units just by betting underdogs?

[chizzy]

wow u really made 200 hundred units just by betting underdogs?

its awesome aye. and it currently has a losing record. as expected mind you, but this is amazing

[Boxing Champ]

BC do you still keep track of all your bets on that graph you showed about a month ago? Would love to see it in that representation..Great Job..man. I'v e been going through a rough streak of 1-14 lately...
Looking to follow your great system and finally make some doe...Tired of losing.Thanks guys.

[bombCanada]

5/18:
Rockies +135 7.00u *lose*
Pirates +148 7.00u *win*
Astros +165 7.00u *lose*
Tigers +155 7.00u *lose*
Twins +159 7.00u *win*

94-100 +208u

[bombCanada]

5/19:

Pirates +171 8.00u
Astros +161 8.00u
Cubs +153 8.00u
Twins +161 8.00u

Best luck!

[VicVega91]

best of luck today bc !!

[firehoyt]

94-100 +208u

How'd you go 2-3 with all 7 unit straight bets and end up winning a unit?! I understand all the bets are >even $ but still the two wins didn't make more than the 3 losses. Am I missing something?!

[rkelly110]

The math works out firehoyt, all depends on what your unit value is.
Mine is $5. $5 x 7 units would be $35 on each game. Pirates win would be $86.80,
Minn. win would be $90.65. Total bet $175, total won $177.45 +$2.45 1/2 unit.
If his unit value is $10, he won a unit.

That's the power of his dogs. Keeps costs down, and if you have a night like last night,
you still won. As he states under his avatar, "be glad for what you get".

He started this, betting 2 units, he's up to 8 units now. If you're just starting out, bet
one unit and work your way up at your comfort level. At level 5, you're betting with
their money.

[Dollar Bin]

How'd you go 2-3 with all 7 unit straight bets and end up winning a unit?! I understand all the bets are >even $ but still the two wins didn't make more than the 3 losses. Am I missing something?!

Actually they do.

At posted odds...
3 losses = 21units down

2 wins = 21.49 units up

0.49 units profit

All units have been posted in whole numbers.

[firehoyt]

.49 is a half unit and if his unit size is $10 then he won $4.90. Still a half unit. Or are we rounding anything up over $.01?

The math works out firehoyt, all depends on what your unit value is.
Mine is $5. $5 x 7 units would be $35 on each game. Pirates win would be $86.80,
Minn. win would be $90.65. Total bet $175, total won $177.45 +$2.45 1/2 unit.
If his unit value is $10, he won a unit.

That's the power of his dogs. Keeps costs down, and if you have a night like last night,
you still won. As he states under his avatar, "be glad for what you get".

He started this, betting 2 units, he's up to 8 units now. If you're just starting out, bet
one unit and work your way up at your comfort level. At level 5, you're betting with
their money.

[firehoyt]

And btw I'm not trying to be contrary or a smartass, just curious as to how things are going in this thread.

[keel44]

Maybe he had .5 of a unit dangling somewhere from previous days and did not post it.

Like +207.5

I mean it is close enough.

[firehoyt]

And are you using a labby system?!

[firehoyt]

Maybe he had .5 of a unit dangling somewhere from previous days and did not post it.

Like +207.5

I mean it is close enough.

Tell that to my girlfriend the algebra teacher!!! She'd mark a 4.90 rounded to 10 WRONG!!!

I'll be checking to see how this thread is doing in the future! BOL

[Beefcakes]

doesnt look like a labby system, hes just betting SU

[figue]

[Roscoe2330]

It's a modified Labby that works for his specific approach, not a chase or playing one game at a time.

BC is doing better than anyone else I've seen on these threads and pretty much been posting in whole numbers. So it is very possible that he won .49 units but that added to a prior fractional amount pushed it over .5 and thus it rounded up.

So instead of questioning, just kick back, tail, and enjoy the profits!

:-)

[Dabeergod]

Nice work with the dogs here pal.