Originally posted by sycoogtit
7-4 +6.2u
since 5/8
72-49 +26.9 units
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Some people might see that on the Nats/Rocks game I listed the under as canceled and the ML as a winner. The game only went to the bottom of the eighth, and the home team was behind. ML's must go 5 innings to be graded. Thus a winner. However Totals must go 9 innings if the home team is behind.
7-4 +6.2u
since 5/8
72-49 +26.9 unitsComment -
5/14 card in progress
new plays will be added as new posts, then when the card is final there will be a final post with all the plays
mets +129 1u
astros +133 1u
phillies +119 1u
royals +118 1u
a's +107 1uComment -
What the fvck is up with matchbook? They might lose my business because of this garbage. Anyway, here are some more plays.
o's u9 -120 1u
padres u7.5 +105 1u
angels u8.5 +110 1u
brewers u9 +120 1u
cubs u10 +100 1u
tigers u9 -110 1uComment -
rays u8.5 -105 1uComment -
rockies u8.5 -110 1uComment -
Therber....No prob on the Mets play. I had them on a small parlay so the loss wasn't too bad. I'll keep some interesting stats coming your way to muddy up the thread with some history.Originally posted by therber2Hmm. Well I hope it wins for you; I hear what you are saying, but I think we'll find some better plays later. This is still a good play. Just scratching. Sorry if you "tailed." Sounds like you like the pick though so I am happy. GL bro. Good stats keep em coming.
Side note: what in the world happened to the Cards today?
a$$holes.
With STL...they just ran into the "Card Killer" Bud Norris....He has owned the Cards for whatever the reason is. Kind of like Oswalt owning the Reds. Something like 23-2 his last 25 against the Reds. Ironically, he lost earlier this year to the Reds..ha ha.Comment -
An interesting stat that I would like to gain your insight on...
PHI vs. MIL
Moyer 4-2 record against MIL 3.20ERA, 1.164 WHIP, and a team record of 6-2 when playing against MIL
WOLF 1-1 record against PHIL 4.56 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and a team record of 1-3 when playing against PHIL
Braun, I believe is questionable, which is the only Brewer that has hit HR's off of Moyer.
WHY IS MIL FAVORED???Comment -
I agree it's odd that the phils are dogs here. Moyer has been better in his last 3 starts than Wolf, and he was better last year (albeit only one game) against the brew than Wolf was against the phils. The phils bullpen is more rested and much better than the brews. The phils have a 67% winning percentage after a loss, while the brews have 44% wp -- they're both coming off a loss. The phils RS% over the past 7 games is 5% better than the brews.
I can see 0 edge for the brews.Comment -
OK I can find one thing: Wolf's ERA is 3.95 vs Moyer's 4.38. However, Wolf's NPERA is 4.84 vs Moyer's 3.64.Comment -
Thanks Sycoogtit. I am just going to play the Phils and if they don't win, double on them tomorrow.Comment -
I thought that's what you were going to say.Originally posted by wagster71
I'm playing them too. Makes no sense to me.
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5/14 final card
mets +129 1u
astros +133 1u
phillies +119 1u
royals +118 1u
a's +107 1u
o's u9 -120 1u
padres u7.5 +105 1u
angels u8.5 +110 1u
brewers u9 +120 1u
cubs u10 +100 1u
tigers u9 -110 1u
rays u8.5 -105 1u
rockies u8.5 -110 1uComment -
I like your card, all but the Cubs under 10....GL tonight and let's make some $$$$Comment -
Thanks man. I'm scared about that under too.
to you as well sir.
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Nice!Originally posted by sycoogtit
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Oakland -105 (3 units)
Phillies +108 (2 units)
Nationals +222 (3 units)
TAM/SEA u8.5 EV (3 units)
MIN/NYY u9.5 -130 (2 units)
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Good call brutha.Originally posted by wagster71
Got em booked.
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therber, this thread is called BIG card...Originally posted by therber2
Just jiving senor. I happen to like all three of your plays.Comment -
5 now. Off to the lab brutha. Had to get some plays on the board cause i gots em in the book and did the work this early afternoon. Late now tho gtg. BOL to all of you today!Originally posted by sycoogtitComment -
Good lord. Note to self: NEVER play the under at Wrigley when the wind is blowing!Originally posted by wagster71Comment -
Originally posted by sycoogtit Noted!
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I had the Under on Cub game earlier too...............the play already look toasted at the end of 1 inning. LOL
Therber2, you stop doing the UNDER/OVER projection with the differential like you did last week? is it too much work, is there any simple workload I can help?
I couldn't find your or jerseyshop anyway.Comment -
Therber. So you don't play all of your selections?? How should I play your selectionsComment -
lol. Don't.... No, if this is in reference to Terry's comment my only reply is he doesn't know what the fvck he's talking about with what I do.Originally posted by jolmscheidComment -
You could think of the myriad of plays here as your buffet of all very decent picks. Obviously if you played everything I posted you'd be up 92.32 units
member, Solobass asked a general question to all cappers: what is a unit for you? This thread is record keeping for all you know my bank might be down 50% or more from start or well over 300%. It all comes down to how you place your bets. I can almost guarentee that nobody's account is identical to the capper's that they are following percentage wise. Read through the thread a bit, and don't gamble if you don't know how. Learn what paper playing is.Comment -
Hey darkenergy,Originally posted by darkenergy
I am running some experiments with totals. If you want a great way to play total read this man's thread:
Great angle!!
I'm just thinking about how to put this idea into picks/combine it with my normal methods...
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hint hint get the rays in nice and early now. +105 RL for me here bet placed.Comment -
5-5 +.4uOriginally posted by sycoogtit
since 5/8
77-54 +27.3 unitsComment -
2-2-1 -.76 unitsOriginally posted by therber2Comment -
Originally posted by sycoogtit5-5 +.4u
since 5/8
77-54 +27.3 units Another winning day; not a lot, but I you are movin on up brutha!
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Thanks man. I crashed early last night and thought I was going to be -units, so I'm fine with +.4Comment -
Great job fellas....it feels good on the Philly game when you cap a game right and it remains a + play on the board!!!!
I'm liking over in Bal/Cle based on the Ump. He allows 8.7 BB on average per game and has the lowest K total of umps working today at 11.7 per game average. In 6 games this year he is averaging 9.9 runs given up....For comparison, the lowest avg runs from an ump today is in KAN/CWS at 5)
The umpire with the highest called K avg is PIT/CHC at 16.6.
Just a thought.
Sycoo....the WIND IS BLOWING IN today at Wrigley..ha ha. Not a strong wind (10 MPH) but it's coming in from center. Just in case you were looking at a total in the CHC/PIT game. With the ump calling a high number of K's...might be worth a shot at the under?
The biggest homer ump is with San Diego Pads (It will be a homer pick for me) and the biggest road favorite ump is at ATL 0-5, FLA 1-6, and TB 1-6
Have a great day fellas and I feel a good day coming on...Comment -
Nice Wagster. Will take these things into consideration. Much appreciated.Originally posted by wagster71
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Big Card 5/15
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 EV (5 units)
OAK/LAA u8.5 -110 (5 units)PHI/MIL o9.5 -115 (4 units)
CLE/BAL o8.5 -110 (4 units)
Phillies -104 (4 units)
Braves -200 (4 units)
SDG Pads +109 (3 units)
LOS/SDG o7 +105 (3 units)
WAS/COL u10.5 EV (3 units)
Nationals +144 (3 units) GM1
NYY/MIN u9 -105 (3 units)
Tigers +160 (2 units)
Reds +130 (2 units)
Orioles -140 (2 units)
Marlins -112 (2 units)
SFO/HOU o6 -105 (2 units)
ARI/ATL o8.5 EV (2 units)
Twins +128 (1 unit)
TEX/TOR o9 -105 (1 unit)
SFO -1.5 +105 (1 unit)
Cubs -220 (1 unit)
Parlays: Rays +1.5, Cubs +2.5, Phillies +2.5, SFO +1.5
+125 (3 units)
Parlay: Rays, Cubs, Phillies, SFO
+503 (3 units)
GL today!
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I just so happen to be leaning that way, smart alec.Originally posted by wagster71Comment
