I would have to think LA comes out with a killer instinct tomorrow since today's celtics loss gave them a chance to keep pace. Suns r a total different team at home though.
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Goodnight everyone. Looking forward to tomorrowComment -
Ps. Forgot to mention I also took the sbr book for a few hundo points on Magic mL
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Big Up to you Paco & Thanx for the Orlando MoneyLine Call. I laughed my way thru out the game.Comment -
good luck tommorow!Comment -
Lakers boys/girls Tuesday
"it's your money"Comment -
nice call paco
LETS GET ITComment -
Hey stud, thought you turned it in for the night...if you're still around, where are you leaning tomorrow for game 4? I'm inconvenienced by my j-o-b and have to lock in early or not at all.Comment -
Nice call.Comment -
nice night Paco.
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You on Fire, congrats.Comment -
GL
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Guys you might dont know that but my bookie made a mistake last night. They mixed up totals with spread for 1quarter and I used it in my play. My bet was Boston + 47 1Q
Bet is still pending thouComment -
Good morning everyone.Comment -
nice going Pac! Too bad I missed that plays, must have been a hell of a night
looking forward to todays madness
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I'm always telling you to pay close attention to game time temperatures in Major League Baseball. On a recent Sunday, unseasonably cool weather had turned the whole country into Seattle. We saw a lot of Unders as a result (cool weather means Unders!).
This past Sunday, temperatures were higher in many places, and the scoring went right up with them.
SUNDAY 'HOT' SPOTS OVERS
12-4 in the Toronto/Arizona game (near 80 degrees)
13-0 in the Florida/CWS game (near 80 degrees)
11-7 in the Colorado/Kansas City game (near 80 degrees)
6-5 in the LA Angels/St. Louis game (mid 80's)
UNDERS
5-4 in the Chicago Cubs/Texas game (missed by half a run even though it was 4-3 in the 4th inning.
4-3 in the Milwaukee/Minnesota game (near 80, but never had a chance).
Those are the six Sunday afternoon games that had temperatures near 80 degrees or more. The four Overs all cleared easily (going Over in the 5th, 6th, 5th, and 5th innings in the order listed). One of the Unders should have been an Over. That's 67% success on the warm weather Overs with some bad luck thrown in!
It wasn't hot everywhere though. It was still relatively cool (low 70's or less) in six locales...
SUNDAY COOLER CLIMATES
3-2 in the Atlanta/Pittsburgh game (near 70)
4-3 in the Baltimore/Washington game (near 70)
3-0 in the San Francisco/Oakland game (near 60)
6-2 in the Detroit/LA Dodgers game (mid 60's, push because of 2 in the 9th!)
OVERS
8-3 in the Boston/Philadelphia game (near 70, Boston hits Halladay hard)
8-1 in the San Diego/Seattle game (near 60, lost because of a 5-run 8th !)
That's Unders going 3-2-1 in temperatures around 70 or less, and again bad luck came into play. It should have been 5-1! Very late runs at Chavez Ravine and in Seattle turned Unders into Overs. Still, 3-2-1 is 60% winners against the number, which is more than GETTING THE BEST OF IT. The two angles combined for 7-4-1, which is 64%. They easily could have gone 10-2 without bad luck!
I've been telling people to pay attention to weather for YEARS. I still can't believe how many bettors think that handicapping totals involves looking at the pitchers and nothing else. Pitchers matter. Offenses matter. Ballparks matter. Umpires matter. Oddsmakers know the pitchers and the offenses. They've studied the ballparks enough to know that a game with a total of 9 in a normal park should be more like 7.5 in San Diego or Seattle. Umpires still aren't reflected enough. You saw on Sunday that weather is a distant afterthought for oddsmakers and bettors.
You won't always have days like Sunday. But, you'll be GETTING THE BEST OF IT if you incorporate game time temperatures and wind conditions into your analysis.Comment -
Good write up Jr. Definantly need to account for that. That why I always appreciate when posters update bad or odd weather for the city they live in. I always give rain/wind updates on Tigers games.Comment -
damn nice picks dood! i laid off the magic game but i should know better! lookin forward to todays games
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Paco, Many thanks yet again for the confidence to play the Magic +7 1/2 and ML My thoughts were the same as yours I took the points for $110/$100 and the ML for $100/$350. Thats what I wanted to do but didnt have the confidence until you were on it so I knew it was a slam dunk. Thanks Again BrothaComment -
I can not believe that game went into overtime last night, I had $500 on the under 187.5 and it goes to overtime and hits 188, unreal.Comment -
so my final exam (the most important test of the school year)....
.... begins at 10am, and here I was at 6am watching the ending of the thriller that was Game Four of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals.
Got the test sorted out, won every baseball bet I placed... just wish I tailed you on this.
Much props sir!
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Will wait to put my Suns play in, hoping to get 2.5 by gametime, the way the public is all over the Lakers.
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Verlander -122 (2x)Comment
