My Sports

**FireMedic1614** · 05-20-10, 07:38 AM

Paco please tell me you have a strip club special after lastnight

**Keelo** · 05-20-10, 08:06 AM

I have been riding the brewers losing streak. May continue today. Pirates +108

**FireMedic1614** · 05-20-10, 08:10 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

paco make space in your box

Paco said the same thing last night to the chick at the breast bar..

**BamaCBass** · 05-20-10, 08:31 AM

Originally posted by FireMedic1614

Paco said the same thing last night to the chick at the breast bar..

**Pavv4** · 05-20-10, 08:34 AM

Wake up.. It's time to make money"

**bballs84** · 05-20-10, 08:36 AM

Its fun making $

**Tommy_de1st** · 05-20-10, 08:40 AM

You know guys what? Thats how it should be, do what you like and get paid for that

**colts** · 05-20-10, 08:51 AM

mlb - lad, tor, min, tex ov

**chankng** · 05-20-10, 09:18 AM

last nite was a scary I had San diego and Jays for parlay, but jays almost slipped away with the lead scaryyyy...lol... but cashed it in the end!!!

**chankng** · 05-20-10, 09:20 AM

what u guys think about Redsox, Yankees, and tigers?

**Brocc** · 05-20-10, 09:46 AM

Morning Peeps & Paco!
Great money maker last night for us all!

Hopefully we can do it all over again tonight....Will the Celtics continue their dominance or will the Magic finally come to play....It'll be interesting to see what our boys think!

Anybody else really like the Phils today? 2 straight losses, don't think it'll be 3 & the price is right!
Also leaning Reds, Marlins & Bluejays for the early action

**paco** · 05-20-10, 09:56 AM

Good Morning Everyone!!

**playr101** · 05-20-10, 10:00 AM

Morn paco. Thanks for the picks last night. Saved me from shitty baseball.

-playr101

**shari91** · 05-20-10, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by paco

Good Morning Everyone!!

Morning!!

Brocc- I already took Toronto and I'm liking your two other leans so far. The Phillies game though, I'm staying away from. Best of luck everyone!

**Mazza** · 05-20-10, 10:31 AM

Great play last night paco, saw you were on it so I parlayed lakers -7 and the over, thanks buddy

**RhinoMac23** · 05-20-10, 10:36 AM

morning everyone! I took the braves ml, the phills ml and the phills cubs over, and the cards ml, 20 t o win 118. Guess its a little parlay action for the morning to pass the time!

**JR007** · 05-20-10, 10:40 AM

Interleague play starts this Friday, with many of the classic rivalry series (Yankees/Mets, Giants/A's, Reds/Indians) and some other attractive matchups. Oddsmakers have had an interesting time in recent years dealing with the dynamics of Interleague play.
*Square action increases, because the public likes betting these games. Many are on TV, and the networks do what they can to hype up the marquee showdowns. And, there's just more interest in general. Attendance goes up at the stadiums for IL action. It goes up a bit in sportsbooks too.
*Square action is DUMB action, so oddsmakers have to shade their lines to take advantage.
*The past few years, the American League has been fairly dominant...but both the sharps (professional wagerers) and squares (public) have been very slow to react. As a result, market prices were slow to react. It took sharps A FULL YEAR OR TWO to accept that the AL was that much better. They finally started betting that way, and lines got closer to matching reality.
*In all honesty, many oddsmakers were slow on the take as well. There were several quotes in the first and second year of AL dominance where you read or heard guys in Vegas saying it was just a short term fluke. Nobody's saying that any more. Well, hardly anyone. It's commonly accepted now that the 'right' line includes maybe a 15-20 cent shading toward the American League. More in some cases.
So, this is an important weekend for sportsbooks. Oddsmakers want to post solid numbers that will earn a profit for their employers. They'll be doing that amidst the challenge of guessing how much 'AL Money' may or may not come in!
If the squares don't believe in the AL superiority, or are just going to bet the TV favorites or big name pitchers anyway, oddsmakers owe it to their employers to price accordingly. This could set up some VERY big windows of opportunity for smart handicappers.
For example:
*The best pitchers in the NL are likely to be overpriced. They're not as good as it seems because they play in the inferior league.
*Mid-level of back of the rotation guys in the AL are likely to be underpriced. They'd be top of the rotation guys in the NL, as you saw with pitchers like Bronson Arroyo with Cincinnati (an early red flag about the difference in leagues) and Javier Vazquez when he was with Atlanta last year. Some of the best IL bets on the board every year are AL teams at home with back of the rotation pitchers. They're priced very cheaply, but win a good share of their games.
*The best offenses in the NL will be overmatched by top AL pitchers.
*The best offenses in the AL will absolutely CRUSH back of the rotation guys in the NL.
Now, there will probably be some exceptions here and there. You're always dealing with percentages in baseball because pitchers can throw over their heads or just not have anything with little notice. Over the course of the weekend, and the summer...these factors are likely to hold true.
The most important thing to remember is that the prices on the board have yet to fully capture the reality on the field in IL action. Too many bettors (both squares and sharps) aren't betting with full respect for the AL edge. Maybe this is the year it starts to swing back and the stubborn finally make some money. They've been saying that for a few years and keep getting spanked.

**Chang** · 05-20-10, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by paco

Takes guts to tail me on this cuz Habs have not even scored 1 goal in this series yet

Does that mean you'll also be playing the under?

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 10:54 AM

Likn the Bravos Rhino ,think they start to heat up and keep things interesting in NL east,other hand the Reds start to cool
off specialy on the road,home teams been good on the get away day games .

**paco** · 05-20-10, 10:57 AM

Reds mL+135 (0.5x)

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 10:58 AM

they should say if u win two games in a two game series, its takn 2 games not a sweep,a sweep shoud be 3 or more games

**paco** · 05-20-10, 11:00 AM

I like Leake. Good value.

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 11:00 AM

Bravos in two

**samus82** · 05-20-10, 11:00 AM

I don't know if you guys follow soccer, but I'm making an equivalent of a strip club special on Inter Milan to beat Bayern on Saturday in the Champions League final. They are 13/10 to win over 90 mins and I am going in big.

Good luck with your picks today Paco, I'll definitely be tailing you again.

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 11:02 AM

Only 2 road starts in 7 games

**paco** · 05-20-10, 11:02 AM

Thx Samus. And thx for ur Soccer pick. I don't know anything about soccer except Beckham and Christiano Renaldo.

**Rixsaw** · 05-20-10, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by paco

Reds mL+135 (0.5x)

Got it at +141 last night. Lets cash this dog.

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 11:07 AM

Think he springs a Leake today after Larry and the boys r thru

**paco** · 05-20-10, 11:07 AM

Just barely got this in.

Indians Over 9 (-120) (0.5x)

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 11:09 AM

Reminds me of the Porcello story

**Slider612** · 05-20-10, 11:11 AM

Paco ur on, the lots of runs in that gameI like the Royals Guillen goes deep,Royals spank the ball today

**Pavv4** · 05-20-10, 11:18 AM

Paco what do you think about the Reds over?

**Geary22** · 05-20-10, 11:40 AM

Getting the Reds at +150...definitely a good value here

**paco** · 05-20-10, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by Pavv4

Paco what do you think about the Reds over?

Staying away from that total. I got no read on that.

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 05-20-10, 11:50 AM

i played under 7.5 see a 4-1 3-2 game today gl all...GO LAKERS!!!!! +3 IS A GIFT!!!