1. 07-08-17 06:38 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Saturday, 7/8/17

    3 MLB Sides Saturday

    Mets +121 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +128 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics +141 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 328-344-19, +2.14

    Totals Coming
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  2. 07-08-17 06:57 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    5 MLB Plays Saturday

    5 MLB Plays Saturday

    Brewers / Yankees UNDER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Mets +121 (5 Dimes)
    Angels / Rangers UNDER 11 -105 (Heritage)
    White Sox +128 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics +141 (5 Dimes)
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  3. 07-08-17 07:55 AM #3
    rkelly110
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    No offence willy, but how can you post plays when the stats aren't updated yet? Do you use stats or go by what the previous games did?
    Points Awarded:

    FUqer gave rkelly110 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  4. 07-08-17 08:11 AM #4
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    No offence willy, but how can you post plays when the stats aren't updated yet? Do you use stats or go by what the previous games did?
    What stats?
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  5. 07-08-17 09:02 AM #5
    Waterstpub87
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    No offence willy, but how can you post plays when the stats aren't updated yet? Do you use stats or go by what the previous games did?
    There has been like 80 games or so for each team thus far. If he bets based on the results of the first 79, I'm sure the results wouldn't change that much.
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  6. 07-08-17 09:06 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    No offence willy, but how can you post plays when the stats aren't updated yet? Do you use stats or go by what the previous games did?
    What stats are you talking about? I run my model every morning so the stats I use are always up to date through the previous game.
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  7. 07-08-17 09:39 AM #7
    rkelly110
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What stats are you talking about? I run my model every morning so the stats I use are always up to date through the previous game.
    I use SBR odds matchup stats. On the weekends, the stats aren't updated sometimes until 10am for the previous games.

    I take it you use the scores, loss/ win and totals from the previous day to make your picks so early?

    Just getting a feel of what you do is all.
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  8. 07-08-17 10:00 AM #8
    FUqer
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    Just a tiny bit more complex than that.
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  9. 07-08-17 10:18 AM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    I use SBR odds matchup stats. On the weekends, the stats aren't updated sometimes until 10am for the previous games.

    I take it you use the scores, loss/ win and totals from the previous day to make your picks so early?

    Just getting a feel of what you do is all.
    No, not even close. Model is 90% sabermetric based outside of pitchers' K%, BB% and GB/FB.
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  10. 07-08-17 11:10 AM #10
    rkelly110
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No, not even close. Model is 90% sabermetric based outside of pitchers' K%, BB% and GB/FB.
    Ok. Solely on pitcher stats.
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  11. 07-08-17 11:19 AM #11
    SOSANA
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    Hi LTP,

    Curious what numbers your getting for DET, KC, PIT, SF, and CIN this evening?

    Sent you a PM as well, hope you can check it out when you can.

    BOL today!
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  12. 07-08-17 11:54 AM #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    Ok. Solely on pitcher stats.
    No. not true either. It is just that the 3 "common" stats used are pitcher stats. Just about all batters ratings are based on saber stats from fangraphs, and qERA is used heavily to grade ballpark factors and umpires.
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  13. 07-08-17 11:58 AM #13
    funnyb25
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    I love people driving themselves up the wall trying to figure out how LT comes up with his plays...It is comical

    BOL
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  14. 07-08-17 12:05 PM #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by SOSANA View Post
    Hi LTP,

    Curious what numbers your getting for DET, KC, PIT, SF, and CIN this evening?

    Sent you a PM as well, hope you can check it out when you can.

    BOL today!
    Detroit is actually playable but I am resisting as of now. I get Cleveland 57% (-133).
    Dodgers 68% (-213) over KC.
    Cubs 62% (-163) over PIT
    Arizona 60% (-150) over CIN

    I have no prediction on SF because I have not entered O'Grady into system yet. I anticipated Worley starting for Miami.
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  15. 07-08-17 02:40 PM #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Detroit is actually playable but I am resisting as of now. I get Cleveland 57% (-133).
    Dodgers 68% (-213) over KC.
    Cubs 62% (-163) over PIT
    Arizona 60% (-150) over CIN

    I have no prediction on SF because I have not entered O'Grady into system yet. I anticipated Worley starting for Miami.
    After inputting O'Grady, I get Giants 64% (-178). Perhaps the bigger story though is 7.1 total.
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  16. 07-08-17 02:44 PM #16
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    4 MLB Additions

    9 MLB Plays Saturday

    Brewers / Yankees UNDER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Mets +121 (5 Dimes)
    Red Sox / Rays UNDER 9 -110 (Heritage)
    Pirates / Cubs UNDER 8 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / Indians OVER 9.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Angels / Rangers UNDER 11 -105 (Heritage)
    Marlins / Giants UNDER 8 +105 (Heritage)
    White Sox +128 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics +141 (5 Dimes)
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