1. 04-04-17 09:48 AM #1
    Notorious_Donk
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    Donk's 1st Inning

    Baseball season is officially here and that means the first inning prop tickets are ready to cash. I developed my first inning system in 2011 and have never had a losing season. The first two years of my system I created threads on SBR and documented my plays. Here are the results after only about 2 months of tracking...

    2011: +24.72 units
    2012: +26.21 units

    The last four years have also been profitable, however, I don't have the exact numbers because I did not track my units religiously. Majority of wagers will be either Yes/No Score in 1st Inning or Team To Score First.

    Let's cash
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  2. 04-04-17 09:50 AM #2
    trillz
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    Good luck man. Love these plays, easy cash if they hit! Will probably be tailing
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  3. 04-04-17 09:52 AM #3
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by trillz View Post
    Good luck man. Love these plays, easy cash if they hit! Will probably be tailing
    Thanks trillz. BOL to you too
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  4. 04-04-17 09:58 AM #4
    TechnicalTrader
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    Good stuff Donk! Happy to see others exploiting the books with prop bets!
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  5. 04-04-17 10:17 AM #5
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by TechnicalTrader View Post
    Good stuff Donk! Happy to see others exploiting the books with prop bets!
    Damn right TT! BOL to both of us and maybe we can collab down the road
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  6. 04-04-17 10:29 AM #6
    Notorious_Donk
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    Typically I let the players get a couple games under their belt so they can get comfortable and I can get the necessary minimum data that I need for my system. I wrote down a few leans from Sunday/Monday and ended up with a record of 4-2. Might post some leans for today once I get more time to look into the games.
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  7. 04-04-17 11:57 AM #7
    Notorious_Donk
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    Lean towards DET/CHW No Score in 1st
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  8. 04-04-17 12:27 PM #8
    TechnicalTrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by Notorious_Donk View Post
    Damn right TT! BOL to both of us and maybe we can collab down the road
    Sure thing. I need to see how my current system does. It went well last season, but each new season is a new test...
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  9. 04-04-17 01:23 PM #9
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by TechnicalTrader View Post
    Sure thing. I need to see how my current system does. It went well last season, but each new season is a new test...
    Yeah for sure. I've tweaked my system every year since I originally made it. Just gotta keep improving!
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  10. 04-04-17 01:34 PM #10
    Regul8er
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    Oh well.......put the Tigers/White Sox loss behind you, and move on.
    Goodluck this year.
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  11. 04-04-17 01:48 PM #11
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    Oh well.......put the Tigers/White Sox loss behind you, and move on.
    Goodluck this year.
    Not an official play, just a lean. That's why I usually wait a week or two.

    But actually looking back at the beginning of last year, Verlander gave up 1st inning runs in 3 of 5 games in April which was his worst month all season.
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  12. 04-04-17 01:58 PM #12
    Notorious_Donk
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    Lean towards NYY/TB No Score in 1st inning.

    I like this play but it is all based on last years numbers so its still not an official play. Both pitchers allowed first inning runs in 20% of games or less last season. Sabathia didn't allow a run until almost July last year, which is outstanding. BUT, this is the first regular season game for both pitchers so still not an official play. We'll see what happens tonight.
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  13. 04-04-17 04:41 PM #13
    Notorious_Donk
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    Ah screw it i'm gonna be an action junkie. Throwing a half unit on it for an official play.

    NYY/TB No Score in 1st inning -135 (.5x)
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  14. 04-04-17 06:24 PM #14
    trillz
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    Got -125 and the first official play is in the books
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  15. 04-04-17 06:31 PM #15
    crackerjack
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    Quote Originally Posted by trillz View Post
    Good luck man. Love these plays, easy cash if they hit! Will probably be tailing
    Aren't all bets easy cash if they hit?
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  16. 04-05-17 08:34 AM #16
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by crackerjack View Post
    Aren't all bets easy cash if they hit?
    Does a one-legged duck swim in circles?
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  17. 04-05-17 08:37 AM #17
    JerseyGodFather
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    Quote Originally Posted by crackerjack View Post
    Aren't all bets easy cash if they hit?
    I think he meant to say easy and FAST cash.
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  18. 04-05-17 08:42 AM #18
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by JerseyGodFather View Post
    I think he meant to say easy and FAST cash.
    Yes that is what he meant. You don't have to watch the entire baseball game to win money, just need to watch the first 15 min or so and then the cash rolls in
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  19. 04-05-17 08:43 AM #19
    Notorious_Donk
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    4/5/2017 Results

    1-0 +0.5 units
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  20. 04-05-17 12:04 PM #20
    Notorious_Donk
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    Royals score first -150
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  21. 04-05-17 06:02 PM #21
    Notorious_Donk
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    Two leans. Reds and D-backs score first
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  22. 04-05-17 06:05 PM #22
    hondax123
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    Do you bet your leans?
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  23. 04-05-17 06:25 PM #23
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by hondax123 View Post
    Do you bet your leans?
    Sometimes I do sometimes I don't. Leans are plays that I like, but either I don't like it enough or just didn't have time to research more. I'm posting leans right now because it's early in the season, I typically don't post leans throughout the entire year
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  24. 04-05-17 06:26 PM #24
    Notorious_Donk
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    Does anyone know what the line was on MIA score first? I thought about that one.
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  25. 04-06-17 12:48 PM #25
    Notorious_Donk
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    4/5/2017 Results

    0-1 -0.75 units

    YTD Results

    1-1 -0.25 units
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  26. 04-06-17 12:50 PM #26
    Notorious_Donk
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    Leaning towards Nationals score first and MIA/WSH score in 1st inning
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  27. 04-06-17 05:16 PM #27
    Notorious_Donk
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    Bang bang.

    I also see value in D-backs score first +125 tonight. Half units
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  28. 04-06-17 05:21 PM #28
    hondax123
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    Quote Originally Posted by Notorious_Donk View Post
    Leaning towards Nationals score first and MIA/WSH score in 1st inning
    Spot on.
    Points Awarded:

    Notorious_Donk gave hondax123 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  29. 04-06-17 05:22 PM #29
    Notorious_Donk
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    Sorry been busy but last three leans all half unit plays
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  30. 04-07-17 10:24 AM #30
    Notorious_Donk
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    4/6/2017 Results

    2-1 +0.5 units

    YTD Results

    3-2 +0.25 units
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  31. 04-07-17 10:43 AM #31
    Notorious_Donk
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    Nationals score first -190 [2x]

    Usually don't bet more than 1 unit this early in the season but I can't resist this play. Washington was the best first inning team last year and they scored first over 73% of the time when Scherzer was on the mound.
    Points Awarded:

    Looking4Winners gave Notorious_Donk 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  32. 04-07-17 02:19 PM #32
    AceofSP2107
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    Thank you Harper and donk
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  33. 04-07-17 02:37 PM #33
    Notorious_Donk
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    Quote Originally Posted by AceofSP2107 View Post
    Thank you Harper and donk
    Easiest bet of the season thus far. Strasburg on the mound tomorrow so look for Washington to score first again
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  34. 04-07-17 03:01 PM #34
    TechnicalTrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by Notorious_Donk View Post
    Nationals score first -190 [2x]

    Usually don't bet more than 1 unit this early in the season but I can't resist this play. Washington was the best first inning team last year and they scored first over 73% of the time when Scherzer was on the mound.
    NEVERMIND, my bad about previous post.
    Last edited by TechnicalTrader; 04-07-17 at 03:08 PM.
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  35. 04-07-17 03:49 PM #35
    Notorious_Donk
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    Looking forward to tomorrow... I like the Nationals again just waiting for the line to come out. Last year, the Nationals scored first in 80% of Strasburg's starts on the road and they are facing the worst first inning team from last year (again). Strong lean right now so I'll wait for the line to come out and my action will be based on that.
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