I'm sure this has been around for a while, but I just came across it and was wondering if anyone had any experiences or thoughts.
"To use this baseball gambling system you must first collect the necessary information. Click on MLB Games to get a listing of the daily MLB baseball matchups, starting pitchers, and odds for the day.Make a list of the starting pitchers that are playing for the “underdog” teams.
Rule 1: The starting pitcher must be ranked in the top 20. You determine this by looking at the Sagarin ratings. Click on the National or American League to get a ranking of every pitcher in the league. If Sagarin ranks the starting pitcher in the top 20, proceed to Rule 2.
Rule 2: If the underdog is playing on the road, determine if their road record is above 48%. If the underdog is playing at home, check and see if their record at home is above 48%. If the answer to both rules above is yes, place a bet on the underdog.
How well did this gambling system do in 2010? If you would have bet $100 on every underdog team that met the above two rules, you would have won 110 games and lost 91 games for a 54.73% win percentage and a net profit of $4,254. What’s most remarkable is that the win% for the home and road dogs in 2010 was almost the same (54.67% and 54.76% respectively.) The home dogs’ record was 41 wins and 34 losses for a net profit of $1,380. The road dogs had 69 wins and 57 losses for a profit of $2,874."
A lot of people crap on Sagarin here.
I think the guy is a math genius, when I do bet a college hoops game, I always check his numbers before sending it in.
My question is, what do you base the road/home record on? What they've done this year? In that case, we should all be shoving on the Astros tomorrow with Lucas Harrell on the mound since the Astros are undefeated at home and yet are priced at +173!
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Top 20 Pitcher + Underdog Sagarin MLB System
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