DraftKings MLB Up 2 Early Win Promo

[ThaWoj]

Well I didnt take the royals and they're up 2-0. Missed opportunity there.

So now its between marlins, angels and wsox

Nevermind, looks like they took mine away. I must of hit too many. They could have at least lowered my limit from 250 to 100 or something. Wow. And I'm a big time loser too. Cant believe that. I'm down like 40k on the year and they took it away plus I'm gold and vip LMAO

[ThaWoj]

How bad WOJ?

Very bad. But thankfully texas got me back. Beuhler and gray did as expected.


Thinking about taking royals at home. Other choices would be fish @ mets, angels @ dbacks or sox @ seattle

[stevenash]

Texas +180

Dodgers start a reliever, and Grove isn't even a good reliever.
Texas has more than enough offense (even though Semien is in a brutal slump) to jump him early and often.
I can see 2-0 in the top of the first before the Dodgers get to the plate.

[Getch13]

Like the Nationals +130 today

[mjsuax13]

Looks like I should have stuck with my A's pick. Last few days have been horrible, lost so much. I'm pretty buried.

How bad WOJ?

[ThaWoj]

2 on nobody out in the 1st with beuhler struggling with command as expected and no runs. Terrible.

[ThaWoj]

The one thing I dont like about this game is the total is only 7.5. I was looking at the white sox but I just dont know with their pitcher j. Cannon...he got smacked vs tampa as a starter but threw 3 shutout relief innings vs boston. Miller is one of seattles weaker arms imo. Worth a look maybe

[ThaWoj]

Well I'm busted up but if I can scrape $250 up I'm taking texas tonight. Buehler is a total hamburger. And Gray has been undervalued. These are his earned run totals in all his starts this year and IP. Its his 2nd appearance off the IL. Now granted the dodgers have a juggernaut lineup. But I'm banking on walker getting beat-up early, and I think I've hit this promo almost every time he pitched all at good prices.

Mar 31
4/3.2
Apr 6
0/3.2
Apr 11
1/5.0
Apr 16
1/6.0
Apr 20
0/1.2
Apr 24
1/4.2
Apr 30
1/8.0
May 5
2/7.0
May 10
1/6.0
May 15
0/6.1
Mat 21
2/5.0
Jun 8
0/2.1

So other than his 1st game gray has never given up more than 2 runs (earned or unearned)

[DonnieBrasco23]

Classic Rockies teased ya scoring in the top of the 1st only to give up 5 in the bottom half lol

All good small bet, just having a little fun over here taking shots at the bookmaker.

[SBR Andy]

I have the Rockies ML on the same parlay I mentioned earlier.

Classic Rockies teased ya scoring in the top of the 1st only to give up 5 in the bottom half lol

[DonnieBrasco23]

Have dropped 3 in a row, gotta end the skid. Rockies sitting at +200 first game on the board is the ultimate temptation but I'm going to resist and take the Rangers in the night cap +160 vs the Dodgers. They got smacked 15-2 last night so hoping for some bounce back motivation.

I have the Rockies ML on the same parlay I mentioned earlier.

[SBR Andy]

Have dropped 3 in a row, gotta end the skid. Rockies sitting at +200 first game on the board is the ultimate temptation but I'm going to resist and take the Rangers in the night cap +160 vs the Dodgers. They got smacked 15-2 last night so hoping for some bounce back motivation.

[DonnieBrasco23]

I'm going to saddle up and ride again with Pivetta and the Red Sox at +120.
Pivetta's last start v. Atlanta was a masterpiece, has a very live arm to boot.

Boston +120

I have them too in a fun pipe dream parlay with a micro investment. That play made the cut for me.

[stevenash]

I'm going to saddle up and ride again with Pivetta and the Red Sox at +120.
Pivetta's last start v. Atlanta was a masterpiece, has a very live arm to boot.

Boston +120

[DonnieBrasco23]

The problem with most of us is we can probably pick a few winners and even get to an ok win percentage. It’s about unit management. It’s having the discipline to not chase that rough week, loss, etc… buries me every single time.

You’re exactly right I’m still an amateur with this shit as I dumped 1/3rd of my roll last week, still working with 80K though. Taking a much needed break for a while.

[mjsuax13]

With the proper bankroll and your 56% +162 average price we all could be multimillionaire’s.

The problem with most of us is we can probably pick a few winners and even get to an ok win percentage. It’s about unit management. It’s having the discipline to not chase that rough week, loss, etc… buries me every single time.

[DonnieBrasco23]

I don't have a graph..most of my early plays are gone where the site that track my plays went out of business..I would have to get my clerk to put together some chart for plays running off the current edition of algorithm.

With the proper bankroll and your 56% +162 average price we all could be multimillionaire’s.

[Darkside Magick]

Do you have any kind of chart that shows this ? I’ve hit nearly 58% at around +106 average price. This is the chart below. All these plays were posted and graded by someone else on a daily thread somewhere in forumville.

I don't have a graph..most of my early plays are gone where the site that track my plays went out of business..I would have to get my clerk to put together some chart for plays running off the current edition of algorithm.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Yes ..I'm a "+EV" Bettor...It took a long time to get there and maybe over 100 models and algorithms.

At the start...basically your 99.5% bettor..winning like 47% of bets..had some good streaks but for like first 8 years no long term profit

Started building more quantitative models as I was a quantitative trader in my regular job and after awhile started seeing patterns and results in + money and alternative lines after running 300.000 Monte Carlo Simulations

I win at 56% clip at avg odds of +162

Do you have any kind of chart that shows this ? I’ve hit nearly 58% at around +106 average price. This is the chart below. All these plays were posted and graded by someone else on a daily thread somewhere in forumville.

[Darkside Magick]

You seem to always post/bet a lot of plus money games. Don’t get me wrong I like your strategy you’re like the exact opposite of poster JIBBBY (who we all know loses LONG TERM). In your betting career are you +EV throughout your journey ? If you could answer that with some kind of honesty that would be appreciated ?

Yes ..I'm a "+EV" Bettor...It took a long time to get there and maybe over 100 models and algorithms.

At the start...basically your 99.5% bettor..winning like 47% of bets..had some good streaks but for like first 8 years no long term profit

Started building more quantitative models as I was a quantitative trader in my regular job and after awhile started seeing patterns and results in + money and alternative lines after running 300.000 Monte Carlo Simulations

I win at 56% clip at avg odds of +162

[DonnieBrasco23]

Texas Rangers +136 vs Los Angeles Dodgers

You seem to always post/bet a lot of plus money games. Don’t get me wrong I like your strategy you’re like the exact opposite of poster JIBBBY (who we all know loses LONG TERM). In your betting career are you +EV throughout your journey ? If you could answer that with some kind of honesty that would be appreciated ?

[Darkside Magick]

Texas Rangers +136 vs Los Angeles Dodgers

[Keith Richard]

I'm on the Angels also. Beware 3 game losing streak for me.

[SBR Andy]

Jumping off the Rockies train, on the Angels +136 vs the Dbacks tonight. Should be some runs.

[ThaWoj]

Looks like I should have stuck with my A's pick. Last few days have been horrible, lost so much. I'm pretty buried.

[ThaWoj]

I was going oakland up until 1 minute before the rockies game and decided to go unorthodox and switch from my 1st instinct.

So I'm riding with you guys on Colorado lets cash it early, need this one

[Keith Richard]

Colorado +205 for me

[Darkside Magick]

Oakland Athletics +190 vs San Diego Padres

[SBR Andy]

Some great choices on the card. I believe I'm going for 10 straight. I haven't decided yet but so far I like 1)A's @ SD +190 2)Colorado 3)Jays even money at MIL 4) wSox and fedde at seattle at a big #

I really like the A's. Estes is the real deal. And I think they can hit Cease. Going to be a tough decision

Crazy run, keep it going!

[ThaWoj]

Some great choices on the card. I believe I'm going for 10 straight. I haven't decided yet but so far I like 1)A's @ SD +190 2)Colorado 3)Jays even money at MIL 4) wSox and fedde at seattle at a big #

I really like the A's. Estes is the real deal. And I think they can hit Cease. Going to be a tough decision

[stevenash]

Alternating wins and losses with the Rockies so hopefully the trend continues tonight as the EV math once again points in their direction vs the Twins.

COL +195

Yeah, I gave the Rockies a long hard look.
Paddack can be smacked around, Blackmon at the top of the order is a righty killer.

I'll tail.

[SBR Andy]

Alternating wins and losses with the Rockies so hopefully the trend continues tonight as the EV math once again points in their direction vs the Twins.

COL +195

[stevenash]

^
Promos are just that, promos.

[tbill1]

DK is thoughtful that way I went on a mini losing streak and they took away my promotion permanently.

[Keith Richard]

Well I have dropped my last 2 bets on these. Thank you DK for reducing my limit to peanuts (10) right at the best time.