MLB 2018 - SDQL / Tracking / Picks

FUqer · 04-10-18, 11:46 AM

SDQL 4/10

ALL = Yesterday 6-4 for +2.55 (Season: 32-23 for +11.50)

ML = Yesterday 4-3 for +1.70 (Season: 24-18 for +8.20)
RL = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 3-0 for +3.65)
OU = Yesterday 2-1 for +0.85 (Season: 5-5 for -0.35)

---------------------------------
SU

PLAY: Cardinals,Dodgers,Marlins,Orioles,Philli es,~~Rockies~~,White Sox: +11.6% (1048-632)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)

PLAY: Cardinals: +32.5% ROI (38-13)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

FADE: Angels, Astros: -27.3% ROI (69-100)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5

PLAY: Royals: +24.0% ROI (82-36)
H and p:margin > 7 and op:runs = 0 and season > 2008 and WP < 60 and o:WP > 38.5 and rest = 0

PLAY: Royals: +8.6% ROI (176-118)
H and p:margin >= 3 and op:runs = 0 and WP < 60 and o:WP > 38.5 and line > -230 and conference = o:conference and (month != 7 and month != 8) and 2008 <= season and SG > 1 and total > 6.5

PLAY: Royals: +10.1% ROI (562-390)
(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)

PLAY: Orioles: +22.1% ROI (79-60)
division = o:division and HD and line>=100<=145 and SG=2 and p:L and p:HF and WP<50

PLAY: Giants, Marlins, Orioles, Rangers, Yankees, ~~Padres~~: +13.6% ROI (898-894)
179 > line >= -102 and -11 < p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and 9 > p:runs > 0 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and day != Saturday and WP<79

-----------------------------------
OU

UNDER: Brewers/Cardinals: +21.8% ROI (32-18-1)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

UNDER: Tigers/Indians: +22.5% ROI (89-48-8)
H and 8.5 >= total >= 7 and tA(runs) <= 4.2 and o:STDSERA <= 4.2 and o:conference = AL and po:runs <= 4 and ppo:runs <= 4 and pppo:runs <= 4 and ppppo:runs <= 4 and pppppo:runs <= 4

OVER: Angels/Rangers: +48.9% ROI (63-16-7)
season>=2010 and H and month <=5 and total>=9.0 and HPU in [ Tom Hallion, Manny Gonzalez, Todd Tichenor, Brian Knight, Jerry Meals]

__________________________
SDQL PLAYS

ML

White Sox +100
Phillies -195
Marlins +175
Orioles +110
Yankees +115
Cardinals -170
Rangers +125
Twins +145
Royals +100
Giants +105
Dodgers -120

OU

Tigers/Indians Under 8.5 -115
Brewers/Cardinals Under 7.5 +100
Angels/Rangers Over 9.5 +100
___________________________________

Total Projections had a good day at 8-4 yesterday but still not liking the amount of Overs it has and don't feel it's that trustworthy right now with the cold. If you want to know what I have as a total for a particular game anyway, just ask me.

FUqer · 04-10-18, 12:15 PM

I would of liked to of taken the Tigers today, but I have a problem with them playing 7 Day games out of 9 so far and this one will be at night. Their eyes might have some trouble adjusting and so far they have averaged 4.57 rpg in the DAY going 4-3 and 3.00 at night going 0-2. Small sample but it's hard for some players to adjust their vision and see the ball and it might be enough for me to lay off the Tigers. Might look at the Under, which is scary with Tomlin pitching.

FUqer · 04-10-18, 12:41 PM

Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Plays

¤ White Sox -105
¤ Cubs -1 -112
¤ Mariners -110

____________________

The White Sox were 16-10 in Home day games last year and lost one yesterday, so I'm hoping that Fulmer can continue to overachieve here and the White Sox are able to put up enough run against the Rays Lefty. The thing that put me over the top though is it backed by one of my fav large sample SDQL trends at 1048-632 for +11.6% ROI.

In the other day game, I like the Cubs to come out motivated against the Pirates who have gotten off to a fast start in the division. Chatwood has had some problems with walk in the past, but he is a decent ground ball pitcher and has experience pitching in these kind of conditions in Chicago today. I talked about a couple of times about how Nova hasn't looked sharp at all to me and although he has good career numbers vs the Pirates, he has been lit up before by them. GL!

FUqer · 04-10-18, 01:04 PM

Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Plays

¤ White Sox -105
¤ Cubs -1 -112
¤ Mariners -110

¤ Brewers/Cardinals Under 7.5 +100
____________________

FUqer · 04-10-18, 02:58 PM

Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Plays

¤ White Sox -105
¤ Cubs -1 -112
¤ Mariners -110
¤ Braves +1.5 -110

¤ Brewers/Cardinals Under 7.5 +100
¤ Angels/Rangers Over 9.5 +100
¤ Padres/Rockies Under 10.5 +100
____________________

Looking like another rough start, hopefully I can battle back, if not I should prolly take at least a day off.

2daBank · 04-10-18, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

I would of liked to of taken the Tigers today, but I have a problem with them playing 7 Day games out of 9 so far and this one will be at night. Their eyes might have some trouble adjusting and so far they have averaged 4.57 rpg in the DAY going 4-3 and 3.00 at night going 0-2. Small sample but it's hard for some players to adjust their vision and see the ball and it might be enough for me to lay off the Tigers. Might look at the Under, which is scary with Tomlin pitching.

Interesting, hadn't thought of that. You know I'm eying tigers as well. Tribe still not scoring for shit, just don't see them winning another low scoring game like that w Tomlin's garbage ass on the bump.

FUqer · 04-10-18, 03:35 PM

Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Plays

¤ White Sox -105
¤ Cubs -1 -112
¤ Braves +1.5 -110
¤ Orioles +106
¤ Mariners -110

¤ Brewers/Cardinals Under 7.5 +100
¤ Angels/Rangers Over 9.5 +100
¤ Padres/Rockies Under 10.5 +100

____________________

FUqer · 04-10-18, 03:46 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Interesting, hadn't thought of that. You know I'm eying tigers as well. Tribe still not scoring for shit, just don't see them winning another low scoring game like that w Tomlin's garbage ass on the bump.

Not sure any amount of cold can keep Tomlin from giving up bombs. Seems like really good value on the Tigers, but it's tough for me trying to decide if books are just picking a side, cuz it doesn't make much sense Kluber and Tomlin opened about the same price, before Kluber jumped bout 100 points.

2daBank · 04-10-18, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

Not sure any amount of cold can keep Tomlin from giving up bombs. Seems like really good value on the Tigers, but it's tough for me trying to decide if books are just picking a side, cuz it doesn't make much sense Kluber and Tomlin opened about the same price, before Kluber jumped bout 100 points.

Tribe been really overpriced all homestand, they have managed to scrape out bunch of low scoring wins but yea I don't see that happening w Tomlin. Maybe the offense wakes up tonight but think it would have to. At that price tigers certainly worth a shot imo.

FUqer · 04-10-18, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Tribe been really overpriced all homestand, they have managed to scrape out bunch of low scoring wins but yea I don't see that happening w Tomlin. Maybe the offense wakes up tonight but think it would have to. At that price tigers certainly worth a shot imo.

I took the Tigers in a couple of contests, and like the Under but 8.5 price is juiced and not messing with 8 here.

FUqer · 04-10-18, 04:34 PM

Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Plays

¤ White Sox -105
¤ Cubs -1 -112
¤ Braves +1.5 -110
¤ Orioles +106
¤ Yankees +114
¤ Mariners -110 (Action)

¤ Brewers/Cardinals Under 7.5 +100
¤ Angels/Rangers Over 9.5 +100
¤ Padres/Rockies Under 10.5 +100

____________________

Fading the HF on a 8 game win streak that's in the -130 range and taking the Yankees.

2daBank · 04-10-18, 04:40 PM

Played yanks as well. Someone I talk w at another site was telling me taking the dog in this series was pretty profitable but didn't have the numbers. Certainly makes sense in recent years where both teams fairly close. Any way to sdql that?

FUqer · 04-10-18, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Played yanks as well. Someone I talk w at another site was telling me taking the dog in this series was pretty profitable but didn't have the numbers. Certainly makes sense in recent years where both teams fairly close. Any way to sdql that?

Red Sox +9.5% ROI as dog vs Yanks 67-73 and +7.2% ROI since 2015 11-13.

Yankees +12.1% ROI as a dog vs Red Sox 58-60 and +25.8% ROI since 2015 16-14.

Home Favs on a 8 game win streak are -34.9% ROI since 2015 and almost all in this price range loss.

Chris Sale 1-4 team record vs Yanks since joining the Red Sox, Severino beat him twice last year.

2daBank · 04-10-18, 04:52 PM

So dog 27-27 since '15, that certainly works.

FUqer · 04-11-18, 10:43 AM

Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Results

3-6 for -3.27

LOSS - ¤ White Sox -105
LOSS - ¤ Cubs -1 -112
LOSS - ¤ Braves +1.5 -110
LOSS - ¤ Orioles +106
LOSS - ¤ Yankees +114
WIN - ¤ Mariners -110 (Action)

LOSS - ¤ Brewers/Cardinals Under 7.5 +100
WIN - ¤ Angels/Rangers Over 9.5 +100
WIN - ¤ Padres/Rockies Under 10.5 +100

____________________
Season = 26-24 for +1.75
_____________________

ML = 9-10 for -1.16
(Dogs = 4-5 for -0.80)
(Favs = 5-5 for -0.36)

RL = 4-4 for -0.17
O/U = 13-9 for +4.08
(Overs = 4-2 for +1.90)
(Unders = 9-7 for +2.18)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results

4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

Cardinals Under loss was a tough one to take, Cards tie it 2-2 in bottom of 9th with 2 outs and then 4 runs scored in extra innings, capped off by a 2 out 2 run walk off HR to go over the 7.5 by half a run.

FUqer · 04-11-18, 10:46 AM

SDQL 4/11

ALL = Yesterday 7-7 for +0.50 (Season: 39-30 for +12.00)

ML = Yesterday 5-6 for -0.50 (Season: 29-24 for +7.70)
RL = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 3-0 for +3.65)
OU = Yesterday 2-1 for +1.00 (Season: 7-6 for +0.65)

---------------------------------
SU

PLAY: Dodgers, Orioles: +11.5% ROI (1051-636)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)

PLAY: Brewers, Marlins, Braves, Reds, Royals: +13.4% ROI (900-898)
179 > line >= -102 and -11 < p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and 9 > p:runs > 0 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and day != Saturday and WP<79

FADE: Braves: -37.4% (8-24)
AD and p:L and pp:L and series game=series games=series game=3 and team=Braves and 2005<=season

PLAY: Red Sox: +10.0% ROI (562-391)
(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)

PLAY: Cubs: +28.9% (118-49)
season>=2013 and month in [3,4] and H and HPU in [Jerry Layne, Dan Bellino, Mike Everitt,David Rackley, John Tumpane, Doug Eddings, Victor Carapazza]

FADE: Padres are 0-20 SU in the last game of a series as a 140-plus dog off a road game in which they allowed one or fewer walks.
team = Padres and LGS and line>=135 and p:A and po:walks <= 1 and season >= 2008

-----------------------------------

OU

UNDER: D-Backs/Giants: Giants are 0-17 OU as a home dog after they allowed 5-plus walks and it is not a series opener.
team = Giants and SG > 1 and HD and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20100427

__________________________

SDQL PLAYS

ML

Dodgers -175
Orioles -115
Brewers +135
Marlins +135
Reds +105
Royals +120
Red Sox -110
Cubs -180
Rockies -150

OU

D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100

_______________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 11:43 AM

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Plays

¤ Braves +107

¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110

¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105

____________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 12:03 PM

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Plays

¤ Braves +107
¤ Mariners -1 -111
¤ Rockies RL +125
¤ D-Backs -115

¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
____________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 12:20 PM

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Plays

¤ Braves +107
¤ Mariners -1 -111
¤ Rockies RL +125
¤ D-Backs -115

¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
¤ D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100

____________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 12:27 PM

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Plays

¤ Braves +107
¤ White Sox +104
¤ Mariners -1 -111
¤ Rockies RL +125
¤ D-Backs -115

¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
¤ D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100

_____________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 01:50 PM

Nice start so far, nothing like getting two wins before the 4th inning is up.

FUqer · 04-11-18, 03:06 PM

Braves trying to blow this game, giving up a HR in bottom of the ninth to send it to extra's and then trying to steal home with 2 outs and men on 2nd and 3rd and a 3-1 count? He looked safe to me, but was called out and still a stupid decision.

Then a big fight in the Rockies game, Padres pitcher ejected, lol. Both pitchers ejected and some others.

bryanoens · 04-11-18, 05:10 PM

Good day sir!

OlDirtyBaztid · 04-11-18, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Plays

¤ Braves +107
¤ White Sox +104
¤ Mariners -1 -111
¤ Rockies RL +125
¤ D-Backs -115

¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
¤ D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100

_____________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 05:52 PM

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Plays

¤ Braves +107
¤ White Sox +104
¤ Mariners -1 -111
¤ Rockies RL +125
¤ D-Backs -115

¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
¤ D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100
¤ Mets/Marlins Under 8.5 -105
¤ Blue Jays/Orioles Under 8.5 -110

_____________________

FUqer · 04-11-18, 09:18 PM

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Results

10-2 for +8.47

WIN - ¤ Braves +107
WIN - ¤ White Sox +104
WIN - ¤ Mariners -1 -111
WIN - ¤ Rockies RL +125
WIN - ¤ D-Backs -115

WIN - ¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
WIN - ¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
WIN - ¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
LOSS - ¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
LOSS - ¤ D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100
WIN - ¤ Mets/Marlins Under 8.5 -105
WIN - ¤ Blue Jays/Orioles Under 8.5 -110
____________________
Season = 36-26 for +10.22
_____________________

ML = 12-10 for +1.95
(Dogs = 6-5 for +1.31)
(Favs = 6-5 for +0.64)

RL = 6-4 for +2.08

O/U = 18-11 for +7.19
(Overs = 6-3 for +2.95)
(Unders = 12-8 for +4.24)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results

4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
_____________________

Slipknot26 · 04-11-18, 09:23 PM

Nicely done

OlDirtyBaztid · 04-11-18, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by FUqer

Wednesday 4/11/18 MLB Results

10-2 for +8.47

WIN - ¤ Braves +107
WIN - ¤ White Sox +104
WIN - ¤ Mariners -1 -111
WIN - ¤ Rockies RL +125
WIN - ¤ D-Backs -115

WIN - ¤ Twins TT Over 3.5 +110
WIN - ¤ Astros/Twins Over 8 +105
WIN - ¤ Rays/White Sox Under 8.5 +106
LOSS - ¤ Padres/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
LOSS - ¤ D-Backs/Giants Under 8 +100
WIN - ¤ Mets/Marlins Under 8.5 -105
WIN - ¤ Blue Jays/Orioles Under 8.5 -110
____________________
Season = 36-26 for +10.22
_____________________

ML = 12-10 for +1.95
(Dogs = 6-5 for +1.31)
(Favs = 6-5 for +0.64)

RL = 6-4 for +2.08

O/U = 18-11 for +7.19
(Overs = 6-3 for +2.95)
(Unders = 12-8 for +4.24)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results

4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
_____________________

nice run, bro!

FUqer · 04-11-18, 11:45 PM

Originally posted by bryanoens

Good day sir!

Originally posted by Slipknot26

Nicely done

Originally posted by OlDirtyBaztid

nice run, bro!

Thanks guys, needed it after a bad run the last few days.

FUqer · 04-12-18, 11:57 AM

SDQL 4/12

ALL = Yesterday 4-6 for -2.50 (Season: 43-36 for +9.50)

ML = Yesterday 4-5 for -1.50 (Season: 33-29 for +6.20)
RL = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 3-0 for +3.65)
OU = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.00 (Season: 7-7 for -0.35)

---------------------------------

SU

PLAY: Cardinals are 10-0 L10 times Wacha has started vs the Reds.
starter=Michael Wacha and o:team=Reds and date>=20140920

PLAY: ~~Cardinals~~ 22-5 since 2004 as a Road Fav after a Home Loss.
team=Cardinals and AF and p:HL and season>=2004

FADE: Giants: -27.2% ROI (70-101)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter
rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5

PLAY: Tigers,Rockies,Padres,~~Reds~~,White Sox: +13.4% ROI (902-901)
179 > line >= -102 and -11 < p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and 9 > p:runs > 0 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and day != Saturday and WP<79

PLAY: ~~Pirates~~,Tigers,Rockies,White Sox: +22.9% ROI (46-57)
AD and line >150 and day = Thursday and month = 4

FADE: ~~Pirates~~: -11.0% ROI (456-579)
p:margin=-8

-----------------------------------

OU

UNDER: Tigers/Indians: +23.0% ROI (90-48-8)
H and 8.5 >= total >= 7 and tA(runs) <= 4.2 and o:STDSERA <= 4.2 and o:conference = AL and po:runs <= 4 and ppo:runs <= 4 and pppo:runs <= 4 and ppppo:runs <= 4 and pppppo:runs <= 4

__________________________

SDQL PLAYS

ML

Cardinals -135
Padres +125
Tigers +180
Rockies +165
White Sox +165

OU

Tigers/Indians Under 8.5 -105

________________

Bauer 4-7 team record vs the Tigers and 9-1-1 Over.
Fulmer 3-0-1 Over vs the Indians.
Indians 15-3 since 2004 at Home when going for a 4 game sweep.
-----------------
Under 10-1-1 L12 times Porcello started vs the Yankees.

_____________________

FUqer · 04-12-18, 12:42 PM

Not sure why Josh Harrison isn't in the lineup today, he has a .389 avg and a HR off Hendricks and Trevor Williams 1.59 ERA isn't going to hold up with a 5.16 xFIP, but he doesn't give up a lot of HR's and that's a good thing today with the wind blowing out to right field at 14 mph and with two righties going and 5 left side hitters on each teams, there could be some runs scored. Polanco is prolly my favorite player cuz I was at the game when he first got called up and been a fan ever since, but he is a little ahead right now and hitting a lot of foul balls. If his swing is on today that wind can help him have a huge day and he is batting .409 off Hendricks, but if he is still a little early he is going get a lot of strikes built up on him from foul balls and be prone to strike outs. Then you have Bell, Cervelli, and Marte who are just a combined 5 for 42 off Hendricks so I can see this game going either way on the Total, but I think the Cubs win, I'm just not paying that price against the hot Pirates right now. GL!

FUqer · 04-12-18, 12:52 PM

Grandma texted me and told me to take the Cardinals today. I think I'll pass on that!

FUqer · 04-12-18, 01:06 PM

Looking into a big dog today, Tigers, Rockies or White Sox. Appears to be good value on all 3, just need to find out if there are some reasons.

Last 10 times Indians played the Tigers.

10-0 (4.60, 100.0%)	avg line: -278.4 / 247.6	on / against: +$1,000 / -$1,000	ROI: +34.6% / -100.0%
8-2 (3.10, 80.0%)	avg line: -140.9 / 119.5	on / against: +$565 / -$600	ROI: +38.4% / -58.0%
3-7-0 (-1.95, 30.0%)	avg total: 8.6	over / under: -$420 / +$380	ROI: -39.6% / +33.3%

5.60	3.80	6.70	10.10	2.60	1.20	3.00	1.30	7.40	16.60	8.11	0.24	0.70	1.32
1.00	1.10	8.80	7.00	1.50	0.10	0.90	0.10	0.00	13.50	5.89	0.48	3.10	1.68

FUqer · 04-12-18, 01:28 PM

The Tigers are 17-0 RL and 15-2 SU in the last game of a series as a road dog vs a righty when they lost the last three times they faced a righty.

15-2 (4.06, 88.2%)	avg line: 129.6 / -139.6	on / against: +$1,708 / -$1,856	ROI: +100.4% / -79.3%
17-0 (5.56, 100.0%)	avg line: -163.4 / 148.9	on / against: +$1,700 / -$1,700	ROI: +60.7% / -100.0%
10-6-1 (2.18, 62.5%)	avg total: 8.7	over / under: +$342 / -$495	ROI: +18.4% / -26.4%

7.47	3.71	7.88	11.88	2.18	1.76	3.53	1.82	5.35	17.41	8.00	0.94	2.53	3.50
3.41	3.47	7.47	7.53	1.53	0.53	2.24	0.94	2.29	14.88	7.35	0.67	4.53	3.83

FUqer · 04-12-18, 03:45 PM

Thursday 4/12/18 MLB Plays

¤ Rockies +170

¤ Tigers TT Over 3.5 +105
¤ Reds TT Under 4 +110
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Cardinals is very tempting without Votto in the lineup, but I'll go with the TT Under instead. Going out for a few hours, be back later.