MLB 2018 - SDQL / Tracking / Picks

[hotcross]

mighty fine yesterday!

Hey I liked when you were giving the "projected actual totals" for every game. Last time was April 8. Now I'm not demanding it from you, but its a Very helpful piece. Thanks!

[tecmoslayer]

Tigers

[FUqer]

Grandma texted me and told me to take the Cardinals today. I think I'll pass on that!

I should of listened to Grandma and put $ on them.

[FUqer]

mighty fine yesterday!

Hey I liked when you were giving the "projected actual totals" for every game. Last time was April 8. Now I'm not demanding it from you, but its a Very helpful piece. Thanks!

Thanks! I will start posting them again soon, I wanted to wait until the weather settled down a bit.

[FUqer]

Tigers

Sad bunch of fuqtards they are, they had their chance to hit 4 runs in the top of the 8th with man on 2nd and 3rd with one out and of course failed.

[FUqer]

Thursday 4/12/18 MLB Results

1-1-1 for +0.70

WIN - ¤ Rockies +170

LOSS - ¤ Tigers TT Over 3.5 +105
PUSH - ¤ Reds TT Under 4 +110
____________________

Season = 37-27 for +10.92
_____________________

ML = 13-10 for +3.65
(Dogs = 7-5 for +3.01)
(Favs = 6-5 for +0.64)

RL = 6-4 for +2.08

O/U = 18-12 for +6.19
(Overs = 6-4 for +1.95)
(Unders = 12-8 for +4.24)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results

4/12 = 1-1 for +0.70
4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

Thought the Tigers was about to hit the 4 runs, but they failed, then I thought for sure the Reds TT was done for, but got lucky and got the push. Overall a plus night so I can't complain too much.

[FUqer]

Friday 4/13/18 MLB Plays


¤ Blue Jays/Indians Under 9 -105
____________________

I like the Indians too, got them in a 16-0 spot, but I'm prolly gonna wait for the -1, would rather risk a push than the juice right now.

[FUqer]

SDQL 4/13

ALL = Yesterday 2-4 for -1.40 (Season: 45-40 for +8.10)

ML = Yesterday 2-3 for -0.35 (Season: 35-32 for +5.85)
RL = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 3-0 for +3.65)
OU = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.05 (Season: 7-7 for -1.40)


---------------------------------



SU


PLAY: Dodgers: +33.1% ROI (39-13)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

39-13 (2.04, 75.0%)	avg line: -131.7 / 120.9	on / against: +$2,268 / -$2,413	ROI: +33.1% / -46.1%
33-19 (0.77, 63.5%)	avg line: 148.8 / -170.3	on / against: +$3,052 / -$3,647	ROI: +55.0% / -40.2%

PLAY: Indians are 16-0 SU when on a 5 game winning streak at Home as a Favorite.
team=Indians and streak=5 and HF

16-0 (3.88, 100.0%)	avg line: -172.1 / 155.6	on / against: +$1,600 / -$1,600	ROI: +57.2% / -100.0%
8-4 (1.67, 66.7%)	avg line: 129.0 / -143.8	on / against: +$634 / -$727	ROI: +51.3% / -42.6%

FADE: Rangers: -27.7% ROI (128-232) RL = -17.9% ROI (125-168)
(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7

128-232 (-1.01, 35.6%)	avg line: 107.6 / -120.4	on / against: -$11,568 / +$9,988	ROI: -27.7% / +21.1%
125-168 (-0.62, 42.7%)	avg line: -111.1 / -102.9	on / against: -$6,848 / +$5,008	ROI: -17.9% / +13.6%

PLAY: Rays: +11.4% ROI (1052-637)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)

1052-637 (0.80, 62.3%)	avg line: -133.6 / 120.7	on / against: +$26,977 / -$34,555	ROI: +11.4% / -18.7%
747-698 (0.06, 51.7%)	avg line: 118.8 / -132.8	on / against: +$17,782 / -$26,313	ROI: +10.9% / -12.8%

-----------------------------------

OU


UNDER: D-Backs/Dodgers: +19.4% ROI (32-19-1)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

19-32-1 (-0.67, 37.3%)

avg total: 8.6

over / under: -$1,577 / +$1,115

ROI: -27.7% / +19.4%

__________________________

SDQL PLAYS



ML


Dodgers -135
Indians -125
Rays -105


RL


Astros -1.5 -122


OU


D-Backs/Dodgers Under 6.5 +100

________________



Totals Projections for Friday




(Overall = 91-74) (Overs = 47-45) (Unders = 44-29)



MIL/NYM U8.5 (7.8) -0.7 DAVIES/MATZ

TEX/HOU U8.5 (7.9) -0.6 HAMELS/COLE

BAL/BOS U10.0 (9.5) -0.5 TILLMAN/RODRIGUEZ

COL/WAS U9.0 (8.6) -0.4 FREELAND/ROARK

LAA/KC U9.5 (9.1) -0.4 HEANEY/HAMMEL

PIT/MIA U8.0 (7.7) -0.3 KUHL/PETERS

TOR/CLE U9.0 (8.7) -0.3 STROMAN/CLEVINGER

ATL/CHC O7.5 (7.8) +0.3 SANCHEZ/DARVISH

OAK/SEA O8.0 (8.1) +0.1 TRIGGS/LEAKE-

PHI/TB O8.0 (8.1) +0.1 VELASQUEZ/FARIA

NYY/DET O9.0 (9.1) +0.1 MONTGOMERY/FIERS

STL/CIN U9.0 (8.9) -0.1 WEAVER/MAHLE

SF/SD U8.5 (8.4) -0.1 BLACH/ROSS

ARI/LAD U6.5 (6.4) -0.1 GREINKE/MAEDA

CHW/MIN N/A (9.4) LOPEZ/HUGHES

[FUqer]

[FUqer]

Friday 4/13/18 MLB Plays


¤ Blue Jays/Indians Under 9 -105
____________________

¤ Cardinals/Reds Under 9 +105

_____________________

I like both these pitchers in this game and the wind is blowing to the left with the flow of the Ohio River like it normally does, but not really blowing out, like it normally does. When you see the wind blowing out to right field there, that's when you want to look hard at the Over, when it's blowing out to left like it does a lot, you'll normally see a lot of fly balls to the warning track in right center that would of went out if wind was blowing out to right. Not a fact, but just my thoughts because I'm most familiar with that park. GL!

[Rambone]

I like your picks for Cleveland and Stros. Thanks for sharing.

[FUqer]

Friday 4/13/18 MLB Results

1-1 for +0.00

-LOSS - ¤ Blue Jays/Indians Under 9 -105
-WIN - ¤ Cardinals/Reds Under 9 +105
____________________
Season = 38-28 for +10.92
_____________________

ML = 13-10 for +3.65
(Dogs = 7-5 for +3.01)
(Favs = 6-5 for +0.64)

RL = 6-4 for +2.08

O/U = 19-13 for +6.19
(Overs = 6-4 for +1.95)
(Unders = 13-9 for +4.24)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results


(Current Week = 15-13 for +2.67)



4/13 = 1-1 for +0.00
4/12 = 1-1 for +0.70
4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

Came out even on the night but I don't mind, the action was pretty good with the Reds having me on the edge of my seats until the last out were had and then just when I thought just maybe, I would get lucky and get a push with the Indians Under, the Blue Jays knock in a couple in the Top of the 9th.

I got ahead of the line with the Indians and it dropped to 8.5 and loss and got in too early with the Reds and it moved to 9.5 and it won, so that's how that works a lot of the time, at least for me. I worry a lot less about beating a line now, than I do getting + odds or low juice on a pick that I think will win, cuz last year I beat the lines at a high rate and those usually didn't do too good. To each their own though, there are many ways to go about it, whatever works for you, it's not like it's a bad thing to beat the line, especially if you play high volume, it's just not my main focus most of the time.

[FUqer]

SDQL 4/14


ALL = Yesterday 0-5 for -5.85 (Season: 45-45 for +2.25)

ML = Yesterday 0-3 for -3.65 (Season: 35-35 for +2.20)
RL = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.20 (Season: 3-1 for +2.45)
OU = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.00 (Season: 7-9 for -2.40)


---------------------------------

SU


PLAY: Mets: +11.4% ROI (1052-638)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)



PLAY: Cubs, Dodgers, Nationals: +30.5% ROI (39-14) RL = +52.2% ROI (33-20)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL


-----------------------------------

OU


UNDER: Braves/Cubs: +12.4 ROI (295-204-28)
H and REG and 6.5<=total<=8 and total/2<=STDSERA<=5.25 and total/2<=o:STDSERA<=5.25 and 1.25<=STDSWHIP<=1.55 and 1.25<=o:STDSWHIP<=1.55 and season>=2007


__________________________

SDQL PLAYS



ML


Mets -110



RL


Cubs RL TBA
Dodgers RL +130
Nationals RL +110


OU


Braves/Cubs Under TBA

________________

NOTE: These are not my personal plays. I use it to help with my play selections and track it's results to monitor how well it does on it's own. It's on you how you want to use it, GL!

-------------



Saturday's Totals Projections





TOTALS - (Overall = 98-80) (Overs = 49-47) (Unders = 49-33)

Yesterday = 7-6-1

TOR/CLE O7.0 (8.0) +1.0 GARCIA/KLUBER

LAA/KC O8.5 (9.0) +0.5 RICHARDS/JUNIS

SF/SD O8.0 (8.5) +0.5 HOLLAND/RICHARD

CHW/MIN O8.5 (9.0) +0.5 GONZALEZ/LYNN

PHI/TB U7.0 (6.5) -0.5 ARRIETA/ARCHER

TEX/HOU U8.0 (7.6) -0.4 MINOR/MORTON

BAL/BOS O9.5 (9.7) +0.2 COBB/VELAZQUEZ

COL/WAS U7.5 (7.3) -0.2 GRAY/SCHERZER

PIT/MIA U7.5 (7.3) -0.2 TAILLON/RICHARDS

OAK/SEA O8.5 (8.6) +0.1 GRAVEMAN/GONZALES

MIL/NYM U8.0 (7.9) -0.1 ANDERSON/HARVEY

ARI/LAD P7.0 (7.0) 0.0 WALKER/HILL



STL/CIN N/A (9.6) N/A MIKOLAS/REED

ATL/CHC N/A (7.6) N/A NEWCOMB/QUINTANA

[FUqer]

Saturday 4/14/18 MLB Plays


¤ Rangers/Astros Under 8 +105
¤ Brewers/Mets Under 8 +105
____________________

Contrarian Model Plays, been too busy to look at much today. GL!

[FUqer]

Saturday 4/14/18 MLB Plays


¤ Rangers/Astros Under 8 +105
¤ Brewers/Mets Under 8 +105
____________________

¤ Athletics -102

__________________

Taking a chance on the A's tonight. Graveman has a 2-6 team record vs the Mariners, but 6 of them have been by one run and he they were against a lot better counter parts than he has tonight.


Mariners 0-11 L11 Home Saturday Night games with the roof closed.

0-11 (-3.45, 0.0%) avg line: -116.3 / 105.8 on / against: -$1,404 / +$1,336 ROI: -100.0% / +105.0% 1-10 (-3.86, 9.1%) avg line: 122.5 / -134.9 on / against: -$972 / +$951 ROI: -78.8% / +60.1% 6-5-0 (1.36, 54.5%) avg total: 7.2 over / under: +$40 / -$163 ROI: +3.3% / -13.5%

2.55 2.45 8.36 7.45 1.18 0.82 1.45 0.64 0.82 14.73 6.91 0.55 3.82 4.09 6.00 2.73 5.82 11.73 2.64 1.09 3.09 1.64 5.45 16.27 7.45 1.36 1.64 3.73

[FUqer]

I thought for sure the roof would be closed in Seattle, but I guess not. That's what I get for assuming, instead of actually checking it. Not like it was a huge factor in my pick, but still a mistake. The A's got some work to do, 3 runs gonna be tough to make up for them. At least my Mets Under was able to survive Harvey.

[2daBank]

Don't worry I'm on Seattle and pen meltdowns been a theme for games I played today, good, bad, and the braves, lol.

[FUqer]

Don't worry I'm on Seattle and pen meltdowns been a theme for games I played today, good, bad, and the braves, lol.

That Braves games, I thought it was a bad beat, then it sunk in how it happened and that made it beyond a bad beat.

I think the roof is closed in Seattle, I can't tell, it looks cold as hell in there though., I should of played that Over but it looked too easy.

I planned to go to that Cards game tomorrow, but 100% chance of rain, so I changed my mind, just drove down that way last week in a monsoon and not trying to do it again.

[FUqer]

Saturday 4/14/18 MLB Results

1-2 for -0.97

LOSS - ¤ Athletics -102

LOSS - ¤ Rangers/Astros Under 8 +105
WIN - ¤ Brewers/Mets Under 8 +105
____________________
Season = 39-30 for +9.95
_____________________

ML = 13-11 for +2.63
(Dogs = 7-5 for +3.01)
(Favs = 6-6 for -0.38)

RL = 6-4 for +2.08

O/U = 20-14 for +6.24
(Overs = 6-4 for +1.95)
(Unders = 14-10 for +4.29)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results

(Current Week = 16-15 for +1.70)

4/14 = 1-2 for -0.97
4/13 = 1-1 for +0.00
4/12 = 1-1 for +0.70
4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

[2daBank]

That Braves games, I thought it was a bad beat, then it sunk in how it happened and that made it beyond a bad beat.

I think the roof is closed in Seattle, I can't tell, it looks cold as hell in there though., I should of played that Over but it looked too easy.

I planned to go to that Cards game tomorrow, but 100% chance of rain, so I changed my mind, just drove down that way last week in a monsoon and not trying to do it again.

I passed on over in both these last 2 oak/sea games cause like you said just looked way too easy, low ass totals w gas cans pitching usually don't just fly over like they supposed to! Lol. I have been in Seattle in both at least

Man the weather looks like straight garbage all over the card 2marro, maybe even worse than today. Sucks. Weather report looked like that reds/cards game might be delayed early but then they outta be able to get in, does that sound right? Certainly don't blame ya not wanting to go, just curious if I should even bother capping it?

[FUqer]

I passed on over in both these last 2 oak/sea games cause like you said just looked way too easy, low ass totals w gas cans pitching usually don't just fly over like they supposed to! Lol. I have been in Seattle in both at least

Man the weather looks like straight garbage all over the card 2marro, maybe even worse than today. Sucks. Weather report looked like that reds/cards game might be delayed early but then they outta be able to get in, does that sound right? Certainly don't blame ya not wanting to go, just curious if I should even bother capping it?

I'm not sure about the rest of the day around Cincy, I think it said lots of rain early followed by afternoon showers with chance of thunderstorms. I've been to those type of games before and it gets boring watching them bring the tarp on and off all day.

I also looked into going to Detroit for one of their games tomorrow and I think it said rain all day and night. It's hard to say, I thought about skipping over a few of them also, but ran them through anyway, but doubt go deep into some of them.

[FUqer]

Sunday Total's Projections




(Overall = 103-86) (Overs = 52-50) (Unders = 51-36)


LAA O7.5 (8.9) +1.4 OHTANI/SKOGLUND

BOS O7.0 (8.0) +1.0 BUNDY/SALE

LAD U7.0 (6.0) -1.0 GODLEY/KERSHAW

PIT U8.5 (7.7) -0.8 NOVA/URENA

OAK U8.5 (7.8) -0.7 MANAEA/HERNANDEZ

TOR O7.5 (8.1) +0.6 HAPP/TOMLIN

DET O9.0 (9.6) +0.6 CESSA/BOYD #2

TB O8.0 (8.6) +0.6 LIVELY/SNELL

NYY O8.0 (8.5) +0.5 SEVERINO/LIRIANO #1

HOU U8.0 (7.5) -0.5 COLON/VERLANDER

WAS O7.5 (7.9) +0.4 ANDERSON/STRASBURG

SD O8.0 (8.3) +0.3 BEEDE/LUCCHESI

STL U9.0 (8.8) -0.2 MARTINEZ/BAILEY

NYM O7.0 (7.1) +0.1 CHACIN/SYNDERGAARD

ATL N/A (8.6) TEHERAN/CHATWOOD


Yesterday = 5-6

[FUqer]

SDQL 4/15


ALL = Yesterday 2-3 for -0.85 (Season: 47-48 for +1.40)

ML = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.10 (Season: 35-36 for +1.10)
RL = Yesterday 2-1 for +1.35 (Season: 5-2 for +3.80)
OU = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.10 (Season: 7-10 for -3.50)


---------------------------------

SU


PLAY: Astros: +11.3% (1052-639)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls
!= 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)



FADE: Dodgers: -10.9% ROI (457-579)
p:margin=-8



PLAY: Dodgers: +28.8% ROI (41-15)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL



PLAY: Dodgers are 13-0 SU since Jul 01, 2012 when Clayton Kershaw starts as a 140+ favorite when their opponent is on a 3+ win streak.
team=Dodgers and starter=Clayton Kershaw and line<=-140 and o:streak>=3 and date>=20120701



PLAY: Dodgers are 27-0 SU since 9/30/2004 in the last game of a home series as a 200+ favorite off a game in which they scored first.
team = Dodgers and HF and line<=-200 and LGS and po:SF<=0 and date>=20040930




FADE: Giants are 0-12 SU as a road dog off a game as a dog in which their opponent scored first, they took the lead, but lost.
team = Giants and A and D and p and p:L and po:SF>0 and p:BL > 0 and date >= 20080506



-----------------------------------

OU


__________________________


SDQL PLAYS



ML


Padres -120


RL


Dodgers -1.5 +105
Astros -1.5 -139

________________


NOTE: These are not my personal plays. I use it to help with my play selections and track it's results to monitor how well it does on it's own. It's on you how you want to use it, GL!
________________

[FUqer]

Sunday 4/15/18 MLB Plays


¤ Padres -1 +125
____________________

I've backed Lucchesi both of his previous two starts and going to make it a 3rd today, I've liked what I've seen from him so far. GL!

[FUqer]

That's prolly it for me today, I want to make sure I finish the week ahead even if I lose this play and it wasn't a very good card before all the cancellations. I'm more interested in NHL today and my Penguins. I'm off to a 8-3 start in the Playoffs and finished another season in plus territory, although I should of stopped when I was up over 17 units. I know the least about Hockey, but somehow I have never had a losing season or playoffs in my 4 years betting, go figure. I've been trying to emulate some of my NHL spot betting for MLB so far with mixed results, but it's at least kept me from having days where I get buried. Good luck with all your plays today!

[FUqer]

Sunday 4/15/18 MLB Results

1-0 for +1.25

WIN - ¤ Padres -1 +125
____________________
Season = 40-30 for +11.20
_____________________

ML = 13-11 for +2.63
(Dogs = 7-5 for +3.01)
(Favs = 6-6 for -0.38)

RL = 7-4 for +3.33

O/U = 20-14 for +6.24
(Overs = 6-4 for +1.95)
(Unders = 14-10 for +4.29)

Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results


(Week 3 = 17-15 for +2.95)

4/15 = 1-0 for +1.25
4/14 = 1-2 for -0.97
4/13 = 1-1 for +0.00
4/12 = 1-1 for +0.70
4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

[FUqer]

SDQL 4/16


ALL = Yesterday 2-1 for +0.65 (Season: 49-49 for +2.05)

ML = Yesterday 1-0 for +1.00 (Season: 36-36 for +2.10)
RL = Yesterday 1-1 for -0.35 (Season: 6-3 for +3.45)
OU = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 7-10 for -3.50)

---------------------------------

SU


FADE: Phillies: Spot = -26.6% ROI (71-101) & RL -43.6% ROI (41-123)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5


FADE: Rangers: Spot = -27.9% ROI (128-233)
(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7


PLAY: Cardinals: Spot = +16.8% ROI (281-274) (Warning = 5-20 L25)
AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2


PLAY: Blue Jays, Brewers, Rays: Spot = +11.1 (1054-641) (Warning = 2-8 L10)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)


-----------------------------------


OU


OVER: Pirates are 10-0 OU since Aug 14, 2009 with no rest in the first game of a series coming off a road game in which they did not give up a walk.
team=Pirates and FGS and rest=0 and p:A and po:walks=0 and date>=20090814


__________________________

SDQL PLAYS


ML


Braves +115
Cardinals +115
Brewers -130


RL


Rays -1.5 +130
Blue Jays -1.5 +100


OU


Rockies/Pirates Over 8 +105
________________

NOTE: These are not my personal plays. I use it to help with my play selections and track the results to monitor how well it does on it's own. It's on you how you want to use it, GL!
________________




Monday's Total Projections


(Overall = 108-90) (Overs = 54-52) (Unders = 54-38)


CIN/MIL O8.5 (9.7) +1.2 CASTILLO/SUTER

HOU/SEA U7.5 (6.6) -0.9 KEUCHEL/PAXTON

PHI/ATL O8.0 (8.5) +0.5 NOLA/TEHERAN

CHW/OAK O8.5 (8.9) +0.4 LOPEZ/MENGDEN

LAD/SD O7.5 (7.9) +0.4 RYU/ERLIN

COL/PIT O8.0 (8.4) +0.4 MARQUEZ/BRAULT

TEX/TB O8.0 (8.2) +0.2 PEREZ/SNELL

KC/TOR U9.0 (8.8) -0.2 SKOGLUND/GARCIA

WAS/NYM O7.5 (7.8) +0.3 HELLICKSON/DEGROM

STL/CHC U8.5 (8.3) -0.2 WAINWRIGHT/CHATWOOD

MIA/NYY O8.5 (8.6) +0.1 SMITH/SEVERINO


Yesterday = 5-4
___________________

[FUqer]

Monday 4/16/18 MLB Plays


¤ White Sox +130

¤ Parlay +206 (Rays -166) + ( Astros -110)
____________________

I like the White Sox coming off all that rest vs the A's who are returning Home after an 8 game road trip. Both pitchers tend to give up a lot of fly balls and in that situation, I like the White Sox power over the A's power and I think Lopez is the better pitcher of the two.

Rays need a win and they are 8-0 their L8 as a HF when on a 4 game losing streak. The Rangers might be riding high over last night's victory over inter state Houston. I don't like the -121 price on the -1 line and I don't trust the Rays to win by 2, so I parlayed with another play I liked. You would think the Astros would be in a bad spot, but the trends say otherwise and worth the risk at that price for me. GL!

[FUqer]

Monday 4/16/18 MLB Results

0-2 for -2.00

LOSS - ¤ White Sox +130

LOSS - ¤ Parlay +206 (Rays -166) + ( Astros -110)
____________________
Season = 40-32 for +9.20
_____________________

ML = 13-12 for +1.63
(Dogs = 7-6 for +2.01)
(Favs = 6-6 for -0.38)

RL = 7-4 for +3.33

O/U = 20-14 for +6.24
(Overs = 6-4 for +1.95)
(Unders = 14-10 for +4.29)

Parlays = 0-2 for -2.00
_____________________
Past Results


4/16 = 0-2 for -2.00

(Week 3 = 17-15 for +2.95)

4/15 = 1-0 for +1.25
4/14 = 1-2 for -0.97
4/13 = 1-1 for +0.00
4/12 = 1-1 for +0.70
4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

I thought long and hard about hedging the parlay to make it a win a unit or break even situation, but I ended up letting it ride and of course the Astros loss.

[FUqer]

SDQL 4/17


ALL = Yesterday 2-1 for +1.15 (Season: 51-50 for +3.20)

ML = Yesterday 1-1 for -0.15 (Season: 37-37 for +1.95)
RL = Yesterday 1-0 for +1.30 (Season: 7-3 for +4.75)
OU = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 7-10 for -3.50)

---------------------------------

SU


PLAY: Braves: Spot = +29.4% ROI (120-49)
season>=2013 and month in [3,4] and H and HPU in [Jerry Layne, Dan Bellino, Mike Everitt,David Rackley, John Tumpane, Doug Eddings, Victor Carapazza]



PLAY: Braves are 10-0 SU since May 19, 2017 after a game as a home dog in which they drew 1 or fewer walks.
team=Braves and p:walks<=1 and p:HD and date>=20170519


PLAY: Blue Jays, Braves, Pirates, Rays: Spot = +11.1% ROI (1055-642)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)


PLAY: Cardinals: Spot = +16.8% ROI (281-274) (WARNING 5-20 L25)
AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2


FADE: Orioles are 0-13 SU in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings since June 20, 2014.
team=Orioles and A and FGS and p:SII<=2 and rest>=1 and date>=20140620

-----------------------------------

OU


OVER: Yankees are 11-0 OU since Apr 30, 2017 in the last game of a series at home after they scored 6+ runs last game
team=Yankees and LGS and H and p:runs>=6 and date>=20170430

__________________________

SDQL PLAYS

ML

Braves -110
Pirates -135
Cardinals +115
Tigers +100

RL

Rays -1.5 +135

OU

Marlins/Yankees Over 9 +100

________________

NOTE: These are not my personal plays. I use it to help with my play selections and track the results to monitor how well it does on it's own. It's on you how you want to use it, GL!

________________

[FUqer]

Tuesday's Totals Projections





(Overall = 115-91) (Overs = 60-53) (Unders = 55-38)



CIN/MIL O9.0 (10.4) +1.4 ROMANO/GUERRA

SF/ARI O8.0 (8.9) +0.9 CUETO/CORBIN

PHI/ATL O8.5 (9.4) +0.9 PIVETTA/FOLTYNEWICZ

COL/PIT O8.0 (8.9) +0.9 BETTIS/WILLIAMS

BOS/LAA U8.0 (7.2) -0.8 PRICE/OHTANI

LAD/SD U7.5 (6.9) -0.6 WOOD/MITCHELL

HOU/SEA U8.0 (7.4) -0.6 MCCULLERS/MIRANDA

WAS/NYM O7.5 (8.1) +0.6 GONZALEZ/WHEELER

KC/TOR U9.0 (8.5) -0.5 DUFFY/BIAGINI

BAL/DET O9.0 (9.5) +0.5 CASHNER/LIRIANO

STL/CHC O7.5 (7.9) +0.4 WAINWRIGHT/CHATWOOD

CHW/OAK U8.5 (8.2) -0.3 GONZALEZ/CAHILL

TEX/TB U8.5 (8.3) -0.2 MOORE/CHIRINOS

CLE/MIN O7.5 (7.6) +0.1 KLUBER/ODORIZZI

MIA/NYY U9.0 (8.9) -0.1 GARCIA/TANAKA



Yesterday = 7-1-1

[FUqer]

Tuesday 4/17/18 MLB Plays


¤ Nationals -111
¤ Rays FF -.5 -115
¤ Braves -1 +134


¤ Rangers/Rays Under 8.5 -115
____________________

[FUqer]

Tuesday 4/17/18 MLB Results

1-3 for -2.30

WIN - ¤ Nationals -111
LOSS - ¤ Rays FF -.5 -115
LOSS - ¤ Braves -1 +134


LOSS - ¤ Rangers/Rays Under 8.5 -115
____________________
Season = 41-35 for +6.90
_____________________

ML = 14-12 for +2.63
(Dogs = 7-6 for +2.01)
(Favs = 7-6 for +0.62)

RL = 7-6 for +1.18

O/U = 20-15 for +5.09
(Overs = 6-4 for +1.95)
(Unders = 14-11 for +3.14)

Parlays = 0-2 for -2.00
_____________________
Past Results


4/17 = 1-3 for -2.30
4/16 = 0-2 for -2.00

(Week 3 = 17-15 for +2.95)

4/15 = 1-0 for +1.25
4/14 = 1-2 for -0.97
4/13 = 1-1 for +0.00
4/12 = 1-1 for +0.70
4/11 = 10-2 for +8.47
4/10 = 3-6 for -3.27
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23

(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)

4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07

(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)

4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________

Damn Rays had to get a run in the bottom of the 9th to ruin my Under to give me an ugly 1-3 night. I've done terrible the last two Monday and Tuesday's now and have to try to and grind out a positive week, cuz I don't see a 10 win card tomorrow like last Wednesday.

[FUqer]

Wednesday 4/18/18 MLB Plays


¤ Pirates -113
¤ Tigers +107
¤ Reds +138
¤ Cubs -114
____________________

[FUqer]

SDQL 4/18


ALL = Yesterday 3-3 for -0.30 (Season: 54-53 for +2.90)

ML = Yesterday 2-2 for -0.30 (Season: 39-39 for +1.65)
RL = Yesterday 0-1 for -1.00 (Season: 7-4 for +3.75)
OU = Yesterday 1-0 for +1.00 (Season: 8-10 for -2.50)


---------------------------------


SU


FADE: Orioles: Spot = -27.0% ROI (71-102) RL = -44.0% ROI (41-124)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5



PLAY: Tigers: Spot = +28.4% ROI (122-51)
season>=2013 and month in [3,4] and H and HPU in [Jerry Layne, Dan Bellino, Mike Everitt,David Rackley, John Tumpane, Doug Eddings, Victor Carapazza]



PLAY: Reds: Spot = +17.0% ROI (282-274)
AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2



PLAY: Blue Jays: Spot = +11.0% (1056-645)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)



PLAY: Royals, White Sox: Teams that lost by 8 runs their last game are 10-0 SU L10.
p:margin=-8 and date>=20170916



FADE: Royals are 0-26 SU as a road 170+ dog after a game in which they hit at least one home run since Sept. 08, 2012.
team=Royals and D and line>=170 and p:HR>=1 and date>=20120908



PLAY: Angels are 13-0 SU since Aug 21, 2014 as a favorite past the first game of a series after their starter pitched less than 3 innings last game.
team=Angels and date>=20140821 and F and SG>1 and p:SIP<3



FADE: Red Sox are 0-9 SU since Jul 01, 2015 when Rick Porcello starts as a dog when they won in his last start.
team=Red Sox and starter=Rick Porcello and D and s:W and date>=20150701


-----------------------------------

OU


OVER: Mariners are 11-0-1 OU since Apr 19, 2017 at home coming off a home game in which they did not score after the third inning.
team=Mariners and date>=20170419 and H and p:H and p:S3 = p:runs


__________________________

SDQL PLAYS


ML


Tigers +110
White Sox +180
Reds +135
Angels -120


RL


Blue Jays -1.5 +100



OU


Astros/Mariners Over 7.5 -110

________________


NOTE: These are not my personal plays. I use it to help with my play selections and track the results to monitor how well it does on it's own. It's on you how you want to use it, GL!

________________




Wednesday's Totals Projections






(Overall = 116-104) (Overs = 60-61) (Unders = 56-43)






CHW/OAK O8.5 (9.5) +1.0 FULMER/TRIGGS

STL/CHC O8.0 (7.2) +0.8 WEAVER/LESTER

BOS/LAA U8.5 (7.8) -0.7 PORCELLO/SKAGGS

HOU/SEA U8.0 (7.3) -0.7 COLE/LEAKE

COL/PIT O8.0 (8.6) +0.6 FREELAND/KUHL

BAL/DET O9.0 (9.4) +0.4 GAUSMAN/BOYD

SF/ARI O8.5 (8.8) +0.3 STRATTON/RAY

CIN/MIL O8.5 (8.8) +0.3 MAHLE/DAVIES

KC/TOR O8.5 (8.7) +0.2 KENNEDY/HAPP

LAD/SD O7.5 (7.7) +0.2 MAEDA/ROSS

PHI/ATL U8.5 (8.4) -0.1 VELASQUEZ/MCCARTHY

TEX/TB O7.5 (7.6) +0.1 HAMELS/FARIA

CLE/MIN P7.5 (7.5) 0.0 CARRASCO/BERRIOS

WAS/NYM P8.0 (8.0) 0.0 ROARK/MATZ



Yesterday = 1-13-1


_____________________


Thursday's Totals Projections






SF/ARI (8.6) BLACH/GREINKE

HOU/SEA (8.2) MORTON/GONZALES

TOR/NYY (9.0) SANCHEZ/SABATHIA

NYM/ATL (9.3) HARVEY/SANCHEZ

BAL/DET (9.5) COBB/ZIMMERMANN

BOS/LAA (8.2) RODRIGUEZ/TROPEANO

MIA/MIL (9.0) PETERS/ANDERSON

PIT/PHI (7.4) TAILLON/ARRIETA